Futures the Journal of Policy, Planning and Futures Studies 2003: Vol 35 Table of Contents

9 Pages·2003·1 MB·English

FUTURES
Volume Contents and Author Index
Volume 35, 2003
ELSEVIER
doi: 10.1016/S0016-3287(03)00183-6
FUTURES
Futures® is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium
and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and
politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods
and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative
futures of all human endeavours. FuTUREs® seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic
visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with
the views expressed in the pages of FUTURES
EDITOR
Ziauddin Sardar
1 Orchard Gate, London NW9 6HU, UK
(Tel: [phone]; fax: [phone];
e-mail: [email protected])
CONSULTING EDITORS
Merryl Wyn Davies Bruce E Tonn
30 The Walk, Merthyr Tydfil Oak Ridge National Laboratory,
CF47 8RS, UK Oak Ridge, TN, USA
Rakesh Kapoor REVIEWS EDITOR
Alternative Futures, _
B-177 East of Kailish, Anne Jenkins
New Delhi 110065, India Durham University, Durham, UK
Jerome R Ravetz
ISCO, Regent’s College, Inner Circle,
London NW1 4NS, UK
INTERNATIONAL EDITORIAL BOARD
Walter Truett Anderson The Meridian Sohail Inayatullah Queensland University of
International Institute, San Francisco, USA Technology, Brisbane, Australia
Anne Jenkins Durham University, Durham,
Kuo-Hua Chen Tamkang University, Taipei
UK
Taiwan
Michael Marien Editor, Future Survey,
Sam Cole Center for Regional Studies, LaFayette, New York, USA
SUNY, Buffalo, USA Ashis Nandy Centre for the Study of
Sean Cabitt The University of Waikato Developing Societies, New Delhi, India
Hamilton, New Zealand Jan Nederveen Pieterse University of I|linois
at Urbana - Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA
Jim Dator University of Hawaii at Manoa ; :
USA Jordi Serra del Pino Barcelona, Spain
Marika Puglisi University of Liverpool
Steve Fuller University of Warwick, UK Liverpool, UK
Ted Fuller Teeside Business School Victoria M Razak State University of New
University of Teeside, Middlesborough, UK York, Buffalo, New York, USA
Richard A Slaughter Australian Foresight
Fabienne Goux-Baudiment Paris, France
Institute, Swinburne University, Hawthorne
Hazel Henderson St Augustine, Florida, USA Australia
David Hicks Bath Spa University College Alvin Toffler Los Angeles, USA
Bath, UK Heidi Toffler Los Angeles, USA
LIST OF CONTENTS
Volume 35 Number 1 February 2003
Special Issue: THE FUTURE OF EUROPEAN SOCIETAL BILL
Guest Editor: M. Zappacosta
Introduction Ways of exploring the future of the European Societal Bill
M. Zappacosta
Papers
Busse
ne future societa
ged ein ay
10 Fontela
Demography as a
Thomas Lindh
Generational accounti 1e
expenditure in Europe
Karen Feist
Volume 35 Number 2 March 2003
Special Issue: DEMOCRACY WORKS: PEOPLE, EXPERTS AND THE FUTURE
Guest Editors: J. Galtung and H. Wiberg
Top dogs have set
posit+i on and | peac> e at + it'
\. Hartmann and K
Volume Contents / Futures 35 (2003) IlI-IX
Oppression and resistance: the powerless and the future
K.S. Larsen
The future of western societies: multicultural identity or
extreme nationalism?
kK. van der Veer
Volume 35 Number 3 April 2003
Papers Towards a new technology future approach
R. Cantin and P. Michel
Towards community engagement: six steps to expert learning
for future scenario development
Rob VanWynsberghe, Janet Moore, James Tansey and
Jetf Carmichael
The international decentralisation of US commercial aircraft
production: implications for US employment and trade
Alan MacPherson and David Pritchard
Essays ie Designing trust
Oliver Todt
Resurrection of traditional communities in postmodern societies
Manohar Pawat
Anticipations
Report 267 Will young people solve the water problems?
Ruud van der Helm
Book reviews Lessons for the future: the missing dimension in education
David Hicks (M. Bussey); The world ahead: our future in the
making Federico Mayor and Jerome Bindé (P. Daffara);
Rethinking the fifth discipline: learning within the unknowable
Robert Louis Flood (Y.K. Gibb); The virtuous spiral: a guide to
sustainability for NGOs in international development Alan
Fowler (P. Richardson)
Biography Wendell Bell: critical realism in studying in the future
T. Stevenson
Volume Contents / Futures 35 (2003) III-IX
Volume 35 Number 4 May 2003
Special Issue: SMALL BUSINESS FUTURES
Guest Editor: Ted Fuller
Introduction 297 Small business futures in society
Ted Fuller
Papers 5 If you wanted to know the future of small business what
questions would you ask?
T. Fuller
Standardization in the midst of innovation: structural
implications of the Internet for SMEs
J.A. Katz and S. Satranski
Small business in Russia: any prospects after a decade?
