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Informal Social Protection and Poverty PDF

296 Pages·2022·9.039 MB·English
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Zahid Mumtaz Informal Social Protection and Poverty Informal Social Protection and Poverty Zahid Mumtaz Informal Social Protection and Poverty Zahid Mumtaz Crawford School of Public Policy Australian National University Canberra, ACT, Australia ISBN 978-981-19-6473-2 ISBN 978-981-19-6474-9 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6474-9 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. The publisher, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations. This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore Contents 1 Introduction ................................................... 1 References ..................................................... 7 2 Theoretical Framework, Literature Review, and Contributions ..... 11 2.1 Introduction .............................................. 11 2.2 Theoretical Framework ..................................... 12 2.3 Literature Review ......................................... 25 2.3.1 Overview of the Literature on Welfare Regimes in Developing Countries ............................. 25 2.3.2 The Role of Community in Providing Welfare ........... 37 2.3.3 Contributions of the Study ........................... 39 References ..................................................... 40 3 Conceptualizing Informal Social Protection: A Framework to Compare Formal and Informal Social Protection ............... 45 3.1 Introduction .............................................. 45 3.2 Methodology ............................................. 46 3.3 Social Protection .......................................... 48 3.4 Overview and Findings from Literature on Informal Social Protection ................................................ 52 3.5 Synthesizing the Literature; Defining and Reconceptualizing Informal Social Protection .................................. 54 3.6 Informal Assistance—Sources and Definitions ................. 55 3.6.1 Family (Immediate and Extended) ..................... 55 3.6.2 Religious Institutions ................................ 56 3.6.3 NGOs (National and International) .................... 57 3.7 Informal Insurance—Sources and Definition .................. 58 3.7.1 Family (Immediate and Extended) ..................... 58 3.7.2 Neighborhoods, Friends, and Village Communities ...... 59 3.7.3 Religious Organizations .............................. 60 v vi Contents 3.8 Informal Labor Market Measures—Sources and Definitions ..... 61 3.8.1 NGOs (Local and International) ....................... 61 3.8.2 Religious Organizations .............................. 61 3.9 Limitations ............................................... 62 3.10 Conclusion ............................................... 66 3.11 Putting the Conceptualization into Operation and Devising a Survey Instrument for Data Collection ...................... 67 References ..................................................... 67 4 Research Design, Methodology, and Data Collection ............... 73 4.1 Introduction—Exploratory Research Design ................... 73 4.2 Data Source Identification—Justification of Sample ............ 75 4.3 Data Collection and Methodology ........................... 75 4.4 Ethical Concerns, Quality of the Data, and Bias Reduction ...... 80 4.5 Conclusion ............................................... 82 References ..................................................... 82 5 Madrassas as a Provider of Informal Social Protection in Pakistan .................................................... 85 5.1 Introduction .............................................. 85 5.2 Secondary Data ........................................... 87 5.3 Madrassas in the Early Islamic Period ........................ 88 5.3.1 Origins ............................................ 88 5.3.2 Organization of the Madrassa ......................... 88 5.3.3 Method of Instruction and Contributions ............... 89 5.4 Madrassas in the Indian Sub-Continent Before Colonization ..... 90 5.5 Impact of Colonization on Madrassas in India ................. 91 5.6 Madrassa Development in Pakistan .......................... 93 5.7 Results and Discussion ..................................... 96 5.8 Conclusion ............................................... 103 References ..................................................... 103 6 Comparing Formal and Informal Social Protection: Exploring the Usefulness of Informal Social Protection in Pakistan ........... 109 6.1 Introduction .............................................. 109 6.2 Social Protection in Pakistan ................................ 110 6.3 Results and Discussion ..................................... 120 6.3.1 Socio-Economic Conditions and Risks and Shocks Faced by the Surveyed Households .................... 120 6.3.2 Formal and Informal Assistance ....................... 