Table Of Content

Alvin Fall 2013 Independent Demographic Study School District Learn from Yesterday… Understand Today… Plan for the Future 1 Economic Conditions •  Texas has had a job growth of 31.5 percent since 1995. Almost triple the nationwide growth of 12 percent. ( ) City Journal – Winter 2013 •  DFW, Houston and Austin Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) created more than 230 thousand jobs in the last 12 months. ( ) Metrostudy •  The state's unemployment rate has been at or below the national rate for 80 consecutive months. ( ) http://www.thetexaseconomy.org/economic-outlook/ •  Since 2000, 1 million more people have moved to Texas than have left for other states. In 2011, Houston became the 5th largest MSA in the country with DFW the 4th behind only NYC, LA and Chicago ( ) City Journal – Winter 2013 •  Unemployment rates - Texas Labor Market Information (August 2013) - U.S. 7.3% - Texas 6.3% - Houston MSA 6.1% - Brazoria County 6.5% •  Houston MSA builders put up 7,676 new homes in the last quarter, a 14 percent increase year over year. ( ) Metrostudy •  Texas sales tax collections have increased for 41 consecutive months (Year- ) and sales tax receipts for August 2013 were 2.1 percent higher than over-year for August 2012 ( ) Texas Comptroller 2 National Economic Overview Top Job Growth Markets Ranked by Change in Emp. – June 2013 Total Job % Rank MSA Employment Gains Change 1 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island8 ,N7Y3-2N,J0-0P0A 133,800 1.6% 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 3,120,400 107,800 3.6% 3 Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land TX 2,780,100 91,600 3.4% 4 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana CA 5,342,900 68,600 1.3% 5 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL-IN-WI 4,443,300 62,500 1.4% 6 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-M3D,0-9W2V,1 00 48,500 1.6% 7 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA 2,407,400 47,900 2.0% 8 Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ 1,803,700 47,200 2.7% 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI 1,821,800 45,200 2.5% 10 San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont CA 2,013,300 37,500 1.9% 11 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL 1,193,200 33,800 2.9% 12 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 1,745,000 32,600 1.9% 13 Denver-Aurora CO 1,279,000 31,500 2.5% 14 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX 854,000 31,400 3.8% 15 Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro TN 815,800 29,000 3.7% Source: Metrostudy - MetroUSA 3 National Economic Overview Top 15 MSAs Ranked by Ann. SF Permits on May 2013 Rank MSA Permits Change 1 Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land TX 31,562 6,329 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 19,528 4,354 3 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC- 13,256 3,126 4 VPhAo-MenDix-W-MVe sa-Glendale, AZ 12,404 2,789 5 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA 11,915 4,647 6 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 8,813 2,505 7 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX 8,463 1,678 8 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 8,308 2,944 9 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 7,866 2,388 10 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long 7,457 1,214 11 IRsalalenigdh N-YC-aNrJy- PNAC 7,443 2,133 12 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL 7,143 2,364 13 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 7,031 2,148 14 Denver-Aurora CO 6,579 2,290 15 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL-IN-WI 6,384 1,785 Source: Metrostudy - MetroUSA 4 Texas ISD Enrollment Trends Texas  ISD  Enrollment   5,200,000   4,933,617   5,000,000   