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Foreign and Domestic Policy in Eastern Europe in the 1980s: Trends and Prospects PDF

271 Pages·1983·26.743 MB·English
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FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC POLICY IN EASTERN EUROPE IN THE 1980s The decade of the 1980s may well prove to be a turning-point in the post-war history of Eastern Europe. The enduring crisis in Poland, the need for greater economic austerity in the light of mounting energy prices and foreign debts, and renewed tensions in East-West relations are among the most important sign-posts of change to come as the decade begins. How have these problems affected the com munist states of Eastern Europe thus far, and how are they likely to develop in the immediate future? lOs questions such as these that the essays in this volume explore. The nine experts assembled here examine a variety of political, economic and social issues that are not only of critical importance to Eastern Europe's recent past and future prospects, but are also of theoretical relevance to social scientists interested in studying the region systematically. The contributions provide both a comparative overview of problems common to Eastern Europe as a whole and in-depth treatment of specific issues in six of the region's largest states. Part I deals with the linkage between foreign and domestic policy in three countries where this connection is especially significant. William Zimmerman's study of Yugoslavia sheds new light on that nation's domestic policy processes as it grapples with the problem of disbursing development funds obtained from outside sources. The essay offers a timely analysis of the kinds of decision-making proce dures available to Yugoslav leaders in the post-Tito era. Ronald H. Linden's investigation of the domestic bases of Romanian foreign policy is an enlightening example of how internal factors affect a nation's international activities, while Michael J. Sodaro's essay on the German Democratic Republic demonstrates how forces originat ing in the international environment can affect the domestic system. Part II focuses on a topic of growing concern in all the communist states of Eastern Europe: the role of specialists and professionals in the policy-making process. Sharon L. Wolchik looks at the impact of demographers on the formation of social policy in Czechoslovakia. Jane L. Curry uses the current unrest in Poland as a backdrop for her study of Polish journalists, not only before and during the period of national "renewal" inaugurated in the summer of 1980, but also after the imposition of martial law in December 1981. Rudolf L. Tokes examines the status of the intelligentsia in Hungary. Each of these essays raises questions that extend far beyond the scope of the countries examined, as they touch on the sensitive relationship between pragmatically oriented specialists and politically minded party elites, an issue that exists in all communist systems. Part III addresses a series of problems confronting Eastern Europe as a region. Economic integration within Comecon is analyzed in Stanislaw Wasowski's penetrating analysis of the divergence between plans and realities in Eastern Europe's principal trading organiza tion. Thomas Cason's survey of the Warsaw Pact after twenty-five years highlights the scope and limits of Eastern Europe's military cooperation with the Soviet Union. Finally, Roger E. Kanet provides a comprehensive overview of Eastern Europe's growing relations with the Third World. All of the essays conclude with a section on the outlook for the 1980s, spelling out possible courses of development in Eastern Europe as the present decade progresses. The result is a timely and provocative contribution to our understanding of where Eastern Europe may be going at this critical juncture in its political evolution. Foreign and Domestic Policy in Eastern Europe in the 1980s Trends and Prospects Edited by Michael J. Sodaro and Sharon L. Wolchik © Michael J. Sodaro and Sharon L. Wo1chik 1983 Softcover reprint ofthe hardcover 1st edition 1983 978-0-333-32478-3 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without permission First published 1983 by THE MACMILLAN PRESS LTD London and Basingstoke Companies and representatives throughout the world ISBN 978-1-349-17253-5 ISBN 978-1-349-17251-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-349-17251-1 Contents Acknowledgements vii Notes on the Editors and Contributors ix 1 Introduction 1 Michael J. Sodaro and Sharon L. Wolchik PART I DOMESTIC-INTERNATIONAL LINKAGES 2 International-national Linkages and Political Processes in Yugoslavia 27 William Zimmerman 3 Romanian Foreign Policy in the 1980s: Domestic- foreign Policy Linkages 47 Ronald H. Linden 4 External Influences on Regime Stability in the GDR: a Linkage Analysis 81 Michael J. Sodaro PART II THE ROLE OF SPECIALIST ELITES 5 The Scientific-technological Revolution and the Role of Specialist Elites in Policy-making in Czechoslovakia 111 Sharon L. W olchik 6 Polish Journalists in the 1980s 133 Jane L. Curry 7 Intellectuals and their Discontent in Hungary: Class Power or Marginality? 