EurJLawEcon(2006)22:181–196 DOI10.1007/s10657-006-0310-7 Fisher Body revisited: Supply contracts and vertical integration AndreasRoider (cid:2)C SpringerScience+BusinessMedia,LLC2006 Abstract The vertical integration of Fisher Body by General Motors has been a leadingexampleinboththetransaction-costtheoryandtheproperty-rightstheoryof thefirm.Thepresentpapermakesthefollowingcontributions.First,weshowhowa simpleextensionoftheproperty-rightstheoryofthefirm(whichallowsforcontractible trade) is able to rationalize the observed ownership arrangements, supply contracts, and investment behavior both before and after integration. Second, the model lends supporttoKlein’s(2000)viewthatanincreaseindemandforclosedautomobilebodies waspivotalforverticalintegration. Keywords Verticalintegration.Supplycontracts.Hold-up.Propertyrights. Boundariesofthefirm JELClassification L22.L24.L14.K12 Inhisclassicarticleon“TheNatureoftheFirm”Coase(1937)askedthefundamental questionofwhatdeterminestheboundariesofthefirm.Whyisitthat,eventhough markets are in general thought to allocate resources efficiently, a large fraction of economic activity takes place insight firms? In particular, which forces determine whether a certain transaction is conducted via the market or insight the firm (e.g., throughanemploymentrelationship)?Bynow,Coase’thought-provokingquestions haveinspiredavastliteratureontheboundariesofthefirm.Boththeearliertransaction- costtheory(seee.g.,Kleinetal.,1978;Williamson,1975,1985)andthelaterproperty- rightstheoryofthefirm(seee.g.,GrossmanandHart,1986;HartandMoore,1990; Hart,1995)haveprovidedvaluableinsightsinintegrationdecisionsoffirmsandhave beenappliedwidely. A.Roider((cid:2)) UniversityofBonn,WirtschaftspolitischeAbteilung,Adenauerallee24-42,53113Bonn,Germany e-mail:[email protected] Springer 182 A.Roider Given the relative scarcity of data, case studies have played an important role in studyingquestionsofverticalintegration.1Inparticular,theFisherBody-GeneralMo- torscasehasachievedsignificantprominenceintheliterature.Thiscase,firstdiscussed byKleinetal.(1978),concernstherelationshipbetweenFisherBody(hereafter,FB), a supplier of automobile bodies, and General Motors (hereafter, GM), a carmaker.2 Whilefrom1919till1926thetwofirmshadoperatedunderanexclusivesupplycon- tractthatobligedGMtobuyallofitsautomobilebodiesfromFB,in1926theparties decidedonfullverticalintegrationofFBbyGM.Bothinthetransaction-costtheory andtheproperty-rightstheoryofthefirmtheFisherBodycasehasbeentheleading exampletohighlightissuessuchasassetspecificity,relationship-specificinvestments, exclusive contracts, and vertical integration. For example, the Fisher Body case has beendiscussedintheinfluentialbooksbyWilliamson(1985)andHart(1995),andin avarietyofothereconomicsandbusinesstextbooks,suchasTirole(1988),Milgrom andRoberts(1992),CarltonandPerloff(1994),Ricketts(1994),Salanie(1997),and Besankoetal.(1996).Thecontinuedprominenceofthecaseiswitnessedbyanum- ber of articles, such as Crocker and Masten (1996), Bolton and Scharfstein (1998), HolmstromandRoberts(1998),RajanandZingales(1998),andSegalandWhinston (2000). More recently, there has been a renewed intense debate regarding the facts andinterpretationoftheFisherBodycase(seee.g.,Casadesus-MasanellandSpulber, 2000; Coase, 2000; Freeland, 2000; Klein, 2000), to which we will return in more detailbelow. GiventheprominenceoftheFisherBodycase,itisthemoresurprisingthatthere doesnotseemtoexistaformalanalysisthatisexplicitlytailoredtothiscase.Inpartic- ular,theredoesnotseemtobeacomprehensiveexplanationofwhyinitiallytheparties deemedseparateownershipinconjunctionwithanexclusivesupplycontractoptimal, whilelateronthepartiesdecidedtointegratevertically,whichwasaccompaniedbythe lackofanycontractualsupplyprovisions.3Sofar,theliteraturehasmostlyfocussedon thechoiceoforganizationalform.Forexample,Kleinetal.