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HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 Modeling in Design for Values SjoerdD.Zwart* TUEindhoven,Eindhoven,Netherlands Abstract This chapter addresses societal implications of models and modeling in engineering design. The more standard question about well-known technical and epistemic modeling values, such as safety and validity, will be left to the standard literature. The sections “Introduction” and “Values in Modeling: Framing and Standard Views” discuss relevant societal norms and values and the ways inwhichtheyaremodelrelated.Additionally,standardpointsofviewarediscussedaboutthevalue- ladenness of models. The section “Value-Related Issues Emerging in Model Building and Use” shows various ways in which engineering models may turn out to have unforeseen societal consequences. An important way to avoid such consequences and deliberately model for values in apositivesenseistotakemodelsasspecialkindsofartifacts. Thisperspectiveenablesmodelersto applydesignermethodsandtechniquesandviewamodelingproblemasinneedofanexplicitlistof designspecifications.Doingso,modelersmayapplyformsofstakeholderanalysisandparticipatory design. Additionally, they may apply well-known, hierarchical means-end techniques to explicate and operationalize the relevant values; doing so, they support discussions about them within and outside the design team. Finally, the model-as-artifact perspective stimulates modelers to produce technicaldocumentationanduserguides,whichwilldecreasethenegativeeffectsofimproperuse. Thechapterendswithachecklistofissues,whichthedocumentationshouldcoverifamodelingfor values is taken seriously. Keywords Model; Value-ladenness; Instrumental and derivative values; Engineering, modeling, and societal and environmental values; Accountability; Affordance; Model as artifact; Modeling practices; Participatory design, value identification, and implementation; Value hierarchy; Model documentation Introduction In(2002),Jean-PierreBransencouragedalloperationsresearch(OR)professionalstotakeTheOath ofPrometheus,whichishisversionoftheOathofHippocrates,wellknowninthemedicaltradition. After having done so, the OR modeler as decision-maker should not only try to achieve her or his own private objectives but should also be committed to “the social, economic and ecological dimensions of the problems.” These objectives should be met “within the limits of sustainable development.”Moreover,themodelershouldrefusetoprove“informationortools,whichin[her/is] opinion could endanger the social welfare of mankind and the ecological future of Earth.” *Email:[email protected] Page1of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 This imperative of Brans is closely related to avoiding Robert Merton’s third possible cause of “unanticipated consequences of purposive social action,” viz., the “imperious immediacy of interest,” which will be discussed in the section “How to Identify and Address Value-Related Modeling Problems.” On the engineering side, the National Society of Professional Engineers (NSPE) expects its practitioners to exhibit the highest standards of honesty and integrity and act under the highest principles of ethical conduct. As engineering has a direct and vital impact on the qualityoflifeforallpeople,it“mustbededicatedtotheprotection ofthepublichealth, safety,and welfare.”AccordingtotheAmericanSocietyofMechanicalEngineers,integrityandethicalconduct are core engineering values, just as are the diversity and respect, the dignity, and the culture of all people. According to engineering codes, practitioners should nurture and treasure the environment and our natural and man-made resources. Tofulfilltheexpectationsofengineeringsocieties,thischapterdoesnotfollowBrans.Itwillnot formulate an Oath of Epimetheus or Hephaistos. Instead, it concentrates on forging a common groundforunforeseenvalue-relatedissuesregardingmodelconstructionanditsuseontheonehand andvaluesinengineeringdesignontheother.TofulfilltheNSPErequirements,forinstance,design engineersshouldhaveanideaofwheretolookforvalue-relatedissues,andtheyshouldknowhow toidentifyandmanagethem.Thepurposeofthischapterthereforeistohelpthesemodelerstogetto grips with these underexposed questions about value-ladenness of engineering models. Modeling forvaluesinengineeringdesignasjustsketchedisalargesubject,anditwillbedelimitedasfollows. First, the chapter will not sketch an overview of how to achieve standard modeling values, such as verification, validation, robustness, etc. Regarding these well-known subjects, it will refer to the standardliterature.Second,itdoesnotembarkuponsurveyingtheliteratureonclassicalengineering