Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 DOI10.1007/s12544-015-0165-5 ORIGINALPAPER — Framework for airfield pavements management an approach based on cost-effectiveness analysis MuhammadIrfan1&MuhammadBilalKhurshid2&ShahidIqbal1&AbidKhan2 Received:1June2014/Accepted:29March2015/Publishedonline:11April2015 #TheAuthor(s)2015.ThisarticleispublishedwithopenaccessatSpringerLink.com Abstract andRe-constructionofcompleteairfield.Theanalysisresults Purpose and research question The agencies responsible to revealedthatMilland2^thickACoverlayofmid-sectionwas operateandmaintainairfieldsindevelopingcountriesmanage the most cost effective alternative entailing minimum cost theairfieldpavementsonneedtodo/reactivebasisinsteadof whileyieldingmaximumbenefitpavementperformance. resorting to performance based preventive maintenance and Conclusions The developed pavement management process rehabilitation(M&R) activityprofiles. Extractingdue cogni- providessystematicandobjectiveproceduresformaintaining zance from literature on internationally recognized airfield the inventory of pavement infrastructure, monitoring pave- pavementsmanagementsystems,thisresearcharticlepresents ment performance,selecting optimal treatment and its appli- aframeworkofthestep-wiseprocedureforairfieldpavement cationtime.Theproposedmanagementsystemfortheairfield managementsystem. pavementswillnotonlyprioritizetheareasforrepair/main- Methods M&R effectiveness is quantified based upon area tenance but also give a cost-effective solution for enhancing boundedbythepavementperformancecurveandcostisthe theairfieldpavementservicelife.. presentworthoftotalcostincurredbytheagency.Theevalu- ationandprioritizationofdifferentalternativesisbasedonlife Keywords Decisionsupportsystems .Lifecyclecosts . cycle cost analysis and cost effectiveness index. The case Maintenance .Pavementmanagement .Rehabilitation . study for an in-service airfield has also been presented to Statisticalmodels demonstratetheapplicationofproposedmethodology. Results TheevaluatedM&Ralternativesforagivenpreserva- tionscenarioinclude:JointFilling,Patchingand2^thickover- 1Introduction lay; Milling and 2^ thick AC overlay of mid-section (keel) section; Replacement with complete 4^ thick AC Overlay; Airfieldspavements requirehuge investment ofpublic funds forconstruction andsubsequentmaintenance purpose. These pavementsarethebackboneoftheessentialeconomicactivi- * MuhammadIrfan tiesi.e.transportinggoodsandpersonsnotonlyinindustrial- [email protected] izedsocietiesbutalsoindevelopingcountries.Theincreasein MuhammadBilalKhurshid airtraffichassubjectedthesepavementstomoreloadsthanthe [email protected] pastandhaseffectedthesepavementstructureswhichareei- ShahidIqbal ther approaching or have exhausted their design life. Due to [email protected] thisdeterioration,theairfieldmanagementagencieshavegrad- AbidKhan ually shifted their emphasis from construction of new pave- [email protected] ments to maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) of existing 1 MilitaryCollegeofEngineering(MCE),NationalUniversityof ones. Managing an aging pavement network is difficult due Sciences&Technology(NUST),Risalpur24080,Pakistan tothecomplexbehaviorofpavement.Alsothegrowingbud- 2 NationalInstituteofTransportation(NIT),SchoolofCivil& getaryconstraints,underwhichmostagenciesarenowforced EnvironmentalEngineering(SCEE),NationalUniversityofSciences andTechnology(NUST),Islamabad44000,Pakistan to fiscal parsimony, have caused reduction in maintenance 13 Page2of14 Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 activities.Inthelasttwodecades,researchproclivityhasbeen lifeanditalsocompareeffectivenessofdifferentpreservation towards the development of airfield pavement management strategiesasshowninFig.1. systems (APMS) bymany agencies.Themajorrole ofthese CurrentlyinPakistan,airfieldsmaintenanceandrehabilita- systems is assisting decision-makers to find M&R strategies tiondecisionsarebasedonhistoricalpractices/experienceof for maintainingairfieldpavements in a serviceable condition airfieldengineersanddiscretionofadministrativeauthorities overaspecifiedtimeperiodinthemostcost-effectivemanner with no emphasis on life cycle cost analysis and other man- [1].Dependingonthepreferencesoftheagency/organization agementpractices.Inthepresentenvironmentoffiscalparsi- concerned, APMSs may take various forms, however all mony,thepavementinfrastructurerequiresamoresystematic APMSs have some common elements/ functions, necessary and methodical approach for determining M&R needs and foroperation.Theseimportantfunctionsarenetworkinvento- priorities. Mostly agencies in the country make decisions ry,pavementconditionevaluation,pavementperformancepre- about