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D. Marc Kilgour Colin Eden Editors Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation Second Edition Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation (cid:129) D. Marc Kilgour Colin Eden Editors Handbook of Group Decision and Negotiation Second Edition With177Figuresand99Tables Editors D.MarcKilgour ColinEden DepartmentofMathematics StrathclydeBusinessSchool WilfridLaurierUniversity UniversityofStrathclyde Waterloo,ON,Canada Glasgow,UK ISBN978-3-030-49628-9 ISBN978-3-030-49629-6(eBook) ISBN978-3-030-49630-2(printandelectronicbundle) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-49629-6 1stedition:©SpringerScience+BusinessMediaB.V.2010 2ndedition:©SpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG2021 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartofthe materialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Thepublisher,theauthors,andtheeditorsaresafetoassumethattheadviceandinformationinthisbook arebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedateofpublication.Neitherthepublishernortheauthorsorthe editorsgiveawarranty,expressedorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinorforanyerrors oromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade.Thepublisherremainsneutralwithregardtojurisdictionalclaims inpublishedmapsandinstitutionalaffiliations. ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbytheregisteredcompanySpringerNatureSwitzerlandAG. Theregisteredcompanyaddressis:Gewerbestrasse11,6330Cham,Switzerland Foreword Adecadeago,thepublicationofthefirsteditionoftheHandbookofGroupDecision and Negotiation was an important step for the INFORMS GDN section and our scientificcommunity.ThehandbookcomplementstheGDNjournalandtheannual GDN conferences as a further way of communicating our research to a wider audience. I therefore gladly accepted the invitation of the handbook editors Colin Eden and Marc Kilgour to contribute a foreword to this volume as the current presidentoftheINFORMSsectiononGroupDecisionandNegotiation. After10years,thisneweditionofthehandbookprovidesanexcellentoverview of the stock of knowledge that our community has accumulated, and also of the important developments that have taken place during the past decade both in our fieldofresearchandinourcommunity.Thescientificinnovationswillbeelaborated indetailinthefollowingchaptersofthisvolume;Ithereforewillfollowthetradition oftheprefaceforthefirstedition,writtenbythethenpresidentoftheGDNsection MelvinShakun,andfocusonthedevelopmentsofourcommunityduringthattime frame. Firstofall,Iwouldliketoexpressmygratitude,bothpersonallyandonbehalfof thesection,tomythreepredecessorsinthefunctionofasection president, Melvin Shakun,MarcKilgour,andGregoryKersten.Ourgroupwouldnotexist,andwould neverhavereachedthestatusithastoday,withoutthecontinuouseffortandsupport fromMelShakun.HefoundedthesectionasapartofINFORMSin1989andstarted the journal in 1992. He continued to lead the section as president until 2014, and served as editor-in-chief of the journal until 2016. He also initiated the first GDN conferenceinGlasgowintheyear2000,initiallyasaone-timeeventatthestartof thenewmillennium.Thehugesuccessofthatconferenceledtoasequenceofannual conferences,whichcontinuesalmostuninterruptedlyuntiltoday.In2003,hecreated thetextbookseriesAdvancesinGroupDecisionandNegotiation,inwhichthefirst editionofthishandbookwaspublished.TheGDNcommunityisdeeplyindebtedto Mel for his scientific contributions to thefoundations of our field, for his inspiring leadership,andforhispersonalexampleasacolleagueforwhomconnectednessis notjustascientificconcept,butawayoflifethatenricheseveryonewithwhomheis intouch. Perhaps no one has contributed more and shaped the development of our com- munity more in the past decade than Gregory Kersten, who served as section v vi Foreword president from 2017 to 2019 and as editor-in-chief of the GDN journal from 2016 until he unexpectedly passed away in May 2020. Gregory was born in Warsaw, Poland,andgraduated fromtheWarsawSchoolofEconomics.Hisstrongresearch interest in group decisions and negotiations led to the development of the first algorithms and computer programs to support negotiations in the early 1980s. He migratedtoCanadain1984,whereheheldprofessorshipsatseveraluniversities.By