UUnniivveerrssiittyy ooff TTeennnneesssseeee,, KKnnooxxvviillllee TTRRAACCEE:: TTeennnneesssseeee RReesseeaarrcchh aanndd CCrreeaattiivvee EExxcchhaannggee Doctoral Dissertations Graduate School 12-2017 TTwweennttyy--‐fifirrsstt CCeennttuurryy DDeeiinndduussttrriiaalliizzaattiioonn aanndd UUnneevveenn DDeevveellooppmmeenntt iinn AAppppaallaacchhiiaa Katherine Custis Gerlaugh University of Tennessee, Knoxville, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_graddiss Part of the Regional Sociology Commons, Rural Sociology Commons, and the Tourism Commons RReeccoommmmeennddeedd CCiittaattiioonn Gerlaugh, Katherine Custis, "Twenty-‐first Century Deindustrialization and Uneven Development in Appalachia. " PhD diss., University of Tennessee, 2017. https://trace.tennessee.edu/utk_graddiss/4743 This Dissertation is brought to you for free and open access by the Graduate School at TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. It has been accepted for inclusion in Doctoral Dissertations by an authorized administrator of TRACE: Tennessee Research and Creative Exchange. For more information, please contact [email protected]. To the Graduate Council: I am submitting herewith a dissertation written by Katherine Custis Gerlaugh entitled "Twenty-- ‐first Century Deindustrialization and Uneven Development in Appalachia." I have examined the final electronic copy of this dissertation for form and content and recommend that it be accepted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, with a major in Sociology. Stephanie A. Bohon, Major Professor We have read this dissertation and recommend its acceptance: Paul K. Gellert, Michelle M. Christian, Nicholas N. Nagle Accepted for the Council: Dixie L. Thompson Vice Provost and Dean of the Graduate School (Original signatures are on file with official student records.) Twenty-‐first Century Deindustrialization and Uneven Development in Appalachia A Dissertation Presented for the Doctor of Philosophy Degree The University of Tennessee, Knoxville Katherine Custis Gerlaugh December 2017 Copyright © 2017 by Katherine Custis Gerlaugh All rights reserved ii Dedication To my daughter Zoe Lee Hull iii Acknowledgements This project would not have been possible without the support and guidance of my Committee Chair and Advisor, Dr. Stephanie Bohon. Dr. Bohon has been an invaluable source of support and encouragement since my first year as a PhD student and I could not have asked for a more committed and supportive Chair. Thank you for everything, Stephanie. I also owe my sincerest thanks to Dr. James Maples. This project was inspired by the research in which he invited me to take part, and I am looking forward to continuing our work together. Thank you to Dr. Paul Gellert, Dr. Michelle Christian, and Dr. Nicholas Nagle for serving on my committee and providing invaluable feedback. I would also like to thank Dr. Jon Shefner and Dr. Sherry Cable for their continuous support and encouragement. I also want to thank the late Suzanne Kurth for all her help and guidance during my time in the department. Thanks also to Holly Ningard, Chris Bradley, Lauren Caggiano, and Nicole Harris for their friendship and support as I worked to complete this project. And thank you to Zoe Lee Hull for her supportive and positive attitude throughout this process. iv Abstract The causes and consequences of deindustrialization in the United States are myriad and have created a dire situation for millions of working class people as blue-‐ collar jobs have mostly vanished. This reality has been particularly hard in places like Appalachia, where manufacturing and extraction were the largest, and often only, employers for most of the 20th Century. Especially for rural areas with little appeal for new markets, tourism often appears to be one way to attract people to the area to spend money, but it is unclear whether or not this strategy is helpful to local economies. In this study, I use three different levels of data to better understand the effects of uneven development in and across Appalachia and to interrogate the effects of deindustrialization and the rise of leisure and retail in the early 21st Century. First, I analyze county level data to consider differences in industry pay and employment in three Appalachian subregions, at three different county population levels, at three points in time. Next, I analyze individual level data to see if new residents to Appalachia have higher economic and occupational statuses than residents who moved within the region in the same time period while also considering economic differences by subregion. Finally, I analyzed individual survey data from rock climbers at the Red River Gorge to find out whether they spend money during their visits. Overall, I found that subregional differences associated with differences in rural and urban county concentrations within the Appalachian region were starker than the differences between the region as a whole versus the rest of the United States. I suggest that recreational tourism, though fine, is not an economic solution to the problems of Eastern Kentucky, but that rather support for innovative development strategies in those towns that investing in infrastructure may be the only way to help alleviate the long history of uneven development in the region. v Table of Contents Chapter 1: Introduction ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 1 Chapter 2: Theories of Appalachia and Uneven Development ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 12 Chapter 3: The Political Economy of Appalachia: Exploitation, Uneven Development, and the Effects of Poverty in Rural Appalachia ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 35 Chapter 4: Methodology ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 54 Chapter 5: Industry Payroll and Employment Across Appalachia ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 77 Chapter 6: Appalachian Residence and Economic Attainment ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 113 Chapter 7: Economic Impact of Rock Climbers in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 130 Chapter 8: Conclusion ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 157 Bibliography 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·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 119 Table 6.3: Unstandardized OLS coefficients predicting movers’ total family income ·∙ 121 Table 6.4: Logistic regression coefficients and odds ratios predicting movers’ odds of self-‐employment ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 123 Table 6.5: Unstandardized OLS coefficients predicting movers’ occupational attainment ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 124 Table 7.1: Descriptive statistics: Means and standard deviations ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 132 Table 7.2: Unstandardized OLS coefficients predicting the effects of Kentucky residence on spending in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 136 Table 7.3: Unstandardized OLS coefficients predicting the effects of Appalachia residence on spending in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 141 Table 7.4: Poisson coefficients and IRRS predicting the effects of Kentucky residence on number of cost activities in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 143 Table 7.5: Poisson coefficients and IRRS predicting the effects of Appalachia residence on number of cost activities in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 145 Table 7.6: Logistic regression coefficients and odds ratios predicting the effects of Kentucky residence on relying on external food sources in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 147 vii Table 7.7: Logistic regression coefficients and odds ratios predicting the effects of Kentucky residence on relying on external food sources in the Red River Gorge ·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙·∙ 149 viii
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