pavement M&R based on instant needs or experience dictionandplanningmethods.AnAPMSfacilitateslifecycle ratherthanlong-termplanningordocumenteddata.Thisap- cost analysis (LCCA) for various alternatives and aids in proach did not allow the country’s management agencies to decision-makingaboutthetimingofapplyingthebestalterna- evaluatethecosteffectivenessofalternativemaintenanceand tive.Itprovidesasystematic,consistentmethodforselecting repairstrategies,whichresultedinaninefficientuseoffunds. M&Rneedsanddeterminingprioritiesandtheoptimaltimeof Recent developmentsin airfield pavementmanagementpro- repairbypredictingfuturepavementcondition[2].Itisavalu- videa wayforward inmanagingpavements timely and eco- abletoolthatalertsthepavementmanageraboutacriticalpoint nomically. This research paper describes in detail an airfield (oratrigger)fortheapplicationofappropriatetreatment(pre- pavementmanagementsystemforuseatairfieldsinPakistan ventive maintenance (PM) or rehabilitation) in a pavement’s that will ensure examining the existing M&R practices and life cycle as shown in Fig. 1, which indicates that the repair develop a framework for economical and effective expendi- costsmaybereducedconsiderably,ifM&Risperformeddur- tureofmaintenancefundscommensuratewiththefunctional ing the early stages of deterioration, before the pavement requirementsandtheplannedfutureuseofthefacilities.The reachestheminimumlevelofserviceability(thresholdperfor- research study describes a stepwise procedure starting from mance level) and needs complete reconstruction. Threshold pavementinventoryfollowedbyinspections/distresssurvey, performancelevelortriggervalueistheminimumacceptable pavement performance evaluations and selection of M&R performancelevelbelowwhichthepavementisconsideredto strategies.Thiswillenabletheairfieldmanagementagencies be unacceptable for its designated function. These are often to prioritize the airfields pavements requiring M&R through basedonagency’sperformancestandardsand/oruserperspec- judicious allocation of the available budget. In an effort to tives.Often,agenciesseektoutilizethresholdvaluesthatare throwmorelightontheissue,thispaperuseshistoricalcon- performance-basedratherthantime-based.Theshorttermef- ditiondataandactivityprofileofin-serviceairfieldpavements fectivenessincludepavementperformancejump(Fig.1)andis and compare it with application of proposed APMS using useful in simulations ofpavement performance andcompare varioussamplefeasibleM&Ralternatives. effectiveness between alternative treatments, whereas long- term effectiveness include service life extension, average pavementperformanceandareaboundedbytheperformance 2Anappraisalofexistingairfieldpavement curve and are appropriate for major preservation treatments, managementsystems compared to minor treatments and useful for preservation Bstrategies^ or Bschedules^ i.e., combinations of different Airfield pavement management system started in 1970s treatmenttypesandtimingsoverassetlifecycleorremaining through a research conducted by Construction Engineering Fig.1 Typicalpavementlife cycleM&Rstrategiesand performancecurve Performance Jump Airfield PM Treatment Rehab Treatment Pavement Condition (PCI) PM Treatment Trigger Low Cost Rehabilitation Treatment Trigger High Cost Minimum Level of Serviceability (Threshold Performance Level) Very High Cost Airfield Pavement Age, t Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Page3of14 13 ResearchLaboratory(CERL)forUSAirForce.Thisresearch assessingthedeformationresponsebyexaminingtheloading managed to established PAVER and MicroPAVER manage- effects.Incaseofairfieldpavements,Non-destructivetesting mentSystemstodeviseasystemthatprioritizesthebudgetfor (NDT) using heavy weight deflectometer (HWD) is useful the Air Force bases as per their requirement (MicroPAVER because it generates much higher loadings than the actual [3]).ThelatestversionofthesystemalsoincludestheForeign aircraft loadings. In addition, ground penetrating radar and ObjectDamage(FOD) Index and structuralanalysisfor car- infraredthermalphotographyarespecificallyusefulinlocat- rying out the residual life analysis. McNerney and Harrison ingvoidsunderthepavementsurface[16].TheNDTsenables [4] conducted an analysis of various APMSs and concluded airfield managing agencies to conduct frequent surveys of that the MicroPAVER was merely based on surface distress, their pavements’structural capacity and provides them with andwastimeconsumingsystemthatdidnottakeintoaccount abasisfordecision-making.InAPMSs,variousperformance theairlineandairfieldcostssuchascostsforuserdelaysasa predictionmodelsarecriticalelementsthatcontrolimportant resultofclosedrunways,increasedroughnesscausingfatigue