Foreign Policy Analysis Foreign Policy Analysis Classic and Contemporary Theory Second Edition Valerie M. Hudson ROWMAN&LITTLEFIELD Lanham•Boulder •NewYork•Toronto•Plymouth,UK PublishedbyRowman&Littlefield 4501ForbesBoulevard,Suite200,Lanham,Maryland20706 www.rowman.com 10ThornburyRoad,PlymouthPL67PP,UnitedKingdom Copyright©2014byRowman&Littlefield Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthisbookmaybereproducedinanyformorbyany electronicormechanicalmeans,includinginformationstorageandretrievalsystems, withoutwrittenpermissionfromthepublisher,exceptbyareviewerwhomayquote passagesinareview. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationInformationAvailable LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Hudson,ValerieM.,1958– Foreignpolicyanalysis:classicandcontemporarytheory/ValerieM.Hudson.--Secondedition. pagescm Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN978-1-4422-2003-4(cloth:alk.paper)--ISBN978-1-4422-2004-1(pbk.:alk.paper)--ISBN 978-1-4422-2005-8(electronic) 1.Internationalrelations--Decisionmaking.2.Internationalrelations--Psychologicalaspects.I.Title. JZ1253.H832014 327.101--dc23 2013038144 TMThepaperusedinthispublicationmeetstheminimumrequirementsofAmerican NationalStandardforInformationSciencesPermanenceofPaperforPrintedLibrary Materials,ANSI/NISOZ39.48-1992. PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica Contents Acknowledgments vii I:OverviewandEvolutionofForeignPolicyAnalysis 1 1 Introduction:TheSituationandEvolutionofForeignPolicy Analysis:ARoadMap 3 II:LevelsofAnalysis 37 2 TheIndividualDecisionmaker:ThePoliticalPsychologyof WorldLeaders 39 3 GroupDecisionmaking:SmallGroupDynamics,Organizational Process,andBureaucraticPolitics 73 4 CultureandNationalIdentity 117 5 DomesticPoliticsandOpposition 141 6 TheLevelsofNationalAttributesandInternationalSystem: EffectsonForeignPolicy 161 III:PuttingItAllTogether,orNot 183 7 TheoreticalIntegrationinForeignPolicyAnalysis 185 8 TheFutureofForeignPolicyAnalysis 211 Bibliography 223 Index 245 AbouttheAuthor 257 v Acknowledgments Thisbookhastakenmanylongyearstocomplete,andIwouldberemissifI didnotthankallofthosewhohelpedandsupportedmealongtheway.First, to Jennifer Knerr for having faith in my vision of a Foreign Policy Analysis textbook. Second, to Susan McEachern for so seamlessly picking up where Jennifer leftoff, andforencouraging meforwardto asecond edition.Third, to Douglas Van Belle, for his helpful suggestions on one of the early chap- ters, and to Rose McDermott for friendship and good suggestions. Fourth, I would like to thank my old mentors in Foreign Policy Analysis, such as DonaldSylvan,ChuckHermann,andPegHermann,fortheexcellenteduca- tiontheyprovidedandthepassionforForeignPolicyAnalysistheyinspired inme.Fifth,Iwouldliketothankmyresearchassistant,S.MatthewStearm- er,forallofhishelp,especiallywiththeinsandoutsofgraphicsinsertedinto text files. Sixth, I would like to thank the George H. W. Bush Chair at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University, and the David M. Kennedy Center for International Studies at Brigham Young University, for support given to this effort. Seventh, I would like to thankthosepublisherswhograciouslygrantedmepermissiontousesomeof my writings previously publishedwith them,including Palgrave,Blackwell, andLynne Rienner. Eighth, I would like to thankmy ForeignPolicy Analy- sisstudents,past,present,andfuture,forallthattheyhavetaughtmeinyears past and will teach me in the years to come. Last, but certainly not least, I would like to thank my family—my husband, David, and my children Jo- seph, John, Thomas, Jamison, Hope Rose, and Eve Lily—for their unflag- gingsupport.Iwishtodedicatethisvolumetomydeardaughter,Ariel,who diedasIwasfinishingthefirstedition.Wewillbetogetherintheeternities, Ariel, and if you wish it, I will tell you all about Foreign Policy Analysis then. vii
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