Greater Toronto Area 3Rs analysis

382 Pages·1993·12.5 MB·English

by  M.M. Dillon Limited

Z^^'i
GREATERTORONTO AREA3Rs ANALYSIS
SERVICE TECHNICAL APPENDIX
DRAFT NOVEMBER
- 1993
@ Ministryof
Ontario Environment
andEnergy

ISBN0-7778-2032-3(9v. set)
ISBN0-7778-2035-8(thisv.)
GREATERTORONTOAREA3RsANALYSIS
SERVICETECHNICALAPPENDIX
Prepared byResourceIntegrationSystemsLtd.
for
FiscalPlanningandInformationManagementBranch
MinistryofEnvironmentandEnergy
DRAFT-NOVEMBER 1993
IIn'existepasdeversion françaisedecedocument.
Pourenobtenirun sommaireen français, oupourdeplusamples
renseignements,veuillezcomposezle 1-800-661-9294
Copyright: Queen'sPrinterforOntario, 1993
Thispublication maybereproduced fornon-commercialpurposes
withappropriateattribution.
PIBS2748
ThisreportwaspreparedfortheOntarioMinistryofEnvironmentandEnergyaspartofaMinistry-
fundedproject Mentionoftradenamesorcommercialproductsdoesnotconstituteendorsementor
recommendationoftheiruse.
TableofContents
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
Page
1.0 Introduction 1-1
1.1 Background 1-1
1.2 PurposeofStudy 1-1
1.3 StudyApproach 1-2
1.4 PurposeoftheServiceAssessmentandStudyObjectives 1-2
1.5 OutlineofReport 1-3
2.0 ApproachandMethod 2-1
2.1 hitroduction 2-1
2.2 WasteDiversionSystemDevelopmentProcess 2-1
2.3 Step1:DefiningKeyAssumptions 2-1
2.4 Step2:IdentifyingWasteDiversionThemes 2-2
2.5 Step3:IdentifyingtheLongListofComponents 2-6
2.6 Step4:ComponentScreerung 2-7
2.6.1 ScreeningCriteria 2-7
2.6.2 Categorizationof"ShortList"Components 2-8
2.6.3 ResultsofComponentScreening 2-11
2.7 Step5:DevelopmentofPotentialAlternativeResidential
WasteDiversionSystemsfortheGTA 2-18
2.8 Step6:DevelopingPotentialAlternativeIC&IWasteDiversion
SystemsfortheGTA 2-19
2.9 ImpactAssessmentCriteria 2-21
2.10 DataSources 2-21
2.11 Assumptions 2-22
2.12 MethodsofAnalysis 2-22
2.13 DefinitionofWaste 2-22
3.0 ResidentialWasteGenerationandCompositionEstimates 3-1
3.1 General 3-1
3.2 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesandProjections 3-1
3.2.1 Introduction 3-1
3.2.2 PopulationDataandForecasts 3-2
3.2.3 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofDurham 3-2
3.2.4 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesforMetropolitan
Toronto 3-4
3.2.5 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofYork 3-5
3.2.6 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofPeel 3-6
3.2.7 ResidentialWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofHalton 3-7
3.3 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimates 3-8
3.3.1 GeneralApproach 3-8
3.3.2 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimateforRegionofDurham 3-10
3.3.3 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimateforMetropolitan
Toronto 3-11
3.3.4 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimateforRegionofYork 3-12
3.3.5 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimateforRegionofPeel 3-13
3.3.6 ResidentialWasteCompositionEstimateforRegionofHalton 3-14
TableofContents(cont'd)
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
Page
3.4 References 3-16
4.0 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimates 4-1
4.1 Introduction 4-1
4.2 ResidentialSystemDescriptions 4-1
4.2.1 ResidentialSystem1-Existing 4-1
4.2.2 ResidentialSystem2-Existing/Committed 4-2
4.2.3 ResidentialSystem3-DirectCost 4-3
4.2.4 ResidentialSystem4-ExpandedBlueBox 4-4
4.2.5 ResidentialSystem5-Wet/DrySystem 4-5
