How the News Media Activate Public Expression and Influence National Agendas PDF
Preview How the News Media Activate Public Expression and Influence National Agendas
How the News Media Activate Public Expression and Influence National Agendas1 GaryKing2 InstituteforQuantitativeSocialScience HarvardUniversity UniversityofToronto,DepartmentofPoliticalScience,1/12/2018 1BasedonjointworkwithBenjaminSchneerandArielWhite(Science2017) 2GaryKing.org 1/23 Introduction ResearchDesign MainResults SupportingAnalyses Implications Introduction 2/23 • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • StatisticalProblems • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize Introduction 3/23 • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems Introduction 3/23 • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible Introduction 3/23 • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders Introduction 3/23 • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects Introduction 3/23 • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) Introduction 3/23 • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow Introduction 3/23 • Assumptions: better,butunavoidablydubious ⇝“Profoundbiases,”>600%differencefromtruth • Estimands: different,ofsometimesquestionablerelevance • RolloutofFoxNewstosometownsandnotothers • Manyothers… • Butwestillcan’trandomize Statistical Problems: We Can’t Randomize • StatisticalProblems • Randomization: usuallyimpossible • Endogeneity: mediaoutletscompeteforreaders • Spillover: 1interventionmayaffectallpotentialsubjects • CleverResearchDesigns(tryingtoapproximate randomization) • NewTVtower. Somebehindhill,inradioshadow • Before/afterstudiesof“surprise”mediaevents Introduction 3/23
Description:The list of books you might like
