ADDIS ABABA UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY SCHOOL OF GRADUATE STUDIES DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING FLOOD MAPPING Case study: on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa By ELIAS ZELEKE Advisor: Dr. DANEAL F/SILLASSIE APRIL, 2015 Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa CERTIFICATION I, the undersigned, certify that I read and hereby recommend for the acceptance by the Addis Ababa University a dissertation entitled: Flood Mapping Case study on Bantyeketu River in partial fulfillment of a degree of Masters of Science in Hydraulic Engineering. _____________________________________________________________________ Dr .Daneal F/Sillassie (Advisor) Date:-____________________________ Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa FLOOD MAPPING Case study: on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa By ELIAS ZELEKE A thesis submitted to the School of Graduate Studies of Addis Ababa Institute of Technology in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Hydraulics Engineering. Date of Defense: Members of Examining Board: ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ (Chairman) (Signature) ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ (Advisor) (Signature) ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ (Internal examiner) (Signature) ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ (External examiner) (Signature) Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa ABSTRACT Floods represent a natural risk with a very high frequency, which yearly produce important material and human losses. Therefore, developing some detailed maps regarding flood imposes for the accuracy of representation, these must be done at high scales. This study assesses the potential impact of flood on extreme hydrological events in Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa. ARC-GIS 10 modeling software is used to delineate catchment for different river system in Akaki catchment and helps to obtain hydrological and physical parameters and spatial information of the Akaki catchment. Road Networks, houses and buildings as well as vegetation cover of Akaki catchment is digitized and corresponding areas is calculated. A hydrological model, HEC-HMS was utilized to simulate Runoff in Akaki Catchment. The performance of the model was assessed through calibration process and resulted R2=0.7. Optimal calibration parameters were developed for Akaki Catchment and these parameters was used as an input for HEC-HMS for estimation of peak discharge in the study. The peak discharge for Bantyeketu River for the coming ten years, Twenty five years and fifty years was found to be 13.1 m3/s, 14.7 m3/s and 16 m3/s respectively. Bantyeketu river carrying capacity was estimated using river cross section and HEC-RAS hydrological modeling software. Major problematic areas due to flooding were identified. The cross section around the distance of 1.2 km, 1.5 km, 2.8 km and 3.5 km from Finfina Bridge show low carrying capacity less than 13.1 m 3/s or 10 years estimated probable flood. 50 years return period flood of Bantyeketu River is used for the design of flood protection structure and river bed improvement work. Different flood protection structures and river bed improvement works were recommended depending on the flood depth and condition of river bank. Masonry flood wall and dyke were recommended and designed for areas around ECA ,Hay hulet , and up stream of Bantyeketu confluence with Kebena River. River bed improvement works were also recommended for Bambisse Area I Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa ACKNOWLEDGEMENT First of all I would like to thank the almighty God for giving me the strength to walk all the long way to reach this point in my life. I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my Advisor Dr.Daneal F/Sillassie for giving me valuable guidance and support from the inception of this work to the end. I am also grateful to the Hydrology Department of MOWE and NMA of Ethiopia for providing me data free of charge. At last but not least, I would like to extend my deepest gratitude to my family, for there encouragement and moral support without your encouragement and care this would not have happened. II Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa LIST OF TABLE Contents ABSTRACT .........................................................................................................................................................I ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ...................................................................................................................................II LIST OF FIGURE ............................................................................................................................................ VI LIST OF TABLE .............................................................................................................................................. VII ABBREVIATIONS ......................................................................................................................................... VIII CHAPTER ONE .................................................................................................................................................1 1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................................................................1 1.1 Back Ground ......................................................................................................................................1 1.2 Statement of problem .......................................................................................................................2 1.3 General objective ..............................................................................................................................3 1.4 Framework of the study ....................................................................................................................3 1.5 Limitation of the study .......................................................................................................................3 1.6 Study area ..........................................................................................................................................5 1.7 Hydrology............................................................................................................................................6 1.7.1 Bantyeketu River ................................................................................................................ 6 1.7.2 Kechene River .................................................................................................................... 6 1.7.3 Kurtume River ..................................................................................................................... 6 1.8 Vegetation ..........................................................................................................................................7 1.9 Climate ................................................................................................................................................7 1.10 Water Reservoirs ...............................................................................................................................7 CHAPTER TWO ................................................................................................................................................9 2 Review of Literature ..................................................................................................................................9 2.1 Storm Water .......................................................................................................................................9 2.2 Impact of Climate Change on Availability of Water ................................................................... 10 2.3 Flooding ........................................................................................................................................... 10 2.4 Hydrological model ......................................................................................................................... 11 2.5 HEC-GEO RAS (Hydrologic modeling System) ........................................................................ 12 2.6 HEC-RAS (Hydrological modeling System) ............................................................................... 12 2.7 Model selection ............................................................................................................................... 12 III Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa CHAPTER THREE ......................................................................................................................................... 15 3 Material and Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 15 3.1 Meteorological Data ....................................................................................................................... 15 3.2 Filling Missing Precipitation .......................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Checking the Consistency of Data .............................................................................................. 16 3.4 Hydrological data availability ........................................................................................................ 19 3.5 Digital elevation model (DEM) ...................................................................................................... 19 3.6 Hydrological Model ......................................................................................................................... 19 CHAPTER FOUR ........................................................................................................................................... 