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India and the Changing Geopolitics of Oil The global energy scenario has transformed in the past 20 years. Oil demand, earlier driven by the West, is now shifting to the East, more specifically to Asia. New oil supplies from North America have chal- lenged the hegemony of the traditional oil exporters from West Asia and Africa. India, once a marginal player in the world oil market, is now a valued customer providing demand security to oil exporters. This book systematically examines India’s oil and gas trade, which makes it the world’s third largest importer of oil after China and the US. It explores the changing patterns of oil demand and supply, and the growing market for natural gas, renewable energy, biofuel, and al- ternative sources of energy. Further, the volume discusses a range of is- sues that affects India’s position in the global energy economy, such as • The geographic shifts in energy production and trade; interna- tional relations and economic sanctions that affect the oil trade; • India’s quest for energy security; and contest with China for oil assets; • Building new partnerships, and investing in stable, oil-rich coun- tries like the US and Canada, while keeping up existing energy relations with Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait; • Using market mechanisms to ensure energy security. Topical and comprehensive, this book in The Gateway House Guide to India in the 2020s series will be useful for scholars and researchers of international relations, geopolitics, foreign policy, security and strate- gic studies, energy studies, West Asia studies, South Asian studies, and international trade. It will also be of interest to policymakers, diplo- mats, career bureaucrats, and professionals working with think tanks, academia and multilateral agencies, media agencies, and businesses. Amit Bhandari is the Fellow for Energy and Environment Studies at Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations, India. His re- search encompasses India’s energy security priorities and the role of financial markets, geopolitics, technology, and policy in achieving those goals. Amit has also studied China’s Belt and Road Initiative and has authored papers studying Chinese Investments in South Asia and Chinese Investments in India. Amit has nearly two decades of experience in covering financial and energy markets. He started his career with the Economic Times, where he tracked the energy sector. He was a part of the startup team of ET Now, the business news channel. Amit was responsible for setting up India Reality Research, a new research outfit within CLSA India, a stockbroking firm. He has also worked with the Deccan Chronicle Group as the business editor of their general dailies. He holds a Mas- ters in Business Administration from the Indian Institute of Manage- ment, Ahmedabad, India and a Bachelors degree in Technology from the Institute of Technology, Benaras Hindu University, India. The Gateway House Guide to India in the 2020s Series Editor: Manjeet Kripalani, co-founder, Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations The Gateway House Guide to India in the 2020s explores the connec- tions between India’s globalist past to the strengths it has developed as it steps into the future, starting with the decade of the 2020s. The volumes in this series discuss a wide range of topics, which include solutions for energy independence and environmental preservation, exposition of the new frontiers in space and technology, India’s trade networks, security, foreign policies, and international relations. Fur- thermore, the series examines the embedded trading and entrepre- neurial communities which are coming together to influence global agenda-setting and institution-building through platforms like the G20 and UN Security Council, where India will take leadership roles in this decade, in the Post-COVID-19 pandemic world. This series appeals to an international audience, and is directed to policymakers, think tanks, bureaucrats, professionals working in the area of politics; scholars and researchers of political science, interna- tional relations, foreign policy, world economy, politics and technol- ogy, Asian politics, South Asia studies, and contemporary history; students and the general reader, seeking an understanding of what will drive India’s positioning in world affairs. Mercantile Bombay A Journey of Trade, Finance and Enterprise Sifra Lentin India and the Changing Geopolitics of Oil Amit Bhandari For more information about this series, please visit: https://www.routledge.com/The-Gateway-House-Guide-to-India-in- the-2020s/book-series/GHGI20 India and the Changing Geopolitics of Oil Amit Bhandari First published 2022 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2022 Gateway House: Indian Council on Global Relations The right of Amit Bhandari to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Reasonable efforts have been made to publish reliable data and information, but the author and publisher cannot assume responsibility for the validity of all materials or the consequences of their use. The authors and publishers have attempted to trace the copyright holders of all material reproduced in this publication and apologize to copyright holders if permission to publish in this form has not been obtained. If any copyright material has not been acknowledged please write and let us know so we may rectify in any future reprint. The international boundaries, coastlines, denominations, and other information shown in the maps in this work do not necessarily imply any judgement concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such information. While every effort has been made to ensure that data is accurate and reliable, these maps are conceptual and in no way claim to reflect actual boundaries or locations. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record has been requested for this book ISBN: 978-0-367-64003-3 (hbk) ISBN: 978-0-367-71613-4 (pbk) ISBN: 978-1-003-15292-7 (ebk) DOI: 10.4324/9781003152927 Typeset in Times New Roman by codeMantra Contents List of figures ix List of tables xi 1 Flux in the energy world 1 2 India’s quest for energy security 19 3 Flashpoints and chokepoints 40 4 Using market mechanisms for energy security 62 5 Meeting India’s energy challenge 85 Index 93 Figures 1.1 Peak Oil – No Longer Peaking 2 1.2 Median Age of Ten Largest Economies 6 2.1 Global Energy Mix (2018) 31 3.1 Map of Persian Gulf Oil Fields 45 3.2 Gwadar Port: Trade Hub or Military Asset 49 3.3 Oil Tankers sailing from Persian Gulf to India & the World 50 3.4 Oil Storage Tanks at Dalian 53 3.5 Chinese Investments in Myanmar 54 3.6 Kra Canal 55 3.7 Malacca Straits 56 3.8 Power of Siberia Pipeline 57 3.9 Chinese ports in Indian Ocean 58 4.1 US Silver Dollar 63 4.2 Silver Rupee Coins of British India, Portuguese Goa, German East Africa and Burma 73 5.1 India’s Energy Mix (2018) 86

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