JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd ii 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM FINDING #1 STOCKS JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd ii 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd iiii 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM FINDING #1 STOCKS Screening, Backtesting, and Time-Proven Strategies Kevin Matras John Wiley & Sons, Inc. JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd iiiiii 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM Copyright © 2011 by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750–8400, fax (978) 646–8600, or on the Web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748–6011, fax (201) 748–6008, or online at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifi cally disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fi tness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profi t or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages. For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800) 762–2974, outside the United States at (317) 572–3993 or fax (317) 572–4002. Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print may not be available in electronic books. For more information about Wiley products, visit our web site at www.wiley.com. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: Matras, Kevin. Finding #1 Stocks: Screening, Backtesting, and Time-Proven Strategies / Kevin Matras. p. cm.—(The Zacks Series; 1) Includes index. ISBN 978–0–470–90340–7 (hardback); ISBN 978–1–118–05797–1 (ebk); ISBN 978–1–118–05798–8 (ebk); ISBN 978–1–118–05799–5 (ebk) 1. Stocks. 2. Investments. 3. Investment analysis. I. Zacks Investment Research (Firm). II. Title. HG4661.M369 2011 332.63'2042—dc22 2010050388 Printed in the United States of America 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd iivv 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM To every trader and investor who wants to be better. JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd vv 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM JJWWBBTT447700__MMaattrraass__PPrriilliimmss..iinndddd vvii 33//1166//1111 99::5566 PPMM Contents Acknowledgments xiii Introduction xv Chapter 1 The Importance of Screening and Backtesting 1 Why Should I Use a Stock Screener? 1 Backtesting! 2 Chapter 2 Identifying What Kind of Trader You Are 5 Question 1: What Kinds of Stocks Do You Want to Invest In? 5 Question 2: What Characteristics Do You Want Your Stocks to Have? 6 Question 3: What Do You Want Your Stocks to Do for You? 7 Chapter 3 Defi ning the Basic Trading Styles 9 Momentum Style 9 Aggressive Growth Style 11 Value Style 12 Growth and Income Style 12 “All Style” Style 13 Technical Analysis 14 Winning in Style 14 vii ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiii 33//1188//1111 33::2222 PPMM viii CONTENTS Chapter 4 Trading the Zacks Rank 15 The Zacks Rank versus the Market 15 About Len Zacks 17 Calculating the Zacks Rank 18 What the Rankings Mean 20 Four Factors of the Zacks Rank 24 Chapter 5 Beyond the Zacks Rank 27 Filtering the Zacks Rank 27 How Many Stocks Are Right for You? 32 Chapter 6 How to Trade the Strategies 33 Once a Month 33 Once a Week 35 Combining Holding Periods 35 Chapter 7 Winning Momentum Strategies 37 Big Money 37 Earnings Acceleration 42 Increasing Earnings 44 New Highs 46 Using New Highs for Sector and Industry Analysis 50 Summary 53 Chapter 8 Winning Aggressive Growth Strategies 55 Small-Cap Growth 55 All-Cap Growth 61 Sizing Up the Markets 64 Zacks Rank 5 or 4 to 1 66 ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiiiii 33//1188//1111 33::2222 PPMM
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