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Independence, Additivity, Uncertainty PDF

275 Pages·2003·12.06 MB·English
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Studies in Economic Theory Editors Charalambos D. Aliprantis Purdue University Department of Economics West Lafayette, IN 47907-1310 USA Nicholas C. Yannelis University of Illinois Department of Economics Champaign, IL 61820 USA Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg GmbH Titles in the Series M. A. Khan and N. C. Yannelis (Eds.) Equilibrium Theory in Infinite Dimensional Spaces C. D. Aliprantis, K.C. Border and W. A. f. Luxemburg (Eds.) Positive Operators, Riesz Spaces, and Economics D. G. Saari Geometry of Voting C. D. Aliprantis and K. C. Border Infinite Dimensional Analysis f.-P. Aubin Dynamic Economic Theory M. Kurz (Ed.) Endogenous Economic Fluctuations f.-F. Laslier Tournament Solutions and Majority Voting A. Alkan, C. D. Aliprantis and N. C. Yannelis (Eds.) Theory and Applications f. c. Moore Mathematical Methods for Economic Theory 1 f. C.Moore Mathematical Methods for Economic Theory 2 M. Majumdar, T. Mitra and K. Nishimura Optimization and Chaos K. K. Sieberg Criminal Dilemmas M. Florenzano and C. Le Van Finite Dimensional Convexity and Optimization K. Vind Independence, Additivity, Uncertainty T. Cason and C. Noussair (Eds.) Advances in Experimental Markets F. Aleskerov and B. Monjardet Utility Maximization, Choice and Preference Karl Vind Independence, Additivity, Uncertainty With Contributions by Birgit Grodal With 10 Figures , Springer Professor Karl Vind University of Copenhagen Institute of Economics Studiestraede 6 DK 1455 Copenhagen K Denmark ISBN 978-3-540-41683-8 ISBN 978-3-540-24757-9 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-540-24757-9 Bibliographic information published by Die Deutsche Bibliothek Die Deutsche Bibliothek lists this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliografie; detailed bibliographic data available in the internet at http.//dnb.ddb.de This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved. whether the whole or part of the material is concerned. specifically the rights of translation. reprinting. reuse of illustrations. recitation. broadcasting. reproduction on microfilm or in any other way. and storage in data banks. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the German Copyright Law of September 9.1965. in its current version. and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer-Verlag. Violations are liable for prosecution under the German Copyright Law. http://www.springer.de © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003 Originally published by Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg in 2003 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 2003 The use of general descriptive names. registered names. trademarks. etc. in this publication does not imply. even in the absence of a specific statement. that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. Cover design: Erich Kirchner. Heidelberg SPIN 10797811 42/2202-5 4 3 2 1 0 - Printed on acid-free paper Preface The work on this book started many years ago as an attempt to simplify and unify some results usually taught in courses in mathematical economics. The economic interpretation of the re sults were representations of preferences as sums or integrals and the decomposition of preferences into utilities and probabilities. It later turned out that t.he approach taken in the earlier versions were also the proper approach in generalizing from preferences which were total preorders to preferences which were not total or tran sitive. The same mathematics would even in that situation give representations which were additive. It would also give decomposi tions where concepts of uncertainty appeared. Early versions of some of the results appeared as Working Pa pers No. 135, 140, 150, and 176 from The Center for Research in Management Science, Berkeley. A first version of chapters 2, 4, 6, 7, and 8 appeared 1969 with the title" Mean Groupoids" [177]. They are essentially unchanged - except for some notes especially in chapter 6. Another version appeared 1990 as [178]. Chapter 10 contains results from the same versions and from [181]. Chapter 11 by Birgit Grodal is based on [91] by Grodal and Jp,an-Francois Mertens. Chapters 11 and 12 - also by Birgit Gro dal - contains the results from the earlier versions, but have been extended (by Karl Vind) to take into account the new corollaries of the results in the other chapters. The realization at MSRl, Berkeley 1985-86 that the same math ematics could be used to get results for relations which were not. total or transitive rp,sulted in the papers [180, 179]. The results in these papers are included in and extended in this book. They were presented January 1987 in Oberwolfach, where I also heard Be wley's ideas about Knightian uncertainty. The importance of the results about not totally ordered function spaces for formalizing uncertainty became clear in conversations with 'fruman F. Bewley in Bonn in the summer of 1990. The Notes gives references, open problems and a few theorems. The References contains the references. No attempts have been made to make a complete bibliography of any of the fields touched VI Preface upon in the bookI, but some attempts have been made to