(1978)postulatethathold- upproblemsaremitigatedwithinfirms.4Theyarguethatafteraconsiderablechangein demandconditionsFBheldupGMbyrefusingtomakenecessaryinvestmentsinpro- ductioncapacitysuchthatintheendverticalintegrationbecamenecessary.Similarly, Hart(1995)arguesthatGMverticallyintegratedtoinsureabetterbargainingposition inthefuture.Theliteratureis,however,relativelysilentaboutwhatexactlyrendered theinitialsupplycontractregimeinferior.“WhydidGMandFisherBodynot[just] writeabettercontract”afterdemandconditionshadchanged,asCasadesus-Masanell and Spulber (2000, p. 75) reasonably ask? Clearly, one could take the position that (given the practical impossibility of complete-contingent contracts) any contractual arrangementwasevenmorepronetohold-upproblemsand,throughintegration,the 1Foranoverviewoverevidenceonthetransaction-costandproperty-rightstheoriesofthefirm,seee.g., Whinston(2001). 2InanumberofsubsequentarticlesKleinhaselaboratedonhisinitialdiscussionoftheFisherBodycase (seee.g.,Klein,1988,1996,1998,2000). 3Notethatsuch“insidecontracting”isnotuncommoninotherinstances(seee.g.,HolmstromandRoberts, 1998). 4Partieswhomakerelationship-specificinvestmentsarelikelytobesubjecttohold-upbytheirtrading partnerifcontractscanonlybeincomplete;resultinginsuboptimalinvestmentincentives. Springer FisherBodyrevisited:Supplycontractsandverticalintegration 183 partiesfinallyabandonedthisinferiorregime.However,suchanexplanationremains unsatisfactory: both GM and FB were established, sophisticated businesses, and it seemsunlikelythatasuboptimalgovernancestructurecouldhaveprevailedforsuch alongtime(orhavebeeninstalledinthefirstplace). WhileamorethoroughunderstandingoftheFisherBodycaseseemstobedesirable initsownright,itisalsointerestingfromamoregeneralperspective.Arguably,abetter understandingofhowsupplycontractsandthechoiceoforganizationalforminteract seemstobenecessarytoanswerCoase’(1937)initialquestionwhysometransaction areconductedinmarkets,whileothersareconductedinsidefirms(seeHolmstromand Roberts,1998,foranargumentalongtheselines).Abetterunderstandingofthisissue would also help to shed light on a controversy between Coase and Klein (see e.g., Coase,1988,2000;Klein,1988,2000),whohavedebatedunderwhichcircumstances largespecificinvestmentsandassetspecificityindeednecessitateverticalintegration: in contrast to Klein, Coase asserts that asset specificity problems can in general be handledcontractuallywithouttheneedforverticalintegration. Thepresentpapermakesthefollowingcontributions.First,weshowthatasimple extensionofaproperty-rightsmodelthatallowsfortradebetweenthepartiestobecon- tractibleisabletorationalizetheobservedownershiparrangements,supplycontracts, investmentbehavior,aswellastheregimeswitchin1926.Inparticular,wediscussin detailhowoptimalinitialarrangementswereinfluencedbytheparties’benefitsfrom residual control and the benefits from investments. In our model the magnitude of thesebenefitsinitiallyimpliedtheoptimalityofseparatefirms,whilelateronvertical integrationbecamenecessary.Second,themodelprovidessupporttoKlein’s(2000) viewthattheinitialcontractualsolutionwasoptimal,butthatFB’srefusaltoinvest inanewplant(subsequenttoasubstantialincreaseindemandforclosedautomobile bodies) made full vertical integration of FB by GM desirable. While Klein (2000) arguesinformallythatthechangeindemandconditionspushedtheinitialsupplycon- tract regime outside its “self-enforcing range”, he remained unsure what exactly it was“aboutthelarge,unexpecteddemandincreasebyGMthatcausedFishertotake advantageoftheimperfectbodysupplyregime.”5 Oursimplestaticmodelsuggests thatthechangeindemandconditionsworsenedFB’sinvestmentincentivesandmade aswitchtoaregimethatmaximizedGM’sinvestmentincentivesdesirable. Inourformalanalysis,weextendastandardproperty-rightsmodel(seee.g.,Hart, 