22 4 Methodology............................................................................................................................................ 22 4.1 General ............................................................................................................................................ 22 4.2 River Cross section ........................................................................................................................ 22 4.3 Hydrological modeling ................................................................................................................... 23 4.4 HEC-HMS hydrological model...................................................................................................... 23 4.5 HEC-RAS Hydrological model...................................................................................................... 23 4.5.1 Deficit and Constant ......................................................................................................... 26 4.5.2 Clark unit hydrograph transform .................................................................................... 27 4.5.3 Lag Model .......................................................................................................................... 27 4.6 Modeling base flow with HEC-HMS ............................................................................................ 27 4.7 HEC-HMS model setup ................................................................................................................. 28 4.8 Basin model ..................................................................................................................................... 28 4.9 Meteorological model ..................................................................................................................... 29 4.10 Control specification ....................................................................................................................... 29 4.11 Arc GIS............................................................................................................................................. 29 4.12 Calibration ....................................................................................................................................... 31 4.13 Model Validation ............................................................................................................................. 31 4.14 Model Evaluation ............................................................................................................................ 32 4.15 Frequency of point rainfall ............................................................................................................. 34 CHAPTER FIVE ............................................................................................................................................. 35 5 Result and Discussion ........................................................................................................................... 35 5.1 ARC-GIS model result ................................................................................................................... 35 5.2 HEC-HMS hydrological modeling results ................................................................................... 36 IV Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa 5.2.1 Calibration ......................................................................................................................... 36 5.2.2 Peak Flood ........................................................................................................................ 40 5.3 HEC-RAS hydrological modeling result ...................................................................................... 40 5.3.1 Flooding Areas .................................................................................................................. 43 CHAPTER SIX ................................................................................................................................................ 45 6 Conclusion and Recommendation....................................................................................................... 45 6.1 Design Background ........................................................................................................................ 45 6.2 Other flood Protection Measures ................................................................................................. 45 6.3 Hydraulic Modeling of Bantyeketu River Channel ..................................................................... 46 6.4 Carrying Capacity ........................................................................................................................... 46 6.5 Structural Measures ....................................................................................................................... 47 6.5.1 Masonry Flood wall .......................................................................................................... 47 6.5.2 Masonry dyke .................................................................................................................... 47 6.5.3 River bed excavation ....................................................................................................... 47 References ...................................................................................................................................................... 50 7 Annexes ..................................................................................................................................................... 53 V Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa LIST OF FIGURE Figure 1-1: Frame work of the study ..............................................................................................................4 Figure 1-2: Study Area Location Map ............................................................................................................5 Figure 1-3: Akaki Catchment River System .................................................................................................8 Figure 3-1: Rainfall Data ............................................................................................................................... 15 Figure 3-2: Double mass curve for Addis Ababa Bole Meteorological stations ................................... 17 Figure 3-3: Distribution of Meteorological and gauging station ............................................................... 18 Figure 3-4: Mean monthly flow at Big Akaki for a period of (2003-2007) .............................................. 19 Figure 3-5: HEC-HMS Hydraulic model of Akaki Catchment .................................................................. 21 Figure 5-1: Study Area catchment delineation ........................................................................................ 35 Figure 5-2: Simulated and Observed flow Hydrograph (Calibration) ..................................................... 38 Figure 5-3: Simulated and Observed flow Hydrograph (Validation) ....................................................... 39 Figure 5-4: Bantyeketu river carrying capacity ......................................................................................... 42 Figure 6-2: Lay out map of Bantyeketu River ........................................................................................... 49 Figure 7-1: Water surface Profile 50 years ............................................................................................... 67 Figure 7-2: Water surface Profile 25 years ............................................................................................... 68 Figure 7-3: Water surface Profile 10 years ............................................................................................... 69 Figure 7-4: 3D View of 50 years flood........................................................................................................ 70 Figure 7-5: 3D View of 25 years flood........................................................................................................ 71 Figure 7-6: 3D View of 10 years flood........................................................................................................ 72 VI Flood Mapping Case Study on Bantyeketu River in Addis Ababa LIST OF TABLE Table 4-1: General Performance ratings for recommended Statics values .......................................... 33 Table 4-2: Rain fall depth for different return periods ............................................................................... 34 Table 5-1: Optimal model calibration parameters ..................................................................................... 37 Table 5-2: Peak flood ..................................................................................................................................... 40 Table 5-3 Bantyeketu River Characteristics .............................................................................................. 40 Table 5-4: Bantyeketu River carrying capacity .......................................................................................... 41 Table 5-5: Flooding area (10 years return period) ................................................................................... 43 Table 5-6: Flooding area (25 years return period) ................................................................................... 43 Table 5-7: Flooding area (50 years return period) ................................................................................... 44 Table 6-1: Design Background for Flood Protection Structures (Flood Wall and Masonry Dyke). .. 46 Table 6-2: Recommended Flood Protection Structures .......................................................................... 47 Table 6-2: Recommended Flood Protection (River bed Excavation ..................................................... 48 VII
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