FACTORS AFFECTING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN TIGRAY REGION, NORTHERN ETHIOPIA by BIHON KASSA ABRHA Submitted in accordance with the requirement for the degree of DOCTOR OF LITERATURE AND PHILOSOPHY in the subject DEVELOPMENT STUDIES at the UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH AFRICA SUPERVISOR: PROF. ESTHER KIBUKA-SEBITOSI July 2015 Student Number: 4551-821-1 DECLARATION I, Bihon Kassa Abrha, declare that this PhD Thesis entitled “Factors affecting agricultural production in Tigray region, Northern Ethiopia” is my own work and that all the sources that I have used or quoted have been indicated and acknowledged by means of complete references. I also declare that this work has not been submitted before for any other degree at any other institution. _________________________ ___________________ Bihon Kassa Abrha Date ii | P a ge DEDICATION This study is dedicated to my parents Amete Temelso (1930-2003) and Kassa Abrha Tekle (1919-2015) iii | P age ACKNOWLEDGMENTS First of all, I would like to express my sincere thanks to the Almighty God for His love, benevolence, forgiveness and generosity. I am sincerely and heartily grateful to my supervisor Professor Esther Kibuka-Sebitosi for the support and scientific guidance she showed me throughout my thesis writing. I am sure it would have not been possible without her unreserved help and encouragement. It gives me great pleasure to present my sincere thanks for the support I got from the Bureau of Agriculture and Rural Development of Tigray, Agricultural and Rural Development Offices of Kilte Awlalo and GantaAfeshum weredas. I am very much grateful to all respondents from tabia Genfel, Adiksanded and Mesanu of Kilte Awlalo wereda and Gola Genahti, Sasun Bethariat and Buket of Ganta Afeshum wereda. They are highly appreciated for their willingness and patience in providing answers to all of the questions in the questionnaire. I am also truly indebted to Mekelle University for providing me enough funds for the study. My University has also provided additional support that allowed me to attend the PhD proposal development program organized by UNISA-SANTRUST for a total of eight weeks in Addis Ababa. It gives me a great pleasure to present my sincere thanks to all Professors who have participated in the workshop organized by UNISA-SANTRUST: Professor Sarah Hawie, Professor Frans Schuurman, Professor Brigitt Smit, Professor Thokozani Xaba and Dr Kutlwano Ramaboa. We have also benefited from the additional workshops provided by: Professor Kitty Dumont, ProfessorVusi Mncube, Dr Nisa Paleker, Professor Tayo Awofolu and Professor Hester Nienaber. iv | P a ge I would also like to extend my appreciation to my postgraduate extension students in the Development Studies Program for helping me to find different documents from various offices in the region. I would also like to extend my appreciation toGirmay Berhe and Teklehaymanot Woldegebrial. Finally, it is my great pleasure to thank all of my friends and colleagues in Mekelle University College of Business and Economics. v | P a ge ABSTRACT This study investigates the factors affecting agricultural production of farm households in the National Regional State of Tigray, Ethiopia. The major primary sources of data for the study were farm household surveys, focus group discussions and key informant interviews. The study revealed that the annual average crop production of respondents was found to be below the standard annual food requirement recommended by the international organizations. The proportion of irrigated land to total cultivated land was only 11per cent. The proportion of irrigated land in the two districts is lower than 11.27 per cent at the regional level. The utilization of chemical fertilizers for the majority of the respondents was below the recommended standard for the region. Although the farmers were interested in using improved seeds, the supplied varieties were not based on their preferences. Extension agents were mainly engaged in activities which were not related to their professions. The farm income model result showed that landholding size (p<0.0001), possession of oxen(p<0.0001), amount of fertilizer(p=0.010), improved seeds(p=0.002), irrigation(p=0.028), soil quality(p=0.019), village distance to the district market(p=0.066), average distance of plots from the homestead (p=0.023) and crop rotation(p=0.016) were determinant variables. Farmers were engaged in off-farm activities to fulfill the cash requirements in credit constrained conditions. The laws of the region do not allow farmers to be out of their localities for more than two years and the farmerswere restricted to renting out only half of their land. This discouraged farmers from off-farm participation for fear of land confiscation. In the Probit model, the determinant variables of off-farm participation were: irrigation (p=0.001), age (p=0.007), amount of money borrowed (p=0.078), village distance to the wereda market (p=0.055), fear of land confiscation (p=0.023) and access to electricity (p=0.044). It is recommended that if farmers are to use chemical fertilizers, they should be supplied with High Yielding Varieties (HYV)and enough water through access to irrigation. Furthermore, farmers should be allowed to have long term off-farm employment to augment the farming sector. Key words: Agriculture, production, factors, farm households, Tigray, Ethiopia vi | P a ge ABBREVIATIONS ADDP Ada District Development Project ADLI Agricultural Development Led Industrialization BoARD Bureau of Agriculture and Rural Development CADU Chilalo Agricultural Development Unit CSA Central Statistics Agency of Ethiopia EPID Extension and Project Implementation Department EPRDF Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary and Democratic Front FDRE Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia GDP Gross Domestic Product GTP Growth and Transformation Plan MoARD Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development MoFED Ministry of Finance and Economic Development MPP Minimum Package Program PADEP Peasant Agricultural Development Extension Program PADETES Participatory Demonstration and Training Extension System PASDEP A Plan for Accelerated and Sustained Development to End Poverty PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper PSNP Productive Safety Net Program SDPRP Sustainable Development and Poverty Reduction Program SG Sasakawa Global SIDA Swedish International Development Agency SPSS Statistical Package for Social Scientists UNECA United Nations Economic Commission for Africa UNFPA United Nations Population Fund USAID United States Agency for International Development WADU Wolayita Agricultural Development Unit vii | P a ge DEFINITION OF LOCAL TERMS Zone Government structure which consists of many weredas under it Wereda District level administrative hierarchy including many tabias Tabia A sub-district level administrative hierarchy including many Kushets Kushet A sub-division of tabia Tsimad Unit of cultivable land which is one fourth of a hectare Belg The secondary season in Ethiopia which covers the period from the month of March (Megabit) to May (Ginbot) Meher The main crop season in Ethiopia which covers the period from the month of June (Sene) to September (Meskerem) viii | P age TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION .............................................................................................................. ii DEDICATION ................................................................................................................. