getting to graduation This page intentionally left blank getting to graduation The Completion Agenda in Higher Education Edited by ANDREW P. KELLY ^ MARK SCHNEIDER The Johns Hopkins University Press Baltimore © 2012 The Johns Hopkins University Press All rights reserved. Published 2012 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 The Johns Hopkins University Press 2715 North Charles Street Baltimore, Maryland 21218-4363 www.press.jhu.edu Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Getting to graduation : the completion agenda in higher education / edited by Andrew P. Kelly and Mark Schneider. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-4214-0622-0 (hdbk. : alk. paper) — ISBN 978-1-4214-0693-0 (elec- tronic) — ISBN 1-4214-0622-5 (hdbk. : alk. paper) — ISBN 1-4214-0693-4 (electronic) 1. Education, Higher—Aims and objectives—United States. 2. Education and state— United States. 3. Educational change—United States. 4. Educational attainment— United States. 5. College graduates—United States. I. Kelly, Andrew P. II. Schneider, Mark, 1946– LA227.4.G49 2012 378.73—dc23 2012000019 A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library. Special discounts are available for bulk purchases of this book. For more information, please contact Special Sales at 410-516-6936 or [email protected]. The Johns Hopkins University Press uses environmentally friendly book materials, in- cluding recycled text paper that is composed of at least 30 percent post-consumer waste, whenever possible. contents Acknowledgments vii Introduction 1 Andrew P. Kelly and Mark Schneider part one: The Challenges 1 Increasing Higher Education Attainment in the United States: Challenges and Opportunities 17 Arthur M. Hauptman 2 Graduation Rates at America’s Universities: What We Know and What We Need to Know 48 Matthew M. Chingos part two: The Performance and Potential of Sub-Baccalaureate Programs 3 Can Community Colleges Achieve Ambitious Graduation Goals? 73 Thomas Bailey 4 Certifi cate Pathways to Postsecondary Success and Good Jobs 102 Brian Bosworth 5 Apprenticeships as an Alternative Route to Skills and Credentials 126 Diane Auer Jones part three: The Relationship between Policy and Completion 6 F inancial Aid: A Blunt Instrument for Increasing Degree Attainment 157 Eric Bettinger 7 Remediation: The Challenges of Helping Underprepared Students 175 Bridget Terry Long 8 Equalizing Credits and Rewarding Skills: Credit Portability and Bachelor’s Degree Attainment 201 Josipa Roksa part four: The Lessons from Three States 9 The Challenge of Scaling Successful Policy Innovations: A Case Study of Three Colorado Community College System Grants 225 Elaine DeLott Baker 10 Efforts to Improve Productivity: The Impact of Higher Education Reform in Texas 246 Geri Hockfi eld Malandra 11 The Ohio Experience with Outcomes-Based Funding 269 Richard Petrick Conclusion 293 Andrew P. Kelly and Mark Schneider List of Contributors 313 Index 321 vi Contents acknowledgments Over the past fi ve years the nation has undergone a fundamental reor- dering of priorities in higher education policy. Previously concerned pri- marily with access (getting more students through the doors), political rhetoric and policy debates have now shifted to a focus on completion (ensuring that more students earn a degree). This rethinking has been pushed by a number of lofty expectations and goals, including President Barack Obama’s ambition to produce eight million more degrees by the year 2020. In the wake of this ambitious agenda change, a number of questions have been raised about whether our system of higher education institutions and policies, as currently conceived, is capable of delivering the dramatic increases in productivity necessary to meet these new goals. To describe and analyze this challenge, we commissioned new research from top researchers and policy analysts. The eleven chapters that re- sulted present an overview of the new challenges and policy issues facing the nascent “completion agenda” and discuss lessons from several states that have experimented with various reforms. We believe our contributors have provided thought-provoking research and arguments that will help to shape policy debates in the years to come. The chapters in this volume were initially presented at a research con- ference at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) in February 2011. We thank the following discussants for their invaluable feedback from that conference: Dewayne Matthews, vice president for policy and strategy at the Lumina Foundation; Travis Reindl, head of postsecondary educa- tion work for the National Governors Association; Sara Goldrick-Rab, assistant professor of educational policy studies and sociology at the University of Wisconsin; Susan Dynarski, associate professor of educa- tion and public policy at the University of Michigan; Eduardo Ochoa, as- sistant secretary for postsecondary education at the U.S. Department of Education; and George Pernsteiner, chancellor of the Oregon University System. Their thoughtful comments and constructive criticism strength- ened the volume considerably. vii We are grateful for the unwavering support provided by the American Enterprise Institute and its president, Arthur Brooks. The project would not have been possible without the generous fi nancial support of The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and we are deeply indebted to our program offi cers for their support and guidance throughout. Thanks also to the staff at AEI, who coordinated the conference and helped complete and edit this volume. In particular, we would like to thank Olivia Meeks and Daniel Lautzenheiser for their diligent efforts, as well as Jenna Talbot and Whitney Downs for their vital assistance. Finally, we are deeply indebted to the terrifi c team at the Johns Hopkins University Press, most notably executive editor Jacqueline Wehmueller and editorial assistant Sara Cleary, who consistently supported and en- riched our efforts to make this volume a reality. viii Acknowledgments Introduction andrew p. kelly and mark schneider American higher education, which has long regarded itself as the best in the world, is in the midst of a dramatic and unprecedented in- crease in expectations. In his fi rst State of the Union address, in 2010, President Barack Obama issued a bold challenge to America’s colleges and universities. “By 2020,” the president told a joint session of Con- gress, “America will once again have the highest proportion of college graduates in the world.”1 The president set an ambitious goal: meeting the challenge will require the production of an additional eight million degrees by the year 2020. Bill Gates, the country’s best-known college dropout, set an even more ambitious goal for his foundation, propos- ing to “double the numbers” of low-income students who earn a college degree. Meanwhile, the Lumina Foundation for Higher Education is pursuing its “Big Goal” of “increasing the share of Americans with high- quality postsecondary degrees and credentials to 60 percent by 2025.”2 These goals represent more than political talking points or an incre- mental shift in emphasis: they constitute a fundamental rethinking of priorities in higher education policy. After four decades of a relentless focus on improving college access, debates about higher education re- form have shifted to questions of student success and degree completion. Instead of simply opening the gates to more and more students and then hoping for the best, the new “completion agenda” calls on institutions and policymakers to create policies and practices that improve the rate at which students fi nish their degrees. These goals have placed newfound emphasis on the idea that institutions of higher education must play a prominent role in promoting student success and institutional produc- tivity, and that federal and state policies should emphasize student re- tention and completion. In the process of ratcheting up expectations, however, these ambitious goals have also raised questions about the policy changes necessary to ac- 1
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