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THE BEHAVIORAL CONSEQUENCES OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE by Aaron Joseph Abbarno B.A. in History, University of Pittsburgh, 2003 M.A. in International Relations and Diplomacy, Seton Hall University, 2006 Submitted to the Graduate Faculty of The Dietrich School of Arts and Sciences in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science University of Pittsburgh 2013 h UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH THE DIETRICH SCHOOL OF ARTS AND SCIENCES This dissertation was presented by Aaron Joseph Abbarno It was defended on October 18, 2013 and approved by Jon Hurwitz, Professor, Political Science, University of Pittsburgh Alberta Sbragia, Professor, Political Science, University of Pittsburgh James L. Gibson, Professor, Government, University of Washington in St. Louis Dissertation Advisor: Steven E. Finkel, Professor, Political Science, University of Pittsburgh ii Copyright © by Aaron Joseph Abbarno 2013 iii THE BEHAVIORAL CONSEQUENCES OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE Aaron Joseph Abbarno, Ph.D. University of Pittsburgh, 2013 Effective and enduring democratic government requires broad public support for basic democratic orientations. Chief among these are political participation and political tolerance, which traditionally have been viewed as closely linked: virtually everyone agrees that democracy works best when people actively engage in political life and when they do not exclude others from doing the same. However, empirical evidence to date challenges the idea that political tolerance and civic engagement are positively, or even directly, related. What are the behavioral consequences of political tolerance? Using novel experiments that randomly assign subjects to tolerate the rights of groups they strongly dislike, this dissertation finds that political tolerance directly stimulates participation in specific modes of civic engagement. I argue that tolerance for political minorities is a highly unpopular position that orients citizens toward disagreement and dissent and reduces conflict aversion among the politically tolerant relative to the intolerant. Through this mechanism, upholding the rights of groups that society prefers to repress independently raises the likelihood of participation in social modes of action in which the risk of disagreement and conflict with other citizens is high (e.g. protests), but does little to facilitate individual modes of action in which disagreement and conflict are unlikely (e.g. voting). My evidence is based on two methodological innovations. First, I employ a “self- persuasion” experiment in which subjects develop original arguments to convince a discussion iv partner to either permit (tolerate) or ban (not tolerate) public demonstrations by the subject’s most disliked group. Second, I directly observe subjects’ post-test participation using overt measures of subjects’ political behavior rather than survey items to measure only their behavioral intentions. Tracing the effects of randomized tolerance on subjects’ overt political behavior reveals, in support of my hypotheses, that practicing tolerance directly stimulates collective- contentious activism (in this case, signing one’s name to a petition to challenge the status quo), but has no effect on individual action (i.e. making an anonymous donation). I further corroborate these findings by applying nonparametric matching techniques to cross-national survey data from the U.S. and Europe, and through cross-national survey experiments that test my model in the U.S. and Hungary. v TABLE OF CONTENTS PREFACE ................................................................................................................................... XV 1.0 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................................ 1 1.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................... 1 1.2 CONTRIBUTIONS ............................................................................................. 7 1.3 DISSERTATION OVERVIEW ....................................................................... 10 1.3.1 Does tolerance matter? Theoretical challenges in Chapters 2 and 3 ........ 10 1.3.2 Causal inference in the study of tolerance: Methodological challenges in chapters 4, 5, and 6 ..................................................................................................... 13 1.3.3 Tolerance as a virtue, tolerance as a vice: Responding to normative challenges in chapter 7 ............................................................................................... 15 2.0 POLITICAL TOLERANCE, POLITICAL PARTICIPATION, AND POLITICAL THEORY .............................................................................................................. 18 2.1 DEFINITION AND MEASUREMENT OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE .. 18 2.2 POLITICAL TOLERANCE AND POLITICAL THEORY ......................... 20 2.3 TWO EMPIRICAL PERSPECTIVES ON POLITICAL TOLERANCE AND POLITICAL PARTICIPATION ............................................................................. 28 2.3.1 Evidence for the syndrome account ............................................................. 32 2.3.2 Evidence for the tradeoff account ................................................................ 39 vi 2.4 METHODOLOGICAL DIFFICULTIES IN STUDYING THE BEHAVIORAL EFFECTS OF TOLERANCE ............................................................... 47 2.5 CHAPTER SUMMARY ................................................................................... 53 3.0 THE COSTS-CONSISTENCY THEORY OF TOLERANCE AND PARTICIPATION ...................................................................................................................... 56 3.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................. 57 3.2 A POINT OF DEPARTURE: MODES OF PARTICIPATION AND THEIR SOCIAL-PSYCHOLOGICAL DETERMINANTS ........................................................ 61 3.2.1 Summary ........................................................................................................ 66 3.3 POLITICAL TOLERANCE, CONSISTENCY, AND BARRIERS TO CIVIC ENGAGEMENT .................................................................................................... 66 3.3.1 The social costs of political tolerance ........................................................... 68 3.3.2 Consistency theories and tolerance as a contributor to public activism .. 70 3.4 TOLERANCE, PARTICIPATION, AND DEMOCRATIC CONTEXT ..... 78 3.5 CASE SELECTION .......................................................................................... 85 3.6 LOOKING AHEAD TO THE EMPIRICAL CHAPTERS ........................... 88 4.0 CROSS-NATIONAL PATTERNS OF PARTICIPATION AMONG POLITICALLY TOLERANT AND INTOLERANT CITIZENS ......................................... 92 4.