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Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2009 with funding from Multicultural Canada; University of Toronto Libraries http://www.archive.org/details/fiscalreforminchOOcull Fiscal Reform in China: Implications for Hong Kong Richard Cullen' and Hua Ling Fu" Introduction I. Since the Joint Declaration of the Government of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the Government of the People's Republic of China on the Question of Hong Kong (Joint Declara- tion)1 concluded in 1984, scholars and commentators have devoted considerable time studying the future of Hong Kong. Their studies have intensified as the July 1, 1997 transition of Hong Kong into the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Republic of China (HKSAR)2 approaches. This Article considers one aspect of the sovereignty change that has been largely ignored: the fiscal relationship between the HKSAR and the People's Republic of China (PRC). This topic deserves careful study for at least three reasons. First, fiscal policy and practice are crucial aspects of every political economy. Sec- * Associate Professor, Deakin University (Australia); City University of Hong Kong. D.Jur.,Osgoode Hall,Toronto; LL.B. (Hons),Melbourne. ** Assistant Professor, City University of Hong Kong. M.A., Criminology, Univer- sity ofToronto;D.Jur.,York University,Toronto; LL.B., Southwestern Institute of Po- litical Science and Law,PRC. *** We gratefully acknowledge a Strategic Research Grant from the City University of Hong Kong, which supported this research. We also thank Claire Wong, Winnie Ye- ung, Pinky Choy, and David Hui for their research assistance. This Article is based on a paper presented to the Eleventh Annual Conference of the Chinese Economists' Society at the UniversityofWestern Ontario,in London,Ontario,Canada inAugust 1996. 1. Joint Declaration of the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and the Government of the People's Republic of China on the Question of Hong Kong, Dec. 19, 1984, U.K.-P.R.C, 23 I.L.M. 1371 [hereinafter Joint Declaration]. 2. The HKSAR will cover an area of approximately 1000 square kilometers. It will take overthe exact parametersofthe presentterritory ofHongKong. 389 390 Loy. L.A. Int'l & Comp. L.J. [Vol. 19:389 ond, as the HKSAR becomes the wealthiest component in the post-1997 PRC, Hong Kong will find itself in an unusual position of being an island of comparatively great prosperity within the poor though rapidly developing PRC. Third, in late 1994, the PRC introduced a series of momentous fiscal reforms as a key compo- nent in its overall reform process. Part II of this Article discusses the transition of Hong Kong into the HKSAR. Part III reviews Hong Kong's basic fiscal strengths and weaknesses. Part IV presents an overview of the PRCs recent fiscal reforms. Part V examines the legal rules appli- cable to the fiscal relationship between the HKSAR and the PRC under the fundamental documents governing the HKSAR. Fi- nally, part VI explores the wider political factors that may impact the fiscal relationship between the HKSAR and the PRC. This Article concludes that, barring exceptional circumstances, the provisions guaranteeing the HKSAR's fiscal independence are stringent and should prove effective due to their significant politi- cal and economic underpinnings. The Hong Kong SpecialAdministrative Region3 II. The July 1, 1997 sovereignty change will occur pursuant to the Joint Declaration4 which embodies the principles intended to shape the manner of the HKSAR's governance for the fifty-year period following 1997. It is based on the Chinese doctrine of "one country-two systems": although Hong Kong will become part of the PRC (one country), it will retain a high degree of autonomy, thus allowing it to maintain its current political economy (two sys- PRC tems). In other words, while the mainland will continue to practice "socialism with Chinese characteristics," Hong Kong will continue to practice "capitalism with Chinese characteristics."5 Although the agreements governing the changeover grant Hong Kong a high degree of autonomy, Hong Kong is not free to determine its own future political and economic direction. This 3. The discussion ofHong Kong's fiscal position draws on arguments made in Rich- ardCullen,LookingintoHongKong'sFiscalBall, 11 AUSTL.TAXF.511 (1994). 