How can a Digital Marketing Agency achieve a Sustainable Business Model through Big Data and Big Data Analytics- driven Business Model Innovations? The case study of Branded3, a British Digital Marketing and Search Engine Optimisation Agency Alexandros Varangoulis Master in Management of Technology Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management How can a Digital Marketing Agency achieve a Sustainable Business Model through Big Data and Big Data Analytics- driven Business Model Innovations? The case study of Branded3, a British Digital Marketing and Search Engine Optimisation Agency By Alexandros Varangoulis in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Management of Technology at the Delft University of Technology, to be defended publicly on 24 October, 2016. Graduation Committee Prof.dr.ir. Marijn Janssen : Chair TU Delft, Faculty TPM, Section: Information and Communication Technology Dr. Harry Bouwman : First Supervisor TU Delft, Faculty TPM, Section: Information and Communication Technology Dr.ing. V.E. (Victor) Scholten : Second Supervisor TU Delft, Faculty TPM, Section: Economics of Technology and Innovation ii Executive Summary Big Data is a term that has received tremendous hype and interest from the business and academic world the last five years. Companies, nowadays, are confronted with a tremendous pool of data, which if leveraged properly, it can lead to more personalised solutions and enhanced customer experience, which has now become the new differentiator of brands. Promoting a brand through digital channels, known as digital marketing, is a commonly outsourced activity to specialised digital marketing agencies. The customer-oriented nature of digital marketing and the endless generation of data from the consumer side render this industry a very promising area for the implementation of Big Data and Big Data Analytics. Failure to adopt new technologies, such as Big Data, in conjunction with the volatility of the digital marketing industry (increased competition and frequent updates in the Google algorithm which define digital marketing success), pose serious challenges for digital marketing agencies and may render their business models obsolete. In this thesis, and through one case study, we research on how Big Data and Big Data Analytics can lead to a more sustainable business model with regards to the constantly changing external environment of a digital marketing agency, as well as how the transition to a Big Data-driven business model can be achieved through business model innovations. Our research design includes a three-stage process, composed of a) the description of our case's current business model b) the evaluation of the sustainability of the current business model and c) the innovation of the current business model towards sustainability. Towards that direction, we use a variety of business model tools, with business model stress testing (responsible for the evaluation of the business model) and its six-step process in the foreground, the CANVAS business model ontology (responsible for the description of the business model) serving as its first step, while business model roadmapping (responsible for the innovation of the business model) serving as its sixth step. In the first stage, we describe the current business model of a digital marketing agency by leveraging the CANVAS business model ontology. In this ontology, the business model of a firm is decomposed in nine key business model components, namely, the value proposition, key activities, key resources, key partners, customer segments, customer relationships, channels, revenue streams and cost structure. The main points of our analysis include that Branded3, our case study, pursues its clients' online growth through enhanced website user experience and engagement. Its main key activities are search engine optimisation, content marketing, online PR, and website design and development. The main sources of revenues for the agency are yearly contracts and project-based fees. Next, as part of the first stage, and considering that data powers two of the nine business model components, namely, Branded3's value proposition and key activities, we explore through a questionnaire the role of the data in the value proposition of Branded3, as well as the agency's level of readiness with regards to Big Data initiatives. Our main findings are that Branded3 leverages a wide range of first-, second- and third- party data from various data sources, before and during the design of a digital marketing campaign, and that we can hardly consider the agency as a Big Data user given its inadequacy in developing Big Data Analytics capabilities (both software solutions and skills are missing). iii The confession of the Operations Director that Big Data capabilities will be required in the future as the agency moves more towards conversion rate optimisation and enhanced user experience, reinforces our claim that Branded3 should make Big Data and Big Data Analytics its top priority. These insights were served as input to our recommendations and the design of the business model roadmap in the third stage. Subsequently, in the second stage, we steer our focus on stress testing the agency's business model against four selected scenarios-threats from its external environment. Towards that direction we use the business model stress-testing tool, in which the CANVAS BM representation generated in the first stage (excluding the role of the data) will be served as an input. The four selected scenarios are a) an update in the Google ranking algorithm b) the implementation of a new data privacy law c) the competition in the digital marketing industry and d) the adoption of marketing automation tools. Our main conclusion is that the agency's business model is not sustainable, as it is highly vulnerable to the first three scenarios and extremely vulnerable to the fourth scenario. The insights from the results of the business model stress test were served as an input in the third stage. Finally, in the third stage, we claim that Big Data and Big Data Analytics can help the agency confront its business model weaknesses, and we explain in detail how Big Data and Big Data Analytics can deal with the four selected scenarios of the second stage. However, no formula was found on how Branded3 can deal with the extreme aspect of the fourth scenario, which includes the wide adoption of marketing automation solutions. In addition, with the use of the business model roadmapping