GROWTH WITHOUT ECODISASTERS? e h ht) t g e ri h n t o d n u o gr e or e f h n t g (i n di u cl n , i e e visiblador. arss es ba alitiAm personBritish ding the ny lead and an Ma nce. f Icel eo nferster e CoMini f thme ng oPri ni e p o e h at t m u ori dit u a e h f t o art P : e c e pi s nti o r F GROWTH WITHOUT ECODISASTERS? Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Environmental Future (2nd ICEF), held in Reykjavik, Iceland, 5-11 June 1977 edited by NICHOLAS POLUNIN M ©Nicholas Polunin 1980 Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1st edition 1980 978-0-333-23521-8 Pages 409-428 © Claire Russell and W. M. S. Russell 1979 All rights reserved. Except in literature citations or reasonably brief quotations, no part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without written permission of the copyright holder (acting on behalf of the sponsoring Foundation for Environmental Conservation) First published 1980 by THE MACMILLAN PRESS LTD London and Basingstoke Associated companies in Delhi Dublin Hong Kong Johannesburg Lagos Melbourne New York Singapore and Tokyo Phototypeset in Times by George Over Limited, Rugby and London Printed by Unwin Brothers Limited, The Gresham Press, Old Woking, Surrey British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data International Conference on Environmental Future, 2nd, Reykjavik, 1977 Growth without ecodisasters? 1. Environmental policy - Congresses 2. Conservation of natural resources- Con gresses I. Title II. Polunin, Nicholas 301.3'1 HC79.E5 ISBN 978-1-349-03682-0 ISBN 978-1-349-03680-6 ( eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-03680-6 This book is sold subject to the standard conditions of the Net Book Agreement By Gracious Permission of the President of Iceland, H.E. Dr Kristjan Eldjarn, this Work is Dedicated to his Gallant Country and Stalwart People in Fond Admiration and Profound Gratitude for their Splendid Hostmanship of the 2nd ICEF Contents Foreword xiii Preface XV Opening of the Conference xxi Session 1: INTRODUCTION: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND THE BIOSPHERE Keynote Paper Part 1: An Economist's View and Questions, by JAN TINBERGEN 3 Keynote Paper Part II: A Biologist's View and Warnings, by DONALDJ.KUENEN 7 Discussion: Linus Pauling (Chairman), Donald J. Koenen (Co Keynoter presenting papers), Gordon C. Butler Panellist), Ralph Glasser (Panellist), Gudmundur Magnusson (Panellist), and 8 other discussants 19 Session 2: WHITHER THE ATMOSPHERE AND EARTH'S CLIMATES? Keynote Paper: Man's Increasing Impact on Climate: Atmos- pheric Processes, by HERMANN FLOHN 31 Discussion: Thomas F. Malone (Chairman), Hermann Flohn (Keynoter presenting paper), F. Kenneth Hare (Panellist), Hlynur Sigtryggsson (Panellist), Reid A. Bryson (Panellist), and 11 other discussants 45 Session 3: WHITHER TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS AND HABITATS? Keynote Paper: Whither Terrestrial Ecosystems? Preservation of the Habitat of Man, by F. RAYMOND FOSBERG 63 Discussion: Don Gill (Chairman), F. Raymond Fosberg (Keynoter presenting paper), Raymond F. Dasmann (Panellist), Perez M. Olindo (Panellist), Andrew H. Macpherson (Panellist), and 5 other discussants 83 Session 4: WHITHER FRESH WATERS AND THEIR BlOTA ? Keynote Paper Part 1: Whither Freshwater Biota?, by LETITIA E.OBENG ~ vii Keynote Paper Part II: Enlightened Management of Aquatic Biota, by ARTHUR D. HASLER 109 Discussion: E. Barton Worthington (Chairman), Arthur D. Hasler (Co-Keynoter presenting papers), Edward D. Gold berg (Panellist), James C. Knox (Panellist), Aristeo Renzoni (Panellist), and 7 other discussants 122 Session 5: WHITHER THE OCEANS AND SALT SEAS? Keynote Paper Part 1: Diagnosing the Future Health of the World Ocean, by EDWARD D. GOLDBERG 137 Keynote Paper Part II: Productivity Aspects with Special Reference to Fisheries, by SIDNEY J. HOLT 145 Discussion: Jakob Jakobsson (Chairman), Edward D. Goldberg (Co-Keynoter presenting papers), Anitra Thorhaug (Panellist), Jakob Magnusson (Panellist), N. V. C. Polunin (Panellist), Emanuel D. Rudolph (Panellist), and 6 other discussants 160 Session 6: THE PANDOMINANCE OF MAN Keynote Paper: The Pandominance of Man, by STANLEY P. JOHNSON 173 Discussion: Fatesinghrao Gaekwad (Chairman), Stanley P. John son (Keynoter presenting paper), Nicholas G. L. Guppy (Panellist), Donald J. Kuenen (Panellist), Bent Juel-Jensen (Panellist), and 8 other discussants 195 Session 7: DANGEROUS DEVEGET A TION AND MONO CULTURES Keynote Paper: Dangerous Devegetation and Monocultures, by STURLA FRIDRIKSSON 211 Discussion: Ramdeo Misra (Chairman), Sturla Fridriksson (Key noter presenting paper), F. Raymond Fosberg (Panel list), Koonlin Tan (Panellist), W. Ted Hinds (Panel- list), and 4 other discussants 224 Session 8: EXTREME URBANIZATION EFFECTS AND DANGERS Keynote Paper: Effects and Dangers of Extreme Urbanization: The High-density-Low-rise Layout as a Possible Planning Remedy, by PIERRE LACONTE 235 Discussion: Philip H. Jones (Chairman), Pierre Laconte (Key noter presenting paper), Peter B. Stone (Panellist), Reid A. Bryson (Panellist), Ralph Glasser (Panellist), and 5 other discussants 247 viii Session 9: WHITHER THE LIFE-SUPPORT SYSTEM? Keynote Paper: Whither the Life-support System?, by EUGENE P. ODUM & ELDON H. FRANZ 263 Discussion: Richard G. Miller (Chairman), Eldon H. Franz (Co Keynoter presenting paper), Norman Myers (Panel list), Erico Nicola (Panellist), Leila J. Baroody (Panellist), and 10 other discussants 275 Session 10: AGRICULTURE AND WORLD FEEDING ALTER NATIVES Keynote Paper: Ecological Constraints of Global Food Production, by GEORG BORGSTROM; presented by Ray- mond F. Dasmann 293 Discussion: Norman Myers (Chairman), Raymond F. Dasmann (Presenting paper for Keynoter), Koonlin Tan (Panel list), Petur Sigurbjornsson (Panellist), Thomas B. Starr (Panellist), Bjorn J6hannesson (Panellist), and 14 other discussants 324 Session 11: ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS OF ENERGY ALTERNATIVES Keynote Paper: Environmental Aspects of Energy Alternatives, by AMASAS. BISHOP&CLAUDEG. DUCRET 343 Discussion: R. Buckminster Fuller (Chairman), Claude G. Ducret (Co-Keynoter presenting paper), Maria Buchinger (Panellist), Pierre Laconte (Panellist), Dieter G. Altenpohl (Panellist), Torgny Schutt (Panellist), and 4 other discussants 366 Session 12: INDUSTRIAL ALTERNATIVES: NON-WASTE TECHNOLOGY Keynote Paper: Industrial Alternatives: Non-Waste Technology, by MICHAEL G. ROYSTON 379 Discussion: James C. Gilliland (Chairman), Michael G. Royston (Keynoter presenting paper), Philip H. Jones (Panellist), Charles T. Savin (Panellist), Thomas Malone (Panellist), George H. Robbins (Panellist), and 9 other-discussants 394 Session 13: SCARCITIES AND SOCIETAL OBJECTIVES Keynote Paper: Scarcities and Societal Objectives, by CLAIRE RUSSELL & W. M.S. RUSSELL; presented by Peter B. Stone 409 ix Discussion: Edward Goldsmith (Chairman), Peter B. Stone (Presenting paper for Keynoters), Gordon C. Butler (Panellist), David Dodson Gray (Panellist), Richard J. Borden (Panellist), and 7 other discussants 429 Session 14: LIFE-STYLE ALTERNATIVES Keynote Paper Part I: A Culture of Poverty, by E. F. SCHUMACHER 447 Keynote Paper Part II: Cultural, Social and Political Goals, by NICHOLAS Gt-PPY 453 Discussion: Erik Jensen (Chairman), Nicholas Guppy (Co-Key noter presenting papers), Ralph Glasser (Panellist), Kristi Franz (Panellist), Roger de Candolle (Panellist) 468 Session 15: ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT TOWARDS BIOSPHERAL EQUILIBRIUM Keynote Paper: Environmental Management and Biospheral Equilibrium, by MOSTAFA K. TOLBA; presented by Letitia E. Obeng 479 Discussion: Reid A. Bryson (Chairman), Letitia E. Obeng (Presenting paper for Keynoter), Perez M. Olindo (Panellist), E. Barton Worthington (Panellist), Donald J. Kuenen (Panellist), and 9 other discussants 491 Session 16: ETHICS OF BIOSPHERAL SURVIVAL Keynote Paper (in 5 parts): Ethics of Biospheral Survival: A Dialogue, by BEATRICE E. WIL LARD, EMMANUEL 0. A. ASIBEY, MARTIN W. HOLDGATE, YOICHI FUKUSHIMA, & ELIZA BETH and DAVID DODSON GRAY 505 Discussion: Bent Juel-Jensen (Chairman), David Dodson Gray (Co-Keynoter presenting paper), Elizabeth Dodson Gray (Co-Keynoter), F. Raymond Fosberg (Panellist), Anitra Thorhaug (Panellist), Khalid Hamid Sheikh (Panellist), and 11 other discussants 536 Session 17: COMMON LAWS FOR EARTH AND MANKIND Keynote Paper: Common Laws for Earth and Mankind: A Glorious Hope?, by GARY L. WIDMAN & GUNNAR G. SCHRAM 555 Discussion: Hjalmar R. Bardarson (Chairman), Gary L. Widman (Co-Keynoter presenting paper), Gunnar G. Schram (Co-Keynoter), John H. Crabb (Panellist), Charles X