valuessuchassafety,risk,reliability,costs,andsecurity.Third,wewillnotgointoethicalquestions aboutwhethersomeexplicitmodelingpurposeismorallyacceptableornot.Thatisageneralethical question,whichisnotthetopicofthischapter.Here,itisassumedthatthepurposeoftheengineering model is morally acceptable. Instead, this chapter embarks upon the questions of how to identify and solve the more hidden societal and environmental implications of modeling in engineering design. Answering these questions serves the purpose of helping model builders and users to develop more explicit ideas aboutthevalue-ladennessofmodelproductionanduse.Thelatter involvestopicslikewhichkinds ofvalue-relatedissues possibly emergeinengineeringmodels,where tolookforthem, and howto address them proactively in the modeling process. To achieve this end, in the section “Values in Modeling: Framing and Standard Views,” we analyze the most relevant ideas and introduce some standard positions regarding the value-ladenness of models. Next, in the section “Value-Related IssuesEmerginginModelBuildingandUse,”wewilldiscusssomeempiricalfindings.Theypresent examplesofunanticipatedvalue-relatedissuesinthepracticesofengineeringdesignandhowthese values emerge in model construction and use. Then, in the section “How to Identify and Address Value-Related Modeling Problems,” we will discuss how to handle these values in a responsible way. The main advice in this chapter is to view models as special kinds of artifacts. Consequently, the method advocated here to design for values will be to take advantage of existing design methodologies while modeling. Here, we will consider, for instance, the four-phase design cycle to operationalize, put into effect, and document model-related values in a systematic way. Page2of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 Values in Modeling: Framing and Standard Views Models and Modeling in Engineering Design Modelscomeunderallformsandsizes.Almostanyonecantakealmosteverythingtobeamodelof anything else. This is perhaps the reason that until today all endeavors to provide an explicit definition of a model using necessary and sufficient conditions have failed. In their “Models in Science”lemmaintheStanfordEncyclopedia,FriggandHartmann(2012)donoteventrytogivea definition. Morgan and Morrison (1999) confess: “We have very little sense of what a model is in itself and how it is able to function in an autonomous way” (p. 8). In this chapter, models in engineering design are supposed to be (1) approximate (2) representations of the target system, whichistheactualorfutureaspectofrealityofourinterest.Moreover,itisassumedthatmodelsare constructed and usedfor (3)an explicit goal that not always needs tobe epistemic. Models may be used for constructions, for explorative purposes, for making decisions, for comparison, etc. In this chapter, “model” is taken to be a notion of family resemblance such as “game” or “science” for which the three characteristics mentioned are important ingredients.1 This model concept does not cover all the ways in which the model notion is used. Notably, people use the “model” notion in explorative contexts in which the representation element is less explicit such as in artificial life models or agent-based models. Sometimes “model” seems even to refer to something similar to a paradigm. This chapter does not cover these uses of the word model. Although the above model characterization may seem conservative, it nevertheless emphasizes the purpose of a model, which traditional engineering definitions often seem to ignore. Take, for instance, the IEEE 610 Standard Computer Dictionary. It defines a model as “[a]n approximation, representation, or idealization of selectedaspectsofthestructure,behavior,operation,orothercharacteristicsofareal-worldprocess, concept, or system” (Geraci 1991, p. 132). Embarking on the questions regarding values in modeling in engineering design requires some explicitframingoftherelationbetweenvalues,models,artifacts,theirauthors,andusers.Tosketch myframe,Istartwithaone-leveldescriptioninwhichanartifactisproducedandused.Onthislevel, theartifact istheobject(oritsdescription) thatcomesoutofasuccessful designprocess.Themost obviouswayvaluescomeaboutonthislevelisthroughthegoalsoftheartifact:istheartifactmade to promote the good or to inflict harm? Values also come in, however, because an artifact is the outcome of a design process, and this outcome is applied in society. Questions therefore arise, for example, about the designers properly considering all the relevant stakes or about the users neglecting the user plan and inflicting (un)intentionally