fi xing failed states This page intentionally left blank ashraf ghani clare lockhart FIXING FAILED STATES A Framework for Rebuilding a Fractured World 1 2008 1 Oxford University Press, Inc., publishes works that further Oxford University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offi ces in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Copyright © 2008 by Ashraf Ghani and Clare Lockhart Published by Oxford University Press, Inc. 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016 www.oup.com Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Ghani, Ashraf, 1949– Fixing failed states / Ashraf Ghani and Clare Lockhart. p. cm. ISBN 978-0-19-534269-7 1. Failed states. I. Lockhart, Clare. II. Title. JC328.7.G43 2008 341.5'84—dc22 2007038638 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper Acknowledgments We would like to thank a number of individuals for their support, advice, and comments over the last several years. They are too numerous to list in full, but for their close readings of different versions of papers and support for the ideas and establishment of the Institute for State Effectiveness we extend special thanks to Chris Anderson, Jack Bell, Lakhdar Brahimi, Michael Car- nahan, Robert Cooper, Anis Dani, Ishac Diwan, Lyse Doucet, Karl Eikenberry, James Elles, Rula and Tarek Ghani, Robert Greenhill, Scott Guggenheim, Vivien Haig, Rick Hillier, Marty Hoffman, Lou Hughes, Hilde Johnson, Fred Kempe, Nick and Samantha Leader, Alexander Lennon, Amory Lovins, Simon Maxwell, Bill Neukom, Dick and Deborah O’Neill, Ken Ohashi, Ted Okada, Carlos Pascual, Praful Patel, Eric and Demi Rasmussen, Gabrielle Rifkind, Mitch Shivers, Hernando de Soto, Marin Strmecki, David Thorpe, Ed Tivnan, and Lin Wells. We are grateful to the citizens and leaders across business, civil soci- ety and governments, in countries across the world, including Sudan, Nepal, Lebanon, Kosovo, Kenya, Russia, China, Singapore, Indone- sia, and India, who took time to explain patiently their perspectives on the questions this book addresses. Between 2001 and 2005 Afghanistan was the site where we devel- oped and implemented many of the ideas contained in this book. In particular, the framework we describe informed our work on the design of the Bonn Agreement, the National Development F ramework, Securing Afghanistan’s Future, the budget of Afghanistan, the national programs, and the outline of the Afghan Compact. Numerous individuals contributed to these programs and made them work. Several took a gamble on new plans such as the National Solidarity Program when they were just an idea, and for this we owe them our thanks. In January 2005 we made our fi rst full presentation of the set of ideas contained herein at the Lancaster House meeting on fragile states, convened by the United Nations, World Bank, Department for International Development (DFID), and Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and we have continued to refi ne them since then. Many of the concepts were improved through a program we led at the World Bank in the late 1990s on institutions and organizations; our thanks go to Jonathan Maack, Pascaline Cure, and Sabine Beddies for their work on this program. In September 2005 the United Nations and the World Bank convened a conference of leaders of postconfl ict transitions to meet with us at the Green- tree Estates to consider the framework that we present here, and the valuable feedback these leaders provided considerably enriched it. Additional opportunities to debate these ideas have arisen during pre- sentations to the UN General Assembly, workshops and retreats at the World Bank, the African Development Bank, discussions with the gov- ernments of Norway, Canada, Japan, and the United Kingdom, and meetings with various members of the U.S. government. Conferences and brainstorming meetings became forums in which to present, test, and polish the book’s ideas; these took place at Fortune Brainstorm; Technology, Entertainment, Design (TED); the Aspen Ideas Festival; Wilton Park; Ditchley Park; Bellagio; the European Ideas Network; the Rocky Mountain Institute; the Institute for Liberty and Democ- racy; bar associations; the Trans-Atlantic Policy Network; Highlands; Operation Strong Angel; and the Atlantic Council. Very special thanks go to Tina Bennett; no one could have asked for a better agent, and she has been a true partner in bringing this material to the public domain. Dave McBride, our editor at Oxford University Press, has provided excellent comments, and the whole team at OUP has been enthusiastic, dedicated, and professional. Philip Munger shepherded the book into the realm of the possible with dedication and wisdom. Blair Glencorse and Sam Vincent worked with immense skill and commitment to improve the text. The Smith Richardson Institute, DFID, the World Bank, and the Rockefeller Brothers Fund provided timely support. Ashraf would like to acknowledge his indebtedness to the American University of Beirut, the University of California at Berkeley, Johns Hopkins University, Kabul University, Brookings, the World Bank, vi Acknowledgments the United Nations, and his colleagues in Afghanistan, as well as inter- national interlocutors during his service in Afghanistan. He would like to express his appreciation to those who nominated him for the UN candidacy, and he is grateful for the opportunity to put forward and discuss a set of ideas and programs for global stability in the context of setting an agenda for the United Nations for the twenty-fi rst century. In particular, he wishes to thank his family in Afghanistan, Lebanon, and the United States, as well as Rula, Mariam, and Tarek for their loving patience and support and for enduring the long absences. He dedicates this book to his wife, Rula. Clare would like to acknowledge her thanks to Oxford U niversity, the Kennedy School at Harvard University, and law schools in England; these same institutions, as well as the Inner Temple and the Kennedy Memorial Trust, also provided generous stipends and scholarship funds. She is grateful for her experiences at the World Bank, the United Nations, and ISAF-NATO. Lectures and seminars at the NATO Defense Col- lege, Shrivenham, Wilton Park, Operation Strong Angel III, the Rocky Mountain Institute, Bellagio, Oxford University, a number of Founda- tions and other venues have provided indispensable questioning and feedback. Colleagues and friends in Afghanistan particularly made the work possible and enjoyable. She would like to thank the many friends and family who have tolerated and supported the book-writing process, with special appreciation to her parents, Christopher and Rosamund, and to Alice and Edward, and Mary-Ellen. Clare dedicates the book to her grandmother Diana Elles, who has been an inspiration all her life. Acknowledgments vii This page intentionally left blank Contents Acknowledgments v Introduction 3 part one DEFINING THE CONTEXT one The Creeping “Sovereignty Gap” 17 two Reversing History 33 three Webs and Flows of Cooperation 53 four Failed Politics 65 fi ve The Promises and Perils of Aid 85 part two DEFINING THE STATE FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY six T oward a Multifunctional View of the State 115 seven T he Framework: The Ten Functions of the State 124 part three A NEW AGENDA FOR STATE BUILDING eight I nternational Compacts: Sovereignty Strategies 169
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