5,075,840   4,749,571   4,998,579   4,800,000   4,592,849   4,847,844   4,600,000   4,671,493   4,399,019   4,400,000   4,519,164   4,200,000   4,000,000   Texas  ISD  Enrollment  Growth   140,000   120,000   120,145   98,273   100,000   85,773   78,644   77,261   80,000   78,078   60,000   73,685   64,962   40,000   20,000   0   2012/13 Texas Enrollment = 5,075,840 2011/12 – 2012/13 Texas Enrollment Growth = 77,261 5 Region 4 and 6 Growth 2007/08 – 2012/13 Legend 5 Year Change 5 YR Change Negative 0 - 100 100 - 250 250 - 750 750 - 1500 > 1500 6 Regional Enrollment Trends Region 4 Region 6 2007/08  -­‐   2007/08  -­‐   2007/08   2012/13   2012/13   2007/08   2012/13   2012/13   Rank   DISTNAME   Enrollment   Enrollment   Growth   Rank   DISTNAME   Enrollment   Enrollment   Growth   1 CYPRESS-­‐FAIRBANKS  ISD   96,837   110,009   13,172   1 CONROE  ISD   46,524   53,925   7,401   2 KATY  ISD   54,402   64,561   10,159   2 NEW  CANEY  ISD   8,676   11,556   2,880   3 ALDINE  ISD   60,083   65,684   5,601   3 COLLEGE  STATION  ISD   9,204   11,180   1,976   4 LAMAR  CONSOLIDATED  ISD   21,936   26,125   4,189   4 MONTGOMERY  ISD   6,094   7,190   1,096   5 HUMBLE  ISD   32,970   37,092   4,122   5 MAGNOLIA  ISD   11,051   11,994   943   6 KLEIN  ISD   42,935   47,043   4,108   6 BRYAN  ISD   14,827   15,623   796   7 HOUSTON  ISD   199,534   203,330   3,796   7 WILLIS  ISD   5,945   6,553   608   8 ALVIN  ISD   15,329   18,888   3,559   8 HUNTSVILLE  ISD   6,164   6,350   186   9 CLEAR  CREEK  ISD   36,314   39,631   3,317   9 BUFFALO  ISD   793   936   143   10 PASADENA  ISD   50,757   53,671   2,914   10 SPLENDORA  ISD   3,378   3,489   111   11 SPRING  ISD   33,249   36,093   2,844   11 ANDERSON-­‐SHIRO  CONS  ISD   621   729   108   12 SPRING  BRANCH  ISD   32,040   34,851   2,811   12 TRINITY  ISD   1,170   1,265   95   13 PEARLAND  ISD   17,090   19,651   2,561   13 SEALY  ISD   2,598   2,683   85   14 TOMBALL  ISD   9,388   11,771   2,383   14 BURTON  ISD   283   366   83   15 SHELDON  ISD   5,811   7,565   1,754   15 MUMFORD  ISD   521   597   76   16 FORT  BEND  ISD   67,992   69,578   1,586   16 NAVASOTA  ISD   2,939   3,010   71   17 DICKINSON  ISD   8,228   9,749   1,521   17 SHEPHERD  ISD   1,816   1,884   68   18 GOOSE  CREEK  CISD   20,354   21,822   1,468   18 GROVETON  ISD   686   749   63   19 GALENA  PARK  ISD   21,114   22,112   998   19 GAUSE  ISD   153   209   56   20 BARBERS  HILL  ISD   3,708   4,548   840   20 CAMERON  ISD   1,567   1,620   53   7 New Home Ranking Report by ISD – 2Q13 Rank   District  Name   Annual  Starts   Annual  Closings   VDL   Future   1   Katy  ISD   3,513   3,254   2,968   3,938   2   Cypress-­‐Fairbanks  ISD   3,029   2,818   2,822   7,281   3   Fort  Bend  ISD   2,970   2,581   2,840   5,807   4   Houston  ISD   2,744   2,285   3,063   4,243   5   Conroe  ISD   1,842   1,642   2,946   4,129   6   Lamar  CISD   1,714   1,510   2,739   3,249   7   Klein  ISD   1,615   1,454   1,946   3,633   8   Tomball  ISD   1,231   1,341   1,800   2,067   9   Humble  ISD   1,321   1,274   2,172   3,552   10   Alvin  ISD   695   722   1,594   3,422   11   Clear  Creek  ISD   738   675   1,104   754   12   Aldine  ISD   484   456   1,774   4,132   13   Spring  ISD   423   408   1,580   2,756   14   New  Caney  ISD   455   372   698   1,691   15   Pasadena  ISD   342   313   422   713   16   Goose  Creek  ISD   313   308   688   530   17   Montgomery  ISD   325   254   602   1,988   18   Dickinson  ISD   299   245   720   592   19   Spring  Branch  ISD   306   236   306   614   20   Magnolia  ISD   329   226   994   2,629   21   Friendswood  ISD   183   170   220   472   22   Pearland  ISD   150   169   169   879   23   Sheldon  ISD   123   144   550   2,488   24   Barbers  Hill  ISD   164   117   252   55   25   Waller  ISD   111   101   341   232   8 