management decisions. Pavement performance serves as a to aircraft. An Enhanced APMS (EAMPS), later developed, tool in the planning of future M&R actions and can be pre- addressed the complete economic impact of pavement net- dicted through two types of models i.e., deterministic and work that includes aircraft delay and operating costs (ARA probabilistic [17,18]. Functional performance models are [5]).BrotenandWade[6]carriedoutasystematicassessment PCI prediction models that have mostly been developed for and analysis of airport pavement management practices by PAVER system and are also used in other APMSs such as conducting a survey of all states of US aviation agencies. Integrated APMS and AirPAVE (FAA [2,19]). The models Severalstatetransportationagencies,notablyMichigan,Min- built for performance prediction relate the future PCI value nesota, Ohio and California also developed comprehensive to a series of explanatory or predictive variables such as the pavementmaintenanceguidelinesintheirrespectiveareasof age of pavement, time since last overlay, structural integrity jurisdiction (MDOT [7]; MNDOT [8]; ODOT [9]; CalTrans (deflection measurement) and traffic, etc. Structural perfor- [10]). U.S. Department of Defense issued Unified Facilities mancemodelsrelatethematerialscharacteristicsofthepave- Criteria (UFC) publications, relevant reports and technical mentstructureandtheloadsappliedtoitfordeterminingthe manualsonpavementmaintenancemanagement[11].Inad- numberofcyclesofloadapplicationsbeforetheoccurrenceof ditiontoabovesystemswhichareapplicabletobothflexible failure. Such type of prediction models are widely used by andrigidairfieldpavementsotherAPMSsthatarespecificto pavement managers and have been developed for pave- pavementtypearealsoavailablee.g.,AirPACShasbeende- ments by various organizations i.e. Portland Cement As- velopedtosolvedifferentproblemsrelatedtorehabilitationof sociation (PCA), Asphalt Institute, U.S Army Corps of jointed plain concrete pavement (JPCP) airfield pavements Engineers and Shell International Petroleum Company [12]. ([15]; Zaniewshi [20]). ThemainelementsofalltheseAPMSsincludethenetwork Thedecision-makingandplanningincludedeterminingthe inventory,differentmethodstoevaluateandratethecondition M&R actions that should be taken by the managing agency of pavements, approaches used for predicting the evaluation keepinginviewthecurrentandpredictedpavementcondition of pavement condition over time and lastly the planning withinitsjurisdictionandthebudgetaryresources/constraints. methods.Theconditionsurveysareexpressedintheformof Lifecyclecostanalysisforagivensectionorprojectanalyzes a quality index e.g. pavement condition index (PCI) corre- possible M&R alternatives that are expected to provide the sponding to a single or combination of different pavement requiredperformanceinthepavementsectionandtoidentify characteristics and represent the deterioration state of pave- themostcosteffectiveoneovertheanalysisperiod.Themost mentatagiventime[13].ThePCIprocedureforcesthecol- advanced method for optimizing the allocation of available lectionofalargedataregardingvariousdistressesforcomput- fundingusedbytransportationagenciesisthemulti-yearpri- ingtheoverallindex.ThedrawbackinthePCImethodisthe oritizationusingincrementalcost-effectivenessanalysis,butis dubious repeatability of visual surveys due to the subjective seldomimplementedforairportpavementnetworks.Therea- nature and difference between the severities of distresses, sonsforslowerimplementationincludesmallerairportpave- whichcanbecontrolledbyextensiveandmeticulousinspec- ment networks, greater importance of operational issues at tion guidelines or by the use of automated data collection airports,andlimitationsofexistingairportpavementmanage- devices [14]. In addition to the functional evaluations, the mentsoftware(ACRP[21]). design and evaluation procedures of airfield pavements are TheappraisalofexistingstudiesonAPMSscontainsonlya based on structural considerations such as limiting stresses, limitedselectionfromtheavailableinformation,withtheob- strainsanddeflections[15].Thestructuralevaluationconsti- jective toprovide anoverviewofcommonairport pavement tutesdeterminingthephysicalpropertiesofthepavementma- maintenance practices and their current application. Taking terialse.g.,CaliforniaBearingRatio(CBR),modulusofelas- duecognizanceofavailableliterature,thisresearchstudycus- ticity (E), sub-grade reaction modulus (K) etc. and then tomizes a framework for APMS that provides guidance for 13 Page4of14 Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 distresssurvey,monitoringpavementperformance,quantify- selection of the optimum M&R alternative is based on eco- ing benefits and cost analyses, scheduling maintenance and nomicanalysis,pavementagency’smissionandmanagement rehabilitation(M&R)basedoncost-effectivenessanalysisof policies. The ensuing sections explain the complete process asphalt concrete (AC) and Portland cement concrete (PCC) foranairfieldpavementmanagementsystem. airfields. 3.1Inventory/DataCollection 3Studymethodology For initiation of any management system the airfields pave- mentsmustbedividedintovariouscomponentslikebranches, The stepwise procedure of the developed framework is pre- sections and sample units. An airfield’s pavement network sentedinFig.2.Theframeworkincludesanairfieldpavement branches consists of all surfaced areas that provide access to management procedure based on the evaluation of distress groundorairtraffice.g.,runways,taxiways,aprons,roadsand data,rateofdeterioration,andotherdirectmeasurementssuch storageareas.Asectionisadivisionofaparticularbranchwith asskidpotentialandprofileroughness.Guidelinesforidenti- certainconsistentcharacteristics/attributesthroughoutitsarea/ fying different feasible M&R alternatives established on the lengthincluding:structuralcomposition(thicknessandmate- results of the evaluation are also presented. Finally the rials);constructionhistory;traffic;andpavementcondition. Fig.2 Developedframeworkof Collect Inventory Data proposedairfieldpavement (Network & Airfield) managementsystem Identify Network Collect Airfield Data (Surface type, cross-sections, (Branches, Sections & sample units) history &previous M&R applied) Establish Acceptable Levels of Service (Target & Minimum) Collect Condition Data, Distress Survey (PCI) No If, PCI< Acceptable Yes Level of Service Continue existing Pavement Evaluation/ maintenance policy Performance Modeling (Routine Maintenance) Is Pavement functionally/ structurally deficient? No Yes 1. Long or short-term rate of pavement deterioration is high. Identify feasible M&R 2. Deficient load carrying capacity. alternatives 3. Dominant load-associated distresses 4. Surface roughness rated as Perform Life Cycle major. Cost Analysis (LCCA) 5. Skid resistance / hydroplaning potential is rated major. 6. High previous M&R applied. Cost-effectiveness 7. A change in mission requires Analysis greater load-carrying capacity. Analyze results and select optimal M&R strategy Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Page5of14 13 A sample unit is the smallest component of any airfield classification number (PCN) which shows the strength of pavement network and is an area within a pavement section pavementandensurethatpavementisnotsubjectedtoexces- obtainedbydividingsectionsintosampleunits.Inspectingan sive wear. The load-carrying capacity depends on the pave- entire section requires considerable effort, especially if the ment structure and material properties including sub-grade sectionisalargeone.Astatisticalsamplingplanistherefore soil properties. The load-carrying capacity of airfield pave- developedtoobtainanadequatePCI.Theinspectioniscarried mentscanbedeterminedusingdifferentdestructivemethods out on a portion of the sample units within that particular developed byFAAand U.S. ArmyCorps ofEngineers.The section i.e., 20±8 slabs for rigid pavements, and 5,000±2, Non-destructive testing methods and criteria using falling 000squarefeetforflexible[22].Thestatisticalsamplingplan weight deflectometer (FWD) or heavy weight deflectometer describedhereinwillconsiderablyreducethetimerequiredto (HWD)for evaluating the load-carrying capacity of airfield inspectasectionwithoutsignificantlossofaccuracy.Assum- pavementsareusedtoassessthestructuralcapacityofpave- inganormaldistributionofdata,thenumberofsampleunits mentwithoutanycoresordestructioninaquicktime[22]. to be surveyed having 95 % confidence level can be deter- minedusingEq.(1): 3.2Pavementperformanceprediction (cid:1) (cid:3) n¼Nσ2= e2=4ðN−1Þþσ2 ð1Þ Pavement deterioration over the years is estimated through pavement performance models [21, 23]. Knowledge of the Where performance trend subsequent to each treatment application n numberofsampleunitstobeinspected is helpful in M&R strategy optimization because it enables N totalnumberofsampleunitsinfeature anestimationofthetimewhenthenextmaintenance,rehabil- σ standarddeviationinPCIbetweensampleunitswithin itationorreconstructiontreatmentwouldbeneeded.Deterio- thefeature(10and15forflexibleandrigidpavements, rationofapavementsectiondependsuponlocalfactorssuch respectively) as the type and number of traffic loadings, environmental e allowableerrorindeterminingthetruePCI conditions,andsubgradestrengthincludingdrainageandma- terialcharacteristics.Theselectionofpavementperformance modelsdependsondataavailabilityandotheragencyrequire- Airfielddata Theextentandtypesofmaintenanceprevious- mentstoestimatefuturepavementpreservationneeds.Under- ly applied to a pavement section must be determined before standingthetreatment-specificperformancemodelishelpful selectinganewstrategy.Followingdataiscompiledforsub- inM&Rstrategyoptimizationinestimatingthetimewhenthe sequentuseduringtheconditionsurvey:design/construction/ next maintenance, rehabilitation, or reconstruction would be maintenancehistory;airtraffichistory(includingaircrafttype, needed,andthereforecanfacilitatethedevelopmentofrealis- typical gross loads, frequency of operation, runway usage, tic schedules and budgets for long-term pavement preserva- taxiway and apron usage); climatic/meteorological data (in- tion. The general functional form of post-treatment perfor- cludingfrostaction,etc.),airfieldlayoutplansincludingpho- mancetrendforairfieldpavementsconsideredinthisresearch tographs,pavementconditionsurveyreports. studyisgiveninEq.(2)[23]: Pavementfunctionalandstructuralevaluation Examining PI¼ fðtÞ ð2Þ thedistressespresentinapavementsectionhelpinidentifying thecauseofpavementdeterioration,itsextentandeventually Where:PI=Performanceindicator(PCI)inagivenyear,t; itsM&Rneeds.Inaddition,theeffectofdrainageondistress (PCIiscalculatedbysubtractingtotaldeductvaluewhichisin occurrenceisalsoinvestigatedbecause moisturehas consid- turn a function of accumulated effect of distress levels and erableeffectontherateofdistressoccurrence.Also,thedrive extents expressed as a numerical index between 0 and 100 throughinspectionchecksisconductedforanyFOD,whereas whichisusedtoindicatethegeneralconditionofapavement. thequarterlyinspectionreportrecordsthecompletepavement Thestepsinvolvedinpavementconditionevaluationsareil- inventory and any other abnormality on the airfield. Minor, lustrated in Fig. 3); f(t)=Function of pavement intervention moderate,ormajorsurfaceroughnessisdeterminedbyriding age, t (or a surrogate of age, such as accumulated aircraft profilersoverthepavementsectionatitsspeedlimitandob- trafficloadsand/orclimaticeffects,etc.) serving its relative riding quality. Distresses that can cause Airfieldpavementperformancetrendonapplicationofdif- skid resistance / hydroplaning potential for runways include ferent treatments generally, is a function of load characteris- bleeding,polishedaggregates,rutting,anddepression(foras- tics,typeofintervention(appliedtreatment),climaticeffects, phaltpavements)and polishedaggregate (forconcretepave- moistureand other variablefactors.As anexample the need ments)alsoneedtobesurveyed.Theloadcarryingcapacityof for performance prediction and the rate of deterioration for an airfield pavement is defined in terms of pavement different treatments is illustrated in Fig. 4, which shows 13 Page6of14 Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Fig.3 Stepsinvolvedin pavementconditionevaluations pavementperformancetrendcurvesfortwopavements.Both ofservicetheneedforpavementpreservationarises.Khurshid pavementshavesameinitialPCIbutpavementBdeteriorates et al.[25]) developed a framework for establishing optimal atafasterratethanpavementA,thuspavementBwillrequire performance thresholds for highway asset interventions. anearlierpavementpreservationtreatmentthanpavementA. Treatmentspecifictriggerlevelsrelatetoapplicationofpres- Aspavementconditionreachesaminimumacceptableservice ervationtreatmentsattherighttimewithinaspecifiedrangeto level the pavement requires maintenance or rehabilitation. be effective, before the PCI falls below the level where the Feedbackonthealternativesappliedcanbejudgedbymoni- pavement condition require different and more expensive toringtheperformanceovertheyears.Figure1illustratesthe treatmente.g.,crackssealinginACpavementsismosteffec- concept of sudden elevation of pavement performance upon tive when the pavement is still in a good condition. For the treatment (short-term effectiveness) and deterioration trend purposeofthisresearch,theexistingestablishedperformance subsequentto the treatment application (long-term effective- standardsdevelopedbyairportcooperativeresearchprogram ness).Performancemodelsenabletrackingofpavementper- sponsored by Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) were formanceoverthelife-cycleandarethereforeavitalinputof adopted(Table1)forselectingtheapplicationthresholdsfor thetreatmenteffectivenessperspective.Theremainingservice variousM&Rtreatments(ACRP[21]). lifeisusedtocalculate the salvage value ofpavementwhile carryingouttheeconomicanalysisandalso,isanindicatorof 3.4Quantifyingthebenefitsofpreservationtreatments theoverallconditionofthenetwork[24].Theremainingser- vicelifeforpavementBis‘2’yearsandthatforpavementAis