4. See Richard Cullen, Hong KongRevenue Law: The Present, 1997, and Beyond, 7 TaxNotesInt'l 1109, 1114-18(1993). 5. For an explanation ofthe background to and the process ofevolving the formula forHongKong'sreversion to PRCsovereignty,seeid. at 1109-18. 1997] Fiscal Reform in China 391 autonomy merely grants Hong Kong the right to preserve its cur- rent system. Hong Kong has no autonomy to develop, change, or experiment. Ironically, post-1997 Hong Kong may not, for exam- ple, decide to adopt socialism as the basis of its political organiza- tion. The other side of this irony is that the more than nominally socialist PRC has committed itself to the preservation of a dazzling example of capitalism within its borders. The principal document that will govern the HKSAR, and indicates that it will not adopt socialist policy, is the Basic Law ofthe Hong Kong Special Admin- istrative Region of the People's Republic of China (Basic Law).6 A FiscalOverview ofHong Kong III. Hong Kong's fiscal year runs from April 1 to March 31 of the following year. Notwithstanding the political and economic for- tunes of the previous twelve months, Hong Kong's stability and prosperity seem assured every March as Hong Kong counts its "loot" and announces the next budget. When former Financial Secretary Sir Hamish Macleod introduced the expenditure and revenue estimates for the 1995-1996 Hong Kong budget, he noted that a regular problem for Hong Kong Financial Secretaries was explaining larger than expected surpluses.7 Earlier in his speech, Macleod discussed one of the fundamentals of the Hong Kong government's fiscal policy: government expenditure must not grow faster than the economy as a whole.8 A practical rule derived 6. Basic Law of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of the People's Re- public of China (1990), reprinted in 29 I.L.M. 1519 (1990) [hereinafter Basic Law]. For further comment on the fundamental political documentation for post-1997 Hong Kong, see Yash Ghai, Back to Basics: The Provisional Legislature and the Basic Law, 25 H.K. L.J. 2 (1995); Yash Ghai, A Comparative Perspective, in HONG KONG'S BASIC LAW: Problems & Prospects 1 (Peter Wesley-Smith ed., 1990); Yash Ghai, The Hong Kong BillofRights Ordinance andthe Basic Lawofthe Hong KongSpecialAdministrative Re- gion: Complementaritiesand Conflicts, 1 J. CHINESE& COMP. L. 30,40-41 (1995). Arti- cle 5 of the Basic Law states that "the socialist system and policies shall not be practiced in Hong Kong." Basic Law, supra, art. 5, reprinted in 29 I.L.M. 1519, 1521 (1990). Moreover, paragraphs 3(3) and 3(5) of the Joint Declaration stress the requirement that Hong Kong's legal, social, and economic systems be maintained after 1997. See Joint Declaration,supra note 1,paras. 3(3),(5),at 1371-72. 7. SeeBudgetSpeechinFull,S. CHINAMORNINGPOST, Mar.2, 1995,at 6. 8. Seeid. Article 107ofthe Basic Lawfurther provides, interalia, that the HKSAR is to keep expenditure within the limits of revenues and avoid deficits. See Basic Law, supra note6,art. 107,reprintedin29 I.L.M. 1519, 1537 (1990). . 392 Loy. L.A. Int'l & Comp. L.J. [Vol. 19:389 from this doctrine is that the government generally does not bor- row. Hong Kong's current Financial Secretary, Donald Tsang, has reason to express similar optimism.'' By April 1997, three months prior to the July 1, 1997 sovereignty change, Hong Kong's fiscal re- serves are estimated to reach U.S.$22 billion.10 Combined with the HKSAR Land Fund surplus, the total reaches approximately U.S.$50 billion." This enormous sum does not include the ap- proximately U.S.$50 billion in hard currencies backing the Hong Kong dollar. Furthermore, Hong Kong's per capita gross domestic product (GDP) is currently around U.S.