societal harm by way of the artifact’s unintended application. To finish the conceptual frame, I propose models to be special kinds of artifacts, which, in engineeringdesign,aimatbeingappliedtothedesignofanotherartifact.Thisresultsinatwo-level description. The modeler produces a model, which will be used by the engineer, the user of the model, to produce a second artifact that again will be applied in society. In such a process, values come in various ways. We should consider the intrinsic values of the model and artifact and the 1Notethataccordingtomycharacterization,amathematicalmodel“isnotmerelyasetof(uninterpreted)mathematical equations, theorems and definitions” (Gelfert 2009, p. 502). They include their interpretation rules that define the relation between the equations and some features of the target system. “Mathematical model” is therefore a thick concept. Page3of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 instrumental values related to the production and the use of the model and the artifact.2 Moreover, thesituation becomes evenmore complicatedif werealize thatthe secondartifactcould beagaina model to produce still another artifact or the model may be used for more than one artifact. I will leave these possibilities out as they can be reduced to the previous situation. The two-level description reveals the complexity of the relation between values, modeling processes, and the products of these processes. Users apply models as a means to achieve some end, which again may be the construction of another artifact, or even a model, with again different values.Thecascadeofmeans-endrelationsintroducesagamutofvalues;inaddition,allthemodel and artifact means-end relations are open to questions about collateral damage of the model or artifact and about more efficient waysto solve the design problem. Moreover, the actions ofall the modelers and designers are amenable to normative assessments as well. In this chapter, we will observe that the traditional idea according to which professionally appropriate modeling will automatically produce morally correct models does not hold. The model-as-artifact perspective in combination with the means-end cascades undercuts this idea. Two-leveldescriptionshelptodisentanglethewaysinwhichmodelsandvaluesarerelated.Letus first consider the case where models are constructed as artifacts for their own sake, the first-level description. Models, then, are designed for some specific purpose and they should come with a manual.Wemay,therefore,atleastdistinguishbetweentheintrinsicandtheinstrumentalvaluesof themodel.Thefirstmaybehistoric,symbolic,esthetic,orfinancialvalues,etc.,sincetheymakethe model good in themselves, and the second relate to the purpose of the model, such as decision- making, exploration, communication, simulation, etc. If on top of that a model is developed to designanartifact,thedesignofthemodelshouldbedistinguishedfromthatoftheartifact.Insucha case, we should consider at least three different ways in which values and models are related. Like in the first-level case, in second-level descriptions, a model may have intrinsic and instru- mentalvalues,whichrelateto(andsometimesmayevenequatetheintrinsicvaluesof)thedesigned artifact. Third, however, and this is new in comparison with the first-level case, the instrumental values of the designed artifact often become distinctive consequences of the model with the aid of which this artifact is constructed. These may therefore be called the model’s derivative values. Considertheparadigmaticexampleoftheinternalcombustionenginepollutiondesignedbymeans of a model that relates and predicts the parameters of this engine (and its polluting features). The modeling for values in engineering design explored in this chapter mainly concerns the model’s instrumentalandderivativevalues.Themodel’snormativeimpactisprimarilyconsideredduetoits own instrumental values and to the instrumental values of the artifact it helps to develop. Various Values Whatare the valuesthis chapter doesfocus on? Interestingly, the two codesin theIntroductionput the values of honesty, integrity, and ethical conduct at the top of their lists. If we cannot count on modelers and engineers to respect these values, the discussion of modeling for values would not 2Inthischapter,IwilladoptFrankena’s(1973)definitionofintrinsicandinstrumentalvalues.Thefirstare“thingsthat aregoodinthemselvesorgoodbecauseoftheirownintrinsicproperties,”andthelastare“thingsthataregoodbecause theyaremeanstowhatisgood”(p.54). Page4of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 even get off the ground. Assuming these personal attributes of the main actors, we