tool, we designed a roadmap-blueprint with a distinct number of business model innovations that Branded3 should engage in, in order to make the transition to a more sustainable, Big-Data driven business model. Our main suggestions include the enrichment of the agency's value proposition with emphasis on more customised content and more personalised user experience, the championing for a more data-driven philosophy throughout the agency, among all the departments, the need for more key partnerships which will expose the agency to a larger pool of second-party data, the upgrade of its IT infrastructure with an on-premise or cloud-based Big Data platform, and the need to develop advanced analytical skills, either by recruiting data scientists or by supporting the development of this knowledge internally. iv Acknowledgments v Table of Contents Chapter 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Scientific Problem ............................................................................................................................... 4 1.2 Research Objective and Research Questions...................................................................................... 5 1.3 Research Structure .............................................................................................................................. 7 Chapter 2. Theoretical Background .............................................................................................................. 9 2.1 Business Model ................................................................................................................................... 9 2.1.1 CANVAS Business Modeling Tool ............................................................................................... 11 2.1.2 Business Model Stress Test ........................................................................................................ 14 2.1.3 Business Model Roadmap .......................................................................................................... 17 2.2 Business Model Innovation ............................................................................................................... 18 2.3 Big Data ............................................................................................................................................. 19 2.4 Big Data Analytics .............................................................................................................................. 24 2.5 Digital Marketing ............................................................................................................................... 26 Chapter 3. Research Approach ................................................................................................................... 33 Chapter 4. Results ....................................................................................................................................... 38 4.1 Our case study: Branded3 ................................................................................................................. 38 4.2 Business Model Description .............................................................................................................. 41 4.2.1 CANVAS representation (Step 1)................................................................................................ 41 4.2.2 Data as the backbone of Branded3's Business Model (Step 1).................................................. 47 4.3 Business Model Evaluation ............................................................................................................... 52 4.3.1 Choice of Scenarios (Step 2) ....................................................................................................... 52 4.3.2 Evaluation of scenarios' impact (Steps 3, 4, 5) .......................................................................... 59 4.4 Business Model Innovation towards Sustainability .......................................................................... 71 4.4.1 Recommendations and the potential role of Big Data and Big Data Analytics (Step 6) ............ 71 4.4.2 A Roadmap for a sustainable business model through Big Data-driven business model innovations (Step 6) ............................................................................................................................ 75 Chapter 5. Conclusions ............................................................................................................................... 81 5.1 Conclusions ....................................................................................................................................... 81 5.2 Reflection .......................................................................................................................................... 84 5.3 Limitations ......................................................................................................................................... 87 5.4 Future Research ................................................................................................................................ 88 References .................................................................................................................................................. 90 Appendix A - A model for Big Data, Business Models and Digital Marketing (Figure 5) .......................... 103 vi Appendix B - Business Model CANVAS ..................................................................................................... 104 Appendix C - Branded3 First Questionnaire ............................................................................................. 105 Appendix D - Branded3 Second Questionnaire ........................................................................................ 115 Appendix E - Data used by Branded3 before and during a campaign ...................................................... 119 Appendix F - BM Roadmap for Branded3's transition to a sustainable Big Data-driven Business Model 120 vii List of Tables Table 1. BM Roadmap for Branded3: Selected BMIs .................................................................................. 77 Table 2. BM Roadmap for Branded3: Selected activities............................................................................ 79 viii List of Figures Figure 1. An overview of our research .......................................................................................................... 