Hedonic Methods in Housing Markets Andrea Baranzini José Ramirez (cid:120) Caroline Schaerer Philippe Thalmann (cid:120) Editors Hedonic Methods in Housing Markets Pricing Environmental Amenities a nd Segregation Editors Andrea Baranzini José Ramirez Geneva School of Business Administration Geneva School of Business Administration (HEG Genève) (HEG Genève) University of Applied Sciences Western University of Applied Sciences Western Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Switzerland Caroline Schaerer Philippe Thalmann Geneva School of Business Administration École Polytechnique Fédérale (HEG Genève) de Lausanne University of Applied Sciences Western Switzerlan d Switzerland Switzerland ISBN: 978-0-387-76814-4 e-ISBN: 978-0-387-76815-1 DOI: 10.1007/978-0-387-76815-1 Library of Congress Control Number: 2008931292 (cid:164) 2008 Springer Science+Business Media, LLC All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden. The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights. Printed on acid-free paper springer.com Acknowledgements This book would not have been possible without the help, collaboration and sup- port of many persons. All the contributions have been personally commissioned and we have tried to coordinate the contents, so as to avoid overlap and foster complementarities, in order to treat the most relevant questions related to the ap- plication of the hedonic approach to the valuation of environmental amenities and to segregation/discrimination issues. Our greatest gratitude is to the authors, who have participated with much enthusiasm to this project and spent a lot of time in writing and revising their chapters. Draft papers were presented and discussed during an intense workshop at the Geneva School of Business Administration on 29 and 30 June 2007. Each selected chapter was reviewed and revised several times, with particular attention to presenting the main results of the literature, to fostering intuition and to showing policy implications. We are particularly indebted to Laurence Infanger, Eva Robinson and Bea Van Gessel for their help in the organization and management of the Geneva Work- shop. Thanks to Professor Jacques Silber, Bar-Ilan University, Israel, for his help in revising some of the chapters. Many thanks to Pierre-Yves Odier for putting the book into form: this was not an easy task, with so many different chapter formats and short deadlines. We gratefully acknowledge financial support for the Geneva workshop and our own research in the field of hedonics by the Geneva School of Business Admini- stration (HEG Genève); the University of Applied Sciences Western Switzerland (HES-SO); the Research group on the Economics and Management of the Envi- ronment (REME) of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Lausanne (EPFL); the Swiss Academy of Humanities and Social Sciences; and the Swiss National Science Foundation, National Research Program 54 “Sustainable development of the built environment”. Last but not least, we are very grateful to our managing editors at Springer, Barbara Fess and Gillian Greenough, for support, advice and their faith in our project. A.B., J.R., C.S. & P.T. Geneva, 1st February 2008 Contents Acknowledgements.................................................................................................V List of Contributors.............................................................................................XIII List of Abbreviations..........................................................................................XVII List of Figures.....................................................................................................XIX List of Tables.......................................................................................................XXI Introduction............................................................................................................1 1. Basics of the Hedonic Price Model.............................................................1 2. The Contributions in this Volume...............................................................7 References.........................................................................................................11 PART I Methods...................................................................................................13 1 Theoretical Foundations and Empirical Developments in Hedonic Modeling......................................................................................................15 1.1 Introduction...........................................................................................15 1.2 Theoretical Foundations.......................................................................16 1.3 Estimation of the Hedonic Price Function............................................20 1.4 Nonmarket Valuation within the Hedonic Framework........................27 1.5 Conclusions...........................................................................................33 References.........................................................................................................34 2 Hedonic Modeling of the Home Selling Process......................................39 2.1 Introduction...........................................................................................39 2.2 Hedonic Pricing Framework.................................................................40 2.3 Survey of the Theoretical Literature.....................................................42 2.3.1 Search Theory and Single-Period Models of Search...................42 2.3.2 Pricing with Demand Uncertainty and Multi-period Models of Search...........................................................................................43 2.4 Survey of the Empirical Literature.......................................................45 2.4.1 Explaining Time-on-Market........................................................45 2.4.2 Time-on-Market as a Determinant of Selling Price.....................45 2.4.3 Factors Influencing Selling Price and Selling Time....................47 2.5 Directions for Further Research............................................................51 2.6 Conclusions...........................................................................................52 References.........................................................................................................53 VIII Contents PART II Applications to Urban Environment Issues.......................................55 3 Hedonic Property Value Studies of Transportation Noise: Aircraft and Road Traffic................................................................................................57 