e _ it E d s i w ti Globalisation and Emerging Economies o o r y n bRAZiL, RUssiA, inDiA, inDOnEsiA, CHinA AnD sOUTH AFRiCA Globalisation l B n O OECD countries still dominate the world economy, but their share of world trade has declined, and some of the world’s most important economies are not members of the OECD. Foremost among and EmergingD Econod mies e these are the so-called BRIICS: Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa. a l u C e This book analyses key elements of the trade performance of the BRIICS in relation to the rest of the bRAZiL, RUssiA, inDiA, inDOnEsiA, e R world, focusing on trade and other policies influencing that performance. Developments in global E s CHinA AnD sOUTH AFRiCA trade policy are reviewed, notably the impact of preferential trade agreements on the multilateral G O lo e system, and patterns of world trade are described using both indices that reveal networks of trading b r a n u rAeTtdherxesaelaas d wmtcnieoreoi innplenl isxt-nai spogsapne nttesrhhdtc.see im a wgkloielsiolrylte b, fi d assnelot dvaa tennmeldaoculaphycrnsmdhiisc enm,an etlot hw mdae en aabldntieno dtrgor iai aknrl de taieesslrsu eikosltse sstppu.inrtee gtsso mei nana temtsea iracni ahisml eohupfem atrhre,a e,a t bens uidcxt h ictsaho paeut cenbcrtoor fiomeoksrp ieosaav ndceieehr ds toih gbfe nyt hep meda soBmtr Refae IiiInwnClty Suy i,fet oiavrr es . lisation and Emerging Economies bRAZiL, RUs BGBbTgtBTgGtbgrrrlrlRlRRRRLLoaoaioiiiOAAOIcIdIdcbbbIIIseCaeCsDaCDaBB lllgSbSbgESAEAiiisssrlrl LaLaaoTTGoiTGiiitttIcIcbbRRRSiSiLiLoosasoaAAAOAOA nlnnlggiTi DT D DsBBsltlttIaIaoorErErEOAAOttbabaa i iLLNoNGoGdaGdadIInlelnee SSLLLiBi B sstbObOAtbOAaaRrRrrrrTTttBBBaiaiIiiIiiiIiIoIodcIcdcAAOAOCCnnsesseLLLNNS S bgtgtbIII S S SrrrlrlTBBToaoaiAAiAiRiRRcRddcbbTTTseAaesaAIIIIII I llOOODCgbCbDgiissrlrNlNNESSEaaooiiiit t ccbbGBBiTGioosasaRRR L nlLnlggii O AOsIIsltltIIaaoCorCrDBBttbabaiSSAiEAoodada nLlelnLeTTGii I sIstRbRbStSLaarrrrAtAtAOAaiaiiiiiToTodDcDcdBnInsesIeEEOAO bggtb LNNGGrrlrlIooai i SLLiiBBcdcbbOOAsaesRaRT lBlBgbIgIiiIIsIsAlrAOlCCaaooiLLittNSScbbiiIIooas a S STBT nlnlAgAiRi R sRs t l T TaaAorAIItItIaObODCiDioodaNNESnEelni stbGBtBTarrrRtRRLaiaiiOodcAdIIIInseeCCDB bgtSSAErrl LoaiTTGicIdbRRSLsaeA AAO lgbiTsDDBlraIoiEEOAitcbi oLNasGG nlI gSLiL BstlOOAaorRtTBBabiIAoIdIaAAOCnelLLi NSstbIIa r SrSTtBaiAAiiRodcRTTnseAIII IOObgDtCLrrlNNESoaii c dbGBTsaeeR lRLgbiOsAIlrIaoiCDBcitcbiSAEoas nl LgTGti sItlRSaLortAAOabioTdaDBnelIEOAi stb LaNrGrtIai iSiLBodcOAnseR T BbgtIIIrrlAOCoaiiLcNSdbIsae ST lgbAiRslrTaoAiitIcbOiDoasNE nli s s iA , in D iA , in T T sFshohoooreuu wwws mrrfeuccwwwo leewlwwwr eOOti...et ssshiEExnooo CCtfauuu ocoDDrrrrccccfm @eeeeitsahsoooo tisteeeiseho ccc tcenboddd d o Oa...a.oooobolElrrrk orgggCO gui///DsEte.t9 r C7mtaaoh8vnDnei9assl ri i2binglata6oieiwonb4 onlgali0keberes4d rcco a4-ooonrw8nynn 0i l oniool7ninmnmfe iebn ii evegosiss ohas//o k9e9tsuh7r7,vle8 8dips9c9 euee22rs 66ilaoei4n4n d0tk0dhi4cs4 ifas4:4r le88slie0n 0a 7k7tnr:i da lsst, aatsiskt icyoalu dr alitbarbaarisaens, .o r write to us at DOnEsiA, CHinA AnD sOUTH AFRiCA gtTGbBTtrlrRRrRLoaiiaAOdAcbIdIeasDCDBe lbg ESAEibsrl aLroiGTGiticIbiRiScLLosasOA AOnlg i TgDBsBltIalorAEOAotbai LbLNodaGaIlIen SSlLi B sGibtAOAsaRrrLaTtTBiatiIOiIoIcIdiOAOoCnsBenLN NS Agtb It r SlrLBTBroaiAIiRaRdcbRSTdeasAIAIeI I lIObCDg CTibsrlINSESarOoiiti c biTiGNBTcosaRsR nR Llbg Bi AOgAsIrltIRaloriDCDBiotcbaIiESIAEbsodaCa lenLgGTGSli sIlibtRSsL LaorrTatOAAObiatRiioTcadiDBBoAnlsIeAEnOiA