1995).Weassumethatinadditiontotheownershipstructureoveranasset(e.g.,FB’s physical capital), the parties can sign supply contracts specifying trade quantities and transfer payments. The ownership structure determines who has residual rights of control over the asset. In line with the property-rights literature, we assume that, throughrenegotiations,thepartieswillalwaysagreeonanex-postefficientoutcome. Hence,theinitialownershiparrangementandsupplycontractonlyserveasthreatpoint in these renegotiations. That is, they determine the parties’ bargaining positions. In ordertocapturetheobservationthatsomeoftheinvestmentshavebeenmadebyFB, while others have been made by GM, we assume that the parties make transferable investmentsinphysicalcapital(e.g.,anewplant),whereonlythetotalamountinvested matters. This will imply that in equilibrium only one of the parties invests, where 5Klein(2000,p.129). Springer 184 A.Roider the identity of the investing party will, however, depend on the underlying market conditions.Whentradingwitheachother,bothpartiesprofitfromabetterasset.As the investor does not take this positive externality fully into account, investments underanycontractwillfallshortoftheirefficientlevel.Asaconsequence,anoptimal initial arrangement maximizes the investment incentives of one of the parties. We argue that, as initially residual rights of control were of moderate importance for GM and investments had mainly cost-reducing effects, in the early period of their relationshipitwasoptimalforthepartiestomaximizeFB’sincentivetoinvest.This wasachievedthroughseparatefirmsandanexclusivesupplycontractbecausesuchan arrangementprovidedFBwithastrongpositioninlaterbargaining.However,afterthe substantialincreaseindemandforclosedautomobilebodiesGMwouldhavebenefited substantiallymorefromFB’sinvestmentsthanbeforetheincrease.Asaconsequence, GMwouldhavebeenabletoappropriateasubstantiallyhighershareoftheinvestment returnthroughrenegotiations;therebydeterioratingFB’sincentivetoinvest.Dueto these changes in the underlying market conditions, the model suggests that now it was desirable to provide GM with maximal investment incentives. That is, through verticalintegrationandtheabsenceofanyobligationtopurchasefromFBtheparties maximizedGM’sbargainingposition(inexchangeforasidepaymenttoFB). Some caveats are in order. First, any formal analysis necessarily abstracts from someoftherelevantissues.AsKlein(2000),weemphasizeresidualcontrolrightsand investmentsinphysicalcapital.However,otherauthors,suchasCasadesus-Masanell andSpulber(2000),Coase(2000),andFreeland(2000),haveputmoreemphasison otherissuessuchastheneedtosecureaccesstotheFisherbrothers’specifichuman capital or coordination problems as driving forces behind the decision to integrate. While we do not deny that such considerations will also have played a role, we follow Klein (2000) in arguing that FB’s refusal to invest in a new plant seems to havebeenpivotal(foramoredetaileddiscussion,seeSection1below).Second,the property-rightstheorymakesthesimplifyingassumptionoftakingthefirmasasingle, unified,rationaldecisionmaker.6Thereby,itobviouslyabstractsfromwhatmightbe important issues, such as agency problems within firms, decision making by teams, boundedrationality,andbehavioralissues.7However,wethinkitisinterestingthatour simpleextensionofaproperty-rightsmodelisneverthelessabletoreplicateimportant stylizedfactsoftheFisherBodycase. Theremainderofthepaperisstructuredasfollows.InSection1wepresentabrief accountoftheFisherBodycaseandsubsequentlydiscusshowithasbeeninterpreted in the literature. Section 2.1 introduces the model, and in Section 2.2 we show that thismodelisabletoshedlightontheFisherBodycase.Section3concludes. 