3.1 Introduction...........................................................................................57 3.2 Early HP Noise Studies and Prior Literature Reviews.........................59 3.2.1 Meta-Analyses of Transportation Noise......................................60 3.3 Research Outline...................................................................................60 3.4 Spatial Heterogeneity: Housing Market Segmentation........................61 3.5 Spatial Models: Autoregression and Autocorrelation..........................64 3.6 Housing Market Adjustment Models...................................................66 3.7 Alternative Noise Indices and Community Annoyance.......................69 3.8 Stated Preference Methods and Hedonic Prices...................................72 3.9 Summary and Concluding Remarks.....................................................75 References.........................................................................................................77 4 Pricing the Homebuyer’s Countryside View...........................................83 4.1 Introduction...........................................................................................83 4.2 Landscape and its Economic Valuation................................................84 4.2.1 Ground Cover...............................................................................85 4.2.2 Landscape Composition and Landscape Ecology.......................86 4.2.3 Distance from Farmland and Forest.............................................86 4.2.4 The View of the Landscape.........................................................87 4.3 Case Study: Periurban Landscape Prices in the Besançon Area..........90 4.3.1 Geographical and Economic Models, Study Region, and Data..90 4.3.2 Results..........................................................................................94 4.4 Summary and Conclusions...................................................................97 References.........................................................................................................98 5 Semi-Parametric Tools for Spatial Hedonic Models: An Introduction to Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression and Geoadditive Models..................................................................................101 5.1 Introduction.........................................................................................101 5.2 Generalized Additive Models (GAM)................................................103 5.2.1 GAM with Distance Regressors................................................104 5.2.2 GAM with Smooth Coordinates or Geoadditive Model............105 5.2.3 Geoadditive Models with Spatially Varying Coefficients.........107 5.3 An Example using GAM Models to Estimate Distances and Density Effects....................................................................................108 5.3.1 Two Features of Geoadditives Models Illustrated with a “Wrong” Model.........................................................................109 5.3.2 In Search of a Better Model.......................................................111 5.3.3 Choosing a Parametric Model....................................................113 5.4 GWR and MGWR Tools....................................................................114 5.4.1 Weights Matrix..........................................................................115 5.4.2 Estimation of GWR Coefficients...............................................115 Contents IX 5.4.3 Estimation of MGWR Coefficients...........................................115 5.4.4 Model Specification...................................................................116 5.5 Comparing the Estimation of Spatial Variable Coefficient Models by GAM and MGWR.........................................................................120 5.5.1 Geoadditive Models vs. MGWR Spatial Varying Intercept......122 5.5.2 Spatially Varying Coefficients: GAM vs. MGWR....................124 5.6 Conclusion..........................................................................................125 References.......................................................................................................126 6 Estimating Hedonic Models of Consumer Demand with an Application to Urban Sprawl.......................................................................................129 6.1 Introduction.........................................................................................129 6.2 The Data..............................................................................................131 6.3 The Model...........................................................................................133 6.4 Estimation...........................................................................................137 6.4.1 First Step: Estimating the Hedonic Price Functional.................138 6.4.2 Second Step: Recovering the Random Coefficients..................140 6.4.3 Third Step: Aggregation of Preferences....................................140 6.5 Results.................................................................................................142 6.5.1 Hedonic Pricing Estimates.........................................................143 6.5.2 Preferences Estimates................................................................145 6.5.3 Policy Exercise #1: Raising Suburban Density.........................149 6.5.4 Policy Exercise #2: Monocentric Los Angeles..........................150 6.6 Conclusion..........................................................................................152 References.......................................................................................................153 PART III Applications to Segregation and Discrimination Issues................157 7 Conceptual and Operational Issues in Incorporating Segregation Measurements in Hedonic Price Modeling............................................159 7.1 Introduction.........................................................................................159 7.2 Taxonomies of Segregation................................................................160 7.3 Segregation and Hedonic Pricing Modeling.......................................162 7.4 The Use of Segregation Measures in Hedonic Modeling...................163 7.4.1 Concepts of Segregation vs. General Description of Racial-Ethnic Mix......................................................................163 7.4.2 Global vs. Local Measures.........................................................164 7.4.3 Aspatial vs. Spatial Segregation