GATS: The Case for Open Services Markets ©OECD,2002. ©Software:1987-1996,AcrobatisatrademarkofADOBE. Allrightsreserved.OECDgrantsyoutherighttouseonecopyofthisProgramforyourpersonaluseonly. Unauthorisedreproduction,lending,hiring,transmissionordistributionofanydataorsoftwareis prohibited.YoumusttreattheProgramandassociatedmaterialsandanyelementsthereoflikeanyother copyrightedmaterial. Allrequestsshouldbemadeto: HeadofPublicationsService, OECDPublicationsService, 27,57r7u5eAPnadrirse-CPeadsceaxl,16,France. GATS: The Case for Open Services Markets OECD((Q ORGANISATIONFORECONOMICCO-OPERATIONANDDEVELOPMENT ORGANISATIONFORECONOMICCO-OPERATION ANDDEVELOPMENT PursuanttoArticleIoftheConventionsignedinParison14thDecember1960, andwhichcameintoforceon30thSeptember1961,theOrganisationforEconomic Co-operationandDevelopment(OECD)shallpromotepoliciesdesigned: -toachievethehighestsustainableeconomicgrowthandemploymentanda risingstandardoflivinginMembercountries,whilemaintainingfinancial stability,andthustocontributetothedevelopmentoftheworldeconomy; -tocontributetosoundeconomicexpansioninMemberaswellasnon-member countriesintheprocessofeconomicdevelopment;and -tocontribute tothe expansion ofworld trade on amultilateral, non- discriminatorybasisinaccordancewithinternationalobligations. TheoriginalMembercountriesoftheOECDareAustria,Belgium,Canada, Denmark, France, Germany,Greece,Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg,the Netherlands,Norway,Portugal,Spain,Sweden,Switzerland,Turkey,theUnited KingdomandtheUnitedStates.ThefollowingcountriesbecameMembers subsequently through accession at the dates indicated hereafter: Japan (28thApril1964), Finland (28thlanuary 1969),Australia(7thJune 1971), New Zealand (29th May 1973), Mexico (18th May 1994), the Czech Republic (K2o1rsetaD(e1c2tehmbDeecre1m9b95e)r,1H9u96n)gaarnydt(7htehSMloavyak19R9e6p)u,blPiocla(n1d4th(2D2endceNmobveermb20e0r0).199T6h)e, CommissionoftheEuropeanCommunitiestakespartintheworkoftheOECD (Article13oftheOECDConvention). Publicenfran^aissouslelitre: Pourl'ouverturedesmarchesdeservices L'ACCORDGENERALSURLECOMMERCEDESSERVICES ©OECD2002 Permissiontoreproduceaportionofthisworkfornon-commercialpurposesorclassroom useshouldbeobtainedthroughtheCentrefranrjaisd'exploitationdudroitdecopie(CFC), 2f0o,rreuveedreyscCoruanntdrsy-Aeugxucsetpitnst,he750U0n6itPeardis,StFartaensc.e,Intelt.h(e33-U1n)i4t4ed07S4t7at7e0,sfpaxer(m33i-s1s)i4o6n34sh6o7ul19d, beobtainedthroughtheCopyrightClearanceCenter,CustomerService,(508)750-8400, 222RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923USA,orCCCOnline:www.copyright.com.Allother taoppOlEicCaDtioPnusblfiocraptieornmsi,ss2,iornuetoAnrderper-oPdausccaelo,r7t5r7a7ns5laPtareiasllCoerdpeaxrt16o,fFtrhaisncbeo.okshouldbemade Foreword Formorethanadecade,serviceshavebeenthefastestgrowingcomponent oftheglobaleconomy.Totalmeasurabletradeinservices,asdefinedbythevari- ous"modesofsupply"subjecttomultilateraldisciplinesundertheWorldTrade Organisation'sGeneralAgreementonTradeinServices(GATS),standatsome USD2.3trilliontoday.Thisrepresents7.6%ofworldoutputandclosetoafifthof totaltradeingoodsandservices.Suchfiguresareusefulremindersoftheeco- nomicandcommercialsignificanceofthesectorandofnegotiationsaimedatpro- gressivelyrollingbackimpedimentstotradeandinvestmentinservices. Invirtuallyeverycountrytheperformanceoftheserviceseconomy,particu- larlythekeyenablingsectorsoffinance,telecommunicationsandtransportation, canmakethedifferencebetweenrapidandsluggishgrowth.Simplyput,anineffi- cientservicesectoractslikeaprohibitivetaxonanationaleconomy.Growingreal- isationoftheeconomy-widepotentialofefficientserviceindustriesusheredin