6Moredetaileddiscussionsofvariouscriticismsthathavebeenraisedagainsttheproperty-rightstheoryof thefirmare,forexample,tobefoundinBoltonandScharfstein(1998)andHolmstromandRoberts(1998). Forarecentsurveyonbehavioralorganizationaleconomics,seee.g.,CamererandMalmendier(2005). BasedonCohenetal.(1972),Gibbons(2003)discusseshoworganizationaleconomicsmightprofitfrom incorporatingsociologists’insightsonorganizationalbehavior. 7Forexample,itisgenerallyacknowledgedthatFB’sbehaviorhadtoacertaindegreealsobeeninfluenced bytheFisherbrothers’desiretobetreatedasaunit,theirattachmenttothefamilybusiness,andtheir valuationofindependence. Springer FisherBodyrevisited:Supplycontractsandverticalintegration 185 1 TheFisherBody-GeneralMotorsrelationship ConsiderableefforthasbeenexpendedtounearththefactsunderlyingtheFisherBody case. Subsequent to the initial discussion in Klein et al. (1978), an intense debate regardingthefactsandinterpretationofthecasehasensued,andexactlybecausethis debate has been controversial, a rather detailed account of the relationship between FisherBodyandGeneralMotorsisavailable(seee.g.,Kleinetal.,1978;Coase,1988, 2000; Klein, 1988, 2000; Casadesus-Masanell and Spulber, 2000; Freeland, 2000). Most of the evidence on the relationship between Fisher Body and General Motors stems from an antitrust case brought by the United States Department of Justice in 1949againstthe1917–19acquisitionbyDuPontof23%oftheGMvotingcommon stock.8 Inthefollowing,inSection1.1wefirstpresentanoverviewovertheFisherBody case,wherewerestrictattentiontothemainevents.9Subsequently,inSection1.2we brieflydiscusshowtheFisherBodycasehasbeeninterpretedintheliterature. 1.1 TheFisherBodycase:Anoverview Prior to 1919, automobiles mostly exhibited individually constructed, open, largely woodenbodies.However,by1919productionprocesseshadbeguntoshifttowards technologicallymoredemandingcomposite(woodframedandmetalskinned)closed bodies.10 HavingbeenfoundedbytheFisherbrothersin1908,andhavingproduced closed bodies as early as 1910, by 1919 the Fisher Body Corporation was a very successfulbusiness.11Itwasthelargestproducerofautomobilebodiesintheindustry buildingautomobilebodiesforallleadingautomobilemanufactures.Inthesubsequent descriptionoftherelationshipbetweenFisherBodyandGeneralMotorsitturnsout tobeusefultodistinguishanearlyperiodfrom1919through1924andalateperiod from1925through1926. Earlyperiod(1919–1924).ThecontractFisherBodyandGeneralMotorssignedin 1919containedthreemainprovisions12: 1. The first part was an exclusive supply provision. For a horizon of ten years it obliged GM to buy all its closed automobile bodies from FB. However, FB was freetoadditionallytradewithothercarmakers. 2. GM acquired a 60% interest in FB. The parties signed an agreement that put the shares acquired by GM in a voting trust. Unanimity was required for the trust to 8Referencestotheoriginalsourcescanbefoundinthearticlescitedabove. 9ThisoverviewismainlybasedonKlein(2000),whoalsoprovidesdetaileddiscussionsofthecriticisms raisedbytheotherarticlescitedabove(seealsoSection1.2below). 10White(1991)providesanintroductionintoautomobileproductionprocessesinthe1920’sanddiscusses thehistoryoftheFisherBodyCorporation. 11AsCoase(2000,p.19)putit,“thetaleofFisherbodyisthetaleoftheFisherbrothers,”whowere runningthecompany.FisherBodywasfoundedbyFredandCharlesFisher(alongwithanuncle),and fourotherbrothersjoinedthecompanyandassumedoperatingpositions.Twooutsiders,LouisandAaron Mendelssohns,providedearlyfinancialbacking(seeCasadesus-MasanellandSpulber,2000). 12Seee.g.,Coase(2000). Springer 186 A.Roider 80 70 60 50 nt ce 40 er p 30 20 10 0 1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 Fig.1 Industryshareofsalesthatwereclosedbody voteitssharesonanyaction,andoneoftheFisherbrothers,FredFisher,wasone ofthefourtrustees. 