4.2.6 ResidentialSystem6-MixedWasteProcessingSystem 4-6
4.3 MethodologyUsedforDiversionEstimates 4-8
4.3.1 SourceReduction 4-8
4.3.2 BackyardComposting 4-10
4.3.3 ExistingSystem 4-12
4.3.4 Existing/CommittedSystem 4-13
4.3.5 DirectCost 4-15
4.3.6 ExpandedBlueBox 4-18
4.3.7 Wet/Dry(Three-Stream) 4-20
4.3.8 MixedWasteProcessing 4-23
4.4 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimatesforRegionofDurham 4-25
4.4.1 RegionofDurhamExistingSystem 4-26
4.4.2 RegionofDurhamExisting/CommittedSystem 4-31
4.4.3 RegionofDurhamDirectCostSystem 4-32
4.4.4 RegionofDurhamExpandedBlueBoxSystem 4-33
4.4.5 RegionofDurhamWet/DrySystem 4-33
4.4.6 RegionofDurhamMixedWasteProcessingSystem 4-34
4.4.7 RegionofDurhamSummary 4-34
4.5 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimatesforMetropolitanToronto 4-35
4.5.1 MetroExistingSystem 4-35
4.5.2 MetroExisting/CommittedSystem 4-43
4.5.3 MetroDirectCostSystem 4-46
4.5.4 MetroExpandedBlueBoxSystem • 4-47
4.5.5 MetroWet/DrySystem 4-47
4.5.6 MetroMixedWasteProcessingSystem 4-48
4.5.7 MetropolitanTorontoSummary 4-48
4.6 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimatesofRegionYork 4^18
4.6.1 RegionofYorkExistingSystem 4-49
4.6.2 RegionofYorkExisting/CommittedSystem 4-54
4.6.3 RegionofYorkDirectCostSystem 4-56
4.6.4 RegionofYorkExpandedBlueBoxSystem 4-56
4.6.5 RegionofYorkWet/DrySystem 4-57
4.6.6 RegionofYorkMixedWasteProcessingSystem 4-57
4.6.7 RegionofYorkSummary 4-58
TableofContents(cont'd)
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
Page
4.7 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimatesforRegionofPeel 4-58
4.7.1 RegionofPeelExistingSystem 4-58
4.7.2 RegionofPeelExisting/CommittedSystem 4-63
4.7.3 RegionofPeelDirectCostSystem 4-66
4.7.4 RegionofPeelExpandedBlueBoxSystem 4-66
4.7.5 RegionofPeelWet/DrySystem 4-67
4.7.6 RegionofPeelMixedWasteProcessingSystem 4-68
4.7.7 RegionofPeelSummary 4-68
4.8 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimatesforRegionofHalton 4-68
4.8.1 RegionofHaltonExistingSystem 4-68
4.8.2 RegionofHaltonExisting/CommittedSystem 4-72
4.8.3 OtherResidentialDiversionSystemsforRegionofHalton 4-74
4.9 References 4-75
5,0 IC&IWasteProjectionsandComposition 5-1
5.1 Introduction 5-1
5.2 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimates 5-1
5.2.1 DataandMethodologyUsed 5-1
5.2.2 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofDurham 5-2
5.2.3 IC&IWasteGenerationestimatesforMetroToronto 5-3
5.2.4 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofYork 5-3
5.2.5 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofPeel 5-4
5.2.6 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimatesforRegionofHalton 5-4
5.2.7 IC&IWasteGenerationEstimatesfortheGTA 5-5
5.3 IC&IWasteAllocationtoIC&IGenerators 5-5
5.3.1 General 5-5
5.3.2 MethodUsed 5-6
5.3.3 WasteAllocationEstimates 5-6
5.3.4 ApplicationofWasteAllocationMethodUsing1992
TheoreticalWasteGenerationEstimate 5-8
5.4 IC&IWasteCompositionEstimates 5-10
5.4.1 WasteCategoriesUsed 5-10
5.4.2 WasteCompositionEstimatesandResults 5-11
5.5 References 5-12
6.0 IC&ISystemWasteDiversionEstimates 6-1
6.1 Introduction 6-1
6.2 IC&ISystemDescriptions 6-1
6.3 EstimatesofWasteDiversionRatesbytheIC&IExistingSystem 6-9
6.3.1 ApproachtoEstimatingCurrentWasteDiversionLevels 6-9
6.3.2 TheoreticalDiversionEstimateforExistingIC&ISystem 6-12
6.4 EstimatesofWasteDiversionbytheExisting/Committed
IC&ISystem 6-19
6.4.1 ApproachtoWasteDiversionEstimate 6-19
TableofContents(cont'd)
