Flood Hazard Assessment along the Western Regions of Saudi Arabia using GIS-based Morphometry and Remote Sensing Techniques Thesis by Qianwen Shi In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements For the Degree of Master of Science King Abdullah University of Science and Technology Thuwal, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia December 2014 2 The thesis of Qianwen Shi is approved by the examination committee. Committee Chairperson: Dr. Matthew Francis McCabe Committee Member: Dr. Peiying Hong Committee Member: Dr. Sigurjón Jónsson 3 © December 2014 Qianwen Shi All Rights Reserved 4 ABSTRACT Flood Hazard Assessment along the Western Regions of Saudi Arabia using GIS-based Morphometry and Remote Sensing Techniques Qianwen Shi Flash flooding, as a result of excessive rainfall in a short period, is considered as one of the worst environmental hazards in arid regions. Areas located in the western provinces of Saudi Arabia have experienced catastrophic floods. Geomorphologic evaluation of hydrographic basins provides necessary information to define basins with flood hazard potential in arid regions, especially where long-term field observations are scarce and limited. Six large basins (from North to South: Yanbu, Rabigh, Khulais, El-Qunfza, Baish and Jizan) were selected for this study because they have large surface areas and they encompass high capacity dams at their downstream areas. Geographic Information System (GIS) and remote sensing techniques were applied to conduct detailed morphometric analysis of these basins. The six basins were further divided into 203 sub- basins based on their drainage density. The morphometric parameters of the six basins and their associated 203 sub-basins were calculated to estimate the degree of flood hazard by combining normalized values of these parameters. Thus, potential flood hazard maps were produced from the estimated hazard degree. Furthermore, peak runoff discharge of the six basins and sub-basins were estimated using the Snyder Unit Hydrograph and three empirical models (Nouh’s model, Farquharson’s model and Al-Subai’s model) developed for Saudi Arabia. Additionally, recommendations for flood mitigation plans and water management schemes along these basins were further discussed. 5 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to express my sincere gratitude to my committee chair, Prof. Matthew McCabe, who has given me a lot of guidance and support throughout the course of this research. Prof. McCabe’s insights and encouragement of critical thought provided me with an interesting and unique research experience. His training has enabled me to achieve better understanding of a topic I would never have achieved on my own. I would like to thank Dr. Abdou A. Abouelmagd, who was very patient and gave answers to my questions. He helped me with the data collection and software application during this research. I had a great learning experience with him. I would also like to thank Prof. Peiying Hong and Prof. Sigurjón Jónsson for being part of my thesis defense committee and for their time. My appreciation also goes to the members of Earth System Observation and Modeling, for their appreciable help during this research. I want to thank my professors, friends, colleagues and the department faculty and staff, for making my time at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology a great experience. Finally, but not least, my heartfelt gratitude is extended to my parents for their encouragement and support. 6 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page EXAMINATION COMMITTEE APPROVALS FORM .......................................... 2 COPYRIGHT PAGE ................................................................................................. 3 ABSTRACT ............................................................................................................... 4 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ....................................................................................... 5 TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................... 6 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .................................................................................... 9 LIST OF SYMBOLS ................................................................................................. 10 LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS ..................................................................................... 11 LIST OF TABLES ..................................................................................................... 14 CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION .............................................................................. 15 1.1 Ari Zone and Wadi Systems ......................................................... 15 1.2 Flood Hazard of Wadis ................................................................. 16 1.3 Morphometric Study ..................................................................... 17 1.4 Geographic Information System ................................................... 18 1.5 Objectives ..................................................................................... 20 CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW ................................................................... 21 2.1 Basin Morphometry and flood hazard assessment........................ 21 2.2 Peak Discharge Estimation ........................................................... 23 CHAPTER 3. METHODOLOGY ............................................................................. 26 3.1 Study Area .................................................................................... 26 3.2 Data Sources ................................................................................. 27 3.3 GIS Work Flow ............................................................................. 27 3.4 Morphometric Analysis ................................................................ 31 3.4.1 Drainage Density (D) ......................................................... 32 7 3.4.2 Drainage Frequency (F) ..................................................... 32 3.4.3 Length of Overland Flow (L ) ........................................... 32 o 3.4.4 Bifurcation Ratio (R ) ........................................................ 33 b 3.4.5 Form Factor (R) ................................................................ 33 f 3.4.6 Circularity Ratio (R ) ......................................................... 34 c 3.4.7 Elongation Ratio (R ) ......................................................... 34 e 3.4.8 Basin Relief (H) ................................................................. 34 3.4.9 Relief Ratio (R ) ................................................................ 34 h 3.4.10 Ruggedness Number (R) .................................................. 35 3.5 Flood Hazard Index ....................................................................... 36 3.6 Peak Discharge Estimation ........................................................... 37 3.6.1 Snyder Unit Hydrograph ..................................................... 38 3.6.2 Other Empirical Approaches ............................................... 39 3.7 Annual Rainfall Calculation ......................................................... 40 CHAPTER 4. RESULTS ........................................................................................... 43 4.1 Basin Descriptions ........................................................................ 43 4.1.1 Yanbu Basin ........................................................................ 43 4.1.2 Rabigh Basin ....................................................................... 44 4.1.3 Khulais Basin ...................................................................... 45 4.1.4 El-Qunfza Basin .................................................................. 46 4.1.5 Baish Basin ......................................................................... 47 4.1.6 Jizan Basin .......................................................................... 48 4.2 Morphometric Analysis ............................................................... 49 4.2.1 Analysis of the Six Basins .................................................. 49 4.2.2 Analysis of the Sub-Basins ................................................. 61 4.3 Flood Hazard Maps ...................................................................... 62 4.4 Peak Discharge Estimation .......................................................... 66 4.5 Recommendations for Water Management Plans ........................ 72 CHAPTER 5. DISCUSSION ..................................................................................... 74 5.1 Limitations of Flood Hazard Index .............................................. 74 5.2 Feasibility of Peak Discharge Estimation .................................... 75 5.3 Annual Rainfall Variability.......................................................... 76 8 CHAPTER 6. CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................ 78 6.1 Future Research Work ................................................................. 79 REFERENCES .......................................................................................................... 80 APPENDICES ........................................................................................................... 89 9 LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS DEM digital elevation model EOSDIS Earth Observing System Data and Information System GDEM2 Global Digital Elevation Model Version 2 GIS Geographic Information System HEC-HMS Hydrologic Engineering Center-Hydrologic Modeling System LP DAAC Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center MOWE Ministry of Water and Electricity MTM modified Talbot method NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration NRCS National Resources Conservation Service PET potential evapotranspiration PRM probabilistic rational method RFFA regional flood frequency analysis SCS Soil Conservation Service SUH Snyder unit hydrograph 10 LIST OF SYMBOLS A surface area of the drainage basin P perimeter of the drainage basin Z elevation of the drainage basin S slope of the drainage basin L maximum length of the drainage basin b U stream order N stream number with order u u L stream length with order u u D drainage density F drainage frequency L length of overland flow o R bifurcation ratio b R form factor f R elongation ratio e H basin relief R relief ratio h R ruggedness number t basin lag time l Q peak discharge p L length of the main channel extended to the basin divide L length of the main channel to the centroid point c
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