3. ThesixFisherbrotherssignedemploymentcontractswithFisherBody.13 As both Coase (2000) and Klein (2000) confirm, the unanimity provision in the votingtrustagreementimpliedthat,despiteGM’s60%interest,FBwasrunasaninde- pendentfirm.14 Moreover,theemploymentcontractsimpliedthattheFisherbrothers werealsoinoperationalcontrolofFB.InordertoproduceGM’sclosedbodiesFBhad tomakelargerelationship-specificinvestmentsinplantsandequipment,15andduring thisearlyperiodtheinitialcontractualsolutionseemstohaveworkedwell.Until1924 FisherBodybuiltorpurchased14assemblyplants,and12ofthoseplantswerelocated nearGMproductionfacilities.Notably,duringtheseearlyyearsthemarketenviron- mentprovedrelativelystableand,presumably,didnotevolveinawaydramatically differentfromwhatthepartieshadanticipatedin1919.Inparticular,GM’ssalesover theentire1919–1924periodgrewbyonlyabout50%,andtheshareofindustrysales thatwereclosedbodyamountedto17%in1920and34%in1923(seeFig.1above).16 Late period (1925–1926).In contrast to the stable market conditions of the early period,thelateperiodfrom1925till1926witnessedconsiderablechange.GM’ssales grewveryrapidly,andFig.1illustratesthattherewasanacceleratingshiftfromopen 13ShortlybeforeexpirationonOctober1,1924theseemploymentcontractswereextendedtill1929(see e.g.,Klein,2000). 14Obviously,thisraisesthequestionwhyGMindeedacquiredthe60%interest.First,fromaproperty- rightstheoryperspective,thistransfercouldbeinterpretedasanex-ante“side-payment”fromGMtoFB, where,throughex-antebargaining,thepartiesallocatedsomeofthe(expected)surplusoftheirrelationship toFB(seealsoFootnote27below).Second,Freeland(2000)hasarguedthatthisacquisition(aswellas thelaterfullintegration)mightalsohaveserveddefensivepurposes,i.e.,itmighthavebeenintendedto precludeFBfromanyfutureintegrationwithsomeothercarmaker,suchasFord. 15Thecompositeclosedbodiesofthetime(woodframedandmetalskinned)requiredsubstantiallyhigher specificinvestmentsthantheearlierlargelywoodenopenbodies,and“largesumsofcapitalwereneeded tomakeuniquediesforeachmetalpanelrequired,andhugefacilitieswereneededtostorebodieswhile paintandvarnishdried”(White,1991,p.50f.). 16ThesedataaretakenfromSloan(1964,p.152and214). Springer FisherBodyrevisited:Supplycontractsandverticalintegration 187 toclosedautomobiles.ThenumberofvehiclesproducedbyGeneralMotorsroseby 42%in1925and48%in1926,andtheindustryshareofsalesthatwereclosedbody jumpedto43%in1924,56%in1925,and72%in1926.17 Asaconsequence,inthis lateperiodFB’sclosedbodysalestoGMgrewbyabout200%. At the same time (and in contrast to the early period), FB refused to build or acquire new plants near GM’s facilities. In particular, FB refused to invest in an importantnewplantclosetotheGMBuickfacilitiesinFlint,Michigan.18 AsGM’s chiefexecutiveofficerofthetime,AlfredP.Sloan,putit:“theFisherbrothers,who werereallyoperatingtheFisherBodyCompanyinthosetimes,ratherquestionedthe desirability of their putting up large amounts of capital to establish these assembly plants in conjunction with the GM assembly plants”.19 The failure to make these investmentsresultedinGMexperiencingbodyshortagesthatultimatelyforceditto reducescheduledproduction.Asaconsequenceoftheseproblems,Sloanconcluded thatfullverticalintegrationofFisherBodyin1926was“notaquestionofanything but a must.” And indeed, following first boardroom discussions in February 1925, theverticalintegrationofFisherBodybyGeneralMotorswasfinalizedonJune30, 1926.OntheverynextdayGeneralMotorsannouncedthatitwouldcreatetheFlint body-buildingfacilityitself. 1.2 TheFisherBodycaseintheliterature Asdiscussedabove,therehasrecentlybeenanintensedebateregardingthefactsand interpretation of the Fisher Body case, and the original description of the case by Kleinetal.(1978)hasbeenchallenged(seee.g.,Coase,2000;Casadesus-Masanell andSpulber,2000;Freeland,2000).20 Inreply,Klein(2000)setsouttorefutethese criticismsandmaintainsthatverticalintegrationwasmeanttosolveahold-upproblem that the parties faced. In the following, we briefly summarize both Klein’s (2000) view and the alternative interpretations on offer. For more detailed accounts of this controversy,theinterestedreaderisreferredtotheabovecitedarticles. 