$25,000.i: This is espe- cially impressive because Hong Kong, like Singapore, entered the GDP post-war period with a lower per capita than India.1 Occasionally, the government does budget for a small deficit, although Hong Kong typically has a budget surplus. Conse- quently, stories on the government debt do not make headlines. Hong Kong has a scheduler taxation system that is modeled after a former British system.14 The distinguishing features of Hong Kong's taxation system are low tax rates and a narrow tax base.15 Rather than imposing a general income tax, Hong Kong's system includes a series of separate taxes that apply differently to various types of income.16 The Inland Revenue Ordinance con- tains the following taxes: a profits tax, which applies to trade, business, and professional income; a salaries tax, which applies mainly to wage and salary earners; and a property tax, which ap- plies to property income.17 Hong Kong also imposes duties on pe- 9. SeeBrian McLeod, TheNewHongKong.WINDOW,July 12, 1996,at32. 10. See Chris Yeung, Macleod Says SAR Funds to Hit $361b, S. CHINA MORNING POST, Mar. 2, 1995, at 1. Annex III of the Joint Declaration led to the Land Fund's crea- tion. See Joint Declaration, supra note 1, annex III, at 1380. Since May 1985, when the Joint Declaration entered into force, the Hong Kong government has received consider- able income from land transactions,which has beensplit equally between the government and the LandFund,which isforthe useofthe HKSARgovernment. Seeid. 11 See Yeung,supra note 10. 12. See BudgetSpeech in Full,supra note 7. 13. See David Kern, International Outlook. Nat'l Westminster Bank Econ. & FIN. OUTLOOK,Oct. 1. 1996,at2,availablein 1996WL9687079. 14. SeeCullen,supra note4,at 1112. 15. Foradetailedexplanation ofthe Hong Kongrevenuesystem,seeid. 16. Seeid. at 1121. 17. SeeInland Revenue Ordinance, LAWSOFHONGKONGch. 112(1989). 1997] Fiscal Reform in China 393 troleum, alcohol, and tobacco products, as well as an estate duty and stamp duty19 on instruments principally related to stock mar- ket and real estate transactions. Other miscellaneous taxes and duties also apply to various transactions, such as a substantial duty for registration of new vehicles. — Although disparities in wealth are egregious for example, Hong Kong has the highest per capita concentration of Mercedes — Benz cars in the world21 most Hong Kong citizens have benefited from the exceptional material progress of the city-state during the last five decades.22 Mainstream Hong Kong residents pay little or no tax, and enjoy cheap basic housing and rising real incomes. The achievements of Hong Kong's fiscal system are impres- sive: no government debt, very low taxes, massive accumulated surpluses, improved basic social services, a quality educational sec- tor, and one of the world's best urban infrastructures, including mass public rail transportation and telecommunications systems. Despite these achievements, commentators still criticize Hong Kong's fiscal system. Their reproaches include the following: (1) the taxation system's failure to address huge disparities in wealth, (2) weak support services for the disadvantaged, including the disabled, infirm, and elderly without families, (3) overcrowded or expensive health services, (4) strains in the education system, (5) neglect of environmental concerns, (6) infrastructure gaps, (7) lack of adequate pension provisions, (8) inadequate control of some governmental spending, and (9) the narrow tax base.23 Hong Kong's near constant high growth, as well as its lack of political will, have reduced the visibility of a number of these con- cerns. Although a low growth economy is not certain to develop, the previous high growth rates will probably not continue. Hong Kong's maturing economy will exacerbate stresses that 18. SeeEstate Duty Ordinance, LawsofHongKONGch. Ill (1983). 19. SeeStampDuty Ordinance, LawsOFHongKONGch. 117(1986). 20. SeeCullen,supra note 3,at515. 21. Seeid. at 516. 22. Over the last two decades, income inequalities have tended to increase in the West but decrease in East Asia, including Hong Kong. See George Enderle, An Out- sider's View of the East Asian Miracle: Lessons and Questions, in WHOSE BUSINESS Values?: SomeAsianand Cross-Cultural Perspectives 87, 88 (Sally Stewart & Gabriel Donleavyeds., 1995). 