I. Astrakhan and A. Chepurenko
NGOs and local MFls—how to increase poverty reduction
through women’s small and micro-enterprise
S. Premchander
Many small antelopes make a dragon
Ming-Wen Hu
Flight of the young flamingoes: alternative futures for young
entrepreneurs in South Africa
M.E. Nasser, J. du Preez and K. Herrmann
Organizing for enterprise in China: what can we learn from the
Chinese micro, small, and medium enterprise development
experience
A/lan Gibb and Jun Li
Volume 35C c Number 5 June 2003
Papers 2 An updated scenario typology
Philip W.F. van Notten, Jan Rotmans, Marjolein B.A. van Asselt
and Dale S. Rothman
The role of constructivist learning in scenario planning
T.J. Chermack and L. van der Merwe
Sustainable Internet access for the rural poor? Elements of an
emerging Indian model
J. James
Struggling over the direction of Caribbean medicinal plant
research
C. Lans
VI Volume Contents / Futures 35 (2003) II-IX
Essays Futures dreaming outside and on the margins of the western
world
I. Milojevic and S. Inayatullah
Waste reduction in focus
A. Fricker
Anticipations
Reflections : Honoring excellence in anticipatory anthropology
R.B. Textor
Book reviews 52 Certainty as a social metaphor Min Lin (M. Witzel); Chaos of
disciplines Andrew Delano Abbott (V.K. Pollard)
Trajectories 5 Augmentation, symbiosis, transcendence: technology and the
future(s) of human identity
Walter Truett Anderson
Volume 3I5e Number 6 August 2003
Special Issue: FUTURES OF SOCIAL SCIENCES
Guest Editor: Bruce E. Tonn
Introduction 547 What futures for social science?
Bruce E. Tonn
Papers Future risk communication
A. Bostrom
Psychology, meaning and the challenges of longevity
D.G. MacGregor
The end of neoliberal history—the future of economics
T. Gaspar, P. Gervai and L. Trautmann
The social sciences: who needs ‘em?
P.T. Manicas
Putting Humpty Dumpty back together again? The structures of
knowledge and the future of the social sciences
R.E. Lee
The future in the social sciences
W.S. Bainbridge
A vision of the future of science: reintegrating the study of
humans and the rest of nature
Robert Costanza
The future of futures decision making
B.E. Tonn
Volume Contents / Futures 35 (2003) III-IX
Volume 35 Number 7 September 2003
Papers Epistemological pluralism and the ‘politics of choice’
S. Healy
The making of green knowledge: the contribution from
activism
Andrew Jamison
Vulnerability and industrial hazards in industrializing countries:
an integrative approach
M.F. de Souza Porto and C.M. de Freitas
Learning from young people’s image of the future: a case study
in Taiwan and the US
Ryota Ono
Symposium: 5 When machines outsmart humans
Machines are us? Nick Bostrom
Outsmarting Turing
J.R. Ravetz
When history outsmarts computers
Steve Fuller
Would machines actually cope?
Graham T.T. Molitor
Artificial intelligence and the real world
Anne Jenkins
When humans outsmart themselves
Rakesh Kapoor
AnticipIa tions
Film Al: man, machines and love
E. Komninou
Book reviews Complex systems: Theory and development practice Samir
Rihani (D. Byrne); The capacity to govern Yehezkel Dror
(S. Wald)
Rejoinder é Re-reading polak: a reply to Morgan
Peter Hayward
Volume Conte/n Futtusre s 35 (2003) III-IX
Volume 35 Number 8 October 2003
Papers A paradoxical future for safety in the global knowledge
economy
Jerry Ravetz
Futures research from the yam patch
R.J. Gregory
Future subjunctive: backcasting as social learning
J. Robinson
Evaluating the penetration of the commodity economy
C.C. Williams
Blacks in dystopia: 1969-1971
J.A. Rhines
Anticipations
Trajectories From “Visionary Vermont” to Robert Hayes Memorial. The
juxtaposition of triumph and terrorism
Seth J. Itzkan
Book reviews 889
Rejoinder 901 Taking intelligent machines seriously: reply to my critics
N. Bostrom
Volume 35 Number 9 November 2003
Special Issue: FUTURES OF INDIGENOUS CULTURES
Guest Editor: Victoria M. Razak
Introduction 907 Can indigenous cultures survive the future?
V.M. Razak
Papers 917 The future of indigenous values: cultural relativism in the face
of economic development
D. Groenfeldt
Scenarios in anthropology: reflections on possible futures of the
Suriname Maroons
Marieke Heemskerk
Ainu culture in transition
S.C.H. Cheung
The future of native languages
L. Whaley
Volume Contents / Futures 35 (2003) III-IX IX
Mobilizing grassroots’ technological innovations and traditional
knowledge, values and institutions: articulating social and
ethical capital
A.K. Gupta, R. Sinha, D. Koradia, R. Patel, M. Parmar,
P. Rohit, H. Patel, K. Patel, V.S. Chand, T.J. James,
A. Chandan, M. Patel, T.N. Prakash and P. Vivekanandan
989 One last chance: tapping indigenous knowledge to produce
sustainable conservation policies
W.H. Thomas
999 A kingdom inside: the future of Hawaiian political identity
Anne Keala Kelly
Volume 35 Number 10 December 2003
Papers 1011 First steps: towards purposeful activities in scenario thinking
and future studies
George Burt and Kees van der Heijden
Prediction, explanation and the epistemology of future studies
Paul Dragos Aligica
Researching the future: method or madness?
Eddie Blass
Anticipations
Trajectories : Multicultural societies and futures of dialogue
Ram Gidoomal
Book reviews : Medieval futures: attitudes to the future in the Middle Ages
John A. Burrow and lan P. Wei (J. Dator); A new democracy:
alternatives to a bankrupt world order Harry Shutt
(D. Nordberg
Reflections 75 Futures at Tamkang University
Sohail Inayatullah
Volume Contents and Author Index Volume 35, 2003