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Financial Modelling in Power BI: Forecasting Business Intelligently PDF

354 Pages·2022·29.262 MB·English
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Financial Modelling in Power BI Forecasting Business Intelligently Dr. Liam Bastick with Jonathan Liau Copyright © 2022 SumProduct Pty Limited. Published in 2022 by SumProduct Pty Limited, Ground Floor, 470 St Kilda Road, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia. Simultaneously published in the USA by Holy Macro! Books, PO Box PO Box 541731, Merritt Island FL 32954. All rights reserved. Authors: Dr. Liam Bastick with Jonathan Liau Editor: Kathryn Newitt Indexer: Bill Jelen Compositor: Joseph Kirubakaran Cover Design: Shannon Travise Distributed by Independent Publishers Group, Chicago, IL ISBN 978-1-61547-072-3 Print, 978-1-61547-161-4 Digital Library of Congress Control Number: 2022934126 Version 20220729a No parts of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning or otherwise, without either the prior written permission of the publisher, or authorisation through payment of the appropriate photocopy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center. Requests for permission should be addressed to the publisher, SumProduct Pty Limited, Ground Floor, 470 St Kilda Road, Melbourne, VIC 3004, Australia, tel: +61 3 9020 2071, email: [email protected]. This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering public services. If professional advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. SumProduct (www.sumproduct.com) is such an organisation that undertakes both tailored training and consulting services. Neither the author nor the publisher is liable for any actions prompted or caused by the information presented in this book. Any views expressed or implied herein are those of the author and do not represent the views of the organisations he works for. Microsoft and Excel are registered trademarks of the Microsoft Corporation. About the Author Dr. Liam Bastick FCA FCMA CGMA MVP Starting off as a university lecturer, Liam has over 30 years’ experience in financial model development / auditing, valuations, mergers and acquisitions, project finance, public private partnerships, strategy, training and consultancy. Indeed, he has been appointed as an independent expert for the courts of Victoria and New South Wales, in Australia. He has considerable experience in many different sectors (e.g. banking, energy, media, mining, oil and gas, private equity, retail, transport and utilities) and has worked in many countries (including Australia, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Netherlands, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, Switzerland, United Kingdom, United States and Vietnam). He has worked with many internationally recognised clients, constructing and reviewing strategic, operational, planning and valuation models for many high profile International Public Offerings(IPOs), Leveraged Buy-Outs (LBOs) and strategic assignments. With over 1,000 articles written for the accounting profession, he is a regular contributor to the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA), Chartered Accountants Australia and New Zealand (CAANZ), Certified Practising Accountants Australia (CPAA), the Chartered Institute of Management Accountants (CIMA), the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales (ICAEW), Finance 3.0, Microsoft’s Excel Blog and various LinkedIn specialist discussion groups. Liam is a Fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants (FCA), a Fellow of the Institute of Chartered Management Accountants (FCMA), a Chartered Global Management Accountant (CGMA), and is also a professional mathematician, specialising in probability and number theory. In 2021, he was recipient of the inaugural Lifetime Achievement Award for financial modelling by the Financial Modeling Institute. A frequent public speaker, Liam attends (virtually) Excel and Power BI conferences around the globe and has been a central organiser for the Excel Summit South and Excel Virtually Global. He has also authored and edited several books including Introduction to Financial Modelling, Continuing Financial Modelling, as well as the Power BI MVP Book and Excel Insights. Since 2012, he has been recognised by Crimewatch and Microsoft, the latter as a Most Valuable Professional (MVP) in Excel, one of c.80 such awardees worldwide (as at the time of writing). He still follows Derby County (if they survive bankruptcy) and the England cricket team (if they survive their current performances). Jonathan Liau Jonathan Liau was born in Singapore and lived in China as an ex-pat for most of his formative years. He served in the military in Singapore for two years before enrolling in the University of Sydney, studying Economics, Finance and IT. Until recently, Jonathan was a Senior Analyst at SumProduct Australia, specialising in Power BI projects. Aside from work, Jonathan enjoys hiking and driving, the casual whiskey with friends, power lifting and tinkering with computers. Preface Thank <expletive deleted> that’s over. Advertised forever, over a year late in its delivery, countless technical hurdles, software forever changing, something called COVID-19, a key member of the team leaving midstream, this was not the easiest book to write. On countless occasions, I was advised to scrap trying to do certain parts, but I steadfastly refused. It reminded me of a previous life as a post-graduate researcher… I have (re)discovered I am still tenacious. They say if at first you don’t succeed, then skydiving is not for you. For me, my reserve, reserve, reserve, reserve parachute failed to open, but fortunately, the ground broke my fall. But not my spirits. So I got inebriated and carried on regardless. I guess there are parts of this book where you will figure that is precisely what I did! At the risk of sounding arrogant, I do think this is a ground-breaking book – and not just because of my (fictional) parachute accident. Detailed within these pages is a first stab to build a three-way integrated financial model in Power BI. This book contains no discussion on visualisation. It doesn’t really consider forecasting. It sidesteps opening balances. The model is very simple, but the concepts are deceptively awkward in places (e.g. inventory, depreciation, tax, and heck, even creating a line total!). Others have imported models or created one or two of the financial statements in Power BI, but this includes all three. This is one small step for a modeller but a giant leap for people who like to steal other people’s quotations. Please accept this book in the manner it’s intended. This highlights the start of the financial modelling journey in Power BI. I invite fellow explorers to follow me in this expedition – maybe into oblivion – to gain greater insight into your financials, turning disorganised data into structured information, gleaned knowledge and segmented wisdom. It will take time, but it’s a collaborative voyage and I am starting at Base Camp (once I have tidied up all my parachutes). I have been lucky enough to have been appointed a Most Valuable Professional (MVP) by Microsoft for services to Excel – one of 80 or so – recognised "experts" as at the time of writing. Last year, I was fortunate enough to be awarded the inaugural Lifetime Achievement Award for Financial Modelling by the Financial Modeling Institute (yes, the spellings are deliberate!) too. In my acceptance speech, I promised I wasn’t about to retire / go out to pasture. I insisted I was off to explore as noisily as possible the Brave New World of financial modelling in Power BI. Well, I’ve done it. See what you think! I’d like to thank those that helped contribute to this book over the years (this one has been three years in the making). Thanks to Bill Jelen for sticking with me (this book has taken an eternity to put together), Kathryn Newitt for technically editing it and ignoring all the dad jokes, Jonathan Liau for the initial proofs of concept, Tim Heng and the SumProduct team for proofreading this thing to death (we’ve probably still missed things as you, dear reader, will be delighted to point out). Finally, and most importantly, sincerest thanks to my immediate family, Nancy and