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One of India’s most distinguished foreign policy thinkers addresses M the many questions facing India as it seeks to find its way in E the increasingly complex world of Asian geopolitics. N O “In this brilliant examination of India’s recent past as an Asian power, the distinguished N Indian diplomat Shivshankar Menon gives us much to consider about its future as well. His evocation of India as central to Asia’s geopolitics and yet also set apart from it is a major contribution to our understanding of this great, rising power in this Asian century.” —Nicholas Burns, former U.S. under secretary of state; professor, Harvard University “This book is a tour de force by one of today’s most perceptive strategic thinkers. Menon A deftly surveys how India has navigated its geopolitical environment in the past, while S illuminating the international landscape and challenges it faces today. Anyone interested in Asia’s future should read this book.” I A —M. Taylor Fravel, Arthur and Ruth Sloan Professor of Political Science, and director, Security Studies Program, Massachusetts Institute of Technology NI N “An important work that restores India into the Asian story, and a timely reminder that GD active engagement with Asia and the world will not just be a choice, but also a necessity for New Delhi.” EI A —Tanvi Madan, senior fellow and director of the India Project, O the Brookings Institution P A “Shivshankar Menon is one of the most distinguished diplomats in the world. In his latest O N book, he has brilliantly laid out the stages of India from independence to the rise of Modi. L When he looks to history, he focuses on Asian geopolitics. But when he turns to the D I future, he opens the aperture to the global trend of illiberality. He believes India, with no T existential outside threat and a vast diversity in its populace, can afford expansive rights I of all its citizens.” C —Strobe Talbott, distinguished fellow, the Brookings Institution; S U.S. deputy secretary of state (1994–2001) Shivshankar Menon is a visiting professor at Ashoka University. He served as foreign secretary from 2006 to 2009 and as national security adviser to the prime minister of India from 2010 to 2014. BROOKINGS INSTITUTION PRESS Washington, D.C. www.brookings.edu/bipress MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ppbb__99778800881155773377223300__CCoovveerr..iinndddd 11 22//2244//2211 22::5577 PPMM india and asian geopolitics MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 11 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 22 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM India and Asian Geopolitics THE PAST, PRESENT SHIVSHANKAR MENON BROOKINGS INSTITUTION PRESS Washington, D.C. MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 33 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM Copyright © 2021 the brookings institution 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20036 www.brookings.edu All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or trans- mitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Brookings Institution Press. The Brookings Institution is a private nonprofit organization devoted to re- search, education, and publication on important issues of domestic and for- eign policy. Its principal purpose is to bring the highest quality independent research and analysis to bear on current and emerging policy problems. Inter- pretations or conclusions in Brookings publications should be understood to be solely those of the authors. Library of Congress Control Number: 2021932887 ISBN 9780815737230 (pbk : alk. paper) ISBN 9780815737247 (ebook) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Typeset in Adobe Jenson Pro Composition by Cindy Stock MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 44 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM Contents Acknowledgments vii Introduction 1 I. THE PAST 1 The Stage and Inheritance 11 2 Independence 37 3 Cold War Asia 65 4 The Sixties 103 5 Coming of Age 123 6 Hard Times 151 7 The Dam Bursts 186 8 The Globalization Decades 213 MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 55 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM vi Contents II. THE PRESENT 9 What Globalization Did to Asia’s Geopolitics 239 10 Viewing Asia from India 268 11 China Rising 288 12 India and China 317 13 India’s Tasks 340 Afterword: India’s Destiny 373 Notes 375 Index 395 MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 66 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM x  Acknowledgments Like every book, this one owes debts of intellectual and physical gratitude to many friends and institutions. The book was conceived at Ashoka University outside New Delhi. A huge debt and many thanks to Pratap Bhanu Mehta, Srinath Raghavan, Rudra Chaudhury, and Joanna Korey at Ashoka. Also thanks to my 2018 students, whose fresh eyes brought back some of the wonder of seeing familiar things for the first time. Much of the writing was done at the Institute of South Asian Studies, Na- tional University of Singapore, where Gopinath Pillai, Raja Mohan, and many others gave me the perfect environment to write and to try out ideas. Two re- viewers helped to clarify some of my confusions and greatly improved the text with their suggestions and comments. I could not have asked for more encour- aging yet rigorous guides than Bill Finan at the Brookings Institution Press and Ranjana Sengupta at Penguin Random House India, who kept the faith in this manuscript and whose suggestions vastly improved it. My thanks also to Janet Walker Chirlin, whose painstaking hard work made this text readable. Several friends, colleagues, and students have suffered my ideas and set me straight while I was working on this book, but I am solely responsible for what is in it, good, bad, and indifferent. vii MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 77 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM viii Acknowledgments But most of all I am grateful to Mohini, who keeps me real and true, and without whom this book would never have been done. This book is for my grandchildren, Kabir, Amaara, Samira, and Ahren. Their world will be quite different, and I hope that this book will give them a sense of what my generation’s times were like. MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 88 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM SHUTTERSTOCK India in Asia MMeennoonn__IInnddiiaa aanndd AAssiiaann GGeeooppoolliittiiccss__ii--xx__11--440066__44pp..iinndddd 99 22//2244//2211 33::0055 PPMM

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