Measures................................169 7.4.4 The Nature and Impacts of Segregation....................................173 7.5 Summary and Conclusion...................................................................173 References.......................................................................................................174 X Contents 8 Using Hedonic Models to Measure Racial Discrimination and Prejudice in the U.S. Housing Market.....................................................................177 8.1 Introduction.........................................................................................177 8.2 Modeling Framework.........................................................................182 8.2.1 The General Hedonic Model......................................................182 8.2.2 Four Models of Discrimination and Prejudice in the Housing Market........................................................................................183 8.3 Complications Arising in Estimating Racial Impacts on House Prices...................................................................................................190 8.3.1 Schelling Outcomes/Tipping.....................................................190 8.3.2 Omitted Variable Bias Due to Lack of Significant Neighborhood Characteristics....................................................191 8.3.3 Endogeneity...............................................................................192 8.3.4 Appropriate Data........................................................................192 8.4 Literature Review – Current Evidence on Racial Discrimination and Prejudice in the U.S. Housing Market.........................................194 8.5 Conclusion..........................................................................................198 References.......................................................................................................199 9 The Problem with Environmental Justice Studies (And How Hedonics Can Help)..................................................................................................203 9.1 Literature Review...............................................................................205 9.2 Conceptual Framework.......................................................................207 9.2.1 Hedonic Models of Environmental Discrimination...................208 9.2.2 Environmental Price Discrimination.........................................208 9.2.3 Envy and Equity.........................................................................211 9.3 Empirical Framework.........................................................................212 9.3.1 Price Discrimination..................................................................212 9.3.2 No-Envy Criterion.....................................................................214 9.3.3 Previous Findings.......................................................................216 9.4 Potential for Methodological Advances.............................................217 9.5 Conclusion..........................................................................................220 References.......................................................................................................221 10 Distinguishing Racial Preferences in the Housing Market: Theory and Evidence....................................................................................................225 10.1 Introduction.........................................................................................225 10.2 A Simple Model of Racial Sorting.....................................................227 10.2.1 Racial Preferences and Hedonic Prices.....................................229 10.2.2 Characterizing the Sorting Equilibrium: An Example...............230 10.2.3 A Second Example.....................................................................232 10.2.4 Decentralized Versus Centralized Racism.................................233 10.3 The Correlation of Neighborhood Race and Amenities.....................234 10.3.1 Sorting at Boundaries.................................................................235 10.3.2 Hedonic Price Regressions........................................................238 10.4 The Bundling of Neighborhood Race and Amenities........................240 Contents XI 10.4.1 Hedonic Demand Estimation.....................................................242 10.4.2 An Alternative Approach to Estimating Preferences – Discrete Choice..........................................................................242 10.5 Conclusion..........................................................................................243 References.......................................................................................................244 Appendix.............................................................................................................245 Appendix – Applying Hedonics in the Housing Market: An Illustration.....247 A.1 Introduction.........................................................................................247 A.1.1 The Setting.................................................................................247 A.1.2 The Conceptual Model...............................................................248 A.1.3 Initial Statistical Analysis..........................................................248 A.1.4 Data Issues.................................................................................249 A.2 A Worked-Out Example : The Harrison & Rubenfield (1978) Data.250 A.2.1 Price Variable.............................................................................251 A.2.2 Air Pollution Variable................................................................252 A.2.3 Other Variables..........................................................................252 A.2.4 Econometric Modelling.............................................................252 A.2.5 Modelling Approach..................................................................254 A.3 Final notes...........................................................................................258 References.......................................................................................................258 Addendum: R-code.........................................................................................259 General index.......................................................................................................265 Author index.........................................................................................................271
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