include references to papers and books which may be relevant to or ex tending the results in this book The work on this book started in 1965, and parts of the re sults have since been used in courses and presented at seminars in mathematical economics at the University of Copenhagen, the University of California, Berkeley, Stanford University, etc. I have had very useful discussions with and comments from a large num ber of economists, mathematicians, and statisticians. I should like to mention in particular Gerard Debreu, Werner Fenchel, Birgit Grodal, and S0ren Johansen. Mansoor Hussain did a good job proofreading, the remaining mistakes were probably added after he finished. My research has been supported by grants from the Social Sci ence Research Council, Denmark, the Carlsberg Foundation, by grant from the Ford Foundation to the Graduate School of Business Administration, University of California, Berkeley, and by NSF grant 8120790. Many of the new results in the book have been obtained at the University of California, Berkeley, as a visitor to the Department of Economics (1962-63, 1964-66, 1970-71, 1981- 82, 1983, 1990-91) or to Mathematical Sciences Research Institute (1985-86). August 2002 Karl Vind 1 For most of the fields see Peter Wakker's useful references [182]. Contents 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Economics 1 1.2 Statistics. 1 1.3 Mathematics. 2 1.4 Summary of results 4 1.5 Applications.... 6 I Basic Mathematics 7 2 Totally preordered sets 9 2.1 Introduction ..... . 9 2.2 Order relations ... . 9 2.2.1 Basic concepts. 9 2.2.2 Completion 14 2.2.3 Representation 16 2.3 Topological concepts 18 2.4 The order topology 20 2.5 Representation .. . 23 2.6 Notes.. . .... . 23 2.6.1 Basic concepts. 23 2.6.2 Ordered sets. . 24 2.6.3 Topology and order topology . 24 2.6.4 Ordered topological spaces. 24 2.6.5 Lexicographic orders 25 2.6.6 Removing gaps 25 2.6.7 Further results ... 25 3 Preferences and preference functions 27 3.1 Introduction.............. .., 27 3.2 Representations and representation theorems. 27 3.3 Notes......................· 29 viii Contents 4 Totally preordered product sets 31 4.1 Introduction........... 31 4.2 Independence assumptions . . . 31 4.3 Order topologies on product sets 33 4.4 Existence of real continuous order homomorphisms 37 4.5 Note.......................... 38 5 A subset of a product set 39 5.1 Introduction....... 39 5.2 Independence . . . . . . 40 5.3 A total preorder on the set SA 40 5.4 The Thomsen and the Reidemeister conditions . 43 5.5 Note........................ 45 5.5.1 The Reidemeister and Thomsen conditions 45 6 Mean groupoids 49 6.1 Introduction.................. 49 6.2 Definition of a commutative mean groupoid 49 6.3 Completion of commutative mean groupoid. 52 6.4 The Aczel Fuchs theorem. . . . . . . . . . . 54 6.5 Extension of a commutative mean groupoid 57 6.6 The bisymmetry equation .. . . 59 6.7 Notes...................... 60 6.7.1 History and other results. . . . . . . 60 6.7.2 Classifying commutative mean groupoids 61 6.7.3 Lexicographic "mean groupoids" 61 6.7.4 Totally ordered mixture spaces 61 6.7.5 Reducible . . . . . . . . . . 62 6.7.6 Products of mean gToupoids 62 6.7.7 Completion . . . . . . . . . 62 6.7.8 Measurement of magnitudes 63 6.7.9 The bisymmetry equation . 63 6.7.10 Counter example (Andrew Gleason, Harvard)l 65 1 Letter of May, 1983 to Paul Samuelson, copy to me summer 2000. Contents ix 1 Products of two sets as a mean groupoid 69 7.1 Introduction...................... 69 7.2 Thomsen's and Reidemeister's conditions . . . . .. 70 7.3 (S, t:) = (X x Y/ rv) as a commutative mean gToupoid 73 7.4 f(x,Y)=fdx)+h(Y) ............... 77 7.5 The functional equation F (x, y) = g-1 (It (x) + h (y)) 77 7.6 Notes................. 78 7.6.1 History and further results. . . . . . . . .. 78 II Relations on Function Spaces 81 8 Totally preordered function spaces 83 8.1 Introduction.. ...... 83 8.2 Notation and definitions . . . . . . 85 8.3 Real order homomorphisms .. 87 8.4 The function space as a mean groupoid 88 8.5 Minimal independence assumptions . . 91 8.6 Existence of F : 9 lR and f : 9 x A lR . 95 ---t ---t 8.7 X={1,2, ... ,n}(ITiEx}i,;:).. 97 8.8 Y={O,l},(A,;:)......... 98 8.9 Y a commutative mean groupoid 98 8.9.1 (1t,;:, 0) . . . . . . . . . . 102 8.10 Y a commutative mean groupoid with zero . 103 8.10.1 (1t,;:, Ox) . . 106 Ox, 8.11 Related functional equations 107 8.12 Notes. . . . . . . . .. .. 108 9 Relations on function spaces 113 9.1 Introduction.. .................. 113 9.2 Existence of F : 9 lR, f : 9 x A lR . . . . . 113 ---t ---t 9.3 Existence of F : 9 x 1t lR,J : 9 x 1t x A lR 115 ---t ---t 9.3.1 ((X, A), Y, g, P) Existence of F : 9 x 9 lR, f : 9 x 9 x A lR 116 ---t ---t 9.4 X = {1, 2, ... ,n} (ITiEX }i, ITiEX Zi, p) 117 9.5 Y = Z = {O, I}, (X,A, P) ..... 118 9.6 Minimal independence a,.<;snmptions 119 9.7 (YX,QX)XEX ... . . . . . . 120 9.7.1 (X, Y, g, Q, (QX)XEX) . . . . 121

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The work on this book started many years ago as an attempt to simplify and unify some results usually taught in courses in mathematical economics. The economic interpretation of the re­ sults were representations of preferences as sums or integrals and the decomposition of preferences into utilitie
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