developingthefirstweb-basednegotiationsupportsystemInspireintheearly1990s, hehelpedtoestablishthefieldofelectronicnegotiations,towhichhewasoneofthe maincontributorsuntilhisdeath.OurcommunitywillalwaysrememberGregoryfor his scientific contributions, his dedication to the growth and development of the sectionandthejournal,andalsoforhispersonalwarmthandfriendliness. ThemaininstrumentsofthesectionaretheGDNjournal,theGDNconferences, and the Springer book series. The last decade has seen a strong and healthy developmentoftheGDNjournalformfromjustover620pagespublishedin2010 to twice that size, over 1200 pages in 2020. The excellent standing of the journal, whichnowhascompletedits29thvolume,isexemplifiedbyitsimpactfactorof1.7. Iamconfidentthatthispositive developmentwillcontinueunder theleadershipof the two new editors-in-chief, Gert-Jan de Vreede and Mareike Schoop, who were appointedin2020. The GDN conference series started in the year 2000. A list of the first ten conferences is presented in the preface of the first edition of this handbook, which was formally presented at the GDN conference in Delft 2010. For the sake of completeness,alistofallconferencesfollows: 2000Glasgow,Scotland,UK 2010Delft,Netherlands 2001LaRochelle,France 2012Recife,Brazil 2002Perth,Australia 2013Stockholm,Sweden 2003Istanbul,Turkey 2014Toulouse,France 2004Banff,Alberta,Canada 2015Warsaw,Poland 2005Vienna,Austria 2016Bellingham,USA 2006Karlsruhe,Germany 2017Stuttgart,Germany 2007MontTremblant,Quebec,Canada 2018Nanjing,China 2008Coimbra,Portugal 2019Loughborough,UnitedKingdom 2009Toronto,Ontario,Canada TheturbulentdevelopmentsofthepastdecadehavelefttracesinthelistofGDN conferences. In 2011, a conference that was planned in the Middle East had to be canceled because of the political situation there. In 2020, a planned conference in Toronto could not take place because of the COVID pandemic, although the submittedpaperswerepublishedintwoproceedingsvolumes. Since the 2014 conference, selected papers presented at GDN conferences are publishedinproceedingsvolumesintheSpringerLectureNotesinBusinessInfor- mation Processing in addition to local proceedings of all papers. At the GDN conferences, the annual GDN Section Award is presented. Recipients so far were: 2004,MelvinF.Shakun;2005,GregoryE.Kersten;2007,D.MarcKilgour;2008, Foreword vii Colin Eden; 2010, Gert-Jan de Vreede; 2012, Floyd Lewis and Rudolf Vetschera; 2013, Keith W. Hipel; 2014, Hannu Nurmi; 2015, Katia Sycara; 2016, Fran Ackermann; 2017, Adiel Teixeira de Almeida; 2018, Pascale Zaraté; and 2019, TungBui. The2020sectionawardwasawardedtoLipingFang,buttheofficialceremony had to be postponed until 2021 because of the cancellation of the conference. In 2014,aspecialGDNlifetimeachievementsawardwaspresentedtoMelvinShakun. Itisnotablethatmostoftheserecipientsfeatureinthishandbook. Best Paper Awards have been presented at GDN meetings beginning in 2014. YoungResearcherAwardshavebeenpresentedatGDNmeetingsbeginningin2016. Forlistsofwinners,consulttheGDNwebpageathttps://connect.informs.org/group- decision-and-negotiation. Sincethepublicationofthefirsteditionofthishandbook,fourvolumeshavebeen publishedintheAdvancesinGroupDecisionandNegotiationbookseries: e-Democracy:AGroupDecisionandNegotiationPerspective,editedbyDavidRios InsuaandSimonFrench(2010) ModelsforInterculturalCollaborationandNegotiation,editedbyKatiaSycaraand MicheleGelfand(2013) EmotioninGroupDecisionandNegotiation,editedbyBilyanaMartinovsky(2015) Systems, Procedures and Voting Rules in Context, by Adiel Teixeira de Almeida, DanielleCostaMorais,andHannuNurmi(2019) Theconferences,theGDNjournal,thebookseries,andalsothissecondeditionof thehandbookallprovideclearevidenceoftherapidevolutionandtheprogressinthe fieldofgroupdecisionandnegotiation.Aswitnessedbythenecessarycancellations of two of our conferences, the past decade has been characterized by many turbu- lences and a high level of uncertainty and unforeseen developments. It has also shown us the importance of collaboration, joint effort, and peaceful methods to resolve conflict. Our scientific contributions to achieve this have never been more important. I would like to thank all researchers involved in our community, in particular the authors and the editors of this handbook, for their efforts and their important contributions. May the handbook contribute to the development and growth of the field of group decision and negotiation, and to the solution of the mostimportantproblemsofourtime. InstituteforBusinessDecisionsandAnalytics RudolfVetschera UniversityofVienna Vienna,Austria December2020 Contents Volume 1 PartI Introduction ....................................... 