G L B A L P A R T N E R S H I P S Shared Objectives (cid:76)(cid:0)Joint Action (cid:76)(cid:0)Real Impact Independent External Evaluation February 2010 Japan Administered Account for Selected IMF Activities (JSA) I n t e r n a t i o n a l M o n e t a r y F u n d International Monetary Fund (IMF) Office of Technical Assistance Management (OTM) Independent Evaluation of the Japan Administered Account for Selected IMF Activities (JSA) February, 2010 (MURC) Table of Contents List of Abbreviations ..............................................................................................................iii Executive Summary Evaluation Results and Recommendations .......................................... v I. Evaluation Results…………………………………………………………………….……...v II. Recommendations…………………………..………………………………...……..…….xiii Chapter 1 Outline of the Independent Evaluation ......................................................... 1 1.1 Background and Objectives .................................................................................. 1 1.2 Implementation and Study Activities ..................................................................... 1 1.3 Documents, Data and References ........................................................................ 3 1.4 Evaluation Criteria and Verification Method .......................................................... 5 1.5 Review of Evaluation Reports .............................................................................. 7 Chapter 2 Outline of JSA and Japanese ODA ............................................................ 12 2.1 Outline of JSA .................................................................................................... 12 2.2 ODA Policy of Japan ........................................................................................... 21 2.3 Consistency of IMF/JSA TA and Japanese ODA ................................................ 23 Chapter 3 Evaluation Results through Data Analysis and Questionnaires .................. 27 3.1 Review of Evaluation Reporting System of JSA ................................................. 27 3.2 Efficiency and Cost Considerations .................................................................... 34 3.3 Evaluation Results of the Questionnaire Surveys ............................................... 40 Chapter 4 Evaluation Results through Field Survey .................................................... 59 4.1 Evaluation Results of Field Interviews ................................................................ 59 4.2 Cases of Good Practices .................................................................................... 79 Chapter 5 Overall Evaluation Results and Proposed Rating System .......................... 95 5.1 Overall Evaluation Results ................................................................................. 95 5.2 Proposed Rating System .................................................................................. 102 Chapter 6 Recommendations to IMF and MOF ........................................................ 109 6.1 Recommendation to IMF .................................................................................. 109 6.2 Recommendations to MOF ............................................................................... 111 i Appendix A. Questionnaire Survey Sheet: Beneficiaries B. Questionnaire Survey Sheet: Experts C. Results of Questionnaire Survey: Beneficiaries D. Results of Questionnaire Survey: Experts E. JSA Evaluation Questionnaire (Attachment IV of JSA Guidelines) F. Results of Collected JSA Evaluation Questionnaire G. Schedule of IMF Headquarter meetings H. Schedule of the Field Survey conducted I. List of JSA-funded TAs in the evaluation period ii List of Abbreviations ADB -- Asian Development Bank AfDB -- African Development Bank AFRITAC -- Africa Regional Technical Assistance Center AML -- Anti-Money Laundering APD -- Asia Pacific Department BI -- Bank Indonesia BOT -- Bank of Tanzania CFT -- Combating the Financing of Terrorism DFID -- Department for International Development (UK) EBRD -- European Bank for Reconstruction and Development FAD -- Fiscal Affairs Department FDI -- Foreign Direct Investment FY -- Financial Year GBS -- General Budget Support HQ -- Headquarters IDB -- Inter-American Development Bank IEO -- Independent Evaluation Office IFC -- International Finance Corporation INS -- IMF Institute IT -- Information Technology JICA -- Japan International Cooperation Agency JSA -- Japan Administered Account for Selected IMF Activities LEG -- Legal Department MCM -- Monetary and Capital Market Department MOF -- Ministry of Finance MOU -- Memorandum of Understanding MURC -- Mitsubishi UFJ Research & Consulting NBC -- National Bank of Cambodia NIS -- National Institute of Statistics OAP -- Regional Office for Asia and Pacific OED -- Office of Executive Directors OTM -- Office of Technical Assistance Management PFM -- Public Financial Management PHRD -- Policy and Human Resources Development PRGF -- Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility RA -- Resident Advisor RAP -- Resource Allocation Plan ROSC -- Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes RSN -- Regional Strategy Note SBV -- State Bank of Vietnam iii SIDA -- Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency STA -- Statistics Department SWAP -- Sector Wide Approach TA -- Technical Assistance TAIMS -- Technical Assistance Information Management System TCAP -- Technical Cooperation Assistance Program TOR -- Terms of Reference UN -- United Nations UNDP -- United Nations Development Programme UNFPA -- United Nations Population Fund WB -- World Bank WTO -- World Trade Organization iv Executive Summary Evaluation Results and Recommendations The evaluation results and recommendations in this study are based on the following sources of information and the analyses conducted by the study team. (cid:122) The project-level evaluation results from the current IMF/JSA reporting system, i.e. “Project Assessment Report” and “JSA Evaluation Questionnaire”1. (cid:122) The Questionnaire Survey conducted under this evaluation, addressed to the beneficiaries (recipient governments) of JSA and experts employed by IMF for JSA TA projects. (cid:122) The results of a field survey conducted by the study team for four countries, Cambodia, Indonesia, Vietnam and Tanzania (East AFRITAC), in August 2009. (cid:122) The