FROMPABLOTOOSAMA michael kenney PABLO OSAMA from to Trafficking and Terrorist Networks, Government Bureaucracies, and Competitive Adaptation the pennsylvania state university press university park, pennsylvania LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Kenney,Michael,1967– FromPablotoOsama:traffickingandterroristnetworks, governmentbureaucracies,andcompetitiveadaptation/ MichaelKenney. p. cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. isbn-13:987–0-271–02931–3(cloth:alk.paper) isbn-10:0–271–02931–5(cloth:alk.paper) 1. Terrorism—Prevention. 2. Terrorism—Governmentpolicy. 3. Drugtraffic—Prevention. I. Title. HV6431.K4232007 363.325—dc22 2006037198 Copyright(cid:2)2007ThePennsylvaniaStateUniversity Allrightsreserved PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica PublishedbyThePennsylvaniaStateUniversityPress, UniversityPark,PA16802-1003 ThePennsylvaniaStateUniversityPress isamemberoftheAssociationof AmericanUniversityPresses. Itisthepolicyof ThePennsylvaniaStateUniversityPresstouse acid-freepaper.ThisbookisprintedonNatures Natural,containing50%post-consumerwaste, andmeetstheminimumrequirementsofAmerican NationalStandardforInformationSciences— PermanenceofPaperforPrintedLibraryMaterial, ansiz39.48–1992. Contents Preface vii Acknowledgments xiii Introduction:ClandestineActorsandCompetitiveAdaptation 1 1 TheArchitectureofDrugTrafficking 25 2 HowNarcosLearn 49 3 How‘‘Narcs’’Learn 79 4 CompetitiveAdaptation:TraffickingNetworksVersusLaw EnforcementAgencies 103 5 HowTerroristsLearn 135 6 CompetitiveAdaptationCounterterroristStyle 167 Conclusion:BeyondtheWarsonDrugsandTerrorism 203 Notes 229 SelectedBibliography 263 Index 281 Preface Tenyearsago,whileresearchingthisbookinColombia,ImetJoaquin Buitrago,ayoungofficerwiththeColombianNational Police.Whileit had been years since the U.S. government transformed Colombia into acentralfrontinthewarondrugs,cocaineproductionwasincreasingly dramatically. Contrary to popular misperception, the failure of Colom- bian and American authorities to substantially reduce, let alone elimi- nate,the cocainetrade was not dueto alack ofeffort. Inthetwo years preceding our meeting, Buitrago’s agency, with substantial support from Washington, spearheaded an intensive law enforcement crack- down, targeting the leaders of Colombia’s drug ‘‘cartels.’’ In spite of capturing many cocaine ‘‘kingpins’’ and disrupting their smuggling networks, the illicit drug trade in Colombia continued to flourish, and Iwashopingthegoodcaptaincouldhelpmeunderstandwhy. Following a hackneyed Power Point presentation, designed for American policymakers making their obligatory tour stop on the front lines of Colombia’s war on drugs, we turned to the questions that brought me to Buitrago. As we talked, rehearsed formality giving way to candid expression, it became increasingly clear how troubled Bui- trago was by the precarious situation in which he and his countrymen found themselves. When I asked him why he risked his life for such dangerous and seemingly futile work, he paraphrased a sentiment ex- pressed by Colombia’s most notorious drug traffickers, the so-called ‘‘Extraditables,’’ who famously declared their preference for a tomb in ColombiatoajailcellintheUnitedStates.‘‘Iwouldrathermysonsee me dead in a tomb,’’ he said, his voice rising, ‘‘than say that I was corrupt, or that I turned my country over to the traffickers!’’1 It was a dramatic moment, a spontaneous admission by a foot soldier in the war on drugs that, while things were not going particularly well, he wasdeterminedtocontinuethefight.IencounteredCaptainBuitrago’s dedication, if not always his eloquence, repeatedly among the dozens ofU.S.andColombianlawenforcersIinterviewedinsubsequentyears. Three years after meeting Buitrago, I sat down with ‘‘Homero,’’ a former drug courier from Colombia who had worked his way up his viii j Preface illicitnetwork’s‘‘queerladder’’tobecomeawholesalecocainedistribu- tor in the United States, prior to his arrest and incarceration for drug- relatedoffenses.