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Visit our website for other free publication downloads http://www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/ To rate this publication click here. Carlisle Paper INSANITY: FOUR DECADES OF U.S. COUNTERDRUG STRATEGY Lieutenant Colonel Michael F. Walther December 2012 The views expressed in this report are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S. Government. Authors of Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) publications enjoy full academic freedom, provided they do not disclose classified information, jeopardize operations security, or misrepresent official U.S. policy. Such academic freedom empowers them to offer new and sometimes controversial perspectives in the interest of further- ing debate on key issues. This report is cleared for public release; distribution is unlimited. ***** This publication is subject to Title 17, United States Code, Sections 101 and 105. 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Contact SSI by visiting our website at the following address: www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil. ***** The Strategic Studies Institute publishes a monthly e-mail newsletter to update the national security community on the research of our analysts, recent and forthcoming publications, and upcoming confer- ences sponsored by the Institute. Each newsletter also provides a strategic commentary by one of our research analysts. If you are interested in receiving this newsletter, please subscribe on the SSI website at www.StrategicStudiesInstitute.army.mil/newsletter/. ISBN 1-58487-561-5 ii PREFACE The U.S. Army War College (USAWC) provides an excellent environment for selected military officers and government civilians to reflect and capitalize on their career experience to explore a wide range of strategic issues. To ensure that the research con- ducted by USAWC students is available to Army and Department of Defense leaders, the Strategic Studies Institute publishes selected papers in its “Carlisle Papers” series. ANTULIO J ECHEVARRIA II Director of Research Strategic Studies Institute iii ABOUT THE AUTHOR MICHAEL F. WALTHER is a recently retired Senior Executive of the U.S. Department of Justice (DoJ), having served most recently as Director of the National Drug Intel- ligence Center (NDIC). He is also a recently retired U.S. Army Reserve Judge Advocate who has served in a variety of positions, including a deployment to Iraq (2006-07) as Legal Advisor to the Multi-National Force Iraq planning staff and Director of the Law and Order Task Force in Baghdad. He last served as a Military Judge, presiding over courts-martial in the U.S. Army’s Fourth Judicial District. Lieutenant Colonel Walther was originally commissioned as a U.S. Air Force Officer and attended law school under the USAF-funded Legal Education Program. As an Air Force Judge Advocate, he served in International Law-related positions in Greece and Germany before shifting the focus of his legal practice to military law and criminal justice matters. In 2003, he joined the U.S. DoJ as an Assistant U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Louisiana, and was as- signed to the Organized Crime Drug Enforcement Task Force. In 1999, he transferred to DOJ’s Criminal Division in Washington, DC, where he served as a Senior Trial Attorney, Deputy Chief, and Acting Chief of the Narcotic and Dangerous Drug Section. Lieuten- ant Colonel Walther holds a B.A. in English from Tulane University, an M.A. in strategic studies from the U.S. Army War College, and a J.D. from the University of the Pacific, McGeorge School of Law. v ABSTRACT In the 4 decades since President Richard Nixon first declared war on drugs, the U.S. counterdrug strategy has remained virtually unchanged—favoring supply-reduction, law enforcement, and criminal sanctions over demand reduction, treatment, and education. While the annual counterdrug budget has ballooned from $100 million to $25 billion, the availability of most illicit drugs remains at an all-time high. The human cost is staggering—nearly 40,000 drug-related deaths in the United States annually. The societal impact, in purely economic terms, is now estimated to be approximately $200 billion per year. The global illicit drug industry now accounts for 1 percent of all commerce on the planet—approximately $320 billion annually. Legalization is almost certainly not the answer; however, an objective analysis of available data confirms that: 1) the United States has pursued essentially the same flawed supply-reduction strategy for 40 years; and, 2) simply increasing the amount of money invested each year in this strategy will not make it successful. Faced with impending budget cuts and a future of budget auster- ity, policymakers must replace the longstanding U.S. counterdrug strategy with a prag- matic, science-based, demand-reduction strategy that offers some prospect of reducing the economic and societal impacts of illicit drugs on American society. vii INSANITY: FOUR DECADES OF U.S. COUNTERDRUG STRATEGY The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Albert Einstein1 For nearly 2 centuries, North America was “a dope fiend’s paradise.”2 American col- onists and their native predecessors came to rely upon derivatives of natural substances to cure ailments, increase sexual potency, relieve pain, and provide pleasure.3 By the early-1800s, a burgeoning patent medicine industry advertised preparations containing large quantities of opium;4 in 1844, cocaine was first isolated in pure form from coca leaves;5 in 1874, heroin was synthesized and recommended as more effective, and less dangerous and addicting, than morphine;6 and amphetamines were first synthesized in 1887.7 Most Americans know little of their nation’s antebellum drug history, i.e., the 200 years that preceded the war on drugs, and nearly all are unaware that drugs were legal for most of that period. However, late in the 19th century, a nascent drug prohibition movement began to develop.8 Before long, a combination of evangelical prohibitionists and Progressive Era reformers mounted a successful campaign for the first federal anti-narcotics legislation.9 The Harrison Act,10 passed in 1914, became the basis for narcotics regulation over the next half-century.11 In 1918, 3 years after the Act went into effect, a congressional study found that the use of drugs—narcotics as well as cocaine—had actually increased.12 On January 1, 1932, the Treasury Department’s newly formed Federal Bureau of Narcotics (FBN) assumed responsibility for the enforcement of federal drug laws. The FBN’s first director, Harry Anslinger, has been described as “the personification of the antinarcotic regime.”13 Over the course of 30 years and five administrations, he champi- oned a punitive drug policy that today, more than a half-century later, still serves as the foundation of our prohibitionist drug strategy.14 Our national drug strategy has essentially always been two-dimensional: supply- reduction (controlling the supply of drugs through legislation, law enforcement, inter- diction, prosecution, and incarceration); and demand-reduction (reducing the demand for drugs through education, prevention, and treatment).15 Although perhaps oversim- plified, the distinction between supply and demand programs has framed much of the drug policy debate in America over the past 40 years.16 Every administration has advo- cated a “balanced” approach incorporating both supply-reduction and demand-reduction programs. However, the distribution of resources, i.e., the supply/demand split, has become “the metric for the debate.”17 Thus, accurate analysis of any administration’s drug strategy requires that we ignore the rhetoric and “follow the money.”18 Soon after his inauguration, President Nixon unveiled the first comprehensive national strategy aimed at reducing drug abuse and ameliorating its harmful effects. The early emphasis was on treatment and rehabilitation, and budget expenditures between 1970 and 1974 included dramatic increases, with a spending distribution that dispropor- tionately favored demand-reduction over enforcement.19 The 1973 drug budget was the 1