Green Finance, Sustainable Development and the Belt and Road Initiative Can China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) promote sustainable development, alongside its primary aims of increasing commercial connectivity with China’s partners? In discussions of the BRI the focus has tended to be on the implications for infrastructure construction, connectivity, and economic diplomacy. Rather less attention has been paid to its potential impact on sustainability. The initiative has not only set principles to prevent climate change and promote sustainable devel- opment, but also pledged to align with the UN’s environmental objectives. The contributors to this volume describe and evaluate the consequent policy coord- ination in the areas of green finance, green energy, and sustainable development in the Belt and Road regions. They examine both the challenges and opportun- ities of these projects, and the role that Hong Kong can play in supporting their assessment, finance, and implementation. With contributions from authors based in mainland China, Hong Kong, Australia, Qatar, the UK, and the US – with experience in corporate social responsibility, international finance, environmental policy, and international relations – this book presents a thorough and rigorous analysis of the green side of the BRI. This is a valuable resource for scholars of the BRI and its many implications for China, its partners, and the development of sustainable infrastructure. Fanny M. Cheung is former Pro- Vice- Chancellor and Choh-Ming Li Professor of Psychology at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. She is currently Senior Advisor of Hong Kong Institute of Asia- Pacific Studies and Co- Convenor of the Global China Research Programme at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Ying- yi Hong is the Choh-M ing Li Professor of Management at the Faculty of Business, Associate Director of Hong Kong Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies and Co- Convenor of the Global China Research Programme at the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Routledge Studies on Asia in the World Routledge Studies on Asia in the World will be an authoritative source of know- ledge on Asia studying a variety of cultural, economic, environmental, legal, political, religious, security and social questions, addressed from an Asian per- spective. We aim to foster a deeper understanding of the domestic and regional complexities which accompany the dynamic shifts in the global economic, pol- itical and security landscape towards Asia and their repercussions for the world at large. We’re looking for scholars and practitioners – Asian and Western alike – from various social science disciplines and fields to engage in testing existing models which explain such dramatic transformation and to formulate new the- ories that can accommodate the specific political, cultural and developmental context of Asia’s diverse societies. We welcome both monographs and collective volumes which explore the new roles, rights and responsibilities of Asian nations in shaping today’s interconnected and globalized world in their own right. The Series is advised and edited by Matthias Vanhullebusch and Ji Weidong of Shanghai Jiao Tong University. Interpreting the Chinese Diaspora Identity, Socialisation, and Resilience According to Pierre Bourdieu Guanglun Michael Mu and Bonnie Pang Chinese Peace in Africa From Peacekeeper to Peacemaker Steven C.Y. Kuo The Quest for Legitimacy in Chinese Politics A New Interpretation Lanxin Xiang Indian Migrants in Tokyo A Study of Socio-Cultural, Religious and Working Worlds Megha Wadhwa Green Finance, Sustainable Development and the Belt and Road Initiative Edited by Fanny M. Cheung and Ying-yi Hong Find the full list of books in the series here: https://www.routledge.com/ Routledge-Studies-on-Asia-in-the-World/book-series/RSOAW Green Finance, Sustainable Development and the Belt and Road Initiative Edited by Fanny M. Cheung and Ying- yi Hong First published in English 2021 by Routledge 2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2021 selection and editorial matter, Fanny M. Cheung