no- longer-so-little Layla, who have always supported me – thinking that this book is going to earn them millions (good luck with that, gang). To that end, yet again, I let my 13-year old daughter, Layla Bastick, have the last (fore)word: "So, he’s written another book. Whether it’s for the better or worse, I have no idea as I am yet to read it, but he has spent a lot of time on this so it’s probably going to be, in the very least, interesting. I apologise in advance for the terrible jokes and puns in this book, but I have to admit they are funny. I am proud of my dad, especially with how long he has taken on writing this book and the effort he has put into it." Liam Bastick, March 2022 www.sumproduct.com Editor’s notes A few years ago, when we were undergraduates, I would studiously produce long and very boring assignments. I would be amazed to see the two sides of hand-written A4 that Liam would produce. Much to my frustration at the time, he always got better grades than me! That one piece of paper was always full of original and relevant ideas. That is true of this book too, with the exception of the jokes. It is a brilliant idea, and it’s taken a lot of hard work to complete. To get the most out of this book, you need to build the financial model. Start with our deliberately simple data set and work through the steps. Part of my role as editor has been to build the model repeatedly, and I can attest to the satisfaction of completing the Balance Sheet and admiring the result. This is just the starting point. This is Power BI. The Financial Statements are more than just lines of data, they can be refreshed and drilled into, and they are fully integrated. All the visualisations you could wish for are at your disposal, along with insights and suggestions. Since nothing like this has been successfully achieved before, your constructive comments and questions would be welcome. Less positive comments will be filtered before reading: I know how to clean up data. So please, join us on a journey of discovery and find out how to build your Financial Statements in the intuitive and insightful world of Power BI. We hope you will get results as excellent as Liam’s assignments. Kathryn Newitt www.sumproduct.com (Unsolicited response from Liam: As always, Kathryn is far too modest. She was always the smarter of the two of us – and the more industrious. I spent my final year as an undergraduate trying to emulate her sheer dedication and diligence. If it wasn’t for her, I would never have finished my academic studies in the first place. Ask any of my friends: I have always said that. Thank you Kathryn. You are far too generous with me.) Downloadable Resources Getting to grips with new ideas can be challenging. The easiest way to explore this book, is to use the same data file as us, and check your progress against the many images provided. We have set up a page on our website, where we will (for as long as our website and the internet as we know it still exist) provide the data file, example Power BI files and any other material that we think would be useful. Head to our website at https://www.sumproduct.com/book-3-resources to download any files referred to in this book, as well as any additional information and examples. Contents About the Author ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������iii Preface ��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������iv Editor’s notes ����������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������vi Downloadable Resources �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������vii CHAPTER 1: Introduction ���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������1 CHAPTER 2: Introduction to Power BI �������������������������������������������������������������������������3 Getting Power BI .......................................................................................................5 And finally… ..............................................................................................................6 CHAPTER 3: Best Practice Methodology ��������������������������������������������������������������������7 Robustness ...............................................................................................................8 Flexibility ...................................................................................................................8 Transparency ............................................................................................................8 In summary ...............................................................................................................9 Chapter 4: Financial Statements Theory ��������������������������������������������������������������������10 Income Statement ...................................................................................................10 Balance Sheet .........................................................................................................13 Cash Flow Statement ..............................................................................................16 Linking financial statements .....................................................................................20 Appropriate order of the financial statements ..........................................................20 CHAPTER 5: Control Accounts �����������������������������������������������������������������������������������22 Building a Financial Model in Power BI ....................................................................23 CHAPTER 6: Getting Started �������������������������������������������������������������������������������������25 Power BI keeps updating! .......................................................................................25 Unable to open document (old PBI version) .............................................................25 Privacy warning .......................................................................................................26 Programming languages .........................................................................................28 Star schema ...........................................................................................................28 Introducing the data ................................................................................................29 Using Windows Settings to control Power Query date display .................................30 Opening the Power Query editor .............................................................................33 FilePath ...................................................................................................................34 Source data ............................................................................................................36 Referencing a query ................................................................................................39 Reliable references ..................................................................................................40 Source tables ..........................................................................................................43 Depreciation ............................................................................................................43 Grouping queries ....................................................................................................46 Dividends ................................................................................................................48 Equity .....................................................................................................................49 Actuals ....................................................................................................................50 Appending queries ..................................................................................................51 Close & Apply .........................................................................................................52 Auto Date / Time .....................................................................................................53 Date Table ...............................................................................................................56

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