From Berlin to Baghdad This page intentionally left blank From Berlin to Baghdad America’s Search for Purpose in the Post–Cold War World Hal Brands The University Press of Kentucky Publication of this volume was made possible in part by a grant from the National Endowment for the Humanities. Copyright © 2008 by The University Press of Kentucky Scholarly publisher for the Commonwealth, serving Bellarmine University, Berea College, Centre College of Kentucky, Eastern Kentucky University, The Filson Historical Society, Georgetown College, Kentucky Historical Society, Kentucky State University, Morehead State University, Murray State University, Northern Kentucky University, Transylvania University, University of Kentucky, University of Louisville, and Western Kentucky University. All rights reserved. Editorial and Sales Offices: The University Press of Kentucky 663 South Limestone Street, Lexington, Kentucky 40508-4008 www.kentuckypress.com 12 11 10 09 08 5 4 3 2 1 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Brands, Hal, 1983– From Berlin to Baghdad : America’s search for purpose in the post–Cold War world / Hal Brands. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-8131-2462-9 (hardcover : alk. paper) 1. United States—Foreign relations—1989– 2. World politics—1989– 3. War on Terrorism, 2001– I. Title. JZ1480.B645 2007 327.73—dc22 2007030936 This book is printed on acid-free recycled paper meeting the requirements of the American National Standard for Permanence in Paper for Printed Library Materials. Manufactured in the United States of America. Member of the Association of American University Presses Contents List of Abbreviations vi Acknowledgments viii Introduction 1 1. Beyond the Cold War? 8 2. Peace Elusive 39 3. The Search for Order 74 4. The Successor to Containment 101 5. Unmaking Enlargement 128 6. Whither Foreign Policy? 159 7. Post–Bumper Sticker Diplomacy 198 8. The Politics of Foreign Policy 231 9. Full Circle 263 10. Waging the War on Terror 302 Conclusion 335 Notes 341 Bibliography 389 Index 411 Abbreviations ABM Anti-Ballistic Missile (Treaty) ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations CFE Conventional Forces in Europe CIA Central Intelligence Agency CTBT Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty CWIHP Cold War International History Project FDCH Federal Document Clearing House FOIA Freedom of Information Act GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade GDR German Democratic Republic ICBM intercontinental ballistic missile ICC International Criminal Court INF Intermediate Nuclear Forces (Treaty) JCS Joint Chiefs of Staff MFN most favored nation NAFTA North American Free Trade Agreement NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization NMD national missile defense NPT Non-Proliferation Treaty NSA National Security Archive NSC National Security Council NSD National Security Directive NSPD National Security Presidential Directive NSS National Security Strategy OPEC Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries PDD Presidential Decision Directive PDF Panama Defense Forces Abbreviations PFP Partnership for Peace PLO Palestine Liberation Organization PNTS permanent normal trade status RPF Rwandan Patriotic Front START Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty TMD theater missile defense UN United Nations UNISOM UN Mission for Somalia UNITAF UN Task Force WMD weapons of mass destruction WTO World Trade Organization vii Acknowledgments I would like to thank the staffs of the Hoover Institution, the Library of Congress, the National Security Archive, and the George Bush Presi- dential Library (Debbie Wheeler in particular) for their help in locat- ing many of the documents cited in this book. Thanks also to the Undergraduate Research Office at Stanford and the International Se- curity Studies program at Yale, both of which subsidized my research, and to Anthony Lake for permission to view his papers. John Gaddis and Barton Bernstein helped me formulate and re- work some of the ideas that went into this book. Stephen Metz and an anonymous reader for the University Press of Kentucky offered valu- able comments on the manuscript. Steve Wrinn and Anne Dean Wat- kins shepherded the book through the review process. A special thank-you goes to my dad, for his encouragement and willingness to serve as a sounding board. Introduction “We have found our mission and our moment,” said George W. Bush on September 20, 2001.1 Although Bush was re- ferring to the launching of a global “war on terror,” his words also signaled that the decade of incoherence known vaguely as the post– Cold War era was at a close. As the president identified a monolithic enemy and defined the next great calling of U.S. foreign policy, he declared an end to a twelve-year period that had been notable mainly for its lack of a diplomatic paradigm such as Bush now proposed. At the dawn of a new millennium, the president stated, the United States had once again located its purpose in international affairs. The present volume treats the period between 1989 and 2006, exploring the ways in which the disappearance of the Cold War mod- el of U.S. diplomacy affected the development of policy during those years. While much has been written on certain aspects of U.S. secu- rity strategy during the 1990s and beyond,2 comprehensive studies of the period are scarce.3 Accordingly, this book serves two purposes. First, it presents an account of U.S. foreign policy that, though not exhaustive, comes closer to being a full and critical examination of the relevant issues than is available elsewhere.4 Second, it offers an interpretation of U.S. diplomacy that places the various events of the period in the broader context of the transition from Cold War to post–Cold War to war on terror. As this study makes clear, much of this span (1989–2001) was more remarkable for what it was not (the Cold War) than for what it was (no one was really sure). During this period, the United States’ interaction with the world lacked the defining peril and mission that 1
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