discern the followingvaluesamongthosethataregenerallyseriouslytakencareofwithinengineeringpractices: safety, risk, reliability, security, effectiveness, and costs of the artifacts. I will call them the engineering values. Within the professional model building practices, among the values explicitly recognized are, at least, verification, validation, robustness, effectiveness, and adequateness of the model;Iwillrefertothosebythetermmodelingvalues.Aswetakemodelstobespecialinstancesof artifacts,thefirst-levelmodelingvaluesshoulddirectlyservetheengineeringones,whichisindeed thecase.Manyofthemaredirectlyrelatedtothevaluereliability.Withinasecond-leveldescription, thederivativevaluesofamodelalso(indirectly)concerntheinstrumentalvaluesoftheartifactthatis based on that model such as this artifact’s safety, reliability, effectiveness, and costs. Values less universally taken into account in the technical practices of modelers and engineers mainly cluster around three subjects: the quality of individual life, of social life, and of the environment. The first concerns the health and well-being of human beings (and animals), their freedom and autonomy, and their privacy. More specifically, even the user-friendliness of artifacts falls within this cluster. The second cluster of values involves the social welfare of humankind, protection of public health, equality among human beings, justice, and the diversity and dignity of theculturesofallpeople,andsoon.Finally,thethirdsetofvaluesclusters aroundournatural (and even artificial) environment and concerns sustainability and durability, sustainable development, andtheecologicalfutureoftheearthsuchthatweshould“nurtureandtreasuretheenvironmentand our natural and man-made resources.” Let us call these three clusters together the societal and environmental values. As this chapter is concerned with the values related to models and modeling, let us consider the instrumental and derivative values of models in engineering design. First, we may consider the technicalqualitiesofamodelinisolationwithoutconsideringthecontentsofitspurpose.Themodel should be built to serve its purpose without breaking down. An important quality discussed in the literature at length is, for instance, the models’ verification. For a model as a set of equations, the latter implies, for instance, that these equations are dimensionally homogeneous, or for computer models this quality means the model should not have bugs. Other important technical model qualities are, for example, the model’s robustness – the model should behave smoothly under small external disturbances – orefficacy, which is the model’s ability to produce straightforwardly the desired effect. Besides these sheer technical properties, we can take the model’s goal into account. If the latter is epistemic, an important epistemic value is its validation, which in many contexts comes down to the question whether the model gives an approximately true account of reality. And to what extent the model’s predictions are approximately true determines its accuracy. Traditional modelers would probably also count the objectivity of a model as one of its epistemic values.Thetechnicalandepistemicvaluesofmodelsarefirst-levelpropertiesofthemodelitselfand have been extensively investigated and described in the standard literature on models and model- ing.3Thepurposeofthischapteristohelpmodelbuildersanduserswithissuesofvalue-ladenness of model production and use. Consequently, regarding questions about first-level technical and epistemic values, I can with good conscience refer the reader to the standard literature. A problem less frequently addressed in this literature and therefore part of this chapter is, for instance, how different values should be weighed against each other, provided that they are 3See,e.g.,Zeigleretal.(2000);Sargent(2005);Barlas(1996);Rykiel(1996),etc. Page5of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 commensurable at all. For instance, how should avoidance of type I errors (claiming something is truewhereasinfactitisfalse)bebalancedagainstavoidingerrorsoftypeII(claimingsomethingis falsewhereasinfactitistrue)?Inscience,thefirstisconsideredmuchmoreimportantthanthelatter, but this need not be the case in societal contexts (Cranor 1990). To illustrate the technical and epistemic values of a model and the moral problem of balancing them against each other, let us consider the case of the ShotSpotter.4 The ShotSpotter is a system that detects and positions gunshots by a net of microphones and is mostlyusedinUSurbanareaswithahighcrimerate.Itissuccessfulindrawingtheattentionofthe police to gunshots. Trials suggest