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
Page
6.4.2 Sector-specificAssumptionsonwhichExisting/Connmitted
IC&ISystemDiversionEstimateswereBased 6-21
6.4.3 Material-specificAssumptionsonwhichExisting/Committed
IC&ISystemDiversionEstimatesBased 6-25
6.4.4 RangeofDiversionEstimatesforExisting/CommittedIC&I
System 6-28
6.5 EstimatesofWasteDiversionbytheIC&IExtended3RsRegulations
System 6-29
6.6 EstimatesofWasteDiversionbytheIC&IExpanded3RsRegulations
System 6-31
6.7 EstimatesofWasteDiversionbytheIC&IExpanded3RsRegulations
WithOrganicsSystem 6-32
6.8 EstimatesofWasteDiversionbytheNoUnprocessedIC&IWasteto
LandfillSystem 6-33
6.9 References 6-34
7.0 GTA3RsAnalysis-AssessmentandEvaluationofthe3RsSystem 7-1
7.1 Overview 7-1
7.2 NetEffectsAnalysis 7-1
7.2.1 MethodologyDescription 7-1
7.2.2 ServiceCriteria 7-2
7.2.3 ResidentialCriteriaRanking 7-3
7.2.4 ResidentialSystemRankingApproach 7-4
7.2.5 IC&ICriteriaRanking 7-4
7.2.6 IC&ISystemRankingApproach 7-5
7.3 RegionalComparativeEvaluations 7-5
7.3.1 ResidentialSystemsforRegionofDurham 7-5
7.3.2 ResidentialSystemsforMetroToronto 7-9
7.3.3 ResidentialSystemsforRegionofYork 7-13
7.3.4 ResidentialSystemsforRegionofPeel 7-18
IC&ISystemsfortheGTA 7-22
SummaryofFindings 7-25
8.0 RegionalWasteDiversionProjections 8-1
8.1 Introduction 8-1
8.2 ResidentialWasteDivertedandDisposed 8-1
8.3 IC&IWasteDivertedandDisposed 8-2
8.4 RegionalDiversionEstimates 8-3
8.4.1 RegionofDurham 8-4
8.4.2 MetroToronto 8-5
8.4.3 RegionofYork 8-5
8.4.4 MetroTorontoandRegionofYorkCombined 8-6
8.4.5 RegionofPeel 8-6
8.5 Conclusion 8-7
ListofTables
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
FollowsPage
2.1 Summary ofComponentCategorization Process onpg.2-6
2.2 LongListofComponents 2-7
2.3 Potential Diversion Impacts ofSecondary Enhancement
Components onpg.2-8
2.4 GTA Systems Assessment: Alternative System
Assessment/Evaluation Criteria for Service Discipline 2-17
3.1 Population Projections by Region 3-2.
3.2 HouseholdsbyRegionandDwellingType,GTA 3-2
3.3 Residential Waste ManagementHistory - Region ofDurham 3-3
3.4 Preliminary Waste Generation Estimate - Region ofDurham 3-3
3.5 Residential WasteManagement History - Metro Toronto 3-4
3.6 Preliminary Waste Generation Estimate - Metro Toronto 3-4
3.7 Residential WasteManagementHistory- Region ofYork 3-5
3.8 Preliminary WasteGeneration Estimate- Region ofYork 3-6
3.9 Residential Waste Management History- RegionofPeel 3-6
3.10 Preliminary Waste Generation Estimate- Region ofPeel 3-7
3.11 Residential Waste ManagementHistory - RegionofHalton 3-7
3.12 Preliminary WasteGeneration Estimate- Region ofHalton 3-7
3.13 Comparison of Residential Waste Compositions 3-8
3.14 Residential WasteComposition Estimates - Region ofDurham 3-10
3.15 Residential Waste Composition Estimates - Metro Toronto 3-11
3.16 Residential Waste Composition Estimates - Region ofYork 3-12
3.17 Residential Waste Composition Estimates - Region ofPeel 3-13
