Generating Momentum for a New Era in U.S.-Turkey Relations Steven A. Cook Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall CSR NO. 15, JUNE 2006 COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS Founded in 1921, the Council on Foreign Relations is an independent, national membership organization and a nonpartisan center for scholars dedicated to producing and disseminating ideas so that individual and corporate members, as well as policymakers, journalists, students, and interested citizens in the United States and other countries, can better understand the world and the foreign policy choices facing the United States and other governments. The Council does this by convening meetings; conducting a wide-ranging Studies program; publishing Foreign Affairs, the preeminent journal covering international affairs and U.S. foreign policy; maintaining a diverse membership; sponsoring Independent Task Forces and Special Reports; and providing up-to-date information about the world and U.S. foreign policy on the Council’s website, www.cfr.org. THE COUNCIL TAKES NO INSTITUTIONAL POSITION ON POLICY ISSUES AND HAS NO AFFILIATION WITH THE U.S. GOVERNMENT. ALL STATEMENTS OF FACT AND EXPRESSIONS OF OPINION CONTAINED IN ITS PUBLICATIONS ARE THE SOLE RESPONSIBILITY OF THE AUTHOR OR AUTHORS. Council Special Reports (CSRs) are concise policy briefs, produced to provide a rapid response to a developing crisis or contribute to the public’s understanding of current policy dilemmas. CSRs are written by individual authors—who may be Council fellows or acknowledged experts from outside the institution—in consultation with an advisory committee, and typically take sixty days or less from inception to publication. The committee serves as a sounding board and provides feedback on a draft report. It usually meets twice—once before a draft is written and once again when there is a draft for review; however, advisory committee members, unlike Task Force members, are not asked to sign off on the report or to otherwise endorse it. Once published, CSRs are posted on the Council’s website. For further information about the Council or this Special Report, please write to the Council on Foreign Relations, 58 East 68th Street, New York, NY 10021, or call the Communications office at 212-434-9400. Visit our website at www.cfr.org. Copyright © 2006 by the Council on Foreign Relations®, Inc. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part, in any form beyond the reproduction permitted by Sections 107 and 108 of the U.S. Copyright Law Act (17 U.S.C. Sections 107 and 108) and excerpts by reviewers for the public press, without express written permission from the Council on Foreign Relations. For information, write to the Publications Office, Council on Foreign Relations, 58 East 68th Street, New York, NY 10021. CONTENTS Foreword v Acknowledgments vii A Note on the Transliteration of Turkish Names ix Map x Acronyms xiii Council Special Report 1 Introduction 3 Background 6 Sources of Friction 9 An Agenda for Action 24 Conclusion 34 Appendix 35 About the Authors 37 FOREWORD Success for American foreign policy depends in large measure on the ability of the United States to persuade others to support (or at least not work against) its policy goals. Over the last half century, the United States has been able to rely upon a network of ties with close allies around the world to achieve its objectives. Turkey has played an important role in advancing U.S. interests in Europe and beyond. But over the last three years, the U.S.-Turkish relationship has deteriorated markedly, and it is no longer a foregone conclusion that Turkey will support U.S. policies. The consequences of a rupture in ties between Washington and Ankara—or, more darkly, a Turkey that becomes strategically disoriented—would be great, but have received little attention in policy circles. This Council Special Report makes the case that Turkey’s strategic importance is greater than ever, and that a major effort needs to be undertaken to renew and revitalize the relationship. Steven A. Cook and Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall argue that despite significant sources of friction, both countries have a wide range of common interests that begin in Turkey’s immediate neighborhood, such as the Balkans, the Caucasus, Iran, and Iraq, but also extend farther afield to include Afghanistan, Central Asia, and the Middle East. The report recommends a two-track diplomatic approach that will simultaneously help to manage current policy differences and lay the groundwork for future cooperation on a broader agenda. Richard N. Haass President Council on Foreign Relations June 2006 v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS An essential element of a Council Special Report is the establishment of an advisory group that offers an expanded perspective on the issues being examined by the authors. Richard R. Burt led our advisory group (see Appendix) with distinction. We would like to express our deep thanks to him and to each member of the group, many of whom took time out of their demanding schedules to discuss our research and to provide very helpful comments on the draft report. The product is much stronger as a result. We, of course, bear responsibility for the content of the report, which does not necessarily reflect the views of advisory group members. The Country Team at the U.S. Embassy in Ankara, Turkey, welcomed and opened doors for us during a fact-finding trip in January 2006. We appreciate its expert assistance and insights into multiple dimensions of the bilateral relationship. We are grateful to Ahmet M. Ertegun for contributing toward the funding of this project. Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall’s tenure at the Council has been generously supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York under the auspices of its Carnegie Scholars Program. We also value the research and administrative support provided by three exceptionally able assistants: Samm Tyroler-Cooper, Riad Houry, and Wrede Petersmeyer. Finally, we would like to thank Council President Richard N. Haass and Director of Studies James M. Lindsay for their encouragement and guidance from the project’s inception to this report’s completion. Steven A. Cook Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall vii A NOTE ON THE TRANSLITERATION OF TURKISH NAMES The Council on Foreign Relations uses the Chicago Manual of Style for the transliteration of Turkish names. As a result, all diacritical marks have been removed. ix MAPS Source: From www.worldpress.org/specials/pp/turkey.htm. Map 1: Turkey
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