and Ying- yi Hong; individual chapters, the contributors The right of Fanny M. Cheung and Ying- yi Hong to be identified as the authors of the editorial material, and of the authors for their individual chapters, has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. British Library Cataloguing- in- Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging- in- Publication Data A catalog record has been requested for this book ISBN: 978- 0- 367- 89880- 9 (hbk) ISBN: 978- 1- 003- 02166- 7 (ebk) Typeset in Galliard by Newgen Publishing UK Contents List of figures vii List of tables xi List of contributors xiii Introduction 1 SECTION 1 BRI and national competitiveness 13 1 Development in the Belt and Road Regions from a competitiveness perspective: the first lustrum review 15 VICTOR ZHENG AND HUA GUO SECTION 2 Renminbi internationalization and green finance 31 2 The Belt and Road Initiative and China’s green foreign direct investment 33 WEN WANG AND FANXIN YANG 3 Sustainability of RMB internationalization 58 CHEUNG-K WOK LAW 4 China’s rising consumerism, RMB internationalization, and sustainable growth 89 MINGGAO SHEN AND JIANGHUI CHEN 5 Understanding green bond challenges: a stakeholder’s perspective 119 DAVID C. BROADSTOCK, LOUIS T.W. CHENG, AND TIANTIAN WANG vi Content SECTION 3 Green energy, technology, and manufacturing 157 6 Advancement of environmental sustainability through LNG: the case of Qatar– China relations 159 STEVEN WRIGHT 7 Technological assessment of CO capture and EOR/ EGR/ 2 ECBM- based storage 177 GUOPING HU, KAI JIANG, RUI WANG, AND KEVIN GANG LI 8 Meeting the green challenges and opportunities of Hong Kong manufacturers in China’s Belt and Road pathway: the Pearl River Delta experiences 216 NING LIU, CARLOS WING-HUNG LO, AND PANSY HON YING LI SECTION 4 Green development and public-p rivate partnership 233 9 Greening China’s Belt and Road Initiative: a role for Chinese NGOs to go global? 235 KATHINKA FÜRST 10 High- hanging fruits and the Belt and Road Initiative: sustainability through entrepreneurship 261 GORDON C.K. CHEUNG 11 An integrated approach to sustainable infrastructure standards for the Belt and Road Initiative 285 STEPHEN Y. S. WONG, JOHNSON C. S. KONG, GLORIA W. T. LUO, AND NATALIE H.T. LAU Index 311 Figures 1.1 The average scores of GCI in Belt and Road and non- Belt and Road economies: 2007– 2018 20 1.2 The average scores of Basic Requirements in Belt and Road and non- Belt and Road economies: 2007– 2018 22 1.3 The average scores of Efficiency Enhancers in Belt and Road and non-B elt and Road economies: 2007– 2018 23 1.4 The average scores of Innovation and Sophistication Factors in Belt and Road and non-B elt and Road economies: 2007– 2018 23 1.5 The average scores of GCI by geographical regions in the Belt and Road regions: 2007– 2018 25 2.1 China’s FDI flow (in USD100 million) 37 2.2 Regional distribution of China’s FDI 2013– 2017 (in USD100 million) 38 2.3 Industrial distribution of China’s FDI Flow 2013– 2017 (in USD100 million) 39 2.4 China’s foreign contracting projects (in USD100 million) 40 3.1 China’s current account, foreign exchange reserves and net inflow of foreign direct investment 61 3.2 RMB/ USD exchange rate and foreign reserves of China 62 3.3 Average foreign exchange daily turnover 2016 (USD bn) 64 3.4 SWIFT global payment flow by share: top 15 currencies (March 2018) 65 3.5 Cross- border trade settlements in RMB in China 65 3.6 RMB deposits and cross- border trade settlements in Hong Kong 67 3.7 Renminbi outstanding loans (RMB bn) 69 3.8 China- related loans and advances 70 3.9 Total government debt securities outstanding (USD bn, Q4 2017) 73 4.1 Major countries’ manufacturing sector as % of G20 total (%) 91 4.2 Major countries’ private consumption as % of G20 total (%) 92 4.3 Major economies’ GDP as % of global total (%, measured in PPP) 92 4.4 China vs. global, 1978–2 016 growth (real value, times) 93 viii List of figures 4.5 China’s exports, investment, and consumption as % of G20 total (%) 94 4.6 Per capita consumer spending of major countries relative to the US (%) 94 4.7 G20 per capita GDP and private consumption as % of GDP, 2015 (%) 95 4.8 Per