17Again,seeSloan(1964). 18On the one hand, GM preferred plants close to its production facilities because they implied lower transportationcosts.Ontheotherhand,byaddingoperationsinDetroit(ratherthaninvestinginFlint)FB wouldhavebeenabletobetterserveothercustomers,suchasChrysler.However,itisimportanttonote thatFB’srefusaltoinvestclosetoGMfacilitiesonlyaroseafter1924,andKlein(2000)assertsthataFlint plantwouldclearlyhavemaximizedthejointprofitofGMandFB.Hence,forsimplicity,intheformal modelwewilltreattheparties’investmentsasone-dimensionalratherthantwo-dimensional(locationand magnitude). 19BoththisquotationandtheonebelowaretakenfromKlein(2000,p.114).Duringtheearlyperiod(1919– 1924)FBhadmainlyusedproceedsfromitssaleofsharestoGMtobuildorpurchasevariousassembly plants.WhileCoase(2000)andFreeland(2000)arguethattheFlintplantepisodemainlyrepresenteda disagreementoverfinancing,Klein(2000)arguesthatthisisunlikelyfortworeasons.First,atthesame timeFBmadeinvestmentsinbodycapacityforothercustomers(e.g.,Chrysler).Second,ifFB’srefusalto investintheFlintplantwouldmerelyhavebeentheresultofacapitalshortage,GMcouldhaveovercome thisproblembyprovidingaloantoFBforthecapitalcosts,asithaddoneonatleastthreeoccasionsinthe past(seeKlein,2000,p.110ff.). 20BothCoase(2000)andFreeland(2000)mainlyagreewithKlein’s(2000)descriptionofevents,butdiffer intheirinterpretation. Springer 188 A.Roider Klein(2000)agreeswithCoase(2000)thatassetspecificityinitselfisingeneral insufficient for vertical integration to be desirable. In particular, he argues that it is unlikelythatthepartiesenteredtheinitialsupplycontractregimebymistake.Rather itseemstobethecasethatinitiallythepartiesdeemedanexclusivedealingcontract sufficient to protect them against hold-up. Klein (2000) argues that the substantial increaseindemandforclosedbodiesduring1925–26gaveFBleverageoverGMand led FB to take advantage of GM’s weak position. FB’s refusal to invest in the Flint plantprovedratherharmfulforGM.Toexplainthisbehavior,Klein(2000)arguesthat, due to insufficient reputational capital, the rise in demand shifted the initial supply contractoutsideits“self-enforcingrange”,andverticalintegrationbecamenecessary. Incontrast,Coase(2000)deniesthathold-upplayedaroleintheverticalintegration ofFisherBody.Inparticular,hetakesthefactthatintheearlyperiodFBhadinvested in various new plants as evidence that investment problems were not pivotal in the decisiontointegrate.RatherheholdstheviewthatGMwasunsatisfiedwiththe1919 agreement because it had brought about a long-term relationship with FB that was unsatisfactoryinthesensethattheFisherbrotherspaidinsufficientattentiontoGM’s needs. Hence, GM’s aim was to bring the Fisher brothers (whose specific human capitalwasdeemedimportant)inacloserrelationshiptoimprovecoordination.And as the “trial marriage” of the initial regime proved a success for both parties, they finallyagreedtofullyintegrate.21 Finally, in a similar spirit, Casadesus-Masanell and Spulber (2000) and Freeland (2000)alsoemphasizetheneedtosecureaccesstotheFisherbrothersandcoordination issuesasthedrivingforcesbehindverticalintegration(seealsoChandlerandSalsbury, 1971). 2 Optimalcontractsandthedemandforclosedautobodies In this section, we present a simple extension of the property-rights theory of the firm, where the main stylized facts of the Fisher Body case emerge as equilibrium phenomena.Followingthediscussionabove,thesestylizedfactsmaybesummarized asfollows: 1. From1919till1926FBandGMoperatedastwoseparatefirms,whereanexclusive supplycontractwasinplacethatobligedGMtobuyallofitsautomobilebodies fromFB.Duringthisperiod,FBinvestedinseveralnewplantstomeetGM’sneeds. 