far-reachingliberalisationoftradeandinvestmentandeffortsatregulatoryreform throughouttheworldinrecentyears,facilitatingattemptstoanchorsuchreforms ininternationalagreementsgoverningcross-bordertradeandinvestment. TheGATSrankswithoutadoubtamongstthechiefaccomplishmentsofmulti- lateraltradediplomacyattheendofthe20thcentury.Yettheagreementliesat thecentreofthecontroversiessurroundingtradepolicyatthestartofthe21st. Servicesencompassavastanddisparatearrayofeconomicactivityandimply asimilarlywidescopeofissues,institutionsandinterests.Muchasthefirstsetof servicestalksduringtheUruguayRoundelicitedrelativelylittleattentionand publicscrutinybeyondthecognoscentiinacademic,governmentalandprivate- sectorcircles,proposalstobuildupontheachievementsoftheUruguayRound andsubsequentnegotiationsintheWorldTradeOrganisation(WTO)command considerableattentiontoday,notallofitpositive. CriticalassessmentsoftheGATStypicallyfindtheirorigininthebroadercon- textofbacklashagainstglobalisationandthecommercialisationthatitbringsto someactivitiespreviouslyinsulatedfromthemarket.Claimsofthreatstothepro- visionofpublicservices,suchaseducationorhealthservices,ortoserviceswith strongpublicgoodconnotations,suchaswaterorelectricitydistribution,are ©OECD2002 GATS:TheCaseforOpenServicesMarkets amongthemostcommonlyvoicedconcernsassociatedwiththeGATSandwith theveryideaofliberalisationoftradeandinvestmentinservices,includingat regionallevel. Aparadoxofanti-GATSsentimentisthatmuchofitisrootedintheOECD area,wheretheshareofservicesinemploymentandstandardsoflivingishighest andwherethebenefitsofregulatoryreformandofliberalisationoftradeand investmentinserviceshavearguablygeneratedthegreatestgainsinconsumer welfareandallocativeefficiencies.Notsurprisingly,thepublicpolicydebateon servicesinOECDcountrieshasnottendedtocentreondisputingtheeconomic caseforopenmarkets.Rather,thecriticismhasgenerallyfocusedontherespec- tiverolesthatthemarketandthestate(asbothregulatoranddirectpurveyorof servicessuchaseducationandhealth)shouldassume,aswellontheperceived threattonationalregulatorysovereigntyallegedlyposedbytradeandinvestment rule-making. Manyoftheargumentsputforwardtodayagainstliberalisationoftradeand investmentinservicesarebasedonmisinformationandalackofunderstandingof theGATS.Atthesametime,thesignificanteconomy-widebenefitsderivingfrom liberalisationoftradeandinvestmentinservicesdonotreceiveenoughattention, andthisreinforceslessthanpositiveviewsoftheliberalisationoftradeand investmentingeneralandparticipationinthemultilateraltradingsystemthrough membershipoftheWTOinparticular. Mindfuloftheneedtorestoregreaterbalancetothisnascentpublicpolicy debate,MembercountriesaskedtheOECDTradeDirectorateinearly2001topre- pareastudyaimedathelpinggovernmentstobettercommunicatetheeconomic rationaleforcommittingto-andmaintaining-openservicesmarketsandto identifymoreclearlywhatisandwhatisnotatstakeinthenewsetofWTOser- vicesnegotiations. Thepresentstudy,whichfollowsinthefootstepsoftheOrganisation'shighly acclaimed1998OpenMarketsMatter,istheanswertothatrequest.Itreviewsthe mostrecentempiricalevidenceinordertoofferacomprehensivetreatmentofthe