7 Figure 2. The CANVAS BM ontology (Envision, 2015) ................................................................................. 14 Figure 3. A stress test template .................................................................................................................. 16 Figure 4. Common digital marketing activities ........................................................................................... 29 Figure 5. A model that reconciles the concepts of Big Data, business model and digital marketing for an agency which acts as a data user (A larger version of Figure 5 is provided in Appendix A) ....................... 31 Figure 6. The research approach ................................................................................................................ 34 Figure 7. The organisational structure of Branded3 (Source: Branded3) ................................................... 40 Figure 8. A CANVAS summary of Branded3's BM ....................................................................................... 46 Figure 9. Data served as input before and during a campaign (A larger version of Figure 9 is provided ... 50 Figure 10. Heat Map for Scenario 1 ............................................................................................................ 60 Figure 11. The impact of Scenario 1 in Branded3's current business model .............................................. 62 Figure 12. Heat Map for Scenario 2 ............................................................................................................ 63 Figure 13. The impact of Scenario 2 in Branded3's current business model .............................................. 64 Figure 14. Heat Map for Scenario 3 ............................................................................................................ 65 Figure 15. The impact of Scenario 3 in Branded3's current business model .............................................. 66 Figure 16. Heat Map for Scenario 4 ............................................................................................................ 67 Figure 17. The impact of Scenario 4 in Branded3's current business model .............................................. 68 Figure 18. An aggregate Heat Map for all four scenarios ........................................................................... 69 Figure 19. The aggregate impact of the four scenarios in Branded3's current business model ................ 71 Figure 20. BM Roadmap for Branded3's transition to a sustainable Big Data-driven Business Model (A larger version of Figure 20 is provided in Appendix F) ............................................................................... 80 ix Chapter 1. Introduction The economic crisis of 2008 heavily affected the Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) all around the world. In the EU, SMEs account for 99% of all enterprises with a total number of more than 20 million companies and a 58% contribution in the European GDP (Envision, 2015) (Thibault, 2010). In an effort to boost the economic performance of the European SMEs and help them recover from the economic downturn, the European Commission launched the Horizon 2020 initiative in 2014 (European Commission, 2010). Horizon 2020 is the biggest EU research and innovation program, providing nearly €80 billion in funds for several projects for seven years, from 2014 to 2020 (European Commission, 2014). Part of the Horizon 2020 initiative is the ENVISION project, whose main target is to increase awareness among the European SMEs on the importance of business model innovation (BMI) in order to regain their competitiveness (European Commission, 2016). The objective of the ENVISION project is the generation of a platform through which the European SMEs will have access to a library of tools and case studies from different European regions and industries. Through these case studies, each European SME will have the chance to decide which one of the business model patterns identified in the project better fits their case and industry, and further explore the proposed best practices, as well as the applications of several business model tools towards empowering BMI (European Commission, 2016). A business model (BM) can be defined as the way through which a firm creates, delivers and captures value (Osterwalder & Pigneur, 2009) - pp. 14. In other words, a BM reflects a firm's choices with regards to the value proposition that it promises and delivers to its clients, the resources which will enable the value created, the means through which the generated value will be delivered, the costs that the value creation and delivery entail for the firm, as well as the revenues that are expected to be captured. A BM that creates, delivers and captures value in an effective way and according to the company's strategy orientation is important for every organization, either established or new in the industry (Magretta, 2002). The same idea or technology taken to the market through two different BMs will yield two different economic outcomes (Chesbrough, 2010). BM tools and ontologies, such as the CANVAS BM ontology proposed by (Osterwalder, 2004), which are included in the ENVISION project, can help us describe a BM in terms of its main components and characteristics (more information in Section 2.1.1). Given the vital role of a BM in a firm's strategy implementation and everyday business, it is of paramount importance that every firm ensures that its BM is sustainable and robust. A sustainable and robust BM accounts for a BM which can seamlessly deliver on its promises to the stakeholders in the long run, despite any potential changes in its external environment, and a BM which is difficult to be imitated by the competitors. The sustainability and robustness of a BM may be tested several times during a firm's lifetime, thus implying that an environment which fosters BMI must be developed within the company. Advances in the technological environment and changes in the regulatory and competition environment can all constitute potential threats, and therefore drivers for BMI (Casadesus- Masanell & Ricart, 2010). The failure of a firm to adapt to the new conditions by innovating its BM may render the firm non competitive and may be proved catalytic for the firm's future. The BM tool of stress testing, a BM tool also applied in several case studies of the ENVISION project, can provide valuable
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