2. After a substantial increase in demand for closed automobile bodies and FB’s subsequent refusal to invest in an important new plant, the parties agreed on full vertical integration of FB by GM in 1926, after which GM built the plant itself. Afterverticalintegrationnoexplicitsupplycontractwasinplace. Klein’s (2000) analysis suggest that, while other factor (such as human capital specificity, market trends, etc.) will clearly also have played a role, the dramatic increaseindemandforclosedautomobilesintheperiod1925–26seemstohavebeen 21Coase(2000)reportsthat,whilevisitingGeneralMotorsin1932,hewastoldthatthereasonforvertical integrationwastoensurethatFisherBody’splantswerelocatedclosetoGeneralMotors’facilities.However, hedeemsthisclaimunlikely. Springer FisherBodyrevisited:Supplycontractsandverticalintegration 189 pivotalforthedecisiontointegratevertically.ThesimplemodelbelowsupportsKlein’s (2000) view, but the mechanism at work does not rely on the reputational concerns emphasizedbyKlein(2000). 2.1 Asimpleproperty-rightsmodelofsupplycontractsandverticalintegration Basicstructure.Considerthefollowingsimpleextensionofastandardproperty-rights model (see e.g., Hart, 1995) that allows to simultaneously discuss the issues of the boundariesofthefirm,supplycontracts,andchangesintheidentityoftheinvesting party. A downstream buyer B (e.g., General Motors) wants to procure a variable quantityofaninput(e.g.,automobilebodies)fromanupstreamseller S (e.g.,Fisher Body), where B and S are assumed to be risk-neutral and symmetrically informed. Twoorganizationalformswillbeconsidered:BandSmayeitherbeseparatefirmsor, alternatively,theremaybeanintegratedfirminwhich Bprocurestheinputinternally from S. Formally, we assume that there is an asset A (e.g., Fisher Body’s physical assets)andtwopossibleorganizationalforms O.Specifically,theasset Amayeither beownedbytheseller(i.e.,O = S)orbythebuyer(i.e.,O = B),whereinlinewith theliterature(seee.g.,Whinston,2001)theformercaseisinterpretedasseparatefirms, whilethelattercaseisinterpretedasintegration.Theorganizationalformdetermines whohasresidualrightsofcontrolover A.Thatis,theorganizationalformdetermines whichofthepartiescandecideaboutalternativeusesoftheassetnotspecifiedinan initial contract. The benefits from such residual control rights will be discussed in moredetailbelow. Beforeactuallytradingthepartiesmaysimultaneouslymakerelationship-specific investmentsiBandiSinordertoincreasethevalueoftheasset(e.g.,bybuildinganew plant),whereiB,iS ≥0.Asdiscussedabove,inordertobeabletostudychangesinthe identityoftheinvestingparty,weassumethatB’sandS’sinvestmentsaretransferable inthesensethatthevaluea oftheassetonlydependsonthetotalamountinvested. Formally, the value of the asset is given by a(i), where i =iB +iS.22 Indeed, Hart (1995)hasarguedthatformanyinvestmentsinphysicalcapitalitwillnotmatterwhich ofthepartiesactuallyinvestsbecausesuchinvestmentsarefrequentlynotspecificto aparticularparty.Transferabilityofinvestmentswillimplythatingeneralonlyoneof thepartiesinvestsinequilibrium,butthatdependingonthecircumstancesitmayeither be B or S whoinvests.Inlinewiththeproperty-rightstheoryofthefirmweassume thatinvestmentsareobservabletotheparties,butthattheyarenon-contractible.23As discussedabove,thelargeincreaseindemandin1925–26wasarguablyunexpected, andhenceitconstitutesanunforeseenshiftinunderlyingparametersratherthanthe realizationofaforeseenstateoftheworld.Forthisreason(andasitwouldnotadd anyadditionalinsights)wedonotexplicitlyintroduceuncertainty(e.g.,regardingthe effectsofinvestmentsonthepayoffsoftheparties).However,themodelcouldeasily begeneralizedinthisdirection. 