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Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics PDF

554 Pages·2014·2.79 MB·English
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Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics Third Edition S. David Promislow JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 ii JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics i JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 ii JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 Fundamentals of Actuarial Mathematics Third Edition S. David Promislow YorkUniversity,Toronto,Canada iii JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 Thiseditionfirstpublished2015 ©2015JohnWiley&Sons,Ltd Registeredoffice JohnWiley&SonsLtd,TheAtrium,SouthernGate,Chichester,WestSussex,PO198SQ,UnitedKingdom Fordetailsofourglobaleditorialoffices,forcustomerservicesandforinformationabouthowtoapplyfor permissiontoreusethecopyrightmaterialinthisbookpleaseseeourwebsiteatwww.wiley.com. Therightoftheauthortobeidentifiedastheauthorofthisworkhasbeenassertedinaccordancewiththe Copyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,in anyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingorotherwise,exceptaspermittedbythe UKCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988,withoutthepriorpermissionofthepublisher. Wileyalsopublishesitsbooksinavarietyofelectronicformats.Somecontentthatappearsinprintmaynotbe availableinelectronicbooks. Designationsusedbycompaniestodistinguishtheirproductsareoftenclaimedastrademarks.Allbrandnamesand productnamesusedinthisbookaretradenames,servicemarks,trademarksorregisteredtrademarksoftheir respectiveowners.Thepublisherisnotassociatedwithanyproductorvendormentionedinthisbook. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbesteffortsinpreparing thisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyorcompletenessofthecontents ofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesofmerchantabilityorfitnessforaparticularpurpose.It issoldontheunderstandingthatthepublisherisnotengagedinrenderingprofessionalservicesandneitherthe publishernortheauthorshallbeliablefordamagesarisingherefrom.Ifprofessionaladviceorotherexpert assistanceisrequired,theservicesofacompetentprofessionalshouldbesought LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Promislow,S.David. Fundamentalsofactuarialmathematics/S.DavidPromislow.–Thirdedition. pages cm Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-1-118-78246-0(hardback) 1.Insurance–Mathematics. 2.Businessmathematics. I.Title. HG8781.P76 2014 368′.01–dc23 2014027082 AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary. ISBN:9781118782460 Setin10/12ptTimesbyAptaraInc.,NewDelhi,India 1 2015 i JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 ToGeorgia andGriffith JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 i JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 Contents Preface xix Acknowledgements xxiii Aboutthecompanionwebsite xxiv PartI THEDETERMINISTICLIFECONTINGENCIESMODEL 1 1 Introductionandmotivation 3 1.1 Riskandinsurance 3 1.2 Deterministicversusstochasticmodels 4 1.3 Financeandinvestments 5 1.4 Adequacyandequity 5 1.5 Reassessment 6 1.6 Conclusion 6 2 Thebasicdeterministicmodel 7 2.1 Cashflows 7 2.2 Ananalogywithcurrencies 8 2.3 Discountfunctions 9 2.4 Calculatingthediscountfunction 11 2.5 Interestanddiscountrates 12 2.6 Constantinterest 12 2.7 Valuesandactuarialequivalence 13 2.8 Vectornotation 17 2.9 Regularpatterncashflows 18 2.10 Balancesandreserves 20 2.10.1 Basicconcepts 20 2.10.2 Relationbetweenbalancesandreserves 22 2.10.3 Prospectiveversusretrospectivemethods 23 2.10.4 Recursionformulas 24 2.11 Timeshiftingandthesplittingidentity 26 ii JWST504-fm JWST504-Promislow Printer:YettoCome Trim:244mm×170mm October13,2014 7:17 viii CONTENTS ∗2.11 Changeofdiscountfunction 27 2.12 Internalratesofreturn 28 ∗2.13 Forwardpricesandtermstructure 30 2.14 Standardnotationandterminology 33 2.14.1 Standardnotationforcashflowsdiscountedwithinterest 33 2.14.2 Newnotation 34 2.15 Spreadsheetcalculations 34 Notesandreferences 35 Exercises 35 3 Thelifetable 39 3.1 Basicdefinitions 39 3.2 Probabilities 40 3.3 Constructingthelifetablefromthevaluesofq 41 x 3.4 Lifeexpectancy 42 3.5 Choiceoflifetables 44 3.6 Standardnotationandterminology 44 3.7 Asampletable 45 Notesandreferences 45 Exercises 45 4 Lifeannuities 47 4.1 Introduction 47 4.2 Calculatingannuitypremiums 48 4.3 Theinterestandsurvivorshipdiscountfunction 50 4.3.1 Thebasicdefinition 50 4.3.2 Relationsbetweeny forvariousvaluesofx 52 x 4.4 Guaranteedpayments 53 4.5 Deferredannuitieswithannualpremiums 55 4.6 Somepracticalconsiderations 56 4.6.1 Grosspremiums 56 4.6.2 Genderaspects 56 4.7 Standardnotationandterminology 57 4.8 Spreadsheetcalculations 58 Exercises 59 5 Lifeinsurance 61 5.1 Introduction 61 5.2 Calculatinglifeinsurancepremiums 61 5.3 Typesoflifeinsurance 64 5.4 Combinedinsurance–annuitybenefits 64 5.5 Insurancesviewedasannuities 69 5.6 Summaryofformulas 70 5.7 Ageneralinsurance–annuityidentity 70 5.7.1 Thegeneralidentity 70 5.7.2 Theendowmentidentity 71

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* Provides a comprehensive coverage of both the deterministic and stochastic models of life contingencies, risk theory, credibility theory, multi-state models, and an introduction to modern mathematical finance. * New edition restructures the material to fit into modern computational methods and pro
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