In Perpetual Motion" Travel Behavior Research Opportunities and Application Challenges Related Elsevier books DAGANZO (ed.) Fundamentals of Transportation and Traffic Operations ETTEMA &TIMMERMANS (eds.) Activity-Based Approaches to Travel Analysis GARLING (ed.) Theoretical Foundations of Travel Choice Modelling ORTOZAR (ed.) Travel Behaviour Research: Updating the State of Play STOPHER & LEE GOSSELIN (eds.) Understanding Travel behaviour in An Era of Change HENSHER & BUTTON (eds.) Handbook of Transport Modelling BREWER et al. (eds.) Handbook of Logistics and Supply-Chain Management BUTTON & HENSHER (eds.) Handbook of Transport Systems and Traffic Control HENSHER (ed.) Travel Behaviour Research: The Leading Edge Related Elsevier journals International Journal of Transport Management Editor: Mike McDonald Transport Policy Editor: Moshe Ben-Akiva, Yoshitsugu Hayashi and John Preston Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice Editor: Frank Haight Transportation Research Part B: Methodological Editor: Frank Haight For full details of all transportation titles published under the Pergamon imprint please go to: www.transportconnect.net In Perpetual Motion" Travel Behavior Research Opportunities and Application Challenges EDITED BY Hani S. Mahmassani University of Texas, Austin, USA 2002 PERGAMON An Imprint of Elsevier Science Amsterdam - London - New York - Oxford - Paris - Tokyo Boston - San Diego - San Francisco- Singapore- Sydney ELSEVIER SCIENCE Ltd The Boulevard, Langford Lane Kidlington, Oxford OX5 1GB, UK © 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved. 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Except as outlined above, no part of this work may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior written permission of the Publisher. Address permissions requests to: Elsevier Science Global Rights Department, at the mail, fax and e-mail addresses noted above. Notice No responsibility is assumed by the Publisher for any injury and/or damage to persons or property as a matter of products liability, negligence or otherwise, or from any use or operation of any methods, products, instructions or ideas contained in the material herein. Because of rapid advances in the medical sciences, in particular, independent verification of diagnoses and drug dosages should be made. First edition 2002 Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data A catalog record from the Library of Congress has been applied for. British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data A catalogue record from the British Library has been applied for. ISBN: 0-08-044044-4 The paper used in this publication meets the requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). Printed in The Netherlands. CONTENTS Acknowledgements ix Foreword Hani S. Mahmassani xi Section 1. Response to New Transport Alternatives and Policies 1 Chapter 1. Setting the Research Agenda: Response to New Transport Alternatives and Policies Peter Jones 3 Chapter 2. Living Models for Continuous Planning Andrew Daly 23 Chapter 3. Household Adaptations to New Personal Transport Options: Constraints and Opportunities in Household Activity Spaces Kenneth S. Kurani and Thomas S. Turrentine 43 Chapter 4. Responses to New Transportation Alternatives and Policies: Workshop Report Martin E. H Lee-Gosselin 71 Section 2. Dynamics and ITS Response 79 Chapter 5. Dynamics and ITS: Behavioral Responses to Information Available from ATIS Reginald G. Golledge 81 Chapter 6. Research into ATIS Behavioral Response: Areas of Interest and Future Perspectives Ennio Cascetta and Isam A. Kaysi 127 Section 3. Telecommunications-Travel Interactions 141 Chapter 7. Emerging Travel Patterns: Do Telecommunications Make a Difference? Patricia L. Mokhturian and Ilan Salomon 143 vi In Perpetual Motion: Travel Behaviour Research Opportunities and Challenges Chapter 8. Transport and Telecommunication: First Comprehensive Surveys and Simulation Approaches Dirk Zumkeller 183 Chapter 9. Telecommunications-Travel Interaction: Workshop Report David A. Hensher and Jackie Golob 209 Section 4. Travel Behaviour-Land Use Interactions 22 1 Chapter 10. Travel Behavior-Land Use Interactions: An Overview and Assessment of the Research Susan L. Handy 223 Chapter 11. Comparative