22To simplify the analysis we assume that investment costs are equal to iB and iS, respectively, a is satnrdicltilmyii→nc∞rea∂sa∂i(ini)g=an0d.concave,0<a<1,and(inordertoensureinteriorsolutions)limi→0 ∂a∂(ii) =∞ 23Thisassumptionissupportedbytheobservationthatinthelateperiodof1925–26theFlintplantbecame suchanissue,whichwouldpresumablynothavebeenthecasehadinvestmentsbeencontractible. Springer 190 A.Roider Theconsideredtimingisasfollows.Atadate0thepartiessignaninitialcontract (O,q,t) specifying the organizational form O, a trade quantity q ∈[0,1] that B procuresfromS,andatransferpaymenttfromBtoS.24Hence,thestandardproperty- rights model is only augmented in that trade between B and S is assumed to be contractible.Subsequently,atdate1thepartiesinvest.Theinitialcontractispossibly renegotiatedatdate2,andfinallytradetakesplaceandpaymentsaresettledatdate3. Renegotiationsarediscussedinmoredetailbelow.25 Payoffsoftheparties.Ifrenegotiationsatdate2weretofail,thepartieswouldobtain thefollowingpayoffsfromexecutingtheinitialcontract.First, B andSwouldderive payoffsfromtradingthecontractuallyspecifiedquantityq internally.Forsimplicity, weassumethat,conditionaloninvestments,theseller’smarginalcostofproduction andthebuyer’smarginalvaluationoftradeareconstant.Inparticular,weassumethat theseller’scostofproductionaregivenbyq·σ ·[1−a(i)],andthatthebuyerderives abenefitq·β·a(i)fromprocuringquantityq fromtheseller.Asbothpartiesprofit fromamorevaluableassetwhentradinginternally,investmentshavetwodirecteffects: atthesametime,theyreducetheseller’scostofproductionandincreasethebuyer’s valuation of trade. The variables σ and β are parameters that are meant to capture potentialdifferencesintheresponsivenessoftheparties’payoffstoinvestments,where σ,β >0.Second,thepartiesmayderivebenefitsfromresidualrightsofcontrolover the asset. These benefits from residual control depend on the organizational form specifiedintheinitialcontract.Thatis,theorganizationalformdetermineswhichof thepartieshastherighttodecideonalternativeusesoftheasset.Forexample,while GMclearlywasitsmostimportantcustomer,priortointegrationFBhadthefreedom tosupplyothercarmakersaswell(anddidso).However,suchexternaltradedidnot takeplacesubsequenttointegration.Consequently,weassumethattheownerofthe assetderivesthefollowingbenefitsfromhavingresidualrightsofcontrol:inthecaseof separatefirms,Sderivesacontrolbenefits·a(i),whileinthecaseofanintegratedfirm, Bobtainsacontrolbenefitb·a(i),wheres,b>0.Asabove,thebenefitsfromcontrol are the larger, the more has been invested. To summarize, for given contract terms, thethreatpointpayoffofthesellerisgivenbyπS =t −q·σ ·[1−a(i)]+s·a(i)if 24Whensigningtheircontractin1919,FBandGMalsoagreedtosetthepriceofautomobilebodies equaltoFB’svariablecostplus17.6percent,whichwasmeanttoensurereasonablepricing.Inthelate periodoftheirrelationshipGMalsobecamedissatisfiedwiththisformula,butFB’srefusaltoinvestinthe Flintfacilityseemstohavebeenthemorepressingproblem(seee.g.,Klein,2000;Freeland,2000).Ifthe payoffsofbothFBandGMwouldhavebeenfullyverifiablebyacourt,itwouldinprinciplehavebeen possibletomakeFBresidualclaimantonanyreturnsfromitsinvestment.However,fromapracticalpoint ofview,suchfullverifiablilityseemstobehighlyunlikely,andthiscontentionissupportedbythefactthat inthe1919contractitwasspecifiedthattherewouldbecompulsoryarbitrationintheeventofanydisputes regardingprice.Asaconsequence,wemakethesimplifyingassumptionthatonlyfixedtransferpayments arepossible. 25Givenadditionaltechnicalassumptionsitcanbeshownthatthepartiescannotgainfromconsidering morecomplicatedcontracts(e.g.,optioncontracts),wherethecontractterms(i.e.,theorganizationalform, thetradequantity,andtransferpayments)arefunctionsoflatermessagesoftheparties(seeRoider,2004). Thispapermoregenerallydiscussestheissuesofassetownershipandquantitycontracts.Itis,however,not tailoredtotheFisherBodycase,andconsequently,incontrasttothepresentpaper,itdoesnotdiscussthe preciseconditionsthatledtotheoptimalityofseparatefirmsrespectivelyverticalintegrationintheFisher Bodycase. Springer
Description: