Framework Adjustment 55 To the Northeast Multispecies FMP Prepared by the New England Fishery Management Council In consultation with the Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council National Marine Fisheries Service Initial Framework Meeting: June 18, 2015 Final Framework Meeting: January 27, 2016 Date Submitted: February 19, 2016 Date Resubmitted: April 8, 2016 April 8, 2016 Intentionally Blank 2 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background 1.0 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In New England, the New England Fishery Management Council (NEFMC) is charged with developing management plans that meet the requirements of the Magnuson-Stevens Act (M-S Act). The Northeast Multispecies Fishery Management Plan (FMP) specifies the management measures for thirteen groundfish species (cod, haddock, yellowtail flounder, pollock, plaice, witch flounder, white hake, windowpane flounder, Atlantic halibut, winter flounder, redfish, Atlantic wolffish, and ocean pout) off the New England and Mid-Atlantic coasts. The FMPs have been updated through a series of amendments and framework adjustments. Amendment 16, which became effective on May 1, 2010, adopted a broad suite of management measures in order to achieve the fishing mortality targets necessary to rebuild overfished stocks and meet other requirements of the M-S Act. Amendment 18, which was submitted to NMFS on October 30, 2015, would addresses fleet diversity and accumulation limits. Since 2010, ten framework adjustments have updated the measures in the groundfish plan. Amendment 16 made major changes to the FMP. The Amendment adopted a system of Annual Catch Limits (ACLs) and Accountability Measure (AMs) that are designed to ensure catches remain below desired targets for each stock in the management complex. The National Standard Guidelines provide advisory guidance (that does not have the effect or force of law) for the implementation of these requirements (50 CFR 600.310(g)). AMs are management controls to prevent ACLs from being exceeded and to correct or mitigate overages of the ACL if they occur. AMs should address and minimize both the frequency and magnitude of overages and correct the problems that caused the overages in as short a time as possible. AMs can be either in season AMs or AMs for when the ACL is exceeded. NMFS acknowledged in the publication of the guidelines that there is no requirement that AMs and ACLs be implemented as hard TACs or quotas, but conservation and management measures must be implemented so that the ACL is not exceeded and AMs must apply if the ACL is exceeded (74 FR 3184). While many measures in the management program are intended to control fishing mortality and might be interpreted to be AMs since they are “management controls to prevent the ACL from being exceeded,” the term AM is usually applied to specific, automatic measures that are implemented either as an ACL is approached or after an ACL is exceeded. Framework 55 (FW55) is intended to incorporate status changes for groundfish stocks, set specifications for all groundfish stocks, update fishery program administration, and adjust management measures for commercial and recreational fisheries that catch groundfish stocks. This framework incorporates the results of new stock assessments into the setting of specifications, including catch limits for the U.S./Canada Resource Sharing Understanding and the distribution of ACLs to various components of the fishery. FW 55 would also implement an additional sector for operation in FY2016, change the process for approving new sectors, change the definition of the haddock separator trawl, and modify the sector at sea monitoring (ASM) program, the distribution of U.S. TACs for Eastern/Western Georges Bank cod, and the GOM cod protection measures. The need for this action is to prevent overfishing, ensure rebuilding of overfished stocks, and help achieve optimum yield in the fishery consistent with the status of stocks and the requirements of MSA of 2006. Other needs for this action are to improve the enforcement of conservation gear, to provide additional flexibility within the sector system and recreational fishery in the face of changing regulations and legal circumstances. There are several purposes of FW55: to update changes to the status determination criteria, to adopt specifications, to adopt U.S./ Canada Total Allowable Catches (TACs), to implement new sectors, to modify the process of approving sectors, to change a net definition, to modify the at-sea monitoring program, to facilitate the transfer of ACE between management areas, and to modify the recreational component of the Gulf of Maine Cod protection measures. 3 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background Proposed Action Under the provision of the M-S Act, the Council submits proposed management actions to the Secretary of Commerce for review. The Secretary of Commerce can approve, disapprove, or partially approve the action proposed by the Council. In the following alternative descriptions, measures identified as Preferred Alternatives constitute the Council’s preferred management action. If the Preferred Alternatives identified in this document are adopted, this action would implement a range of measures summarized in Section 4.0. The Preferred Alternatives Include: Stock status changes and Annual Catch Limits o Revised Status Determination for groundfish stocks. The preferred alternative would revise status determination criteria consistent with the results of the peer reviewed assessments. o Revised Annual Catch Limit Specifications. The preferred alternative would adopt new Overfishing limits (OFLs), Acceptable Biological Catches (ABCs), and Annual Catch Limits for FY 2016 – FY 2018 for all groundfish stocks and FY2016 – FY2017 for GB yellowtail flounder would be as specified. Additionally, U.S./Canada TACs- would be specified for GB yellowtail flounder, Eastern GB cod and Eastern GB haddock. This alternative would also distribute the ABCs to the various components of the fishery. ACLs for state waters and other sub-components would be modified to reflect recent catches, and a sub-ACL for southern New England yellowtail flounder would be allocated to the Atlantic sea scallop fishery based on 90% of the scallop fishery’s estimated catch. Fishery Program Administration o Implementation of a new sector for FY 2016. The preferred alternative would approve the formation of the Sustainable Harvest Sector II to commence on May 1, 2016, which would be comprised of active groundfish vessels. o Revised process for approving new northeast groundfish sectors. The preferred alternative would modify the process for approving new groundfish sectors, such that new sectors would not need to be approved through a Council action. The revised process would provide for Council discussion and comment on new sector applications, and NMFS would only approve a new sector upon the Council’s endorsement. o Revised definition of the haddock separator trawl. The preferred alternative would revise the current definition of the haddock separator trawl by requiring that the horizontal large mesh separator panel must have mesh of a contrasting color to those sections of the net that it separates. All other net specifications would remain unchanged. Commercial and Recreational Fishery Measures o Modification and adjustments to groundfish monitoring program. The preferred alternatives modify the program in several ways. When applied in concert, the preferred 4 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background alternatives would result in a total observer coverage (NEFOP and ASM) rate of 14% in FY 2016. Clarification of groundfish monitoring goals and objectives. The preferred alternative would clarify that the primary goal of the groundfish sector ASM program is to verify area fished, catch, and discards by species, by gear type. Clarification that ASM coverage levels be set only using realized stock level CVs. The preferred alternative would clarify that the Council’s intent that ASM coverage levels be set using only realized stock level CVs. Application of a multi-year approach to setting sector ASM coverage rates. The preferred alternative would specify that ASM coverage levels should be set using a three-year average of realized stock-level CVs. Remove ASM coverage requirements for sector trips fishing extra-large mesh gear in Broad Stock Areas 2 & 4. The preferred alternative would remove ASM coverage requirements for sector vessels fishing extra-large mesh gillnets of 10” or greater while on a sector trip fishing exclusively in Broad Stock Areas 2 or 4. Adopt a fishery performance criteria predicting the target coverage level. The preferred alternative would adopt a performance criteria for use in setting groundfish sector ASM coverage levels on an annual basis. o Distribution of U.S. TACs for Eastern/Western Georges Bank cod. The preferred alternative would allow a sector or state-operated permit bank to convert its Eastern GB cod ACE to Western GB cod ACE. o Modify Gulf of Maine cod recreational possession limits. The preferred alternative would allow the Regional Administrator (RA) to once again change the possession limit of GOM cod for the recreational fishery. Summary of Environmental Consequences The environmental impacts of all of the alternatives under consideration are described in Section 7.0. Biological impacts are described in Section 1.1; impacts on essential fish habitat are described in Section 7.2; impacts on endangered and other protected species are described in Section 7.3; the economic impacts are described in Section 7.4; and the social impacts are described in Section 7.5. Cumulative effects are described in Section 7.6. Summaries of the most significant impacts are provided in the following paragraphs. As required by NEPA, the Preferred Alternatives are compared to the No Action alternative and other alternatives. As No Action would result in little fishing effort, comparisons are also made between the Preferred Alternatives and status quo to enable a more realistic analysis of potential impacts, as appropriate. Biological Impacts The Preferred Alternatives are expected to result in negative impacts when compared to the No Action alternative. This is not informative, however, since No Action would adopt default specifications for the first three months of the FY for several stocks and the majority of groundfish fishing activity would be curtailed in the absence of new specifications. This scenario does not appear realistic as it would neither conform with the best available science nor provide the optimum yield (OY) for several stocks as required by the M-S Act. When compared with recent fishing activity and mortality, the preferred alternatives for 5 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background ACLs are expected to result in low positive impacts. The reduction in expected fishing effort is driven by the constraining nature of the ACL specifications for key stocks such as GOM cod, GB cod, GB winter flounder, SNE/MA yellowtail flounder, and witch flounder. Changes to fishery program administration would not be expected to have direct impacts, either positive or negative, on regulated groundfish and other species. With respect to the combined impact of the preferred ASM alternatives, biological impacts are expected to be low negative when compared to No Action because the uncertainty in discards may increase for some stocks which has the potential to impact stock assessments in the future. Further, observer bias could potentially increase with fewer observed trips. Allowing transfer of EGB cod to the western fishery would not be expected to lead to large increases in effort in other portions of the stock area, particularly with the proposed decline in GB cod quotas. The biological impacts of allowing the RA to once again change the possession limit of GOM cod for the recreational fishery is likely to vary, depending on whether or not the RA elects to increase the GOM cod bag limit from zero. Essential Fish Habitat (EFH) Impacts The Preferred Alternatives are expected to result in low negative habitat impacts when compared to the No Action alternative. This is not informative, however, since No Action would adopt default specifications for the first three months of the FY for several stocks and the majority of groundfish fishing activity would be curtailed in the absence of new specifications. When compared with recent fishing activity, the preferred alternatives are expected to result in a slight decrease in negative impacts. The reduction in expected fishing effort is driven by the constraining nature of the ACL specifications for key stocks such as GOM cod, GB cod, GB winter flounder, SNE/MA yellowtail flounder, and witch flounder. Changes to fishery program administration do not directly impact fishing effort, and thus would not be expected to have direct or indirect impacts, either positive or negative, on EFH. With respect to the combined impact of the preferred ASM alternative, no direct impacts to EFH are expected, as overall effort is constrained by declining sub-ACLs for several stocks, particularly GOM and GB cod. Allowing transfer of EGB cod to the western fishery would not be expected to lead to large increases in effort in other portions of the stock area, particularly with the proposed decline in GB cod quotas. Impacts on Endangered and Other Protected Species When compared to recent fishing activity, the preferred alternatives would likely lead to negligible to low negative impacts on protected species. The ABCs and ACLs specified in the preferred alternative are not expected to result in an increase in fishing effort or shifts in fishing effort to areas that have not been considered by NMFS in its assessment of fishery effects to protected resources. The combination of preferred monitoring options would likely to result in lower overall ASM coverage levels for the sector fleet, and would likely have a low negative impact on protected species, potentially increasing uncertainty in bycatch estimates for some protected resources. Allowing transfer of EGB cod to the western fishery would be expected to have neutral impacts on protected species because it is not expected to lead to large changes in effort in other portions of the stock area, particularly with the proposed decline in GB cod quotas. Economic Impacts The Preferred Alternatives would likely result in an increase in groundfish fishing vessel revenues when compared to No Action for ACLs. This is not informative, however, since No Action would adopt default specifications for the first three months of the FY for several stocks and the majority of groundfish fishing activity would be curtailed in the absence of new specifications. The preferred alternatives would be expected to result in $68.8 million in gross groundfish revenues for FY2016. This represents approximately a $7.5 million dollar reduction in predicted revenue from FY 2015, and a $12.5 million dollar reduction in predicted groundfish revenue for FY2014. The economic impacts of the preferred alternatives are not expected to be uniformly distributed across vessel size class and port. The implementation of an additional sector and the modification of the sector approval process would likely result in positive economic impacts for the fishery because it would provide greater flexibility for sectors. 6 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background The combination of preferred ASM alternatives would likely result in up to 14% ASM coverage rate for sector vessels, and a reduction in costs for sectors relative to the No Action (41% coverage). Allowing the transfer of eastern Georges Bank cod to the western fishery is expected to add operational flexibility for sectors and permit banks, and yield positive economic impacts. Allowing the RA to once again change the possession limit of GOM cod for the recreational fishery is likely to vary, depending on whether or not the RA elects to increase the GOM cod bag limit from zero. Social Impacts The social impacts of the Preferred Alternatives for annual catch limit specifications would be positive relative to the No Action, but largely negative relative to the fishery compared to FY 2015. Changes to fishery program administration in FW55 are expected to be positive because they would provide greater flexibility for the groundfish fishery. The preferred ASM measures would result in lower coverage levels for sectors relative to No Action, resulting in lower costs and positive impacts relative to the Size and Demographics and Attitudes, Beliefs, and Values of the groundfish fishery. Modifications to the distribution of U.S. TACs for Eastern/Western Georges Bank may have positive impacts on the Historical Dependence on and Participation in the fishery by increasing the flexibility of fishing operations. Similar to other VECs, the allowing the RA to once again change the possession limit of GOM cod for the recreational fishery would add flexibility to process to setting recreational measures, but may not result in an increase in bag limit of GOM cod from zero. Alternatives to the Proposed Action There are a number of alternatives analyzed in the document that are not identified as preferred alternatives. These include some of the No Action alternatives in sections 4.1 (Updates to Status Criteria, Formal Rebuilding Programs and Annual Catch Limits), 4.2 (Fishery Program Administration), and 4.3 (Commercial and Recreational Fishery Measures), as well as alternatives for GOM cod spawning protection areas and zero possession of GOM cod, which were not identified as preferred alternatives. These alternatives are briefly described below. Stock Status Changes and Annual Catch Limits o Revised status determination criteria for groundfish stocks. The No Action would not update the status determination criteria (SDC) or the numerical estimates for the SDC. Using the old criteria would not be consistent with recently completed assessments and would not comply with M-S Act requirements to use best available science. o Revised Annual Catch Limit Specifications. The No Action would not adopt new specifications for the majority of groundfish stocks. Default specifications, set at 35% of the prior year’s ACL, would remain in place through July 31st, 2016. In addition, FY 2016 quotas would not be specified for GB yellowtail flounder, EGB cod, EGB haddock, which are managed through the U.S./Canada Resource Sharing Understanding. A SNE/MA yellowtail flounder sub-ACL would not be allocated to the scallop fishery. Fishery Program Administration o Implementation of a new sector for FY 2016. The No Action alternative would not approve the formation of the Sustainable Harvest Sector II. The number of approved sector would remain at 24. o Revised process for approving new northeast groundfish sectors. The process for creating a new sector, as described in Amendment 16, would not change. Under current 7 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background regulations, an appropriate NEPA document must be prepared by a potential new sector and submitted to NMFS through the Council in an action that assesses the impacts of forming the sector. o Revised definition of the haddock separator trawl. The No Action would not change the current definition of the haddock separator trawl at 50 CFR 648.85(a)(3)(iii)(A). Under the current definition, there is no requirement that the separator panel have meshes of a contrasting color. Commercial and Recreational Fishery Measures o Modification and adjustments to groundfish monitoring program. The No Action would maintain the groundfish monitoring program as defined in Amendment 16 and Framework 48. There would be no changes to the goals, objectives, standards for monitoring the fishery, or industry responsibility for funding a portion of the ASM program. The No Action alternative would also maintain lower ASM coverage rates for sector trips on a Monkfish DAS in the SNE Broad Stock Area using 10” ELM gillnet gear. There would be no changes or clarification to the methods used by NMFS to set ASM coverage rates for groundfish sectors on an annual basis. o Distribution of U.S. TACs for Eastern/Western Georges Bank cod. The No Action would continue the practice of only allowing Eastern GB cod ACE to be harvested in the Eastern U.S./Canada area. After deducting the U.S./Canada TAC from the U.S. ABC, the remaining portion of the GB cod ABC would be available to the western fishery. o Modify Gulf of Maine cod recreational possession limits. The No Action would prohibit possession of GOM cod for the recreational fishery. Impacts of Alternatives to the Proposed Action In many cases, the No Action alternative would not address the goals of the M-S Act. Only the most significant impacts are highlighted below. Biological Impacts Because the No Action alternatives would adopt default specifications for several stocks, and would not modify the SDC based on best available science, it would lead to a drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity. With no changes to the ASM program, the biological impacts would continue to be positive with respect to information for stock assessments and reducing the uncertainty in discard estimation. Because of the drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity, this option would be expected to result in reduced fishing mortality rates and faster stock rebuilding than the Preferred Alternatives. Essential Fish Habitat Because the No Action alternatives would adopt default specifications for several stocks, and would not modify the status determination criteria based on best available science, it would lead to a drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity over the course of the fishing year. With no changes to the ASM program, the EFH impacts would continue to be positive with respect to potentially reducing fishing effort. The alternatives to the proposed action would be expected to result in reduced habitat impacts because they could result in lower fishing effort than the Preferred Alternatives. Impacts on Endangered and Other Protected Species 8 Framework Adjustment 55 Introduction and Background Because the No Action alternatives would adopt default specifications for several stocks, and would not modify the status determination criteria based on best available science, it would lead to a drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity over the course of the fishing year. With no changes to the ASM program, the protected species impacts would continue to be positive with respect to reducing uncertainty in bycatch estimates. The alternatives to the proposed action, in general, would be expected to result in reduced fishing effort and thus reduced fishing impacts on endangered and other protected species. Economic Impacts Because the No Action alternatives would adopt default specifications for several stocks, and would not modify the status determination criteria based on best available science, it would lead to a drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity. With no changes to the ASM program, the economic impacts would be negative with respect to increased costs combined with low ACLs. As a result, fishing vessel revenues on groundfish fishing trips would decline dramatically when compared to the preferred alternative or recent fishing years. Social Impacts Because the No Action alternatives would adopt default specifications for several stocks, and would not modify the status determination criteria based on best available science, it would lead to a drastic reduction in groundfish fishing activity and reduced groundfish fishing revenues. The No Action alternative will likely have negative impacts on the Size and Demographic Characteristics of the fishery and Attitudes, Beliefs, and Values.. Overall, this would likely lead to dramatic changes in the size and demographics of the groundfish fishery, dissatisfaction with the fishing industry and management, and a negative impact on fishermen’s attitudes and beliefs. 9 Framework Adjustment 55 Intentionally Blank 10 Framework Adjustment 55
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