Neighborhood Travel Analysis: An Approach to Understanding the Relationship Between Planning and Travel Behavior Roger Gorham 23 7 Chapter 12. Towards a Microeconomic Framework for Travel Behaviour and Land Use Interactions Francisco J. Martinez 26 1 Chapter 13. Land Use-Transportation Interactions: Workshop Report Ed Weiner and Roger Gorham 277 Section 5. Time Use 287 Chapter 14. Emerging Developments in Time Use and Mobility Nelly Kays and Andrew S. Harvey 289 Chapter 15. Time Use and Travel Demand Modeling: Recent Developments and Current Challenges Eric I. Pas 307 Chapter 16. Time Use: Workshop Report Ryuichi Kitamura 333 Contents vii Section 6. Travel Behaviour Measurement 339 Chapter 1% Current Issues in Travel and Activity Surveys Tony Richardson 341 Chapter 18, Motivating the Respondent: How Far Should You Go? Peter Bonsall 359 Section 7. Methodological Developments 379 Chapter 19. Recent Methodological Advances Relevant to Activity and Travel Behavior Analysis Chandra R. Bhat 381 Chapter 20. The Goods/Activities Framework for Discrete Travel Choices: Indirect Utility and Value of Time Sergio R. Jara-Diaz 415 Chapter 21. Integration of Choice and Latent Variable Models Moshe Ben-Akiva, Joan Walker, Adriana T Bermardino, Dinesh A. Gopinath, Taka Morikawa, and Amalia Polydoropoulou 43 1 Chapter 22. Methodological Developments: Workshop Report Juan de Dios Orttizar and Rodrigo Garrido 47 1 Section 8. Forecasting 479 Chapter 23. Forecasting the Inputs to Dynamic Model Systems Konstadinos G. Goulias 48 1 Chapter 24. Uncertainties in Forecasting: The Role of Strategic Modeling to Control Them Charles Ram 505 Chapter 25. Forecasting: Workshop Report Kostadinos Goulias 527 ... viii In Perpetual Motion: Travel Behaviour Research Opportunities and Challenges Section 9. Microsimulation of Travel Activities in Networks 53 1 Chapter 26. Activity-Based Travel Behavior Modeling in a Microsimulation Framework Eric J. Miller and Paul A. Salvini 533 Chapter 2 7. Complexity and Activity-Based Travel Analysis and Modeling Pia M. Koskenoja and Eric I. Pas 559 Chapter 28. Microsimulation: Workshop Report Kay Axhausen and Ram Pendyala 583 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This volume represents the culmination of a collective undertaking that has drawn on the talents and energy of many individuals. From the initial planning stages of the Austin lATBR conference, to the detailed logistical aspects of organizing it successfully, to the production of the various post-conference publications, which have included several special issues of leading Transportation journals, I am grateful for the contribution of many dedicated colleagues, students and associates. Colleagues serving on the steering committee of the conference provided much wisdom, counsel and support through various stages of this process. This distinguished group included Kay Axhausen, David Hensher, Ryuichi Kitamura, Martin Lee-Gosselin, Juan de Dios Ortuzar, Eric Pas, John Polak, Peter Stopher and Ed Weiner. They were instrumental in helping define and refine the focus themes for this volume, as well as in suggesting the best authors for the commissioned resource chapters. I was truly fortunate to have such talent to rely on. I am also grateful to the many referees who helped at various stages of the selection process, for the conference, the various post-conference publications, as well as the present volume. This entire undertaking, including this volume, would not have been possible without the financial support of the US Department of Transportation, the Southwest University Transportation Center of Excellence (SWUTC), and the resources of my institution. The University of Texas at Austin. Those who attended the conference will undoubtedly recall the key role that my administrative assistant, Anne Suddarth, played in this endeavor as Conference Coordinator. I have the utmost gratitude to Anne for her dedication and tremendous effort in all stages of the conference as well as in the planning and preparation of this volume. Anne moved on to bigger and better challenges prior to seeing this particular project to completion. I am fortunate that Rebecca Weaver-Gill ably took over completion of this project, including final preparation of the camera-ready manuscript.