sDgtb LaLNtrGlrEtrIIoai SiS LiaoBdcbGAdOAneasRBLeT T lBtbg IOiRIIbsIrrOlAOCarIBaoiIitLNiNdcSCbiAicIosea SSsLBT Bnlbg A Ii RgRsRTrSlt t TaloriArRIAIiotIIcIbaaOCDCiTAbsodadaI NSElSDeneOgli s lEibtbTGNBTsaorrr aRtRR LGbiaitiBiiocaAOdciAILogInlRsseDCDBOnli sIogtbg ESIAEaBtrCblrlt r LoaoAaiGiTGSiaodcbIlbLRSdLn iLeasasTIe OA lAOlSatbg RiitTbsrsDrBABliAaraaIooiTiAEOtAtidcnDbiiIic oLesoLN OaGEst nInlIbgr S NS iL BgsrGlattAOA aloridrRBiLotTcTbaeBaiITObRsIoda IdIOAbOCa RlenIeBgrlIi LN NsSAClibAitbsiIao c rr DrSSatLBTBbsiaitiiA iEIoRac RdciRTSogTln sseARIGAnIli I IsIogtObg CDCTAaLtrblrltIrNSEOSDoaoaOiiiaod cbl bBETGdNBTnieasas eAR R llR LGatbg BiitLbsrAOsArIlLiaIrRIaaooiDCDBSiOtttidcnbiIriicEASIoAEesoB aCats n Tnl LdbgArG TGSi IgsIrelattOLRSL alLo ridrTibIotcOANAObaSeariRbsoda Td DBABiba BileAneIcgrTliAEO A sRsDlibitbIsi aLo LNOcrrGrIaEgtIbIIsiaiti SCiNlSi Loac BdciGoogAlnOAsS seRbBnliL T sT aBogtbg ITORaItIrlIblrlOAtOCRrioaIBoaisiIiaoLNdcbNSlaAbCAdnieItasas DSSei LBT lBloatbg iA iEItRbsrnsRrRTSliTar aao oiARIGiAtIttidIcInIbiriOCiDcCTAoesLo aats InNSEnlOSDbdgOr i gsr elat t isbn 978-92-64-04480-7 -:HSTCQE=UYY]U\: 51 2008 06 1 P www.oecd.org/publishing e _ it E s di w t i o o y n r l B n O D d e a l C u e R e E s O e r n u t A c Le About OECD Browse_it editions In a traditional bookshop you can browse the display copies from cover-to-cover, free of charge. Wouldn't it be good to be able to do the same online? Now you can. OECD's Browse_it editions allow you to browse our books, online, from cover-to-cover. But, just as in a real bookshop where you can't take or copy pages from the books on display, we've disabled the print and copy functions in our Browse-it editions - they're read-only. And, just as in a real bookshop, you may choose to buy or borrow from a library some titles you've browsed, so we hope you'll buy or borrow our books when they meet your needs. Tell us what you think about our Browse-it service, write to us at [email protected]. Buying OECD Publications You can purchase OECD books and e-books from our Online Bookshop - www.oecd.org/bookshop where, if you purchase printed editions you can download the e-book edition free of charge. Our books are also available from a network of distributors, click the 'Distributors' button on this website: www.oecd.org/publications/distributors to find your nearest OECD publications stockist. OECD Publications in Libraries You'll find OECD publications in many institutional libraries around the world, especially at universities and in government libraries. Many subscribe to the OECD's own e-library, SourceOECD. SourceOECD provides online acess to our books, periodicals and statistical databases. If your institutional library does not yet subscribe to SourceOECD, tell your librarian about our free three-month trial offer. For more details about SourceOECD visit http://new.SourceOECD.org or email [email protected]. OECD has a network of Depository Libraries in each Member country where all OECD printed publications are available for consultation - www.oecd.org/deposoitorylibraries for a list. 001-002-999.fm Page 1 Thursday, January 29, 2009 10:37 AM e _ it E d s i w ti o o r y n l B n O D d e a l u C e e R E s O e r Globalisation annd u A t c L e Emerging Economies BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA, INDONESIA, CHINA AND SOUTH AFRICA 001-002-999.fm Page 2 Tuesday, January 27, 2009 2:21 PM e _ it E d s i w ti o o r y n l B n O D d e a l u C e