Getting It Right StRateGIc aGenda foR RefoRmS In mexIco Getting It Right Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico this work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-general of the oecd. the opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the organisation or of the governments of its member countries. this document and any map included herein are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. Please cite this publication as: oecd (2013), Getting It Right. 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Foreword I t gives me great pleasure to present this second edition of Getting it Right for mexico. as never before, mexico has a historic opportunity to build consensus in a number of areas that will make it possible to embark on far-reaching structural reforms, representing a qualitative leap in the country’s development. the 13 Presidential decisions for mexico, contained in President enrique Peña nieto’s message to the nation on taking office on 1 december in the national Palace, laid the foundations for promoting those changes. these commitments have been supported and developed in greater depth by the 95 commitments of the Pact for mexico (Pacto por México), which was signed by the leaders of the main political parties. the challenge now will be to turn those historical agreements into decisions and practical policies. this study aims to support mexico tackling that challenge, contributing analysis, comparisons, and recommendations in the reform areas. Getting it Right is one of the most complete toolkits that the oecd has designed to help a country at the start of a new government administration. in this publication, the focus of the organisation’s multidisciplinary knowledge is on mexico; the discussion is enriched with international experience, and comparison based on best practices. in addition, the report identifies the mexican economy’s strengths and weaknesses so as to support the design, promotion and implementation of key public policies for better economic performance. this document is intended to assist President enrique Peña nieto’s government in implementing a new generation of structural and comprehensive reforms. the country urgently needs to build a responsive and robust fiscal system that provides a solid financial basis for serving expenditure needs, meeting economic and social challenges, and helping reduce inequalities. it also needs a state-of-the-art education system; a budgetary process targeted on long-term results; a more effective and fairer rule of law; a more dynamic and inclusive labour market; a set of incentives that promote competition; an open and effective national innovation system; an energy strategy with a long-term getting it rigHt. Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico © oecd 2013 3 foreWord vision; and a sustainable and high-quality health service. these are some of the key challenges on which the new government will need to focus. that President Peña nieto has decided to sign a memorandum of understanding for a strategic partnership between mexico and the oecd, and took time to attend a seminar with oecd experts during his visit to Paris to consider some of these issues, are very positive signs of a serious commitment towards a strategic agenda of structural changes for mexico. the oecd wants to continue supporting that agenda. i have had the opportunity to promote major reforms in various member countries of our organisation – e.g. on taxes in Japan, education in the United States, social policy in the republic of Korea, and competition in italy. it is an honour for me, not only as oecd Secretary-general but also as a mexican, to serve mexico and work with the administration that will be leading the country for the next six years. as i told President Peña nieto, the new mexican government should consider the oecd an extension of its own capacities. a public policies forum, Mexico: Public Policies for Inclusive Development is to be held in January 2013 in mexico city, co-ordinated by the oecd’s mexico centre with support from other international organisations. i hope that this study, in conjunction with the forum, will help enrich the debate and build the consensus needed to promote the reforms discussed here and enable mexico to improve its economic performance, reduce inequalities, and progress to a higher development level, benefitting all its people. angel gurría oecd Secretary-general 4 getting it rigHt. Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico © oecd 2013 Acknowledgements T his report was prepared by the oecd in the context of the agreement for a strategic alliance between mexico and the oecd for the 2012-2018 administration. it is part of the oecd series of publications Getting It Right, which present a detailed assessment of the economic challenges faced by members countries and partners at the time of a democratic transition and provide some analysis and international comparisons to support the design of public policies. Under the leadership of angel gurría, Secretary-general of the oecd, and since its launch in 2006, these reports have become a valuable and effective tool for new administrations. the report 2012, both in english and Spanish, was coordinated by gabriela ramos and an editorial team that includes Stéphanie guichard, mario López roldán and José antonio ardavín. Various officials of the oecd made valuable contributions in the various stages of the preparation of the document, starting with the authors of the individual chapters, listed in the index. We are grateful to the executive director of the international energy agency, maria Van der Hoven, for the involvement of the agency in this project. the staff of publications of the centre of the oecd in mexico, and in particular, José antonio garcía and alejandro camacho, as well as Bernardo Vázquez Perdomo, gilda moreno manzur and Juan carlos gonzález provided valuable assistance in the editing of the Spanish version. in Paris, randall Holden and Kostas Panagiotopoulos supported in the final stages of editing. getting it rigHt. Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico © oecd 2013 5 Table of Contents Introduction Gabriela I. Ramos and Stéphanie Guichard ............................. 13 chapter 1. Boosting Growth Potential Sean Dougherty ......................................................... 25 chapter 2. Combating Poverty and Inequality María del Carmen Huerta and Alessandro Goglio ...................... 41 chapter 3. Fiscal Policy to Support Inclusiveness Sean Dougherty and Bert Brys .......................................... 63 chapter 4. Strengthening Governance at All Levels Andrew Davies, Óscar Huerta Melchor, Stéphane Jacobzone, Jack Radisch, Javier Sánchez-Reaza and Jacobo García Villarreal ...... 81 chapter 5. Improving Access to Formal Employment María del Carmen Huerta and Pascal Marianna ....................... 105 chapter 6. The Challenges for the Education System Diana Toledo Figueroa and Gabriela I. Ramos .......................... 121 chapter 7. Health Policy Francesca Colombo, Ian Forde, Ankit Kumar, Valérie Paris and Franco Sassi ........................................................ 141 chapter 8. Integrating Mexico into the World Economy through Trade and FDI Iza Lejarraga ............................................................ 155 chapter 9. Improving the Efficiency of the Telecommunication Sector Agustín Díaz-Pines ..................................................... 173 chapter 10. SMEs and Entrepreneurship in Mexico Jonathan Potter and Marco Marchese .................................. 187 getting it rigHt. Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico © oecd 2013 7 taBLe of contentS chapter 11. Green Growth Ivana Capozza, Brendan Gillespie, Katia Karousakis, Reo Kawamura and Frédérique Zegel .................................. 207 chapter 12. Energy Policy Ulrich Benterbusch and Joerg Husar – International Energy Agency ... 223 chapter 13. The Agriculture Sector and Rural Development Jesús Antón ............................................................. 241 chapter 14. Making Water Reform Happen Aziza Akhmouch, Céline Kauffmann and Xavier Leflaive .............. 251 Tables table 8.1. Growth of GDP and exports .............................................. 157 table 8.2. Mexico’s international competitiveness in services ................. 167 table 10.1. Categorisation of entrepreneurship and SME support framework ............................................................... 193 table 13.1. Agricultural indicators, 1995, 2010, .................................... 243 table 14.1. Multi-level governance gaps in Mexico’s water sector ............ 258 Figures figure 1.1. Negative productivity growth has meant slow income growth ..................................................................... 27 figure 1.2. GDP growth potential under different reform scenarios .......... 28 figure 1.3. Mexican product market regulation has declined ................ 33 figure 1.4. Administrative burdens on start-ups ................................ 34 figure 2.1. Income poverty trends, 1992-2010 ..................................... 43 figure 2.2. Risk of relative poverty of men and women by age, Mexico. . . . . . 44 figure 2.3. Maternal employment rate is associated with lower child poverty rates ....................................................................... 46 figure 2.4. Nearly half of Mexicans have income difficulties and this is rising because of the crisis ................................................... 48 figure 2.5. Income inequality (Gini coefficient) and relative poverty rates, late-2000s ........................................................................... 49 figure 2.6. Public social expenditure (excluding education) in OECD and emerging economies ....................................................... 50 figure 2.7. Share of cash transfers in household incomes ...................... 51 figure 3.1. Mexico’s social spending (excluding education) is low as a share of GDP, 2009 .............................................................. 65 figure 3.2. Mexico’s fiscal balance and gross debt ............................... 66 8 getting it rigHt. Strategic agenda for reformS in mexico © oecd 2013