23. SeeCullen,supra note 3,at 516-17. 394 Loy. L.A. Int'l & Comp. L.J. [Vol. 19:389 are currently manageable. The future poses significant demands for increased government expenditure. Given that these demands will relate largely to fundamental services, such as care for an ag- ing population, the Hong Kong government cannot ignore them. In addition, as new revenue sources become necessary, Hong Kong's narrow tax base and low tax rates will be increasingly scru- tinized. Hong Kong's restrictive position on government borrow- ing and deficit financing may eventually require the use of tax re- form to solve this looming expenditure growth. At the present time, however, this fiscal rectitude has left Hong Kong's finances in excellent condition, with reserves that are enormous by world standards. Like Taiwan, Hong Kong feels a need to maintain these cash reserves as a bulwark against regional politics that could upset the A economic apple cart. period of serious tension between the PRC and Taiwan in early 1996 demonstrated the wisdom and ef- fectiveness of this approach.24 Despite the most fierce episode of sabre-rattling across the Taiwan Straights in recent memory, the new Taiwan dollar and the Taiwanese economy pulled through in sound condition.25 IV. FiscalReform in China A. Introduction In late 1993, the PRC made the final decision on the basic shape of its broad fiscal reform agenda. This crucial decision was made at the Third Plenum of the Fourteenth Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).26 It was subsequently 24. Fora general discussionofthe tension,see China's Foreign Minister: No Winners From Taiwan Tension, DEUTSCHE PRESS-AGENTUR, Feb. 13, 1996, available in LEXIS, WorldLibrary,Allwld File. 25. See generally Taiwan to Adjust Policy to Boost Economy, REUTERS FIN. Service,Apr. 20, 1996. 26. See Jae Ho Chung, Central-Provincial Relations, in China Review 1995, at 3.5- 3.6 (LoChi Kin etal.eds.,1996). The Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is one of the key formal structures in the CCP's Constitution of the CCP. See Albert Hung-Yee Chen, An Introduction to the Legal System of the People'sRepublicofChina70 (1992). In reality,the Political Bureau, or "Politburo", and the Politburo Standing Committee exercise the "leadership" functions ofthe Central Committee. See id. The State Council is the title of the PRC's central government. See id. at 59;seealso Du Xichuan & Zhang Lingyuan, CHINA'SLEGALSYSTEM 52-66 (1990); 1997] Fiscal Reform in China 395 ratified in March 1994 at the Eighth National People's Congress 27 It is probably safe to say that never before in the history of fiscal policy-making has reform affecting so many people been adopted in such a short time. The PRC comprises well over twenty percent of the world's population, making it the most populous country in the world. The reform is also significant because the PRC is now in the midst of a rapid growth period with improving prosperity un- precedented in the last 200 years of its history. Nevertheless, the PRC remains a country beset with enormous difficulties. The commencement of the "open-door" policy in the late 1970s28 was, inter alia, a reaction and correction to the decade lost to the Cultural Revolution.29 Following the adoption of this "open-door" policy, the PRC entered an era of unprecedented growth that has averaged more than ten percent per year for over a decade.30 If it is able to sustain this pattern, this growth promises to turn the PRC into the world's greatest economic power within the next two decades.31 A main factor behind this growth has been the widespread replacement of central planning in the economy with a reliance on market factors. In the PRC, this change is often referred to as the introduction of a socialist market economy. Crucially, this change has involved delegating economic decision-making responsibility to numerous individuals and group enterprises.32 Although the PRC maintains a large state enterprise sector (SES), the impor- tance of the SES has greatly diminished over the last two decades. Xianfa [Constitution] sec. Ill (P.R.C.). Several striking featurescharacterize the PRC's political structure. As a matter ofform, the government and the CCPare separate insti- tutions. The CCPand the government are so closely intertwined, however, that it is diffi- cult to determine where the CCP ends and the government begins. The need substan- tively toseparate the twoisa matterofongoingdebate inthe PRC. Seeid. at39-76. 