interviews conducted at IMF headquarters mainly with OTM, TA departments and regional departments and OED Japan, in July 2009. (cid:122) The interviews in Japan with Japanese MOF, OAP and ex-advisors to central banks in Asia under IMF and JICA TA. (cid:122) The desk analyses of the relevant information collected during this study. I. Evaluation Results 1. For this evaluation study, the evaluation of IMF/JSA TA for “effectiveness and benefit to the recipient countries” and “accountability to the Japanese general public” are categorized by the terms of reference (TOR) with six criteria: 1) Quality of Activities; 2) Effectiveness and Sustainability; 3) Efficiency; 4) Consistency with Japanese ODA Policy; 5) Visibility of Japan as Donor; and 6) Advantage of IMF Scheme. On the other hand there are six criteria by “OECD DAC Criteria for Evaluating Development Assistance” (relevance, effectiveness, efficiency, impact and sustainability), widely applied to development aid evaluation, have been modified for this evaluation, in seven criteria, namely 1) Relevance, 2) Effectiveness (Impact), 3) Efficiency, 4) Sustainability, 5) Transparency, 6) Consistency with Japanese ODA and 7) Visibility of Japan as a donor. These sets of criteria were applied to conduct this evaluation work. 1. Evaluation Results based on OECD Evaluation Criteria 1) Relevance 2. The Questionnaire Survey conducted by the study team, for both the recipient countries and experts, clearly indicated that they recognize IMF/JSA TA projects as being relevant to recipient government needs and priorities. The answers for consistency with 1 One-page questionnaires collected by OTM within five weeks of the completion of each JSA project, as defined by Guidelines for the Use of Resources for Technical Assistance Activities from the Administered Account for Selected Fund Activities-Japan (JSA Guidelines). v the recipient government policy were either “Excellent” (64%) or “Good” (36%), and there was no answer for “Modest” or “Poor”, as shown below. Answers by beneficiaries for consistency with government policy Answer Response Share Excellent 25 64.1% Good 14 35.9% Modest 0 0 Poor 0 0 No knowledge 0 0 3. The field survey results indicated that IMF/JSA TA projects are relevant to the recipient countries’ developing priorities, based on their country contexts, and also relevant to IMF priorities, whose regional strategy is indicated in RSNs. 4. According to the interviews with TA departments at IMF headquarters, IMF TA projects are highly specialized and quite focused on the relevant development issues in monetary and finance policies, legislation process and procedures, which make the TA highly relevant compared to TA by other donors. 2) Effectiveness (Impacts) 5. Overall results of the evaluation surveys indicate that IMF/JSA TA projects are basically effective and achieved the desired goals. The results of the “Project Assessment” by TA departments indicate that TA projects have been regarded as effective in light of the targeted objectives. The results of the “JSA Evaluation Questionnaire” (by the beneficiaries) indicated an 80% “yes” response regarding the usefulness of the TA, as shown below. Answers by beneficiaries for usefulness Answer Response Share Yes 25 80.6% Partially Yes 6 19.4% 6. Based on our questionnaire surveys for the beneficiary countries and experts, the IMF/JSA TA projects have mostly achieved their expected results, with most answers as “excellent” (39%) or “good” (62%), and with no answers for Modest or Poor. TA outputs have been used by authorities and contributed to improvement of knowledge, awareness and motivation for reforms. In addition, TA outputs, to some extent, have directly led to improvement of policies and their instruments in the recipient countries. Major reasons for their effectiveness are: 1) expertise of advisors, 2) experience of experts in other countries, 3) communication skills of experts in understanding country context, and 4) backstopping by headquarters. 7. The field survey results show that IMF/JSA TAs are quite effective in generating (or contributing towards generation) of tangible results. Main reasons for the effectiveness vi are: 1) expertise of experts, 2) focus on competitive sectors, 3) selection method (roster system) of experts, 4) communication skills of experts, and 5) backstopping by IMF headquarters. 3) Efficiency 8. Based on our field survey results, IMF/JSA TAs seem to be efficient due to their well-focused approach and selection of competent experts. Overall evaluation results of the study are basically positive in regard to the efficiency of IMF/JSA TA projects. 9. Regarding the efficiency in terms of cost, JSA is well managed through cost-effective means such as the roster-based selection of experts, smooth implementation supported by strong backstopping from headquarters, and repeated assignments by the same expert whose ability is proven. The budget per project and standard cost of long-term experts indicate that these are well within the reasonable range, compared with TA provided by Japanese ODA agencies and other international organizations. 10. The questionnaire survey results for JSA experts indicate that in comparison with other international organizations, IMF/JSA TA is higher in quality by 92%, while the cost is higher by 46%, indicating comparative higher efficiency in terms of quality and cost consideration, as shown below. Answers by Experts for Comparison with Other International Organizations Points of Difference Answered as “yes” Quality is higher for IMF/JSA 92% Monthly remuneration is higher for IMF/JSA 46% 4) Sustainability 11. According to our questionnaire surveys for both recipient countries and JSA experts, major factors for sustainability of TA projects such as institutional memory, staff capabilities, or budget allocation are achieved in most of the counterpart authorities, as shown below. The majority of the experts have expressed their shared views that sustainability of IMF TA depends on a willingness to reform by authorities. Answers by Experts for Levels of Sustainability Answer Response Share Excellent 21 25.6% Good 42 51.2% Modest 11 13.4% Poor 1 1.2% No knowledge 7 8.5% 12. The field survey results indicate that the sense of ownership by recipients varies by country, e.g. Vietnam with strong ownership. The concept of increasing the sense of vii
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