1 IntroductiontotheHandbookofGroupDecisionandNegotiation .... 3 D.MarcKilgourandColinEden PartII JusticeandFairnessinNegotiation .................... 19 JustNegotiations,StablePeaceAgreements,andDurablePeace ..... 21 DanielDruckmanandLynnWagner MethodstoAnalyzeNegotiationProcesses ...................... 39 RudolfVetschera,SabineT.Koeszegi,andMichaelFilzmoser NegotiationProcesses:EmpiricalInsights ....................... 61 MichaelFilzmoser,RudolfVetschera,andSabineT.Koeszegi TheNotionofFairDivisioninNegotiations ...................... 81 ChristianKlamler SharingProfitandRiskinaPartnership ........................ 111 YigalGerchakandEugeneKhmelnitsky PartIII TheContextforGroupDecisionandNegotiation ....... 135 AdvancesinDefiningaRightProbleminGroupDecision andNegotiation ............................................ 137 MelvinF.ShakunandBilyanaMartinovski RoleofEmotioninGroupDecisionandNegotiation ............... 157 BilyanaMartinovski ix x Contents ImpactofCognitiveStyleonGroupDecisionandNegotiation ....... 193 SébastienDamartandSoniaAdam-Ledunois CommunicationMediaandNegotiation:AReview ................ 211 IngmarGeiger NegotiationProcessModelling:FromSoftandTacittoDeliberate .... 231 TomaszSzapiro HolisticPreferencesandPrenegotiationPreparation ............... 255 TomaszWachowiczandEwaRoszkowska ContextandEnvironmentinNegotiation ........................ 291 P.J.vanderWijst,A.P.C.I.Hong,andD.J.Damen NeuroscienceToolsforGroupDecisionandNegotiation ............ 315 AdielTeixeiradeAlmeida,LuciaReisPeixotoRoselli, DanielleCostaMorais,andAnaPaulaCabralSeixasCosta PartIV Crowd-ScaleGroupDecisions ....................... 339 SupportingCommunityDecisions ............................. 341 MasahideHoritaandYuMaemura Crowd-ScaleDeliberationforGroupDecision-Making ............. 355 MarkKlein DiscussionandNegotiationSupportforCrowd-ScaleConsensus ..... 371 TakayukiIto ParticipatoryModelingforGroupDecisionSupport .............. 395 AlexeyVoinov GroupDecisions:ChoosingaWinnerbyVoting .................. 413 HannuNurmi GroupDecisions:ChoosingMultipleWinnersbyVoting ........... 439 D.MarcKilgour PartV GameTheoryDevelopmentsforGroupDecisionand Negotiation ............................................. 461 LookingBackonDecision-MakingUnderConditionsofConflict ..... 463 LipingFangandKeithW.Hipel FromGameTheorytoDramaTheory .......................... 485 JimBryant UsingDramaTheorytoModelNegotiation ...................... 505 JimBryantandPeterBennett Contents xi Non-cooperativeBargainingTheory ........................... 531 KalyanChatterjee NegotiationasaCooperativeGame ............................ 545 ÖzgürKıbrıs ConflictResolutionUsingtheGraphModel:Individualsand Coalitions ................................................ 569 D.MarcKilgour,KeithW.Hipel,andLipingFang ConflictResolutionUsingtheGraphModel:Matrices,Uncertainty, andSystemsPerspectives .................................... 597 KeithW.Hipel,D.MarcKilgour,HaiyanXu,andYiXiao Volume 2 PartVI GroupSupportSystems ............................ 625 GroupSupportSystems:Past,Present,andFuture ............... 627 FranAckermann Time,Technology,andTeams:FromGSStoCollectiveAction ....... 655 LakuChidambaram,JamaD.Summers,ShailaM.Miranda, AmberG.Young,andRobertP.Bostrom GroupSupportSystems:ExperimentswithanOnlineSystem andImplicationsforSame-Time/Different-PlacesWorking ......... 681 MikeYearworthandLeroyWhite GroupSupportSystems:ConceptstoPractice ................... 707 FranAckermannandColinEden SystemsThinking,Mapping,andGroupModelBuilding ........... 733 GeorgeP.RichardsonandDavidF.Andersen CollaborationEngineeringforGroupDecisionandNegotiation ...... 751 Gert-JandeVreede,RobertO.Briggs,andGwendolynL.Kolfschoten BehavioralConsiderationsinGroupSupport .................... 777 ColinEden GroupDecisionSupportPractice“asithappens” ................. 793 L.AlbertoFrancoandChristianGreiffenhagen ProceduralJusticeinGroupDecisionSupport ................... 815 ParmjitKaurandAshleyL.Carreras LookingBackonaFrameworkforThinkingAboutGroup SupportSystems ........................................... 837 ViktorDörfler

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