New Housing Activity Alvin ISD Housing Activity 600     Starts   Closings   Inventory   500     400     300     200     100     0     2Q09  3Q09  4Q09  1Q10  2Q10  3Q10  4Q10  1Q11  2Q11  3Q11  4Q11  1Q12  2Q12  3Q12  4Q12  1Q13  2Q13   Starts 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Closings 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q 117 182 136 195 141 1Q 173 145 116 178 178 2Q 228 145 165 187 204 200 2Q 217 188 163 189 200 169 3Q 222 148 196 182 202 3Q 252 195 211 200 194 4Q 180 160 147 171 132 4Q 210 189 163 203 179 Total 630 570 690 676 733 341 Total 679 745 682 708 751 347 •  Inventory is still lo. •  Starts are holding steady after a small dip in 1Q13. •  Closes are also maintaining a very steady trend over the last 5 years. 9 Annual Closing Distribution 2Q13 Top  10  Subdivisons  -­‐  2Q13  (Ranked  by  Annual  Closings)   Rank   Subdivision   Annual  Starts   Annual  Closings   1   Sterling  Lakes   123   128   2   Southfork   86   101   3   Southern  Trails  West/Enclave   37   72   4   Sedona  Lakes   41   56   5   Southern  Trails/Trails   35   44   6   Savannah/Meadows   35   29   7   Savannah/Cove   12   29   8   Rodeo  Palms/Palm  Villas   22   24   9   Savannah/Bend   48   23   10   Kendall  Lakes   30   22       TOTALS   469   528   Top  4  Planned  CommuniSes  -­‐  2Q13  (Ranked  by  Annual  Closings)   Annual   Annual   Rank   Subdivision   Status   Starts   Closings   Inventory   VDL   Future   1   Southern  Trails   Ac]ve   127   166   55   190   78   2   Savannah   Ac]ve   107   89   69   134   30   3   Shadow  Creek  Ranch   Ac]ve   39   83   8   6   0   4   Rodeo  Palms   Ac]ve   61   43   26   318   637       TOTALS       334   381   158   648   745   10

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In 2011, Houston became the 5th largest MSA in the country Houston MSA builders put up 7,676 new homes in the last quarter, a 14 .. Twain Elementary. 33.
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Alvin Fall 2013 Independent Demographic Study School District Learn from Yesterday… Understand Today… Plan for the Future 1 Economic Conditions •  Texas has had a job growth of 31.5 percent since 1995. Almost triple the nationwide growth of 12 percent. ( ) City Journal – Winter 2013 •  DFW, Houston and Austin Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) created more than 230 thousand jobs in the last 12 months. ( ) Metrostudy •  The state's unemployment rate has been at or below the national rate for 80 consecutive months. ( ) http://www.thetexaseconomy.org/economic-outlook/ •  Since 2000, 1 million more people have moved to Texas than have left for other states. In 2011, Houston became the 5th largest MSA in the country with DFW the 4th behind only NYC, LA and Chicago ( ) City Journal – Winter 2013 •  Unemployment rates - Texas Labor Market Information (August 2013) - U.S. 7.3% - Texas 6.3% - Houston MSA 6.1% - Brazoria County 6.5% •  Houston MSA builders put up 7,676 new homes in the last quarter, a 14 percent increase year over year. ( ) Metrostudy •  Texas sales tax collections have increased for 41 consecutive months (Year- ) and sales tax receipts for August 2013 were 2.1 percent higher than over-year for August 2012 ( ) Texas Comptroller 2 National Economic Overview Top Job Growth Markets Ranked by Change in Emp. – June 2013 Total Job % Rank MSA Employment Gains Change 1 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island8 ,N7Y3-2N,J0-0P0A 133,800 1.6% 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 3,120,400 107,800 3.6% 3 Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land TX 2,780,100 91,600 3.4% 4 Los Angeles-Long Beach-Santa Ana CA 5,342,900 68,600 1.3% 5 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL-IN-WI 4,443,300 62,500 1.4% 6 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC-VA-M3D,0-9W2V,1 