that people hardly report gunshots to the police, while the ShotSpotter immediately reports the time and place of a putative shot. Central to the system is a model that aims at distinguishing gunshots from other noises. If a sound largely fits the represen- tativecharacteristicsofagunshot,thesoundisreportedasagunshot.Themodeliswellverifiedifit workswellateveryoccasionitisdrawnuponandnevergetsstuckintheprocess;itiseffectiveifit doesnottaketoomuchtimetoproducethesereactions.Ifthemodeldiscriminateswellbetweenthe soundsofshotsoffirearmsandotherbutsimilarsounds,itiswellvalidated,whichimplies thatthe modelavoidstypeIandtypeIIerrorsasmuchaspossible.Statistically,however,avoidingerrorsof thefirsttypeimpliesanincreaseoftheerrorsofthesecondtypeandviceversa.So,wantingtodetect everygunshotimpliesmanyfalsepositives,anddecreasingfalsepositivescausesthepolicetomiss morerealgunshots.Thequestionoftheappropriatesensitivityofthemodelhasthereforeimportant societal implications, and its answer is not to be found in the technical literature (Cranor 1990). Since models are artifacts, in principle all main engineering values mentioned might become importantinstrumentalvaluesformodelsaswell.Inthesection“Value-RelatedIssuesEmergingin Model Building and Use,” we will encounter some ways in which these values might become relevantinthemodelingprocess.Themodeler,whomightevenbethedesigneroftheartifact,need not always be aware of the relevant derivative values. Note that many of these engineering values mentionedbeforeareextensivelytakencareofinthestandardsoftoday’sengineeringpractices.As withmodelingvalues,hereagainIwillnotsketchanoverviewoftheextensivestandardengineering literature. Instead, I will refer the interested reader to this literature.5 The same even holds mutatis mutandisfortechnology-implicatedsocietalandenvironmentalvalues,whichmaynotrejoiceitself at an extensive treatment in the engineering literature either. Even for these values, this chapter refrains from embarking on explaining how to model for such values explicitly. I will not help the reader in finding literature on, for instance, how to model for privacy or sustainability.6 Aswesaw,modelsmayberelatedtotechnical,epistemic,andsocial/environmentalvalues,which canbeinstrumental andderivative.Thepurposeofthischapterisnowtwofold.First,itistosketch various ways in which modeling projects might be, or might become, value related in ways unanticipated by the modelers; in addition, it wants to show how projects may harbor overlooked tensionsbetweenthoseindividualvalues.Second,itistomakethemodelersproperlyaddressthese tensions within the modeling team and possibly the users and externally with the client and other stakeholders. 4TheexampleisfromShelley(2011)whodiscussesseveralexamplesoftechnologicaldesignwithconflictinginterests. 5SuchasHaimes(2005) 6Asmodelsarespecialkindsofartifacts,manychaptersinthepresenthandbookdiscusstheengineering,societal,and environmental values mentioned in this section and more. They provide important starting points for the standard literatureIhavebeenreferringto. Page6of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 Current Ideas About the Value-Ladenness of Models Valuesaregenerallyacknowledgedtoplayadecisiveroleinengineeringdesign.7Whatrolevalues exactly play in modeling, however, is still controversial. Scarce attention has been paid to the questionofthevalue-ladennessofmodelsinengineeringdesign.Thislackofinterestisremarkable assoonasoneconsidersthemassivesocialimpactoftechnologyandtheimportantrolevaluesplay in engineering design, which is the heart of technology. Because of the scarcity in the specific literature, we will first discuss some opinions about the role of values found in the more general modeling literature.8 Despite its limited size, the relevant literature displays many different opinions about the value- ladennessofmodels.Itdisplaysoutrightdeniers,morecautiousadmitters,andmilitantchampionsof the idea. To start with the first category within the context of operations research, the idea of objectiveandvalue-freemodelsis,forinstance,expressedbyWarrenWalker.Hemaintainsthatthe “questionof‘ethicsinmodeling’isreallyaquestionofqualitycontrol,...