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................. 93 4.2 OPERATIONAL HYPOTHESES ................................................................... 95 4.3 ANALYTICAL STRATEGY ........................................................................... 98 4.3.1 Data, measurement, and model specification ............................................ 101 4.4 POLITICAL TOLERANCE AND LEVELS OF PARTICIPATION ........ 106 vii 4.5 POLITICAL TOLERANCE AND MODES OF PARTICIPATION ......... 118 4.6 ROSENBAUM SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF TOLERANCE’S EFFECT ON PUBLIC PARTICIPATION ..................................................................................... 123 4.7 DISCUSSION, OBJECTIONS, AND PREVIEW OF SUBSEQUENT CHAPTERS ...................................................................................................................... 127 5.0 CAUSAL INFERENCE IN THE STUDY OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE: THE SELF-PERSUASION EXPERIMENT ................................................................................... 131 5.1 INTRODUCTION ........................................................................................... 132 5.2 EXPERIMENTS IN POLITICAL TOLERANCE ....................................... 136 5.2.1 Framing and experimental vignettes ......................................................... 136 5.2.2 Persuasion experiments ............................................................................... 140 5.3 APPLIED (IN)TOLERANCE AND THE SELF-PERSUASION EXPERIMENT ................................................................................................................. 144 5.4 EXPERIMENTAL PROTOCOL ................................................................... 148 5.4.1 Sample........................................................................................................... 148 5.4.2 Pre-test questionnaire and measurement .................................................. 149 5.4.3 Manipulation, post-test questionnaire, and measurement....................... 150 5.4.4 Active noncompliance.................................................................................. 153 5.4.5 Compliant essays.......................................................................................... 157 5.5 INITIAL FINDINGS ....................................................................................... 161 5.6 COMPLIERS AVERAGE CAUSAL EFFECT (CACE) OF THE TREATMENT ON (IN)TOLERANCE .......................................................................... 168 5.7 CONCLUDING REMARKS .......................................................................... 178 viii 6.0 THE BEHAVIORAL CONSEQUENCES OF POLITICAL TOLERANCE: EVIDENCE FROM THE UNITED STATES AND HUNGARY......................................... 182 6.1 BRIEF REPRISE AND INTRODUCTION TO CHAPTER SIX ............... 182 6.2 OPERATIONAL HYPOTHESES ................................................................. 187 6.3 EXPERIMENTAL PROTOCOL ................................................................... 191 6.3.1 Summary ...................................................................................................... 191 6.3.2 Sample and cover story ............................................................................... 192 6.3.3 Pre-test questionnaire and measurement .................................................. 193 6.3.4 Manipulation and post-test attitudinal measures ..................................... 196 6.3.5 Direct measures of political behavior ........................................................ 199 6.4 DIRECT EFFECTS OF TOLERANCE ON POLITICAL PARTICIPATION ............................................................................................................ 205 6.4.1 Tolerance and participation in the United States ..................................... 206 6.4.2 Tolerance and participation in Hungary ................................................... 211 6.5 UNCOVERING THE CAUSAL MECHANISM .......................................... 217 6.6 DISCUSSION ................................................................................................... 229 7.0 CARRIERS OF THE CREED? CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS ....... 234 APPENDIX A : APPENDIX TO CHAPTER FOUR ............................................................ 244 APPENDIX B : APPENDIX TO CHAPTER FIVE .............................................................. 253 APPENDIX C : APPENDIX TO CHAPTER SIX ................................................................. 259 BIBLIOGRAPHY ..................................................................................................................... 284 ix LIST OF TABLES Table 1 Perceptions of Available Freedom in the United States and Russia ................................ 74 Table 2 Self-Censored Expression in the United States and Russia ............................................. 75 Table 3 Political Tolerance and Levels of Participation in the United States and Europe ......... 107 Table 4 Tolerance and Levels of Participation in the United States using Propensity Score Kernel Matching ..................................................................................................................................... 110 Table 5 Imbalance between Tolerant and Intolerant Groups on Main Covariates, USCID and ISSP............................................................................................................................................. 112 Table 6 Tolerance for Most-Disliked Group and Levels of Participation in the United States .. 114 Table 7 Tolerance and Levels of participation in the United States using Content-Controlled Measures and Propensity Score Kernel Matching ...................................................................... 115 Table 8 Marginal Effect of Political Tolerance on Participation Levels, by Country ................ 116 Table 9 Marginal Change in Participation, Intolerant to Tolerant .............................................. 120 Table 10 Estimating the Propensity of Tolerance ....................................................................... 125 Table 11 Sensitivity Analysis for Effects of Tolerance on Public Participation ........................ 126 Table 12 Pre- and Post-Assignment Attrition by Treatment Condition .................................... 154 Table 13 Attrition Rates across Demographic and Attitudinal Traits........................................ 155 x

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Jon Hurwitz, Professor, Political Science, University of Pittsburgh so small that their 'misguided' opinions or non-opinions have little practical consequence for stability. condom use among college students (Aronson, Fried and Stone 1991; Stone, Aronson, Crain, In Cambridge Handbook of.
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