‘‘It’sawarondrugs,’’heconcededinourprisoninter- view in central Florida. ‘‘I’m not saying that we’re prisoners due to an injustice.No.Wewere,themajorityofus,involvedindrugtrafficking. ...ButItellyousincerelythatthisbusinesswillnotend,becausewhen youcloseonedoor,thedrugtraffickersopenthreeorfourmore.’’2 If Captain Buitrago gives passionate expression to his and, by sym- bolicextension,hisgovernment’sdeterminationtocontinuethestrug- gle, Homero provides an important clue as to why Colombia and the United States are not likely to win the war on drugs through supply- controlstrategiesthatprivilegelawenforcement,druginterdiction,and crop eradication. Acknowledging the insight in Homero’s comment, this book sets out to explain it. I argue that the persistence of Colom- bia’s drug trade comes in part from the ability of people like Homero, andthecriminalenterprisestheyworkfor,tocreatemultipleentryways foreverypathblockedbytheirgovernmentadversaries.Whatfacilitates thismetaphoricalrevolvingdooraretheorganizationallearningcapaci- ties of drug traffickers and law enforcers, who change their activities in response to information and experience, store their knowledge in practices and institutional memories, and select routines that produce satisfactoryresults. FiveyearsaftermyencounterwithHomero,ItraveledtoIsraelwith agroupofAmericanscholarstolearnmoreaboutthecounterterrorism challenges facing Israeli authorities. It was an intense and sobering experience. One day we visited Gilboa Security Prison, a maximum- security facility for political prisoners near Armageddon. Gilboa con- fines 852 of Palestine’s toughest militants, including fighters from Hamas, the Palestine Islamic Jihad, and the Al-Aqsa Martyrs Brigade. ‘‘There are no stone throwers here,’’ we were told. Following another Power Point presentation, this one apparently designed for American journalists, policymakers, and academics making their obligatory tour stop on the frontlines of Israel’s war on terror, the prison commander entertained our questions. As he listened to my question about infor- mation sharing and learning among detainees, the colonel gave a knowingsmile.He readilyadmitted thatthiswasa problem.The pris- oners, he said, gather information about their Israeli captors. They share ideas with their fellow militants and plot operations, including escape attempts and terrorist attacks. But the colonel quickly pointed Preface j ix out that the prison authorities also learn from the detainees. The au- thoritiescultivateinformants intheprisonpopulation, whomthey use togatherinformationaboutdetainees’plansandaspirations.Thecolo- nelemphasizedthatonnumerousoccasionstheyhaveusedthisintelli- gencetodisruptimpendingattacks. After the briefing the colonel escorted us to the commons area in theIsraeliArabsectionoftheprison,wherewespokefacetofacewith several militants. One detainee I talked with vented his frustration at what he called the Israeli occupation of Palestine. While he expressed regret for killing an Israeli soldier, he complained about his treatment inthejailandsuggestedthatthestruggleforPalestinianstatehoodwas farfromover. The visit to Gilboa prison and several other military facilities in Is- raelconfirmedmysuspicionthatdrugtraffickersandlawenforcersare not the only ones who learn. Secular and religious extremists and the governmentstheyfightalsolearnfromexperience.Assuggestedinthe colonel’s remarks, terrorists and counterterrorists not only learn, they learn from each other, through complex interactions in shared social systems, aphenomenon I refer toin this book as ‘‘competitive adapta- tion.’’ And, as the jailed detainee implies, he and his colleagues are prepared to continue the struggle, no matter how many militants the Israelisincarcerate,nomatterhowmanyinformantstheyturn,nomat- terhowmanysecuritywallstheybuild.LikeHomeroandCaptainBui- trago, the Israeli colonel and the Palestinian prisoner symbolize this co-evolutionarydynamic,astrugglethat,as Ishowin thisbook, favors the traffickers and terrorists in significant, if not inevitably superior, ways. Colombia’stragedyisnotofitsownmaking,atleastnotentirely.After all,millionsofAmericansregularlyconsumeits illicitwareswhiletac- itly supporting a drug-prohibition regime that artificially inflates the value of these commodities, allowing people like Homero to reap the financial rewards of our ‘‘debauchery’’ and complacence. Like many Americans,myowninitiationtothedrugtrade’smanifoldcomplexities came on the demand side of the policy continuum: youthful experi- mentationwithmarijuanaandalcoholproducedapsychologicaldepen- dence of sorts, and at the worldly age of eighteen I found myself sharing group therapy sessions in idyllic rural New Hampshire with assortedother‘‘alkies’’andaddicts,allofusstrugglingtocometoterms
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