capita GDP and private consumption, 2015 (US$) 96 4.9 Major countries’ private consumption growth in 1986– 2016 (real value, times) 96 4.10 Export, manufacturing, and consumption growth in Japan and Korea (real value, times) 97 4.11 Japan growth path: GDP and consumption forecasts, China vs. US (US$ trn) 98 4.12 China current growth path: GDP and consumption forecasts, China vs. US (US$ trn) 99 4.13 Major countries’ food spending as % of total consumption (%) 100 4.14 Motor vehicles per 1000 residents (unit) 100 4.15 US consumption growth and proportion changes (1976– 2006, pp) 101 4.16 Japan consumption growth and proportion changes (1970– 2000, pp) 102 4.17 Subsectors with a rising proportion in total spending in Japan (%) 102 4.18 Subsectors with a declining proportion in total spending in Japan (%) 103 4.19 Per capita GDP and consumption- to- GDP ratio in different provinces (2016, %) 103 4.20 Food spending as % of total consumer spending in different provinces (2016, %) 104 4.21 Food spending as % of total consumer spending in selected regions (%) 105 4.22 Per- 1,000 resident vehicle ownership in selected regions (unit) 105 4.23 Proportion of consumer staples spending by region (%) 106 4.24 Consumer staples and discretionary spending growth by region (2002– 2016, nominal value) 106 4.25 Proportion of spending on consumer discretionary in selected regions (%) 107 4.26 Provincial savings rate and proportion of spending on consumer staples (%) 108 4.27 Market shares of China’s goods exports and manufacturing sector among G20 countries (%) 109 4.28 China’s exports as % of industrial and agricultural total production (%) 109 4.29 US GDP and manufacturing sector as % of G20 total (%) 110 4.30 China trade deficit vs. consumption, as % of GDP (%) 111 List of figures ix 4.31 Shares of Forex turnover, consumption, and trade, 2016 (%) 112 4.32 Trade- surplus- to- GDP ratio and level of currency internationalization (%) 113 4.33 Trade surplus/ deficit for major regions, 2016 (US$ bn) 113 4.34 Shares of Forex turnover and ODI (%) 114 4.35 China’s trade surplus/d eficit with G20 countries (2017, US$ bn) 115 4.36 China’s trade balance with BRI countries (2017, US$ bn) 115 4.37 Major countries’ share gap between consumption expenditure share and manufacturing value added share in G20 total (%) 116 4.38 Global top 100 retail and consumption companies by country 117 5.1 Logistic growth curve- based projections of the dollar value of the green bond market 121 5.2 S&P Bond Indices over time – daily data spanning Jan. 2007 to Oct. 2018 138 5.3 Coupon rates on green bonds from for- profit issuers (left panel) and non-p rofit issuers (right panel), 2013– 2018 141 5.4 The green- bond/ ESG investment loop 148 5.5 Integrating social and financial returns into a composite performance indicator 150 7.1 A schematic diagram of carbon capture and storage (Image courtesy of CO2CRC, with permission to reuse) 178 7.2 Technologies for CO capture (Hu 2018; with permission 2 to reuse) 180 7.3 A solvent absorption process for CO capture (Image courtesy 2 of CO2CRC, with permission to reuse) 181 7.4 A typical sorbent adsorption process for capturing CO (Image 2 courtesy of CO2CRC, with permission to reuse) 183 7.5 A representative of adsorption isotherm (T1<T2) 183 7.6 A schematic diagram of a rotary TSA facility 184 7.7 Membrane separation mechanisms (Image courtesy of CO2CRC, with permission to reuse) 186 7.8 A simplified schematic chemical looping process 187 7.9 A carbonic anhydrase catalyzed mineralization process of MgO (Power et al. 2016; with permission to reuse) 188 7.10 A simplified schematic of the carbonate looping process 188 7.11 A simplified diagram of cryogenics distillation (Image courtesy of CO2CRC, with permission to reuse) 189 7.12 CO geological storage options (Image courtesy of CO2CRC, 2 with permission to reuse) 190 7.13 Stratigraphic and structural trapping mechanism (CO Capture 2 Project (CCP 2015), with permission to reuse) 192 7.14 Residual trapping mechanism (CO Capture Project (CCP 2 2015), with permission to reuse) 192 7.15 Solubility trapping mechanism (CO Capture Project (CCP 2 2015), with permission to reuse) 193