Theconceptofareaboundedbypost-treatmentperformance ‘5’yearsasillustratedinFig.4. curveintegratesthemeasuresofeffectiveness(MOEs)ofser- vice life and increase in average asset performance and is 3.3Identificationofpreservationneeds consistent with the rationale that superior average perfor- manceoveralongerperiodprovidesmorebenefitscompared The establishment of the minimum acceptable levels of ser- toinferiorperformanceoverashorterperiod(Lamptey[26]). vicealsoprovidesrationaljustificationforpavementmainte- For the non-increasing performance indicators, such as PCI nanceandrehabilitationneeds.Wheneverthepredictedpave- thiseffectivenessistheareaunderthecurve(AUC)(Fig.5). mentconditionfallslowerthantherecommended/targetlevel The benefits of a well-maintained airfield pavement are Fig.4 Pavementperformance curvefordifferenttreatments B Predicted Performance (AdaptedfromACRP[21]) 100 Remaining Service Life Airfield Pavement A Condition (PCI) Past Performance Minimum Level of Serviceability (Threshold Performance Level) 0 Now Now +2 Now +5 Airfield Pavement Age, years Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Page7of14 13 Table1 PavementPerformanceStandardsforAirportPavements(ACRP[21]) PavementCondition Performancedescription Applicablepavementpreservationtreatments Index(PCI) 86–100 Good—onlyminordistresses Routinemaintenanceonly 71–85 Satisfactory—lowandmediumdistresses Preventivemaintenance 56–70 Fair—somedistressesaresevere Preventivemaintenanceandrehabilitation 41–55 Poor—severityofsomeofthedistressescancauseoperationalproblems Rehabilitationorreconstruction 26–40 Verypoor—severedistressescauseoperationalproblems Rehabilitationandreconstruction 11–25 Serious—manyseveredistressescauseoperationalrestrictions Immediaterepairsandreconstruction 0–10 Failed—pavementdeteriorationpreventssafeaircraftoperations Reconstruction numerousandmaybedifficulttoquantifyinmonetaryterms. PI Post-treatmentperformancemodelforithstage s,i Inpavementmanagementresearch,thisnon-monetizedbene- treatmentatanyyear,t fit or effectiveness is often expressed in at least one of the t =t(i) Actualservicelifeofthe(i–1)thtreatment s(trig) threeforms:servicelifeextension,averagepavementperfor- (thetimebetweenthetriggeringofithtreatment manceandareaboundedbytheperformancecurve.Thecon- andthetimewhentheprevious[(i—1)th] ceptofareaboundedbytheperformancecurveisconsidered treatmentwasimplemented) superior to the others as it embodies the concepts of service t Timeorage,tatminimumacceptable ps(max) life and increased condition. This is consistent with the rea- performance(serviceability)ofpre-treatment soningthatsuperioraverageconditionforlongerperiodspro- (ps) videsmorebenefitthaninferiorconditionforshorterperiods t Timeorage,tatminimumacceptable s(max) [23]. The mathematical form of the post treatment-specific performance(serviceability)of area bounded by the performance curve is given in Eq. (3) triggered-treatment(s) forthedecreasingperformanceindicator: 2Z (Z )3 AUCs;i¼64 t0sðmaxÞPIs;idt– ttpsðstðrmigaÞxÞP(cid:1)Is;0dt−PImax(cid:3):(cid:1)tpsðmaxÞ−tsðtrigÞ(cid:3) 75 M&ARsismtrpatleegcyalccoumlaptiroisninogf mthueltoipvleeratlrleaetfmfeecntitvsefnoelsloswoifnga −PImax: tsðmaxÞ−tsðtrigÞ the initial construction is illustrated in Fig. 4 and is ð3Þ given in Eq. (4) for the decreasing performance indica- tor (PCI): Where AUCs Additionalareaundertheperformancecurve Effectivenessof M&RStrategy yieldedbytreatment,s. Z PI Performancemodelfornewconstructionin X X tðiÞ s,0 termsofperformanceindicator(PI) ¼ ks¼1 ni¼0 PIs;tdt−PImax:tðiÞ ð4Þ 0 Fig.5 Illustrationofquantifying Area under the Performance Curve thepavementtreatment Post-treatment effectiveness Airfield Pre-treatment, PI(s,0) Performance Post-treatment Pavement PI(s,1) Performance, Condition, PCI PI(s,2) PIs(trig) PImax Minimum Level of Serviceability (Threshold Performance Level) 0 t(0) t(1) t(2) Airfield Pavement Age, t 13 Page8of14 Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Where recycling of existing pavements and total reconstruction fall under the category of overall M&R. s thenumberofalternativeM&Rtreatmentsinthegiven strategy(s=1,2,…,k) 3.6EconomicanalysisofM&Ralternatives i thenumberofpossibletriggeringstagesoftreatments (includingnewconstruction)intheanalysisperiod(i=0, Selectingthebestalternativerequiresperforminganeconomic 1,2,…,n) analysistocomparethecost-effectivenessofallfeasiblealter- All other notations have their usual meaning previously natives[27].Aneconomicanalysisprocedure,alsocalledlife explained. cyclecostanalysis,comparesM&Ralternativesusingpresent worth (for equal analysis periods of alternatives: Eq. (5)) or equivalentuniformcost(forvaryinganalysisperiodsofalter- 3.5PreservationscenariosandfeasibleM&Ralternatives natives).ThepresentworthofanyM&Ralternativeisthesum ofalldiscountedM&Rcostsduringtheanalysisperiodminus Literaturesearchrevealedalargeamountofinformationavail- thesalvagevaluediscountedtothepresent.Thepresentworth able apropos the technology of pavement preservation treat- ofallM&Ralternativesiscomparedwithrespecttoavailable ments (ACRP [21]). As such, different agencies could have budget in order to guide the pavement manager in selecting different customized set of feasible treatments for different themostsuitablealternative. preservationscenarios: X MinorLocalized(Routine)M&R MinorlocalizedM&Rin- PWC¼ICþ k M&R (cid:2)½1=ð1þirÞ(cid:3)nj−SV½1=ð1þirÞ(cid:3)N j¼1 j cludesmethodsthatpreservetheconditionofthepavementand ð5Þ retard its deterioration. These methods may include crack sealing,jointsealingandapplicationoffogsealsandrejuvena- Where: tors.MinorlocalizedM&Rmethodsalsorestorepavementcon- ditione.g.,skinpatching,applyingheatandrollingsand,plac- PWC Presentworthofcostofastrategyapplication ingsmallpatchesandpatchingjointandcornerspall. IC Presentcostofinitialconstructionorrehabilitation activity Major Localized (Preventive) M&R Major localized M&R k NumberoffutureM&Ractivities includespartialdepthorfull-depthpatching,slabreplacement, M&R CostofjthfutureM&Ractivityintermsofpresent j slabundersealingandslabgrindingappliedtoalargerareaor costs portion of the pavement section. Other major localized M&R ir Discountrate may include application of an aggregate seal over the entire n NumberofyearsfrompresenttothejthfutureM&R j section(micro-surfacing,thinoverlays,etc.)inACpavements activity andreconstructionofjointsinaconcretepavement. SV Salvagevalue;and N Analysisperiodlength,years Overall M&R Overall M&R includes all methods that cover the entire pavement section and improves its Knowing the benefitsand costs of a M&R strategy, asset structural capacity. Overlays of asphalt (including mill- managers can compare the overall desirability of alternative ing of AC pavements) or PCC overlays, hot & cold treatments or strategies and select the best alternative on the Fig.6 Comparisonofvarious activityprofileseffectiveness Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Page9of14 13 Table2 NetPresentworthofsamplefeasibleM&Ralternatives(a)Patchingandapplycomplete2^thickoverlay Year Workdescription Quantity Unitcost Totalcost PWF Presentworth (0)2011 CrackFilling 1274m 198 2,52,252 1.000 2,52,252 (0)2011 Patching 570.3Ton 5938.3 33,86,613 1.000 33,86,613 (0)2011 TackCoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 1.000 51,61,618 (0)2011 2^ACOverlay 15,010Ton 5938.3 8,91,33,883 1.000 8,91,33,883 (5)2016 Fogseal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.822 98,11,922 (8)2019 SealCracks 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.730 1,84,144 (10)2021 Removalof2^AC 6373.7cum 855.38 54,51,936 0.676 36,85,508 (10)2021 Overlay2^AC 15,010Ton 5938.3 8,91,33,883 0.676 6,02,54,505 (15)2026 FogSeal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.555 66,24,838 (18)2029 SealCracks 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.494 1,24,612 SubTotal 17,86,19,895 LessSalvageValue 0 NetPresentWorth 178.62MillionPKR basisofcost-effectiveness[28].Inanefforttoavoidtheissues 4Applicabilityofproposedframework–acasestudy associated with monetization of benefits, a number of past ofin-serviceairfield studies resorted to using non-monetized benefits such as the areaboundedbythecurve,theservicelife,thedecreaseinthe Acasestudyofanin-serviceairfieldisundertakentoperceive structuralindexetc.[28–30].Thecost-effectiveness(CE)In- theefficacyoftheproposedAPMSframework.Thesampling dexofeachM&RstrategyiscalculatedusingEq.(6): anddatacollectionplanincludedtheextractionofpavement EffectivenessðBenefitÞ condition data from annual serviceability reports of selected CostEffectivenessðCEÞIndex¼ ð6Þ in-service airfields. The data in the serviceability report pro- PWC videaninformationofdistresstype,itsextentandM&Rac- The evaluation and decision-making of optimal M&R tiontaken(ifany).However,itdoesn’tprovideotherpertinent scheduleforagivenairfieldpavementnetworkismadeusing informationneededforAPMSregardingdistresscause,eval- brute-forceenumeration(alsoreferredtogenerate-and-test)of uation procedure, feasible M&R alternatives and cost effec- all feasiblealternativeswhich isproceeded bygeneratingall tivenessanalysis.Theairfieldhistoricaldataindicatesthatthe possible candidate feasible strategies (ARA [5]) randomly runway(RW16/34)wasrehabilitatedwith2^thickOverlayin followedbydeterminingwhetheritisa validsolutiontothe 1997. The same year is considered as the start point for