3.18 Residential Waste Composition Estimates - Region ofHalton 3-14
4.1 Quinte "Blue Box 2000" Capture Rates 4-16
4.2 Summary of Existing Residential Waste Diversion System
Performance- Region ofDurham 1992 4-27
4.3 ResidentialSystemDiversion Estimates (BaseCase) - Region
of Durham 4-34
4.4 Residential System Diversion Estimates (Sensitivity Analysis) -
Region of Durham 4-34
4.5 Summary of Existing Residential Waste Diversion System
Performance - MetroToronto 1992 4-36
4.6 Residential System Diversion Estimates (BaseCase) -
Metro Toronto 4-48
4.7 Residential System Diversion Estimates (Sensitivity Analysis) -
Metro Toronto ^ 4-48
4.8 Summary of Existing Residential Waste Diversion System
Performance-RegionofYork1992 4-50
4.9 Residential SystemDiversion Estimates (BaseCase) -RegionofYork 4-58
4.10 Residential System Diversion Estimates (Sensitivity Analysis) -
Region ofYork 4-58
ListofTables(cont'd)
ServiceTechnicalAppendix
FollowsPage
4.11 Summary of Existing Residential Waste Diversion System
Performance-RegionofPeel 1992 4-59
4.12 ResidentialSystemDiversionEstimates (BaseCase) - RegionofPeel 4-68
4.13 Residential System Diversion Estimates (Sensitivity Analysis) -
RegionofPeel 4-68
4.14 Summary of Existing Residential Waste Diversion System
Performance- RegionofHalton 1992 4-69
5;i SummaryofAvailable DataonIC&IWasteDisposal inGTA
Regions, 1986-1992 5-1
5.2 EstimatedNumberofEmployees and EstimatedIC&IGeneration Rates
in GTA Regions, 1986-1992 5-1
5.3 Employment EstimatesbyGTARegion 1986to1992, andEmployment
PredictionsbyGTARegion, 1993-2015 5-1
5.4 IC&IWasteGenerationProjections forGTARegions, 1993 to 2015 5-2
5.5 Allocation ofEmployment to TenMajorSIC Groups in Each GTA
Region, 1992 5-7
5.6 EstimatedUnitWasteGeneration Rates for theNine Major Sector
Groups ByGTARegion,1992 5-8
5.7 Estimateof C&DWasteGenerationforeachGTA Region 5-9
5.8 Estimated Allocation ofIC&IWasteGeneration to MajorIC&I
GroupsinGTARegions, 1992 5-9
5.9 Estimated CompositionofC&DWasteinGreaterTorontoArea 5-10
5.10 Estimated IC&IWasteGeneration and Composition byMajor
IC&ISectorinGTA, 1992 5-11
6.1 AssumedCurrentDiversionRateofIC&IWasteStreamby Material 6-13
6.2 Estimate atDiversionofIC&IWasteUnderExistingSystem:
Greater Toronto Area 6-13
6.3 EstimateofDiversion ofIC&IWasteUnderExisting/Committed
System (20% Capture): GreaterTorontoArea 6-20
6.4 EstimateofDiversion ofIC&IWasteUnder Existing/Committed
System (40% Capture): GreaterToronto Area 6-20
6.5 EstimateofDiversionofIC&IWasteUnder Existing/Committed
System(60% Capture): GreaterTorontoArea 6-20
6.6 AssumedAllocation atCurrentIC&IRecycling toGeneratorsSubject
andNotSubject to3Rs Regulations 6-21
6.7 EstimateofDiversionofIC&IWasteUnderExtended3RsSystem:
Greater Toronto Area 6-30
6.8 EstimateofDiversionofIC&IWasteUnderExpanded3RsSystem:
Greater Toronto Area 6-32
6.9 EstimateofDiversionofIC&IWasteUnderExpanded 3Rs with
OrganicsSystem: GreaterTorontoArea 6-32
6.10 NoUnprocessedWaste toLandfill SystemUnderGreaterToronto Area6-33