e R ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC ECO-OPERATION s O AND DEVELOPMENT e r n u A t c L e The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. Corrigenda to OECD publications may be found on line at:www.oecd.org/publishing/corrigenda. © OECD 2008 You can copy, download or print OECD content for your own use, and you can include excerpts from OECD publications, databases and multimedia products in your own documents, presentations, blogs, websites and teaching materials, provided that suitable acknowledgment of OECD as source and copyright owner is given. All requests for public or commercial use and translation rights should be submitted [email protected]. Requests for permission to photocopy portions of this material for public or commercial use shall be addressed directly to the Copyright Clearance Center (CCC) [email protected] or the Centre français d'exploitation du droit de copie (CFC) [email protected]. 3 e _ it E FOREWORD – d s i w ti o o Foreword r y n l B n O This publication takes stock of the increasing integration of leading developing countries into the global trading system, the potential for further economic gains throDugh market openidn g reform, and thee a l associated policy implications. It seeks to shed light, in particular, on the situation of the so-calleud C e BRIICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa) through thematic aned R individual country studies. E s O e The publication was edited by Raed Safadi and Ralph Lattimore. Jacqueline Maher and Crlarisse n u Legendre prepared, respectively, the written materials for the chapters andA the data, tables antd charts for c L e the book. Laura Munro provided research assistance. Patrick Love and Deborah Pike at OECD/PAC delivered guidance and inputs throughout the book preparation, printing and distribution phases of the project. Author credits for the individual chapters are shown in the table of contents. This publication represents a team effort and the contribution of each participant is gratefully acknowledged by the OECD Trade and Agriculture Directorate, which had the lead in managing the project under the overall supervision of Ken Ash, Deputy Director and Stefan Tangermann, Director. GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING ECONOMIES – ISBN-978-92-64-04480-7© OECD 2008 e _ it E d s i w ti o o r y n l B n O D d e a l u C e e R E s O e r n u A t c L e 5 e _ itAUETHOR AFFLIATIONS – d s i w ti o o r y n l B n Author Affiliations O Novella Bottini OECD and Universita Cattaneo (LIDVC), Castellanza, Idt aly. e a l u Martina Garcia OECD. C e e R Malory Greene OECD. E s Kozo Kiyota Yokohama National University andO Gerald R. Ford School of Public e Policy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. r n u A t c Przemyslaw Kowalski OECD. L e Ralph Lattimore OECD. Molly Lesher OECD. Philip McCann University of Waikato, Hamilton, New Zealand and Department of Economics, University of Reading, United Kingdom. Margit Molnar OECD. Javier Reyes Sam W. Walton College of Business, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas Raed Safadi OECD. Razeen Sally European Centre for International Political Economy, Brussels, Belgium. Robert Stern Gerald R. Ford School of Public policy, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. David Tarr Consultant, Washington D.C. Charles Tsai OECD. GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING ECONOMIES – ISBN- 