[and]...asanalyst...the modeler must make sure that the models are as objective and value-free as possible” (1994, pp. 226–227). More recently, Walker claims, “...if applied operations researchers (acting asrational-stylemodelbasedpolicyanalysts,andnotaspolicyanalystsplayingadifferentroleoras policy advocates) use the scientific method and apply the generally accepted best practices of their profession,theywillbeactinginanethicalmanner”(2009,p.051),andheargues“thatthequestion ofethicsinmodelingismainlyaquestionofqualitycontrol”(2009,p.1054).Asimilarwaytogois to maintain that models themselves are value-free, whereas their alleged value-ladenness is attrib- utedtotheirgoal.Kleijnen(2001),forinstance,claims:“amathematicalmodelitselfhasnomorals (neither does it have -say-color); a model is an abstract, mathematical entity that belongs to the immaterial world. The purpose of a model, however, does certainly have ethical implications” (2001, p. 224). Notalloperationsresearch(OR)colleaguesofWalkerandKleijnenagree.MarcLeMenestreland Luc Van Wassenhove, for instance, are cautious admitters. In (2004), they distinguish between the traditional “ethics outside OR models” just described and the more modern and radical “ethics within OR models” where the various goals of the models are mutually weighted using multiple- criteria approaches. But because “there will always remain ethical issues beyond the model,” they optforan“ethicsbeyondORmodels”(2004,p.480).Byallowingandcombiningbothquantitative andqualitativemodelingmethods,theyarguethat“analystscanadoptanobjectiveapproachtoOR models while still being abletogive subjective andethical concerns themethodological place they deserve. Instead of looking for a quantification of these concerns, the methodology would aim at making them explicit through a discursive approach” (p. 480). Doing so, Le Menestrel and Van Wassenhove maintain that “we should make [the need for close and on-going communication betweenthemodelbuilderanduser]explicitlypartofthe[modeling]methodology”(2004,p.480). Accordingtosomeauthors,LeMenestrelandVanWassenhovedonotgofarenoughanddisagree withthemaboutthestrengthoftheirargumentthat“therewillalwaysremainethicalissuesbeyond the model.” According to these proponents of the militant champions, we should opt for an unconditional “ethics within model” and acknowledge that models are inherently value-laden and thatweshouldaccordingly.AccordingtoPaulMcNelis,forinstance,“macroeconomicmodeling... mustexplicitlybuildinandanalyzethevariableshighlightedbypopulistmodels,suchaswageand incomeinequality...”(1994,p.5).OrasInaKlaasensuccinctlyexpressesthesameissue:“Models 7See,forinstance,PahlandBeitz(1984);Pugh(1990),Jones(1992);RoozenburgandEekels(1995);Cross(2008). 8Relevantliteratureoriginatesininvestigationsintoethicsinoperationsresearchandinvaluesincomputationalmodels. Page7of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 are not value-free: moreover, they should not be” (2005, p. 181). From the perspective of science overall, Heather Douglas takes even a firmer stance and argues: “that because of inductive risk, or theriskoferror,non-epistemicvaluesarerequiredinsciencewherevernon-epistemicconsequences of error should be considered. I use examples from dioxin studies to illustrate how non-epistemic consequences of error can and should be considered in the internal stages of science: choice of methodology, characterization of data, and interpretation of results” (2000, p. 559). More recently, sheclaimsthat“inmanyareasofscience,particularlyareasusedtoinformpublicpolicydecisions, science should not be value free, in the sense just described. In these areas of science, value-free science is neither an ideal nor an illusion. It is unacceptable science” (2007, p. 121). Withoutgoingintothediscussionbetweenthedeniers,admitters,andchampions,letusmaketwo conceptualobservations.First,probablythemeaningoftheword“model”variesfromoneperspec- tive to the other. Douglas and Klaasen obviously do not discuss Kleijnen’s uninterpreted “mathe- maticalentitythatbelongstotheimmaterialworld.”Theywillconsidermathematicalmodelstobe mathematical structures with a real-world interpretation. Moreover, these mathematical structures canmutuallyweighvariousvalues,andwithreal-worldinterpretationswehavevaluesembeddedin the model.9 Second, from the deniers’ perspective, the purpose of models is usually considered epistemicandmodelsarethussimilartodescriptivetheoriesabouttheworldmuchakintoNewton’s model of mechanics. In this model-as-theory concept, scarce room is left for normative consider- ations or values, which are often considered subjective. Engineers tend to take a similar point of view.Theyoftenviewmodelsasobjectiverepresentationsandassuchconsiderthempartofscience ratherthanofengineering.Theadvocatesofvalue-ladennessofmodelsconceivemodelshoweverto be instruments that assist in achieving some (often non-epistemic) goal. This model-as-instrument conception of model is almost inconceivable without leaving considerable room for values and evaluative considerations. From the model-as-theory perspective, one may ask why a modeler should