Export Diversification in Algeria

368 Pages·2010·9.18 MB·English

by  World Bank Group

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Trade Competitiveness of the Middle East
and North Africa

Trade Competitiveness of the
Middle East and North Africa
Policies for Export Diversification
José R. López-Cálix, Peter Walkenhorst, and Ndiamé Diop
Editors
© 2010 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
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Washington, DC 20433
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E-mail: [email protected]
All rights reserved.
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ISBN: 978-0-8213-8074-1
eISBN: 978-0-8213-8075-8
DOI: 10.1596/978-0-8213-8074-1
Cover photos: Bunyad Dinc/World Bank (Istanbul market street), Julio Etchart/World Bank
(Agadir port)
Cataloging-in-Publication data is available from the Library of Congress.
Contents
Acknowledgments xix
Contributors xxi
Chapter 1 Trade Reforms for Export Competitiveness:
What Are the Issues for the Middle East and
North Africa? 1
Ndiamé Diop, José R. López-Cálix, and
Peter Walkenhorst
Export Diversification 3
Services Trade 5
Relations with China and India 6
Regional Integration 8
Note 9
References 9
PART I Export Diversification
Chapter 2 FDI Flows and Export Diversification:
Looking at Extensive and Intensive Margins 13
Julien Gourdon
v
vi Contents
Export Diversification in the Middle East and
North Africa 14
The Potential Impact of FDI on Export
Diversification 22
The Model 26
Conclusions 35
Annex 36
Notes 44
References 44
Chapter 3 Promoting New Exports: Experience from
Industry Case Studies 47
Claudia Nassif
Export Diversification in “Resource-Poor”
Countries in the Region 48
Case Studies 51
Designing Proactive Policies to Encourage
Experimentation and Imitation 57
Conclusion 60
Notes 61
References 61
Chapter 4 Export Diversification in Algeria 63
Ricardo Hausmann, Bailey Klinger, and
José R. López-Cálix
The Structure of the Algerian Economy 64
Why Is Algeria So Dependent on
Hydrocarbons? 68
Applying a New Methodological Approach to
Export Diversification 74
Using the Product Space to Scan the Possibility
Space for Algerian Exports 81
Policy Implications of the New Methodology
for Industrial Strategy 88
Annex 96
Notes 100
References 101
Contents vii
PARTII Services Trade
Chapter 5 Emerging Export Services: Where Does
Tunisia Stand? 105
Olivier Cattaneo, Ndiamé Diop, and
Peter Walkenhorst
Can Emerging Export Services Contribute to
Growth and Poverty Reduction? 105
How Has Tunisia Performed in Emerging
Export Services? 110
Are Tunisia’s Emerging Export Services
Internationally Competitive? 117
What Needs to be Done to Strengthen
Competitiveness? 124
References 132
Chapter 6 Anchoring Services Reform: The European
Neighborhood Policy and Morocco 135
Ndiamé Diop
Liberalization Reforms and the Openness of
Morocco’s Services Sectors 137
The Need to Strengthen the Regulatory
Framework 137
Options for Regulatory Convergence with
the European Union in Selected Sectors 140
Implementing Competition Policies 155
Notes 157
References 160
Chapter 7 Services Trade as an Engine of Development:
Situation and Prospects in Algeria 163
Olivier Cattaneo, Said Ighilahriz,
José R. López-Cálix, and Peter Walkenhorst
Quantifying the Importance of Services
for Algeria 163
Trade in Services: An Important but Often
Poorly Understood Concept 169
viii Contents
Strengthening the Economy by Bolstering Trade
in Services 175
Issues for Policy Makers 185
Notes 187
References 188
PARTIII Relations with China and India
Chapter 8 Economic Growth in China and India:
Challenges and Opportunities for the
Middle East and North Africa 193
Elena Ianchovichina, Maros Ivanic, and
Will Martin
Messages from the Literature 194
Methodology, Data, and Simulation Design 203
Results 206
Concluding Comments 214
Annex 217
Notes 221
References 222
Chapter 9 Globalization and Competition from
China and India: Policy Responses in the
Middle East and North Africa 227
Paul Brenton, Lulu Shui, and Peter Walkenhorst
Globalization and the Export Performance
of Countries in the Middle East and
North Africa 228
Imports from China and India 239
Gaining Access to Overseas Markets 241
Exploitation of Existing Opportunities for
Export Growth 247
Conclusions and Policy Messages 250
Annex: Export Growth and Constant Market
Share Analysis 251
Notes 264
References 264