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Financialization and Macroeconomics: The Impact on Social Welfare in Advanced Economies PDF

215 Pages·2022·2.391 MB·English
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Financialisation and Macroeconomics Financialisation has become a widely discussed and debated term leading to a plurality of perspectives, but no fixed definition or single reading. This book presents a critical exploration and review of the current literature on finan- cialisation, focussing on the financialisation of NFCs and its possible impli- cations for the macroeconomic and financial stability of advanced countries. Starting from this critical analysis, it proposes some new readings of the process of financialisation, linking it directly, on the one hand, to the evolu- tion of interest-bearing capital and the credit system, and, on the other hand, to the historical tendencies of monopoly capital towards financial arrange- ments to manage corporate control. Finally, a conceptual scheme for interpre- tation and a mathematical model of corporate portfolio choice is developed to explain how the tendency in developed countries to place growing shares of social surplus in speculative financial channels can contribute to their long- term real stagnation. The book also underlines the excessive attention usually being paid to some micro-epiphenomena that show a fallacy of composition at the macroeconomic level and can lead to some misunderstandings of the general trends in capitalist evolution. Moreover, some doubts are raised about the extent to which financialisation actually represents a change to the pres- ent regime of accumulation. The book targets all the scholars who are interested in better understand- ing whether financialisation constitutes a profound change in the functioning of capitalist economic systems and what effects it can produce in social wel- fare in the advanced countries. Giovanni Scarano is Professor of Economics at Roma Tre University and a member of STOREP (Italian Association for the History of Political Economy). Routledge Critical Studies in Finance and Stability Edited by Jan Toporowski, School of Oriental and African Studies, University of London, UK The 2007–8 Banking Crash has induced a major and wide-ranging discussion on the subject of financial (in)stability and a need to revaluate theory and pol- icy. The response of policy-makers to the crisis has been to refocus fiscal and monetary policy on financial stabilisation and reconstruction. However, this has been done with only vague ideas of bank recapitalisation and ‘Keynesian’ reflation aroused by the exigencies of the crisis, rather than the application of any systematic theory or theories of financial instability. Routledge Critical Studies in Finance and Stability covers a range of issues in the area of finance including instability, systemic failure, financial macroe- conomics in the vein of Hyman P. Minsky, Ben Bernanke and Mark Ger- tler, central bank operations, financial regulation, developing countries and financial crises, new portfolio theory and New International Monetary and Financial Architecture. Financialisation in the European Periphery Work and Social Reproduction in Portugal Edited by Ana Cordeiro Santos and Nuno Teles Emerging Economies and the Global Financial System Post-Keynesian Analysis Edited by Bruno Bonizzi, Annina Kaltenbrunner and Raquel A. Ramos Financialisation in Emerging Economies Changes in Central Banking Juan Pablo Painceira Financialisation and Macroeconomics The Impact on Social Welfare in Advanced Economies Giovanni Scarano For more information about this series, please visit: www.routledge.com/ series/RCSFS Financialisation and Macroeconomics The Impact on Social Welfare in Advanced Economies Giovanni Scarano First published 2023 by Routledge 4 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN and by Routledge 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158 Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2023 Giovanni Scarano The right of Giovanni Scarano to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Scarano, Giovanni (Professor of economics), author. Title: Financialization and macroeconomics : the impact on social welfare in advanced economies / Giovanni Scarano. Description: Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge, 2023. | Series: Routledge critical studies in finance and stability | Includes bibliographical references and index. | Identifiers: LCCN 2022035389 (print) | LCCN 2022035390 (ebook) | ISBN 9781032121307 (hardback) | ISBN 9781032121321 (paperback) | ISBN 9781003223221 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Financialization—Case studies. | Financial services industry—Case studies. | Macroeconomics—Case studies. Classification: LCC HG173 .S263 2023 (print) | LCC HG173 (ebook) | DDC 332—dc23/eng/20220923 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022035389 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2022035390 ISBN: 978-1-032-12130-7 (hbk) ISBN: 978-1-032-12132-1 (pbk) ISBN: 978-1-003-22322-1 (ebk) DOI: 10.4324/9781003223221 Typeset in Bembo By codeMantra To my wife Valeria, who supports my life and work with her love and patience, and to my parents, who taught me to be myself in every circumstance. Contents List of illustrations ix Introduction 1 1 Post-Keynesian approaches 7 The rise of finance in neoliberal era 7 Financial investment vs real investment 12 The shareholder revolution 16 The role of mutual and pension funds 21 The false myth of managerial capitalism 28 Who managers really are and how they run corporations 34 NFCs as main actors of their own financialisation 37 2 The French Regulation School and the Social Structures of Accumulation Approach 49 Accumulation regimes and stages of capitalism development 49 Modes of regulation and social structures of accumulation 53 Finance-dominated capitalism 58 Does a new accumulation regime really exist? 62 3 Classical Marxist approaches 73 Finance capital 73 Bukharin’s and Lenin’s “Imperialism” 77 Monopoly capital according to the American neo-Marxists 82 Financial oligarchies and rentiers 87 Monopoly capital, corporate control and the evolution of large industrial holding companies 93 4 Interest-bearing capital vs industrial capital 100 Money capital and productive capital 100 The role of credit in capitalist production 104 viii Contents Fictitious capital and the promoter’s profit 109 Shadow banking and capitalist production 111 5 Financial rentiers and the revenant conflict between rent and profit 116 The conflict between rent and profit in classical political economy 116 Financial rent and accumulation of capital 119 Financial rent and economic stagnation 123 6 Corporate saving glut and liquidity holding 131 Hoarding and economic crises 131 Liquidity holding and corporate saving 135 Some views on corporate savings and liquidity holding around the Great Depression 138 Some American views on corporate savings and cash holding in the 1940s 142 Corporate savings during the Golden Age 151 NFC savings around the financial crisis of 2007–2008 153 The rise of NFC liquidity holdings 163 7 Financialisation of NFCs, globalisation and growth 172 Investment choices and investment theories 172 Financial investment and the term structure of interest rates 177 The contribution of free movement of capital 179 An interpretation model 182 8 Conclusion 191 Index 197 Illustrations Figures 1.1 Stock Market Capitalisation to GDP ratio (1975–2020) 13 1.2 Stock Market Capitalisation to GDP ratio in main OECD countries (1975–2020) 13 1.3 Gross capital formation as a percentage of GDP (1975–2020) 14 1.4 Total assets and nonfinancial assets in the US NFCs (1945–2020) 15 6.1 NFC gross saving as a share of gross national saving 154 6.2 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in the United States 155 6.3 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in the United Kingdom 155 6.4 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in Canada 156 6.5 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in Japan 156 6.6 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in Germany 156 6.7 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in France 157 6.8 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in Italy 157 6.9 Gross saving, capital expenditure and net lending of NFCs as a share of GDP in China 158 6.10 Changes in net lending between 2001 and 2005 ($ billion) 160 7.1 Flow-chart of the conceptual scheme of the model 183 Table 3.1 Top holding companies and conglomerates in the world (2022) 96

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