pay attention to the ethicalandvalueaspectsofherorhiscreation.HowcouldweholdIsaacNewtonresponsibleforthe V-2rocketsthatcamedownonLondonandAntwerpintheSecondWorldWar?Inthefirstplaceand perhaps most importantly, modelers are normatively involved in the design process because they create specific affordances used by the designers during this process. According to Gibson, affordances are “offerings of nature” and “possibilities or opportunities” of how to act (1986, p. 18). They are “properties of things taken with reference to an observer” (1986, p. 137). Gibson extrapolated the scope of affordances and applied them also to technical artifacts such as tools, utensils, andweaponsandeventoindustrialengineeringsuchaslargemachinesandbiochemicals. Asmodelsareartifactsandcreatepossibilitiesofhowtoact,sayingthatmodelscreateaffordancesis clearlywithinGibson’soriginaluseoftheword.Affordancesofartifacts,objects,oranyinstruments therefore can broadly be conceived as those actions or events that these artifacts, objects, or instruments offer us to do or to experience. Consequently, models afford us to get knowledge or to decide about design proposals, which perhaps even did not exist before the model was created. Generally,wemay saythatcreators ofaffordancesareatleastaccountable fortheconsequences of these affordances. One may define accountability to be the moral obligation to account for what happened and one’s role in making or preventing it from happening. In particular, a person can be heldaccountableforX,ifthepersonhas(1)thecapacitytoactmorallyright(isamoralagent)and (2)hascausedXand(3)Xiswrong(VandePoel2011,p.39).Accountabilityistobedistinguished from blameworthiness. An agent can be accountable for an event but need not be blameworthy as she or he can justifiably excuse herself or himself. Typical excuses are the impossibility to be 9Formoreonthedifferencebetweenembeddedandimpliedvaluesinmodels,seeZwartetal.(2013). Page8of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 knowledgeable about the consequences of the event, the lack of freedom to act differently, and the absence of the agent’scausal influenceon the event (Van de Poel 2011, pp.46–47). For instance, a manufactureroffirearmsmaybeheldaccountableforthekillingofinnocentpeople.Asthecreator of the affordance to shoot, she or he may be asked about her of his role in the killings by the guns madeinherorhiscompany.The typical excuse ofthe manufacturer reads thatsheorhedid notdo the shooting and therefore is not (causally) responsible for the killing. In this sense, the creators of affordancesareaccountablebutneednotbeblameworthyfortheconsequencesoftheseaffordances. Similarly,butoftenlessdramatic,modelersareaccountablefortheconsequencesoftheaffordances, viz., the design, because they willingly brought into being the affordances of their models. Consequently, if the capacity, causation, and wrongdoing conditions are fulfilled, modelers are accountable for the properties of the final design and may even turn out to be blameworthy and should therefore pay attention to the normative aspects or their creations. Value-Related Issues Emerging in Model Building and Use Inthepresentsection,wewillencountervariouswaysinwhichconstructingmodelsmayhavemoral andsocietalconsequences.10Thesesketchesservetheheuristicpurposeformodelbuilderstocreate awarenessaboutwhereandhowtolookforthenormativeimplicationsoftheprocessandproductof modeling. We will see that indeterminacy of the modeling question, the boundaries of the model, underdeterminacy or the complexity of the modeling problem, lack of knowledge and uncertainty, andfinallyembeddedvalueassessmentsinthemodelsmayhaveunforeseenvalue-ladeneffects.We start with the situation where even the concept of the model does not exist yet and where it is even unclear what the target system should be. Then, we turn to the possible underdeterminacy of a model,andafterthatwewillconsidercomplexityanduncertaintyaspossiblesourcesofnormativity. We will end with the necessity to explicate the purpose of a model clearly and to communicate it. Indeterminacy of Model Building Question and Model Boundaries Whenamodelingprocessconcernsaninnovation,theinitialformulationofthemodelingproblemis oftenvagueandindeterminate,whichmeansthattheproblemlacksadefiniteformulation.Ontopof that,evenitsconditionsandlimitsmaybeunclear(Buchanan1992,p.16).Indeterminateproblems have a structure that lacks definition and delineation. Herbert Simon (1973) calls these kinds of problems“illstructured.”Attheoutsetoftheproblemsolvingprocess,anill-structuredproblemhas unknown means and ends. Often, modeling problems are ill structured to such an extent that they