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Exploring the Strategy Space of Negotiating Agents: A Framework for Bidding, Learning and Accepting in Automated Negotiation PDF

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Springer Theses Recognizing Outstanding Ph.D. Research Tim Baarslag Exploring the Strategy Space of Negotiating Agents A Framework for Bidding, Learning and Accepting in Automated Negotiation Springer Theses Recognizing Outstanding Ph.D. Research Aims and Scope The series “Springer Theses” brings together a selection of the very best Ph.D. theses from around the world and across the physical sciences. Nominated and endorsed by two recognized specialists, each published volume has been selected foritsscientificexcellenceandthehighimpactofitscontentsforthepertinentfield of research. For greater accessibility to non-specialists, the published versions includeanextendedintroduction,aswellasaforewordbythestudent’ssupervisor explainingthespecialrelevanceoftheworkforthefield.Asawhole,theserieswill provide a valuable resource both for newcomers to the research fields described, and for other scientists seeking detailed background information on special questions. Finally, it provides an accredited documentation of the valuable contributions made by today’s younger generation of scientists. Theses are accepted into the series by invited nomination only and must fulfill all of the following criteria (cid:129) They must be written in good English. (cid:129) ThetopicshouldfallwithintheconfinesofChemistry,Physics,EarthSciences, Engineeringandrelatedinterdisciplinary fields such asMaterials,Nanoscience, Chemical Engineering, Complex Systems and Biophysics. (cid:129) The work reported in the thesis must represent a significant scientific advance. (cid:129) Ifthethesisincludespreviouslypublishedmaterial,permissiontoreproducethis must be gained from the respective copyright holder. (cid:129) They must have been examined and passed during the 12 months prior to nomination. (cid:129) Each thesis should include a foreword by the supervisor outlining the signifi- cance of its content. (cid:129) The theses should have a clearly defined structure including an introduction accessible to scientists not expert in that particular field. More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/8790 Tim Baarslag Exploring the Strategy Space of Negotiating Agents A Framework for Bidding, Learning and Accepting in Automated Negotiation Nominated as an outstanding PhD thesis by Delft University of Technology, The Netherlands 123 Author Supervisors Dr. Tim Baarslag Prof. Catholijn M.Jonker Interactive Intelligence Group,Department Interactive Intelligence Group,Department ofIntelligent Systems,Faculty ofIntelligent Systems,Faculty ofElectrical Engineering, Mathematics ofElectrical Engineering, Mathematics andComputer Science andComputer Science Delft University of Technology Delft University of Technology Delft Delft TheNetherlands TheNetherlands Dr. Koen V.Hindriks Interactive Intelligence Group,Department ofIntelligent Systems,Faculty ofElectrical Engineering, Mathematics andComputer Science Delft University of Technology Delft TheNetherlands ISSN 2190-5053 ISSN 2190-5061 (electronic) SpringerTheses ISBN978-3-319-28242-8 ISBN978-3-319-28243-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-28243-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2015958900 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission orinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilar methodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfrom therelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authorsortheeditorsgiveawarranty,expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedhereinor foranyerrorsoromissionsthatmayhavebeenmade. Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerland Parts of this thesis have been published in the following articles: The chapters in this thesis are based on publications in scientific journals and/or peer-reviewed conference proceedings, including the appendices. At thebeginning ofevery chapter,we specify whereparts havealreadybeenpublished.Thefulllist is given below. Journal Papers Tim Baarslag, Mark J.C. Hendrikx, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Learning about the opponent in automated bilateral negotiation: a comprehensive survey of opponent modeling techniques. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, pages 1–50, 2015 Raz Lin, Sarit Kraus, Tim Baarslag, Dmytro Tykhonov, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Genius: An integrated environment for supporting the design of generic automated negotiators. Computational Intelligence, 30(1):48–70, 2014 Tim Baarslag, Katsuhide Fujita, Enrico H. Gerding, Koen V. Hindriks, Takayuki Ito, Nicholas R. Jennings, Catholijn M. Jonker, Sarit Kraus, Raz Lin, Valentin Robu, and Colin R. Williams. Evaluating practical negotiating agents: Results and analysis of the 2011 international competition. Artificial Intelligence, 198:73–103, May 2013 Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Effective acceptance conditions in real-time automated negotiation. Decision Support Systems, 60:68– 77, Apr 2014 Conference Papers Tim Baarslag, Alexander S.Y. Dirkzwager, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker.Thesignificanceofbidding,acceptingandopponentmodelinginautomated negotiation. In21st EuropeanConference on Artificial Intelligence, volume 263of Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence and Applications, pages 27–32, 2014 Tim Baarslag, Mark J.C. Hendrikx, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Predicting the performance of opponent models in automated negotiation. In International Joint Conferences on Web Intelligence (WI) and Intelligent Agent Technologies (IAT), 2013 IEEE/WIC/ACM, volume 2, pages 59–66, Nov 2013 TimBaarslagandKoenV.Hindriks.Acceptingoptimallyinautomatednegotiation withincompleteinformation.InProceedingsofthe2013InternationalConference on Autonomous Agents and Multi-agent Systems, AAMAS ’13, pages 715–722, Richland, SC, 2013. International Foundation for Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems Tim Baarslag. Designing an automated negotiator: Learning what to bidand when to stop. In Proceedings of the 2013 International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multi-agent Systems, AAMAS ’13, pages 1419–1420, Richland, SC, 2013. International Foundation for Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems Book Chapters Tim Baarslag. What to Bid and When to Stop. Dissertation, Delft University of Technology, Sep 2014 Tim Baarslag, Koen V.Hindriks,Mark J.C.Hendrikx, Alex S.Y. Dirkzwager, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Decoupling negotiating agents to explore the space of negotiation strategies. In Ivan Marsa-Maestre, Miguel A. Lopez-Carmona, Takayuki Ito, Minjie Zhang, Quan Bai, and Katsuhide Fujita, editors, Novel InsightsinAgent-basedComplexAutomatedNegotiation,volume535ofStudiesin Computational Intelligence, pages 61–83. Springer, Japan, 2014 Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Acceptance conditions in automated negotiation. In Takayuki Ito, Minjie Zhang, Valentin Robu, and Tokuro Matsuo, editors, Complex Automated Negotiations: Theories, Models, and Software Competitions, volume 435 of Studies in Computational Intelligence, pages 95–111. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013 TimBaarslag,KoenV.Hindriks,andCatholijnM.Jonker.Atitfortatnegotiation strategyforreal-timebilateralnegotiations.InTakayukiIto,MinjieZhang,Valentin Robu, and Tokuro Matsuo, editors, Complex Automated Negotiations: Theories, Models, and Software Competitions, volume 435 of Studies in Computational Intelligence, pages 229–233. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013 Katsuhide Fujita, Takayuki Ito, Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, Catholijn M. Jonker, Sarit Kraus, and Raz Lin. The second automated negotiating agents com- petition(ANAC2011).InTakayukiIto,MinjieZhang,ValentinRobu,andTokuro Matsuo,editors,ComplexAutomatedNegotiations:Theories,Models,andSoftware Competitions, volume 435 of Studies in Computational Intelligence, pages 183– 197. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013 ReyhanAydoğan,TimBaarslag,KoenV.Hindriks,CatholijnM.Jonker,andPınar Yolum. Heuristic-based approaches for CP-nets in negotiation. In Takayuki Ito, Minjie Zhang, Valentin Robu, and Tokuro Matsuo, editors, Complex Automated Negotiations:Theories,Models,andSoftwareCompetitions,volume435ofStudies in Computational Intelligence, pages 113–123. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013 Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, Catholijn M. Jonker, Sarit Kraus, and Raz Lin. Thefirstautomatednegotiatingagentscompetition(ANAC2010).InTakayukiIto, Minjie Zhang, Valentin Robu, Shaheen Fatima, and Tokuro Matsuo, editors, New TrendsinAgent-basedComplexAutomatedNegotiations,volume383ofStudiesin Computational Intelligence, pages 113–135, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2012. Springer-Verlag Tim Baarslag, Mark J.C. Hendrikx, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Measuring the performance of online opponent models in automated bilateral negotiation.InMichaelThielscherandDongmoZhang,editors,AI2012:Advances inArtificialIntelligence,volume7691ofLectureNotesinComputerScience,pages 1–14. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2012 Tim Baarslag, Koen V.Hindriks, and Catholijn M.Jonker. Towards aquantitative concession-based classification method of negotiation strategies. In David Kinny, Jane Yung-jen Hsu, Guido Governatori, and Aditya K. Ghose, editors, Agents in Principle,AgentsinPractice,volume7047ofLectureNotesinComputerScience, pages 143–158, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2011. Springer Berlin Heidelberg Workshop Papers Tim Baarslag, Rafik Hadfi, Koen V. Hindriks, Takayuki Ito, and Catholijn M. Jonker.Optimalnon-adaptiveconcessionstrategieswithincompleteinformation.In Proceedings of The Seventh International Workshop on Agent-based Complex Automated Negotiations (ACAN 2014), 2014 Tim Baarslag. Accepting optimally in automated negotiation with incomplete information. In Proceedings of the 25th Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2013 Tim Baarslag, Koen V.Hindriks,Mark J.C.Hendrikx, Alex S.Y. Dirkzwager, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Decoupling negotiating agents to explore the space of negotiation strategies. In Proceedings of The Fifth International Workshop on Agent-based Complex Automated Negotiations (ACAN 2012), 2012 Tim Baarslag, Koen V.Hindriks,Mark J.C.Hendrikx, Alex S.Y. Dirkzwager, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Decoupling negotiating agents to explore the space of negotiation strategies.In Proceedings ofthe 24th Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 2012 Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Acceptance conditions in automated negotiation. In Patrick De Causmaecker, Joris Maervoet, Tommy Messelis, Katja Verbeeck, and Tim Vermeulen, editors, Proceedings of the 23rd Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 363–365, 2011 Tim Baarslag, Koen V. Hindriks, and Catholijn M. Jonker. Acceptance conditions in automated negotiation. In Proceedings of ICT.Open 2011, 2011 For my parents

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This book reports on an outstanding thesis that has significantly advanced the state-of-the-art in the area of automated negotiation. It gives new practical and theoretical insights into the design and evaluation of automated negotiators. It describes an innovative negotiating agent framework that e
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