RUNNING HEADER: INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT ANTIOCH UNIVERSITY NEW ENGLAND Department of Environmental Studies DISSERTATION COMMITTEE PAGE The undersigned have examined the dissertation entitled: Exploring Perceptions of the Potential of Agricultural Insurance for Crop Risks Management Among Smallholder Farmers in Northern Ghana Presented by John Bosco Baguri Sumani, candidate for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, and hereby certify that it is accepted. Committee Chair: James W. Jordan, Ph.D., Department Environmental Studies, Antioch University New England, Keene, NH, USA Committee Member: Jean Kayira, Ph.D., Department of Environmental Studies, Antioch University New England, Keene, NH, USA Committee Member: Helen Greatrex, Ph.D., International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Colombia University, New York, USA Defense Date: May 10, 2018 Date Submitted to Registrar’s Office: Signatures are on file with the Registrar’s Office, Antioch University New England, Keene, NH, USA INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT ii Exploring Perceptions of the Potential of Agricultural Insurance for Crop Risks Management Among Smallholder Farmers in Northern Ghana By John Bosco Baguri Sumani A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the award for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY In Environmental Studies At Antioch University New England 2018 INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT iii © 2018 John Bosco Baguri Sumani ALL RIGHTS RESERVED INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT iv Abstract Smallholder farmers in Northern Ghana are exposed to multiple agricultural risks, which require various adaptation strategies to address. However, these strategies are only partially effective. Agricultural insurance has been promoted to assist smallholders in low-income countries to manage their key agricultural risks. The Ghanaian government and its collaborating partners introduced three agricultural insurance programs (AIPs) since 2009. In countries other than Ghana, some post-piloting evaluations of AIPs have revealed mixed outcomes, with some schemes resulting in unintended socio-ecological and maladaptive consequences. Despite these concerns, no study has explored the potential of agricultural insurance for smallholders’ crop risks management in Ghana. Thus, this research was undertaken to address this gap. It also investigates stakeholders’ perspectives of the potential of AIPs in promoting sustainable farming agricultural practices and climate change mitigation. I employed a convergent research design to address these issues using stratified, purposeful, and random sampling. Focus groups, informant interviews, and questionnaires were utilized to solicit responses. The resultant data and themes were analyzed using SPSS and Excel. This research revealed that agricultural risks, including those related and unrelated to weather and climate—have been adversely affecting smallholders, and have been addressed by farmers through food rationing, out-migration, and technology-based adaptation strategies. Some reported benefits of AIPs were the motivations to increase crop production, farm investments, and financial protection. This study provides scholarly, practical, regulatory, and policy-focused insight into agricultural insurance growth. My findings indicate that further attention and research are needed to building awareness about AIPs, the design of farmer-sensitive contracts, and their subsidization by government. I recommend future research focus on addressing INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT v issues of upstream and downstream agro-risks management and on replicating this study in other geographical locations where smallholder farmers struggle to survive INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT vi Keywords: Agricultural insurance, agricultural risks, crop risks management strategies, sustainable farming practice, climate change mitigation, smallholder farmers, Northern Ghana INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT vii Dedication I dedicate this dissertation project to my dear wife, Alice Dakurah, and lovely children; Bright, Roland, and twins Jayden and Jaylen, for their support and understanding of my always being away at the time they needed me most. I also pay tribute to my parents, Sumani Nyebadi of blessed memory, and Naamah Zindiyele Nyebadi, for all they have done to catapult me this far, irrespective of the tumultuous times and challenges. INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT viii Acknowledgments I wish to acknowledge the contribution of my committee members, Drs. James W. Jordan and Jean Kayira of the Environmental Science (ES) Department of Antioch University New England (AUNE), and Dr. Helen Greatrex of International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, New York, to this final product. I would like to specially thank them for the guidance, support, and timeliness with feedback, even when I sometimes gave them only a short time to review voluminous chapters. I also acknowledge the wonderful blend of talents and expertise at my disposal, which covered climate variability and change, research methodology, and agricultural insurance, from both applied and theoretical lenses. I would like to thank them, especially for the promise to make their talents and expertise available to me even after my graduation. I would also like to acknowledge the contribution and support of the Most High, my parents, managers of the University for Development Studies, friends, especially Yves Gakunde, relatives, and staff of the ES department and the larger Antioch and Keene community. AUNE is a great place to be and made such a great impression on me during my master’s degree program that I returned there to pursue my Ph.D. studies. My special thanks go to the Government of Ghana, represented by the Ghana Education Trust Fund (GETFUND) for sponsoring my Ph.D. studies. Without this sponsorship, I probably would have been nowhere to be called and recognized as a Ph.D. holder. I am proudly a Ghanaian. INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT ix Table of Contents Abstract .......................................................................................................................................... iv Dedication ..................................................................................................................................... vii Acknowledgments........................................................................................................................ viii List of Figures .............................................................................................................................. xiv List of Tables ................................................................................................................................ xv List of Appendices ....................................................................................................................... xvi List of Abbreviations .................................................................................................................. xvii Chapter 1: General Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 1 1.2 The Agricultural Sector: Its Importance and Risks .......................................................... 