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ............................................................................................... iv ABSTRACT ...................................................................................................................... vi ABBREVIATIONS ......................................................................................................... vii DEFINITION OF LOCAL TERMS ............................................................................ viii LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................... xii LIST OF FIGURES ....................................................................................................... xiv CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION .................................................................................... 1 1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY ........................................................................ 1 1.2 PROBLEM STATEMENT ...................................................................................... 4 1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY ............................................................................. 7 1.3.1 General objective .............................................................................................. 7 1.3.2 Specific objectives ............................................................................................ 8 1.4 RESEARCH QUESTIONS ...................................................................................... 8 1.5 SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY .................................................... 9 1.5.1 Scope of the study ............................................................................................ 9 1.5.2 Limitations of the study .................................................................................... 9 1.6 IMPORTANCE OF THE STUDY........................................................................... 9 1.7 STRUCTURE OF THE THESIS ........................................................................... 10 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW ..................................................................... 12 2.1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................. 12 2.2 DEFINITION OF KEY CONCEPTS .................................................................... 14 2.3 GENERAL ISSUES OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION .............................. 15 2.4 FACTORS AFFECTING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AND FARM INCOME ................................................................................................................ 17 2.4.1 Household characteristics of farm operators .................................................. 18 2.4.2 Agricultural production technologies ............................................................. 22 2.4.3 Credit markets/agricultural loans ................................................................... 30 2.4.4 Environmental factors .................................................................................... 32 2.4.5 Physical and institutional infrastructure facilities .......................................... 33 2.5. FACTORS AFFECTING AGRICULTURAL MARKETING ............................. 35 2.6 DETERMINANT FACTORS FOR OFF-FARM ACTIVITIES AND OFF- FARM INCOME .................................................................................................... 39 ix | P a ge 2.6.1 Age, education, gender and family size and off-farm activities ..................... 42 2.6.2 Land holding size, land ownership security and off-farm activities .............. 43 2.6.3 Access to formal credit, information and distance to the town and off-farm activities ......................................................................................................... 44 2.6.4 Access to electricity and off-farm activities ................................................... 44 2.7 CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................... 45 CHAPTER 3: AGRARIAN POLICIES AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN ETHIOPIA ............................................................................................................ 48 3.1 INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY AREA.................. 48 3.2 AGRARIAN POLICIES AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION DURING THE IMPERIAL REGIME (PRE-1974). ............................................................... 49 3.3 AGRARIAN POLICIES AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION DURING THE DERG REGIME (1974-1991) ....................................................................... 53 3.4 AGRARIAN POLICIES AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION DURING THE ETHIOPIAN PEOPLE’S REVOLUTIONARY AND DEMOCRATIC FRONT (EPRDF) REGIME (SINCE 1991) .......................................................... 57 3.5 BRIEF BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY AREA .............................................. 61 3.6 CONCLUSION ...................................................................................................... 65 CHAPTER 4: RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODOLOGY ............................... 69 4.1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................. 69 4.2 RESEARCH DESIGN ........................................................................................... 69 4.3 DATA TYPE .......................................................................................................... 69 4.4 DATA SOURCES .................................................................................................. 71 4.5. MODELS AND OPERATIONALIZATION OF VARIABLES .......................... 73 4.6 SAMPLING DESIGN AND SAMPLING METHODS ........................................ 83 4.7 DATA PROCESSING AND ANALYSIS ............................................................. 86 4.8 ISSUES OF VALIDITY AND RELIABILITY ..................................................... 86 4.9 CONCLUSION ...................................................................................................... 87 CHAPTER 5: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ............................................................ 88 5.1 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................................. 88 5.2 SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS OF RESPONDENTS .................... 88 5.3 THE FACTORS AFFECTING AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE INCOME OF THE FARM HOUSEHOLDS ............. 90 5.4 THE MAJOR CHALLENGES OF THE HOUSEHOLD HEADS IN MARKETING THEIR PRODUCE ...................................................................... 123 5.5 THE MAJOR DETERMINANT FACTORS OF FARM OPERATORS TO PARTICIPATE IN OFF-FARM ACTIVITIES AND THEIR IMPACTS ON THE OFF-FARM INCOME................................................................................. 129 5.6 A CRITICAL ASSESSMENT OF AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION IN THE x | P a ge
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