27. SeeChung,supra note26. 28. For a general discussion of the 1970s open-door policy, see Int'l Bureau OF Fiscal Documentation, Supp. No. 4, Taxation & Investment in the People's RepublicofChina 15 (1993). 29. The Cultural Revolution began in 1964 and aimed to reform the minds ofthe en- tire nation, particularly intellectuals. See O. Edmund Clubb, 20th Century China 477 (1978). 30. SeeChung,supranote26,at3.5-3.6. 31. See China Looming, ECONOMIST,Aug. 17, 1996,at 13. 32. There are still limitsonjust how large and independent private sector enterprises may become. See The ExcellentChicken-FeedofLiu Yonghao, ECONOMIST,July 6, 1996, at59. . 396 Loy. L.A. lnt'l & Comp. L.J. [Vol. 19:389 The primary disadvantage of the SES, which still employs ap- proximately 100 million people, is that many enterprises within it are operating at huge losses." Because the SES operates as a giant de facto welfare state within the PRC, the Chinese government cannot allow it to deteriorate and deprive millions of citizens of in- come, education, housing, health, and welfare services. If the SES were fully exposed to market forces, the likely result would be drastic social and economic disruption.34 The move towards a market economy has dramatically ex- posed the inadequacies of the old revenue regime. Throughout much of the PRC's history, but particularly since 1979, the old re- gime has been the subject of reform initiatives. 5 Nevertheless, the pre-1994 regime remained strongly influenced by its Soviet proto- type in that it significantly reflected its reliance on the previously, powerful, central control of the economy.36 With the move to- wards a market economy, the PRC's entire fiscal regime showed an obvious need for reform. In the wake of these economic GDP changes, the government's share of expenditure has no- PRC ticeably decreased. In 1978, budgetary expenditures in the 33. See Susan Fenton, China Sharpens Control Over Loss-makers. WINDOW.July 19, 1996,at 52. In 1995,40% ofSES enterprises had losses. Seeid. Although the SES share oftotal industrial output hasfallenfrom 79% in 1979 to38% in 1995, there are alsosome real success stories in the SES- See id. There is considerable debate about the exact status of the SES: some economists argue that the portrayed peril is overexaggerated. There isconsensus, however, that overall, the SES is in poor economic shape and that its reform is one of the major economic and social problems facing China. See Professor Ji Liu, Perspectives of Economic Reform in China. Keynote Address at the Eleventh An- nual Conference of the Chinese Economists' Society (Aug. 9, 1996) (transcript on file with the Loyola ofLos Angeles Internationaland Comparative LawJournal). One tactic for dealing with the problem, which seems to be having some success, is the merging of successful and ailing enterprises in the SES. See Gerald Chen, Two Recipesfor Ailing SOEs. WINDOW, Aug. 16, 1996, at 31;Jean-Francois Huchet, OldAge Pensions in China: TheSearchforaNationalSystem,CHINAPERSP.,July-Aug. 1996,at 18. 34. See DonaldJ.S. Brean, Financial Aspects ofFiscal Sector Reform in China, Paper Presented to the Eleventh Annual Conference of Chinese Economists' Society (Aug. 11, 1996) (on file with author). Ifdependents are included, around one quarter of the PRC's total population maystill be reliant on the SES. Seeid. 35. See Michel Oksenburg & JamesTong, The Evolution ofCentral-ProvincialFiscal Relations in China, 1971-1984: The Formal System, CHINA Q„ Mar. 1991, at 1; see also Roy Bahl & Christine Wallich, Intergovernmental Fiscal Relations in China (World BankPolicy ResearchPaperWPS863). 36. SeeChristine P.W. Wong, Central-Local Relations in an Era of Fiscal Decline: TheParadoxofFiscalDecentralization in Post-Mao China, CHINAQ.,Dec. 1991,at691

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