160 Rudolf L. Tokes PART III EASTERN EUROPE AND THE WORLD 8 Comecon: the Recent Past and Perspectives for the 1980s 193 Stanislaw Wasowski vi Contents 9 The Warsaw Pact 213 Thomas Cason 10 Eastern Europe and the Third World: the Expanding Relationship 234 Roger E. Kanet Index 260 Acknowledgements Like many books of scholarly interest these days, the present volume grew out of a conference. Under the auspices of the Institute for Sino-Soviet Studies, a group of some thirty specialists gathered at the George Washington University on 4 and 5 April 1980 to participate in discussions on the theme of "Eastern Europe in the 1980s: Trends and Prospects." Although the conference participants, particularly those who presented the papers which formed the basis of the chapters in this book, were for the most part professional scholars, the audience was by no means limited to academicians. A consider able part of the funding for the conference was provided by the US Department of State, and representatives of that institution as well as of other US government agencies also participated actively in the conference sessions. Unfortunately, space does not permit us to mention by name all those who helped make the conference a success and who, in one way or another, contributed to the preparation of this volume. We owe special thanks, however, to three individuals without whose encour agement and generosity neither the conference itself nor this book would ever have seen the light of day: Gaston J. Sigur, Director of the Institute for Sino-Soviet Studies at George Washington; Andrew Gyorgy, our respected colleague and fellow member of the Institute; and Eric Willenz of the Division of Intelligence and Research of the State Department. Our editor at Macmillan, Mr T. M. Farmiloe, deserves particularly warm thanks for his enormous patience and skill in piloting this project to publication. We would also like to express our gratitude to Dorothy Wedge and Sheila Murphy for their enor mous help in organizing the conference and typing the final drafts of the manuscripts, and to Suzanne Stephenson, Nathaniel Richmond and Kelly Eaton for invaluable editorial assistance. We wish also to thank Brevis Press for helping us to prepare this volume for publica tion. No list of debts accumulated by the editors of a book of this kind would be complete without a word of gratitude for our authors. All of them graciously responded to our request that the original confer- viii Acknowledgements ence papers be revised in 1981 and 1982; in some cases, the papers were completely rewritten for this volume to reflect rapidly changing events in Eastern Europe (particularly in Poland). We consider ourselves fortunate to have worked with such a distinguished and personable group of scholars. In closing, we wish to single out the following conference partici pants for their valued contribution: R. V. Burks, Walter D. Connor, Richard T. Davies, Charles Gati, John Hardt, James Kuhlman, Jaroslaw Piekalkiewicz, Robin Remington, Carl W. Schmidt, Paul Shapiro and Robert Sharlet. The editors also wish to note that we shared our editorial burdens equally, and that the order in which our names appear on the cover was determined at random. M. J. S. S. L. W. February 1983 Notes on the Editors and Contributors Michael J. Sodaro is Assistant Professor of International Affairs and Political Science and a member of the Institute for Sino Soviet Studies at the George Washington University. His articles on the domestic and foreign policies of the GDR, French and Italian communism, and Soviet foreign policy have appeared in several books and in such journals as Problems of Communism and Studies in Comparative Communism. He is presently at work on a study of recent Soviet relations with the two Germanies. Sharon L. Wolchik is Assistant Professor of International Affairs and Political Science and a member of the Institute for Sino-Soviet Studies at the George Washington University. She has written numerous articles on the status of women in Eastern Europe and on women in politics. Her other research includes studies of the West European communist parties. At the present time she is working on a book on policy-making in socialist states, with an em phasis on the role of specialists. Thomas Cason is a Major in the United States Air Force and a doctoral candidate in political science at the George Washington University, where he is completing a dissertation on the political and military reliability of the East European members of the Warsaw Treaty Organization. He served as Assistant Professor of Aerospace Studies at the University of Maryland, and has con tributed to publications and conferences dealing with the Warsaw Pact and NATO. Jane L. Cnrry is an Assistant Professor at Manhattanville College and a Senior Research Associate at the Institute on East-Central Europe at Columbia University. She is also a Semor Consultant to the RAND Corporation, which has published a series of her monographs on the media and inter-elite communications in Poland. She is the co-editor of All the News Not Fit to Print, editor of Dissent in Eastern Europe, and author of The Black Book of Polish Censorship. Roger E. Kanet is Professor of Political Science and a member of the Russian and East European Center of the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. He has published widely on the

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