INTEGRATING ECONOMICS, ECOLOGY AND THERMODYNAMICS Ecology, Economy & Environment VOLUME 3 The titles published in this series are listed at the end of this volume. Integrating Economics, Ecology and Thermodynamics by Matthias Ruth Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, and Department of Geography, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A. Springer-Science+Business Media, B.V. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Ruth, Matthias. Integrating economics, ecology and thermodynamics 1 by Matthias Ruth. p. cm. -- <Ecology, economy & environment : 3l Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-7923-2377-7 <HB : acid-free paperl 1. Economic development--Environmental aspects. 2. Human ecology. 3. Thermodynamics. I. Title. II. Series. HD75.6.R88 1993 333.7--dc20 93-24816 ISBN 978-90-481-4298-9 ISBN 978-94-017-1899-8 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-94-017-1899-8 Printed on acid-free paper Ali Rights Reserved © 1993 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers 1993 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner. Table of Contents Foreword ix Acknow ledgment Xl Part I. Introduction 1 1. Economics, Ecology and Thennodynamics 3 1.1 The Relevance of Economy-Environment Interactions for Economic Systems 3 1.2 Towards a Consistent Representation of Economy-Environment Interactions 5 1.3 Economic System, Ecosystem, and Thennodynamics 9 1.4 Organization of the Study 11 Part II. Core Concepts in Economics, Ecology and Thermodynamics 15 2. Core Concepts in Neoclassical Economics 17 2.1 A Delineation of Economic Activities 17 2.2 Opportunity Costs, Substitution, and Time Preference 19 2.3 Economic Decisions and Time 20 2.4 Discount Rate and Resource Use 24 2.5 Dynamic Economic Models of Nonrenewable Resource Use 27 2.5.1 Optimal Extraction of Nonrenewable Resources 27 2.5.2 Empirical Evidence for Increasing Resource Scarcity 30 2.6 Dynamic Economic Models of Renewable Resource Use 31 2.7 Summary 34 3. Core Concepts in Ecology 35 3. 1 Basic Characteristics of Ecosystems 35 3.2 Changing Components of Ecosystems 38 3.2.1 Equilibrium versus Nonequilibrium Hypotheses 38 3.2.2 Change on the Community and Population Levels 41 3.3 Evolutionary Processes 43 3.4 Summary 46 4. Core Concepts in Thennodynamics 48 4.1 Thennodynamic Systems Analysis 48 4.2 First Law Analysis 51 4.3 Second Law Analysis 53 4.4 Entropy and Information 56 4.5 Summary 59 Part III. Integrating the Core Concepts of Economics, Ecology and Thennodynamics 61 5. Integrating Core Concepts of Thennodynamics into Economics 63 5.1 From Analogies to the Physical Functioning of Economic Processes 63 vi 5.2 The Laws of Thennodynamics in Economic Models 65 5.2.1 Economic Activity and Conservation of Mass and Energy 65 5.2.2 Production, Thermodynamic Constraints and Economic Optimization 68 5.3 Thermodynamics, Resource Use, and Technical Change 70 5.3.1 Economy-Environment Interactions in a Dynamic Context 70 5.3.2 Energy, Material, Time and Information Trade-Off in Production 71 5.4 Summary and Conclusions 75 6. Ecology and Thennodynamics 76 6.1 Ecosystems and Ecosystem Components as Thennodynamic Systems 76 6.2 Entropy, Evolution, and Growth 79 6.3 Implications of the Ecology-Thennodynamics Interface for the Economy as an Ecosystem Component 82 6.3.1 The Economic System as an Ecosystem Component 82 6.3.2 Sustainability of Economic Activities 84 6.4 Summary and Conclusions 90 7. Economics and Ecology 92 7.1 The Economics-Ecology Interface 92 7.2 Economic Principles in Ecology 93 7.3 Economy-Environment Interactions and Evolutionary Theories of Economic Change 97 7.3.1 The Role of Core Concepts of Ecology in Economic Theory 97 7.3.2 Evolution and Economic Change -From Analogies to Economic Functioning 102 7.3.3 Socioeconomic Evolution, Creativity and Novelty 106 7.4 Summary and Conclusions 108 8. Economics, Ecology and Thennodynamics III 8.1 Treating Economy-Environment Interactions in Accordance with the Core Concepts of Economics, Ecology and Thennodynamics III 8.2 Infonnation, Knowledge and Technology 114 8.3 System Boundaries and Reference Environment 120 8.4 An Anthropocentric Approach to Economy-Environment Interactions 123 8.5 Summary and Conclusions 124 vii Part IV. Nonlinear Dynamic Simulation of Natural Resource Use: Thermodynamic Limits and Endogenous Technical Change 127 9. Thermodynamic Implications for Nonrenewable Resource Extraction with Endogenous Technical Change 129 9.1 Introduction 129 9.2 A Production Function for Nonrenewable Resource Extraction with Thermodynamic Limits 130 9.3 Endogenous Technical Change in the Mining Sector 137 9.4 Optimal Resource Extraction with Endogenous Technical Change 142 904.1 The Institutional Framework for Optimal Resource Extraction with Endogenous Technical Change 142 9.4.2 Centralized Decision on Optimal Extraction of a Nonrenewable Resource 143 9.4.3 Data Sources for the Illustration of the Model of Optimal Nonrenewable Resource Extraction 148 9.5 Simulation of Optimal Time Paths 150 9.6 Sensitivity Analysis 155 9.7 Summary and Conclusions 161 10. A Comprehensive Model of Economy-Environment Interactions 164 10.1 Introduction 164 10.2 System Components of the Model of Economy-Environment Interactions 168 10.2.1 The Mining Sector 168 10.2.2 The Manufacturing Sector 170 10.2.3 The Agricultural Sector 173 10.204 Human Organisms 176 10.3 Nonlinear Dynamic Optimization for a Multi-Sector Economy with Endogenous Technical Change and Thennodynarnic Constraints 177 10.3.1 The Objective Function for a Simple Society 177 10.3.2 Optimal Time Paths 181 lOA Nonlinear Dynamic Simulation 186 1004.1 Data Sources 186 1004.2 Simulation Results 188 10.5 Summary and Conclusions 196 viii Part V. Summary and Conclusions 199 11. Methodology and Findings 201 11. 1 The Methodological Background of the Study 201 11.2 The Models of Optimal Natural Resource Use 206 Appendix A: Glossary 211 Appendix B: Nonlinear Dynamic Simulation Program for the Nonrenewable Resource Model 214 Appendix C: Initial Conditions and Parameter Values for the Simulation of the comprehensive Model of Chapter 10 219 References 221 Index 248 Foreword by Clark Bullard and Bruce Hannon Here is a scientist-author, young, courageous, intelligent and ambitious. He sets into motion a line of thought that should revolutionize both ecology and economics. This book is the first step in the modern effort to identify and combine at a fundamental level the principles of ecology, economics and thermodynamics into a well-described model of a human community. The book succeeds very well. It stands economics on the resource base rather than on the consumer. It weaves ecology and economic activity together in a novel and meaningful way and it bases its relationships on the bedrock of thermodynamics. The book builds the case for its new view in careful stages, leading to a comprehensive dynamic model of a simple but realistic society interacting explicitly with its environment. Much remains to be done but the template is here. Clark Bullard, Professor, Mechanical Engineering Bruce Hannon, Professor, Geography University of Illinois Urbana, February 1993 ix