the budgetaryortheperformanceconstraint. activity profile as shown in Fig. 6. The actual activity Table3 NetpresentworthofsamplefeasibleM&Ralternatives(b)Replacementof2^thickACOverlayofKeelSection Year Workdescription Quantity Unitcost Totalcost PWfactor Presentworth Rs Rs Rs (0)2011 Removalof2^ACsurface 2124.6m3 855.38 18,17,340 1.000 18,17,340 (0)2011 TackCoat 41,822m2 41.14 17,20,557 1.000 17,20,557 (0)2011 2^ACOverlay 5004Ton 5938.3 2,97,15,253 1.000 2,97,15,253 (5)2016 Fogseal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.822 98,11,922 (8)2019 SealCracks 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.730 1,84,144 (10)2021 TackCoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 0.676 34,89,254 (10)2021 Overlay2^AC 15,010Ton 5938.3 8,91,33,883 0.676 6,02,54,505 (15)2026 FogSeal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.555 66,24,838 (18)2029 SealCracks 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.494 1,24,612 SubTotal 11,37,42,425 LessSalvageValue 0 NetPresentWorth 113.74MillionPKR SalvageValueofzeroindicatesthat2^ACoverlayhavecompleteditsusefullife 13 Page10of14 Eur.Transp.Res.Rev.(2015)7:13 Table4 NetpresentworthofsamplefeasibleM&Ralternatives(c)ReplacementofComplete4^thickACOverlay Year Workdescription Quantity Unitcost Totalcost PWFactor Presentworth Rs Rs Rs (0)2011 Removalof4^ACsurface 12,620m3 855.38 1,07,94,896 1.000 1,07,94,896 (0)2011 TackCoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 1.000 51,61,618 (0)2011 2^ACAggregate 14,405T 5617.3 8,09,17,207 1.000 8,09,17,207 (0)2011 Tackcoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 1.000 51,61,618 (0)2011 2^ACwearing 15,010T 5938.3 8,91,33,883 1.000 8,91,33,883 (08)2019 Fogseal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.730 87,13,751 (11)2022 Crackseal 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.650 1,63,964 (14)2025 TackCoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 0.577 29,78,254 (14)2025 2^ACoverlay 15,010Ton 5938.3 8,91,33,883 0.577 5,14,30,250 (19)2030 FogSeal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.475 56,69,906 SubTotal 3,56,53,553 0.456 26,01,25,347 LessSalvageValue 1,62,58,021 NetPresentWorth 243.87MillionPKR SalvageValue=(Remainingservicelifeoflastrehabilitationtreatment/ExpectedLifeofRehabilitationTreatment)×cost;ExpectedLifeof2^AC Overlayinallalternatives=10years.RemainingserviceLifeafter20thyear=4years performedduringthesubsequentyearsisshownwhichindi- treatmentbeenappliedbeforethecrackappearedi.e.in2002, catesthatfromyear1997toyear2007nopreventivemainte- itwouldhavemaintainedtheconditionlevelatanacceptable nance was carried out, despite the appearance of cracks in servicelevelforconsiderableperiodandenhancedthepave- 2004.Thisledtothecontinuousdropinthe conditionlevel, mentlife(Tables2,3,4and5). whichultimatelyfellbelowtheminimumacceptablelevelin AssumingtheproposedAPMSwasadoptedandtheover- year 2007. Instead of rehabilitation with 4^ thick overlay, allM&Rstrategyscenarioisconsideredforthecasestudyof routine maintenance (seal coat) was conducted. Then after a runway (Fig. 6). The sample feasible alternatives lapseofjustoneyear(i.e.in2008)againroutinemaintenance (rehabilitation) in year 2011 in addition to routine mainte- (crackseal)wascarriedout.Theconditionlevelcontinuedto nancecouldinclude: deteriorateandfinallyin2011,agencyresortedtoreconstruc- tion.InordertodeterminetheoptimalM&Ractivityprofiles, & Performpatchingandapplycomplete2^thickoverlay. agencies mustbe ableto predict the performance trendsand & Performmillingandreplacethekeel(central)portionwith futureconsequencesofthevariouspreservationscenarios.In 2^thickoverlay. the above presented casestudy, had the routine maintenance & Replacementof4^thickACintwolifts. Table5 NetPresentWorthofSampleFeasibleM&RAlternatives(d)Re-constructionofCompleteRunway Year Workdescription Quantity Unitcost Totalcost PWfactor Presentworth Rs Rs Rs (0)2011 Removal12^AC 38,242m3 855.38 3,27,11,442 1.000 3,27,11,442 (0)2011 Removal11^sub-base&base 35,055m3 180.48 63,26,726 1.000 63,26,726 (0)2011 Laying9^sub-base 28,681m3 1031.30 2,95,78,715 1.000 2,95,78,715 (0)2011 Laying7^base 22,308m3 1459.30 3,25,54,064 1.000 3,25,54,064 (0)2011 Primecoat 125,464m2 78.44 2,52,252 1.000 2,52,252 (0)2011 2^ACAggregate 14,405T 5617.3 8,09,17,207 1.000 8,09,17,207 (0)2011 Tackcoat 125,464m2 41.14 51,61,618 1.000 51,61,618 (0)2011 2^ACwearing 15,010T 5938.3 8,91,33,883 1.000 8,91,33,883 (14)2025 Fogseal 125,464m2 95.14 1,19,36,645 0.577 68,87,444 (19)2030 Crackseal 1274m 198 2,52,252 0.513 1,19,820 SubTotal 28,36,43,171 LessSalvageValue 5,53,27,181 NetPresentWorth 22,83,15,990or 228.32MillionPKR
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