become “wicked problems” (Rittel and Webber 1973). Wicked problems have incomplete, contra- dictory, changing, and often even hardly recognizable requirements. Through interactions with the client and within the modeling team, these problems usually become better structured over time. Usually, however, they may leave open many acceptable solutions. This may be due to partial knowledgeorunderstandingofthemodelrequirements.Itmayalsobeduetotheunderdeterminacy of the target system when the physical laws applied do not fix the variables involved. Helping to separate the relevant from the irrelevant aspects of the modeled phenomenon has a normative side. Besidesweighingepistemicvaluessuchasdeterminingthereal-worldaspectsthatneedtoappearin the model, the definition of the modeling problem also fixes the scope on the societal effects taken intoaccount.Forinstance,traditionalthermodynamicoptimizationmodelsforrefrigeratorcoolants favored Freon-12 because it is stable, energy efficient, and nonflammable (in the volumes used). 10TheexamplesinthissectioncomefromparticipatoryresearchreportedmoreindetailinZwartetal.(2013). Page9of27 HandbookofEthics,Values,andTechnologicalDesign DOI10.1007/978-94-007-6994-6_1-1 #SpringerScience+BusinessMediaDordrecht2014 Fig.1 ModelofchemicalconversionatsteadystatedeterminedbytemperatureTandvolumeV Whenthemodelincludessustainability,however,thiscoolantlosesitsattractivenessbecauseofits propensitytodepletetheozonelayer.In1996,theUSAbanneditsmanufacturetomeettheMontreal Protocol. Interestingly,questionsaboutvaluesstillariseevenatthestageinwhichthemodelingsituationis determined and the model can sufficiently accurately describe the behavior of the fixed target system. The following simplified example shows how a seemingly straightforward application of amassbalancerelatestosocietalnormsandvalues.Inmost(bio)chemicalprocesses,thegoalofthe processdesignistheconversionofonesubstanceintoanother.Usually,thedesignrequirementsfix the product mass flux, i.e., how much substance is to be produced in a given time span. Let us for simplicity’s sake assume that the conversion rate of a reactor is 100 % and that conversion only depends onthe reactor volume (V) and the reaction temperature (T).The steady-state mass balance of the reactor then can be modeled as is depicted in Fig. 1. Under these circumstances, clearly the modeledsystemisunderdeterminedandthedesignteamisfreetochoosethereactorvolumeorthe reaction temperature. Despite its simplicity, the conversion case already raises interesting questions about societal consequences and thusvalue-ladenness.Although themodelingchoiceofvolume and temperature is seemingly a factual affair, their trade-off has considerable derivatively value-laden implications. The larger the reactor, the larger the volume of the contained substance; the larger the possible amountofpossiblyspilledsubstanceincaseofleakagesorothercalamities,thelargerthevolumeof substancesmanagedduringtheshutdownandstart-upoftheplant.Moreover,extremelyhighorlow temperatures can cause major hazards to operators and provide sustainability issues due to high energy requirements. Thus, fixing the temperature-volume region has societal implications regard- ingenvironmentalissues,safety,andsustainabilityhazards.Doesthisvalidatetheassertionthatthe flux model is value-laden, or should the responsibility for these value-related issues be exclusively put at the feed of the designers of the reactor – provided they are not the same persons? Answeringthatsomemodelisonlyasetofequationswillnotdo.Followingourcharacterizations ofamathematicalmodel,thelastincludesrulesofinterpretationandthereforeismorethanjustaset ofmathematicalequations.Nevertheless,thefluxmodeldoesnotexplicitlyembedavaluejudgment because it is silent about what combinations of volumes and temperatures are preferable. Quite the contrary,themodelrefrainsfromanydirectvaluejudgmentandonlydescribestherelationbetween the variables within some margins of error, and the only value involved is the model’s accuracy. However, the representation of the situation as only a physical relation between variables without safetyandsustainabilityconsiderationsalreadyimpliesanevaluativestance.Themodelcouldhave incorporated information about unsafe volumes and energy consumption. Thus, the choice of the model’s constitutive parts and the absence of reasonable upper and lower limits render the model value-laden in the derivative sense. The absence of societal aspect reflects the modelers’ judgment that they are not important enough to be considered. From the present considerations, we may Page10of27

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