A GUIDE TO THE WORLD’S THOUGHT-LEADERS IN E-BUSINESS Gurus include:Sergey Brin• Manuel Castells• Michael Dell Peter Drucker• Esther Dyson• Bill Gates• Steve Jobs• Kevin Kelly Gerry McGovern• Robert Metcalfe• John Naisbitt• Nicholas Negroponte Larry Page• Linus Torvalds• Michael Porter• Thomas Stewart Alvin Toffler• Niklas Zennström John Middleton IFC GURUS ON E-BUSINESS JOHN MIDDLETON Published in 2006 by Thorogood Publishing Ltd 10-12 Rivington Street London EC2A 3DU Telephone: 020 7749 4748 Fax: 020 7729 6110 Email: [email protected] Web: www.thorogood.ws © John Middleton 2006 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of the publisher. This book is sold subject to the condition that it shall not, by way of trade or otherwise, be lent, re-sold, hired out or otherwise circulated without the publisher’s prior consent in any form of binding or cover other than in which it is published and without a similar condition including this condition being imposed upon the subsequent purchaser. No responsibility for loss occasioned to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of any material in this publication can be accepted by the author or publisher. Special discounts for bulk quantities of Thorogood books A CIP catalogue record for this book is are available to corporations, available from the British Library. institutions, associations and other organizations. For more PB: ISBN 1 85418 386 9 information contact Thorogood by telephone on 020 7749 4748, by Cover and book designed and typeset in fax on 020 7729 6110, or e-mail us: the UK by Driftdesign [email protected] Printed in India by Replika Press The author John Middletonis Co-Director of the Centre for Strategic Thinking, a membership-based organization that exists to promote better quality thinking and planning practices within UK companies. Recog- nized as a leading expert in decision-making tools and processes, he specializes in working with individuals and organizations that are deter- mined to make best use of the future. From 1996 until 2004, he was Director of the Bristol Management Research Centre, before which he spent 18 years working for BAA (formerly the British Airports Authority) and AXA Sun Life in various senior HR roles, covering recruitment, training, management devel- opment, information systems and HR strategy. John is a Chartered Member of the Institute of Personnel and Devel- opment, as well as a member of the Institute of Directors. He holds a Masters Degree from the University of Bristol, where he has been an Associate Lecturer since 1994. He has taught IT Manage- ment on Manchester Business School’s International MBA programme since 2001. He has written 11 books to date, including Writing the New Economy (Capstone, 2000), The Ultimate Strategy Library (Capstone, 2003), Culture(Capstone, 2002), and Upgrade Your Brain(Infinite Ideas, 2006) From 1996 to 2002, he published and edited Future Filter, a bi-monthly business digest covering trends and developments in the new economy. His email address is [email protected] THEAUTHOR iii Blank Contents Acknowledgements 1 The scope of this book 2 Introduction 3 The influence of technology 4 Summary 6 ONE E-business – the strategic dimension 7 The internet offers huge scope for cost-cutting 9 The hare, the tortoise and the internet 9 Internet only companies carry less organizational baggage 10 He who pays the piper… 10 The rise and fall of the middleman 11 Internet-based alliances 11 The simple conclusion – strategy has an e-dimension 13 TWO E-business – the global dimension 15 Let’s stick together: the importance of clusters 19 THREE E-business – the organizational dimension 23 The internet and organizations 24 The rise of the cyber cottage industry 29 CONTENTS v FOUR The e-business gurus 31 1 Tim Berners-Lee 33 2 Jeff Bezos 37 3 Frances Cairncross 40 4 Manuel Castells 44 5 Jim Clark 48 6 Michael Dell 51 7 Larry Downes & Chunka Mui 54 8 Peter Drucker 58 9 Esther Dyson 63 10 Philip Evans & Thomas Wurster 66 11 Carly Fiorina 69 12 Bill Gates 72 13 William Gibson 75 14 Andy Grove 78 15 Michael Hammer 82 16 Jonathan Ive 86 17 Steve Jobs 89 18 Kevin Kelly 92 19 Ray Kurzweil 97 20 Charles Leadbeater 101 21 James Martin 104 22 Gerry McGovern 106 23 Regis McKenna 110 24 Robert Metcalfe 113 25 Paul Mockapetris 116 26 Geoffrey A. Moore 118 27 Gordon Moore 122 28 John Naisbitt 125 vi GURUSONE-BUSINESS 29 Nicholas Negroponte 128 30 Larry Page & Sergey Brin 130 31 Jeff Papows 133 32 Don Peppers & Martha Rogers 136 33 Michael Porter 141 34 David S. Pottruck and Terry Pearce 144 35 Thomas Stewart 148 36 Alvin Toffler 152 37 Linus Torvalds 155 38 Meg Whitman 158 39 Niklas Zennström 161 40 Shoshana Zuboff 164 FIVE Case studies 167 e-Bay 172 Encyclopaedia Britannica 173 Seven-Eleven Japan 175 Vermeer Technologies 177 Best practice: pulling it all together 181 SIX Annotated bibliography 183 SEVEN Tracking e-business trends 209 EIGHT An e-business glossary 215 CONTENTS vii Blank