Fateful Transitions: How Democracies Manage Rising Powers, from the Eve of World War I to China's Ascendance PDF
Preview Fateful Transitions: How Democracies Manage Rising Powers, from the Eve of World War I to China's Ascendance
13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 2 7/7/14 2:45 PM Fateful Transitions 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 1 7/7/14 2:45 PM 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 2 7/7/14 2:45 PM FateFul transitions How Democracies Manage Rising Powers, from the Eve of World War I to China’s Ascendance Daniel M. Kliman University of Pennsylvania Press PhilaDelPhia 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 3 7/7/14 2:45 PM A volume in the Haney Foundation Series, established in 1961 with the generous support of Dr. John Louis Haney Copyright © 2015 University of Pennsylvania Press All rights reserved. Except for brief quotations used for purposes of review or scholarly citation, none of this book may be reproduced in any form by any means without written permission from the publisher. Published by University of Pennsylvania Press Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104-4112 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Kliman, Daniel M. Fateful transitions : how democracies manage rising powers, from the eve of World War I to China’s ascendance / Daniel M. Kliman. — 1st ed. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index ISBN 978-0-8122-4653-7 (hardcover : alk. paper) 1. International relations. 2. International relations—Case studies. 3. Security, International. 4. Security, International—Case studies. 5. Great Powers. 6. Great Powers—Case studies. JZ1242 .K59 2014 327.09'04 2014012349 Contents List of Abbreviations vii Chapter 1: Fateful Transitions 1 Chapter 2: Power Shifts and Strategy 17 Chapter 3: Pax Britannica Eclipsed 32 Chapter 4: Germany Resurgent 59 Chapter 5: Red Star Rising 80 Chapter 6: Emerging Superpower 99 Chapter 7: Neighboring Titan 119 Chapter 8: Implications for the Twenty-First Century 139 Appendix 1: Omitted Cases 151 Appendix 2: Coding Checks and Balances 154 Appendix 3: Measuring Freedom of the Press 155 Notes 165 Bibliography 205 Index 227 Acknowledgments 235 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 5 7/7/14 2:45 PM 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 6 7/7/14 2:45 PM Abbreviations ASAT Anti-Satellite ASEAN Association of Southeast Asian Nations DPJ Democratic Party of Japan EEZ Exclusive Economic Zone G-20 Group of 20 GDP Gross Domestic Product IMF International Monetary Fund JMSDF Japan Maritime Self-Defense Forces JSDF Japan Self-Defense Forces LDP Liberal Democratic Party MFA Ministry of Foreign Affairs (China) MMCA Military Maritime Consultative Agreement MTCR Missile Technology Control Regime NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization NIC National Intelligence Council PLA People’s Liberation Army QDR Quadrennial Defense Review R&D Research and Development RAF Royal Air Force SED Strategic Economic Dialogue S&ED Strategic and Economic Dialogue S&T Science and Technology UN United Nations USSR Union of Soviet Socialist Republics WTO World Trade Organization 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 7 7/7/14 2:45 PM 13553-Fateful Transitions (Kliman).indd 8 7/7/14 2:45 PM
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