00 48,500 1.6% 7 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA 2,407,400 47,900 2.0% 8 Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ 1,803,700 47,200 2.7% 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington MN-WI 1,821,800 45,200 2.5% 10 San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont CA 2,013,300 37,500 1.9% 11 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL 1,193,200 33,800 2.9% 12 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 1,745,000 32,600 1.9% 13 Denver-Aurora CO 1,279,000 31,500 2.5% 14 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX 854,000 31,400 3.8% 15 Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro TN 815,800 29,000 3.7% Source: Metrostudy - MetroUSA 3 National Economic Overview Top 15 MSAs Ranked by Ann. SF Permits on May 2013 Rank MSA Permits Change 1 Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land TX 31,562 6,329 2 Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington TX 19,528 4,354 3 Washington-Arlington-Alexandria DC- 13,256 3,126 4 VPhAo-MenDix-W-MVe sa-Glendale, AZ 12,404 2,789 5 Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Marietta GA 11,915 4,647 6 Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA 8,813 2,505 7 Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX 8,463 1,678 8 Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL 8,308 2,944 9 Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC 7,866 2,388 10 New York-Northern New Jersey-Long 7,457 1,214 11 IRsalalenigdh N-YC-aNrJy- PNAC 7,443 2,133 12 Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater FL 7,143 2,364 13 Las Vegas-Paradise NV 7,031 2,148 14 Denver-Aurora CO 6,579 2,290 15 Chicago-Naperville-Joliet IL-IN-WI 6,384 1,785 Source: Metrostudy - MetroUSA 4 Texas ISD Enrollment Trends Texas  ISD  Enrollment   5,200,000   4,933,617   5,000,000   5,075,840   4,749,571   4,998,579   4,800,000   4,592,849   4,847,844   4,600,000   4,671,493   4,399,019   4,400,000   4,519,164   4,200,000   4,000,000   Texas  ISD  Enrollment  Growth   140,000   120,000   120,145   98,273   100,000   85,773   78,644   77,261   80,000   78,078   60,000   73,685   64,962   40,000   20,000   0   2012/13 Texas Enrollment = 5,075,840 2011/12 – 2012/13 Texas Enrollment Growth = 77,261 5 Region 4 and 6 Growth 2007/08 – 2012/13 Legend 5 Year Change 5 YR Change Negative 0 - 100 100 - 250 250 - 750 750 - 1500 > 1500 6 Regional Enrollment Trends Region 4 Region 6 2007/08  -­‐   2007/08  -­‐   2007/08   2012/13   2012/13   2007/08   2012/13   2012/13   Rank   DISTNAME   Enrollment   Enrollment   Growth   Rank   DISTNAME   Enrollment   Enrollment   Growth   1 CYPRESS-­‐FAIRBANKS  ISD   96,837   110,009   13,172   1 CONROE  ISD   46,524   53,925   7,401   2 KATY  ISD   54,402   64,561   10,159   2 NEW  CANEY  ISD   8,676   11,556   2,880   3 ALDINE  ISD   60,083   65,684   5,601   3 COLLEGE  STATION  ISD   9,204   11,180   1,976   4 LAMAR  CONSOLIDATED  ISD   21,936   26,125   4,189   4 MONTGOMERY  ISD   6,094   7,190   1,096   5 HUMBLE  ISD   32,970   37,092   4,122   5 MAGNOLIA  ISD   11,051   11,994   943   6 KLEIN  ISD   42,935   47,043   4,108   6 BRYAN  ISD   14,827   15,623   796   7 HOUSTON  ISD   199,534   203,330   3,796   7 WILLIS  ISD   5,945   6,553   608   8 ALVIN  ISD   15,329   18,888   3,559   8 HUNTSVILLE  ISD   6,164   6,350   186   9 CLEAR  CREEK  ISD   36,314   39,631   3,317   9 BUFFALO  ISD   793   936   143   10 PASADENA  ISD   50,757   53,671   2,914   10 SPLENDORA  ISD   3,378   3,489   111   11 SPRING  ISD   33,249   36,093   2,844   11 ANDERSON-­‐SHIRO  CONS  ISD   621   729   108   12 SPRING  BRANCH  ISD   32,040   34,851   2,811   12 TRINITY  ISD   1,170   1,265   95   13 PEARLAND  ISD   17,090   19,651   2,561   13 SEALY  ISD   2,598   2,683   85   14 TOMBALL  ISD   9,388   