benefitsandcostsofliberalisationoftradeandinvestmentinservices.Italsopro- videsanin-depthconsiderationof-andoffersacounternarrativeto-someof themostprominentcriticismslevelledattheGATSandthepursuitofliberalisa- tionoftradeandinvestmentinservices. ThisstudyexplainswhytheGATS,farfromthesovereignty-impairingstraight- jacketthatitscriticsclaim,caninmanyregardsbeseenasthemost"develop- ment-friendly’’ofallWTOagreements,affordingmembercountriesfullfreedomto choosethenature,paceandformofmarketopeninginamultilateralsetting.It showswhythegainsfrominternationalco-operationandmultilateralrule-making areparticularlylargeintheservicesarea.Becausesuchgainshavejustbegunto ©OECD2002 Foreword betapped,theongoingnegotiations,towhichtheDohaDevelopmentAgendahas givenrenewedimpetus,offersWTOmembersaready-madeopportunitytouse theGATSasameanstosupportdomesticreformsdeemedbeneficialfroma developmentperspectivebygovernmentsandcivilsociety. Thisstudy,whichformspartoftheOECDTradeCommittee’songoingwork programmeontradeinservices,wasdraftedbyPierreSauveoftheTradeDirec- torate.ItbenefittedfromsignificantcontributionsbyRosemaryMorrisand MassimoGeloso-Grossoanddrewonbackgrounddocumentationpreparedby CraigvanGrasstek. ThisvolumeispublishedontheresponsibilityoftheSecretary-Generalof theOECD. ©OECD2002 GATS:TheCaseforOpenServicesMarkets Acronyms ABT AgreementonBasicTelecommunications APEC Asia-PacificEconomicCooperationForum CGE Computablegeneralequilibrium DSU DisputeSettlementUnderstanding(WTO) ESM Emergencysafeguardmeasure FD1 Foreigndirectinvestment GATS GeneralAgreementonTradeinServices GATT GeneralAgreementonTariffsandTrade GDP Grossdomesticproduct GPA GovernmentProcurementAgreement(WTO) ICT Informationandcommunicationtechnologies 1LO InternationalLabourOrganization IMF InternationalMonetaryFund ITU InternationalTelecommunicationsUnion MAI MultilateralAgreementonInvestment MFN Mostfavourednation NAFTA NorthAmericanFreeTradeAgreement SCM SubsidiesandCountervailingMeasures(WTO) UNCTAD UnitedNationsConferenceonTradeandDevelopment WTO WorldTradeOrganization ©OECD2002 8 TableofContents Acronyms 6 ExecutiveSummary 9 Chapter1. Introduction 13 Chapter2. StatingtheCaseforOpenServicesMarkets 17 Chapter3. HarnessingtheEconomy-widePotentialofServiceSector Efficiencies 23 TheBenefitsofOpenServicesMarkets:EmpiricalEvidence 35 Chapter4 AcknowledgingtheComplexitiesofServicesReform 45 Chapter5 GlobalisationanditsDiscontents:theGATSCritics 51 Chapter6 WhattheGATSIs-andIsNot 57 Chapter7 AddressingCriticismsoftheGATS 65 Chapter8 NegotiatingChallengesUndertheGATS 75 Chapter9 ConcludingRemarks 81 Notes 85 References 89 Boxes 21.. SGeernveircaelseixnctehpetigolnosbafloresceornvoicmeysasprovidedforinGATSArticleXIV 713 3. Addressingtheserviceexportprioritiesofdevelopingcountries 78 Figures 1. Relationshipbetweenservicesemploymentandnationalincome 19 2. Convergingtrendsinservicestrade 20 3. Significanceofservicesinselectedcountries'exports 21 4. ProductmarketliberalisationinOECDcountries 27 5. Decliningcostsofinternationaltelephonecalls,1983-99 29 6. Relativewagelevelsinservicesectors 31 ©OECD2002 GATS:TheCaseforOpenServicesMarkets 7. DecliningcostsforimportinggoodsintotheUnitedStates 32 8. Adecadeofdefactoliberalisation:investmentregimesinthe1990s 54 Tables 1. iRnegOuElaCtDorcyouenntvriireosnmentsinserviceindustriesandelectricitysupply 26 2. Thefourmodesofsupplyforinternationaltradeinservices 60 3. ExceptionsforgoodsandservicesinWTOagreements 62 ©OECD2002