978-92-64-04480-7© OECD 2008 e _ it E d s i w ti o o r y n l B n O D d e a l u C e e R E s O e r n u A t c L e 7 e _ itTAEBLE OF CONTENTS – d s i w ti o o r y n l B n Table of Contents O D d e a l u Foreword .........................................................................................C.......................e.......................................... 3 e R E Author Affiliations ....................................................................................................................................s....... 5 O e Acronyms ..................................................................................................n.......................................u...r............. 8 A t c L e Introduction byRaed Safadi and Ralph Lattimore ......................................................................................... 9 Chapter 1: The International Economic Order and Trade ArchitecturebyJavier Reyes, Martina Garcia and Ralph Lattimore ......................................................................................................................... 13 Chapter 2: The Bilateral Trade Performance of the BRIICSby Przemyslaw Kowalski ............................... 39 Chapter 3: Globalisation, Multinationals and BRIICSby Philip McCann ................................................... 71 Chapter 4: Globalisation and the Political Economy of Trade Liberalisation in the BRIICS by Razeen Sally ................................................................................................................... 117 Chapter 5: Storm in a Spaghetti Bowl: FTAs and the BRIICS by Kozo Kiyota, Margit Molnar and Robert M. Stern ...................................................................................................................... 187 Chapter 6: Brazilby Ralph Lattimore and Przemyslaw Kowalski .............................................................. 211 Chapter 7: Russiaby David G. Tarr ........................................................................................................... 251 Chapter 8: Indiaby Przemyslaw Kowalski, Nora Dihel and Martina Garcia ............................................ 283 Chapter 9: Indonesiaby Margit Molnar and Molly Lesher ....................................................................... 333 Chapter 10: Chinaby Malory Greene, Charles Tsai and Ralph Lattimore ................................................. 373 Chapter 11: South Africaby Przemyslaw Kowalski, Ralph Lattimore and Novella Bottini ........................ 397 GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING ECONOMIES – ISBN- 978-92-64-04480-7© OECD 2008 8 – ACRONMYS e _ it E d s i w ti o o Acronyms r y n l B n AD anti-dumping duties O ASEAN Association of South-East Asian Nations D d e BRIC Brazil, Russia, India and China a l u C e BRIICS Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia, China and South Africa e R E FDI foreign direct investment s O e GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade r n u IFDI inward foreign direct investment A c t L e MFN most favoured nation NGO non-governmental organisation NTB non-tariff barrier PTA preferential trade agreement ROO rules of origin TRIMs Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Investment Measures TRIPs Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights TFP total factor productivity WTO World Trade Organisation GLOBALISATION AND EMERGING ECONOMIES – ISBN-978-92-64-04480-7© OECD 2008