125 6.3.3 Formal and Informal Insurance ....................... 127 6.3.4 Formal and Informal Labor Markets ................... 131 6.3.5 The Overall Usefulness of Formal and Informal Social Protection .................................... 133 Contents vii 6.4 Limitations, Conclusions, Policy Implications, and Scope of Future Research ........................................ 134 References ..................................................... 138 7 Machine Learning-Based Approach for Exploring the Household Survey Data ...................................... 141 7.1 Introduction .............................................. 141 7.2 Use of Machine Learning in Public Policy—An Overview of the Literature ........................................... 143 7.3 Reasons for Using the K-means Clustering Technique to Explore the Collected Household Survey Data ............... 145 7.3.1 K-means Clustering ................................. 146 7.4 Results ................................................... 147 7.4.1 Description of Clusters .............................. 147 7.4.2 Household Characteristics of Clusters .................. 151 7.4.3 Assets ............................................. 160 7.4.4 Risks and Shocks ................................... 169 7.4.5 Formal Social Protection Received by the Households Through Various Sources ............................ 178 7.4.6 Informal Social Protection Received by the Households Through Various Sources ............ 182 7.5 Conclusion ............................................... 193 References ..................................................... 199 8 Determining Multiple Welfare Regimes in Pakistan ................ 201 8.1 Introduction .............................................. 201 8.2 Applying Global Welfare Regime Model to Pakistan’s Context .................................................. 203 8.3 Results and Discussion ..................................... 208 8.3.1 Cluster1—Potential Welfare State Regime .............. 208 8.3.2 Cluster2—More Effective Informal Security Regime ..... 214 8.3.3 Cluster0—Less Effective Informal Security Regime ...... 215 8.3.4 Cluster3—Insecurity Regime ......................... 217 8.3.5 The Richest in Pakistan .............................. 219 8.4 Limitations, Conclusions, and Implications .................... 220 References ..................................................... 222 9 Conclusions, Implications, and Avenues of Future Research ........ 225 9.1 Conclusions .............................................. 225 9.2 Implications .............................................. 227 9.2.1 Does Informal Social Protection Produce Extremism? A Case for Formal Social Protection ........ 227 9.2.2 A Strong and a Weak State Within One Country ......... 230 9.2.3 Taxing the Rich—A System of Redistribution ........... 230 9.2.4 Better Data and Evidence in Policy-Making ............. 232 9.2.5 Reforming the Madrassas—Options and Possibilities ..... 233 viii Contents 9.3 Avenues of Future Research ................................ 234 References ..................................................... 235 Annexure A: Participant Information Sheet .......................... 239 Annexure B ....................................................... 243 Annexure C: Survey Questionnaire for the Households ................ 247 Annexure D: Survey Questionnaire for the Head of Madrassa ......... 271 Annexure E ....................................................... 273 Annexure F ....................................................... 289 Annexure G: Semi Structured Interview Questionnaire ............... 291 Annexure H ....................................................... 293 Annexure I ....................................................... 295 Abbreviations ADB Asian development bank AI Artificial intelligence BISP Benazir income support program DBSCAN Density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise DFID Department for international development FAO Food and agriculture organization GDP Gross domestic product GNI Gross national income GoP Government of Pakistan GTZ German technical cooperation HDI Human development index ILO International labour organization IRM Institutional responsibility matrix ML Machine learning MPI Multidimensional poverty index NAP National action plan NGO Non-governmental organization OECD Organization for economic cooperation and development PBS Pakistan bureau of statistics ROSCA Rotating savings and credit association UML Unsupervised machine learning UNDP United Nations development programme UNICEF United Nations children’s fund UNRISD United Nations research institute for social development VAT Value-Added Tax WFP World food programme ix List of Figures Fig. 2.1 Theoretical framework of informal security and insecurity regimes ................................................ 23 Fig. 3.1 Components of informal social protection ................... 55 xi

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