1 1.3 The Motivation for This Research ................................................................................... 6 1.4 Significance of the Study ................................................................................................. 8 1.5 Delineation of the Study ................................................................................................. 11 1.6 Assumptions ................................................................................................................... 12 1.7 Dissertation Chapter Organization: ................................................................................ 13 1.8 Chapter Summary ........................................................................................................... 13 Chapter 2: Conceptual Framework and Literature Review .......................................................... 16 2.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 16 2.2 Conceptual Framework .................................................................................................. 16 2.3 Sources of Agricultural Risks and the Associated Theoretical Background of the Conceptual Framework ............................................................................................................. 19 2.4 Literature Review ........................................................................................................... 24 2.5 Smallholder Farmers’ Key Agricultural Risks in Low-income Countries ..................... 26 2.6 Weather and Climate-induced Agricultural Risks. ........................................................ 28 2.7 Non-weather and Climate-induced Agricultural Risks. ................................................. 31 2.8 Evolution of Agricultural Risks Management Strategies in Low-income Countries..... 32 2.9 Index-based Agricultural Insurance in Low-income Countries………………………..35 2.10 The Role of Index-based Agricultural Insurance in Crop Risks Management in Low- income Countries....................................................................................................................... 37 2.11 The Role of Agricultural Insurance in Promoting Sustainable Farming Practices and Climate Change Mitigation ....................................................................................................... 41 2.12 Summary and Conclusions ............................................................................................. 46 Chapter 3: Research Methodology and Design ............................................................................ 50 3.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 50 3.2 The Study Methodology and Paradigm .......................................................................... 51 INSURANCE FOR CROP RISKS MANAGEMENT x 3.3 Study Design .................................................................................................................. 52 3.3.1 Study Site and Scope .............................................................................................. 52 3.3.2 Selection of Study participants ............................................................................... 54 3.3.3 Study Approach, Design, and Justification ............................................................. 55 3.3.4 Sampling Strategies ................................................................................................ 56 3.4 Pre-Testing of Sampling Strategies and Data Collection Methods ................................ 59 3.5 Qualitative Data Collection Methods and Variables ...................................................... 62 3.5.1 Focus Group Discussions ........................................................................................ 62 3.5.2 Key informant interviews ....................................................................................... 66 3.6 Quantitative Research Methods and Variables .............................................................. 68 3.6.1 Self-administered questionnaires. ........................................................................... 68 3.7 Data Analysis ................................................................................................................. 71 3.8 Validity and Reliability Considerations ......................................................................... 77 3.9 Strategies to Address Ethical Concerns ......................................................................... 81 3.10 Limitations of the Study ................................................................................................. 85 Chapter 4: Results on Perspectives of Smallholder Farmers' Key Agricultural Risks in Northern Ghana ............................................................................................................................................ 88 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 88 4.2 Duori-Guo Community .................................................................................................. 88 4.2.1 Weather/Climate-induced Agricultural Risks ......................................................... 89 4.2.2 Non-weather-induced Agricultural Risk ................................................................. 89 4.3 Kazigo Community ........................................................................................................ 93 4.3.1 Weather/Climate-related Agricultural Challenges .................................................. 94 4.3.2 Non-weather/Climate-based Agricultural Risks ..................................................... 95 4.4 Nyankpala Community .................................................................................................. 95 4.4.1 Weather/Climate-related Agricultural Risks ........................................................... 97 4.4.2 Non-weather-related Agricultural Risks ................................................................. 97 4.5 Identification of Key Agricultural Risks by Key Informants ......................................... 99 4.5.1 Weather/climate-related Key Agricultural Risks .................................................... 99 4.5.2 Non-weather-related Agricultural Risks ............................................................... 101 4.6 Identification of Smallholder Farmers’ Key Agricultural Risks and the Associated Impacts on Smallholder Farmers in Northern Ghana from Questionnaire Survey ................. 111 4.6.1 The Occurrence of General Weather and Climate Variability/Change over the Years as Smallholder Farmers' Key Agricultural Risks ...................................................... 112 4.6.2 Manifestations of the Varying/Changing Weather/Climate ................................. 112 4.6.3 Ranking of Key Agricultural Risks Affecting Smallholder Farmers in Northern Ghana 114 4.6.4 Impacts of Key Agricultural Risks on Smallholder Farmers ................................ 116 Chapter 5: Results on Smallholder Farmers’ Agricultural Risks Management Strategies ......... 117 5.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................. 117 5.1.1 Livelihood-related Agricultural Risks Management Strategies ............................ 118
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