11,771   2,383   14 BURTON  ISD   283   366   83   15 SHELDON  ISD   5,811   7,565   1,754   15 MUMFORD  ISD   521   597   76   16 FORT  BEND  ISD   67,992   69,578   1,586   16 NAVASOTA  ISD   2,939   3,010   71   17 DICKINSON  ISD   8,228   9,749   1,521   17 SHEPHERD  ISD   1,816   1,884   68   18 GOOSE  CREEK  CISD   20,354   21,822   1,468   18 GROVETON  ISD   686   749   63   19 GALENA  PARK  ISD   21,114   22,112   998   19 GAUSE  ISD   153   209   56   20 BARBERS  HILL  ISD   3,708   4,548   840   20 CAMERON  ISD   1,567   1,620   53   7 New Home Ranking Report by ISD – 2Q13 Rank   District  Name   Annual  Starts   Annual  Closings   VDL   Future   1   Katy  ISD   3,513   3,254   2,968   3,938   2   Cypress-­‐Fairbanks  ISD   3,029   2,818   2,822   7,281   3   Fort  Bend  ISD   2,970   2,581   2,840   5,807   4   Houston  ISD   2,744   2,285   3,063   4,243   5   Conroe  ISD   1,842   1,642   2,946   4,129   6   Lamar  CISD   1,714   1,510   2,739   3,249   7   Klein  ISD   1,615   1,454   1,946   3,633   8   Tomball  ISD   1,231   1,341   1,800   2,067   9   Humble  ISD   1,321   1,274   2,172   3,552   10   Alvin  ISD   695   722   1,594   3,422   11   Clear  Creek  ISD   738   675   1,104   754   12   Aldine  ISD   484   456   1,774   4,132   13   Spring  ISD   423   408   1,580   2,756   14   New  Caney  ISD   455   372   698   1,691   15   Pasadena  ISD   342   313   422   713   16   Goose  Creek  ISD   313   308   688   530   17   Montgomery  ISD   325   254   602   1,988   18   Dickinson  ISD   299   245   720   592   19   Spring  Branch  ISD   306   236   306   614   20   Magnolia  ISD   329   226   994   2,629   21   Friendswood  ISD   183   170   220   472   22   Pearland  ISD   150   169   169   879   23   Sheldon  ISD   123   144   550   2,488   24   Barbers  Hill  ISD   164   117   252   55   25   Waller  ISD   111   101   341   232   8 New Housing Activity Alvin ISD Housing Activity 600     Starts   Closings   Inventory   500     400     300     200     100     0     2Q09  3Q09  4Q09  1Q10  2Q10  3Q10  4Q10  1Q11  2Q11  3Q11  4Q11  1Q12  2Q12  3Q12  4Q12  1Q13  2Q13   Starts 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Closings 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1Q 117 182 136 195 141 1Q 173 145 116 178 178 2Q 228 145 165 187 204 200 2Q 217 188 163 189 200 169 3Q 222 148 196 182 202 3Q 252 195 211 200 194 4Q 180 160 147 171 132 4Q 210 189 163 203 179 Total 630 570 690 676 733 341 Total 679 745 682 708 751 347 •  Inventory is still lo. •  Starts are holding steady after a small dip in 1Q13. •  Closes are also maintaining a very steady trend over the last 5 years. 9 Annual Closing Distribution 2Q13 Top  10  Subdivisons  -­‐  2Q13  (Ranked  by  Annual  Closings)   Rank   Subdivision   Annual  Starts   Annual  Closings   1   Sterling  Lakes   123   128   2   Southfork   86   101   3   Southern  Trails  West/Enclave   37   72   4   Sedona  Lakes   41   56   5   Southern  Trails/Trails   35   44   6   Savannah/Meadows   35   29   7   Savannah/Cove   12   29   8   Rodeo  Palms/Palm  Villas   22   24   9   Savannah/Bend   48   23   10   Kendall  Lakes   30   22       TOTALS   469   528   Top  4  Planned  CommuniSes  -­‐  2Q13  (Ranked  by  Annual  Closings)   Annual   Annual   Rank   Subdivision   Status   Starts   Closings   Inventory   VDL   Future   1   Southern  Trails   Ac]ve   127   166   55   190   78   2   Savannah   Ac]ve   107   89   69   134   30   3   Shadow  Creek  Ranch   Ac]ve   39   83   8   6   0   4   Rodeo  Palms   Ac]ve   61   43   26   318   637       TOTALS       334   381   158   648   745   10

Description:
In 2011, Houston became the 5th largest MSA in the country Houston MSA builders put up 7,676 new homes in the last quarter, a 14 .. Twain Elementary. 33.
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