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Explaining the Evolution of the Arctic Council PDF

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WWeesstteerrnn UUnniivveerrssiittyy SScchhoollaarrsshhiipp@@WWeesstteerrnn Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository 8-26-2015 12:00 AM EExxppllaaiinniinngg tthhee EEvvoolluuttiioonn ooff tthhee AArrccttiicc CCoouunncciill Andrew Chater, The University of Western Ontario Supervisor: Elizabeth Riddell-Dixon, The University of Western Ontario A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Doctor of Philosophy degree in Political Science © Andrew Chater 2015 Follow this and additional works at: https://ir.lib.uwo.ca/etd Part of the International Relations Commons RReeccoommmmeennddeedd CCiittaattiioonn Chater, Andrew, "Explaining the Evolution of the Arctic Council" (2015). Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository. 3230. https://ir.lib.uwo.ca/etd/3230 This Dissertation/Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by Scholarship@Western. It has been accepted for inclusion in Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Repository by an authorized administrator of Scholarship@Western. For more information, please contact [email protected]. EXPLAINING THE EVOLUTION OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL (Thesis format: Monograph) by Andrew Chater Graduate Program in Political Science A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy The School of Graduate and Postdoctoral Studies The University of Western Ontario London, Ontario, Canada © Andrew Chater 2015 i ABSTRACT The Arctic Council is an international institution made up of the eight states that have territory in the Arctic, namely Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Russia, Sweden and the United States, as well as six indigenous peoples’ organizations. When states created the Council in 1996, it was a research institution that addressed environmental issues and a loosely defined version of sustainable development. It was a weak institution, without a permanent secretariat. By 2014, it had become a policy-making body, as well as a research body, that addressed a wide range of issues, with the aid of a permanent secretariat. New states and institutions sought to become a part of the Council, which potentially challenged the role of the indigenous peoples’ organizations. This thesis answers the following question: how can we explain this evolution of the Arctic Council? It examines the Council’s evolving mandate, policy-making role, institutional capacity and membership. It addresses this question by analyzing three international relations theories, namely functionalism, neorealism and neoliberal institutionalism. This thesis concludes that the economic opportunities in the region made possible by climate change best explain the evolution of the Arctic Council. Neoliberal institutionalism best explains the evolution of the Council, while neorealism provides the best explanation for the outcome of that process. KEYWORDS Arctic governance, Arctic Council, international institution evolution ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This project would not be possible without the contributions of many people. First, I would like to thank my supervisor, Elizabeth Riddell-Dixon, for her insight, support and guidance over the past five years. She retired from the University of Western Ontario in 2011, yet has continued to serve as my supervisor and give generously of her time, truly the mark of an excellent mentor. I need to thank Adam Harmes, who went above and beyond to deliver many essential insights and a great deal of guidance. He gave generously of his time, certainly more than what is expected of a committee member. I also must thank Gordon McBean, who provided a great deal of support, especially during the fieldwork stage of this work. I must thank all of those individuals who agreed to be interviewed for this project, giving freely of their time and providing indispensable information. Thanks goes to the Arctic Athabaskan Council for allowing me to attend an Arctic Council meeting in October 2013 as part of its delegation. Special thanks goes to Cindy Dickson, Chief Gary Harrison, Terry Fenge, Chief Ruth Massie and David Roddick, who organized my attendance despite resistance from the Council chair. I also would like to thank those organizations that provided funds to complete the fieldwork for this project, namely the University of Western Ontario Department of Political Science, the University of Western Ontario Department of Geography, the University of Western Ontario Faculty of Social Science and the Arctic Institute of North America. I also would like to thank the Social Sciences Humanities Research Council, the Ontario Graduate Scholarship and the Rotman Institute of Philosophy at the University of Western Ontario for additional support. iii I would like to thank Patricia Bell, as well Darlene Nuqingaq and the Iqaluit Music Society, who provided me with opportunities and support to travel to Iqaluit, Nunavut. These experiences provided essential inspiration for this project. Lastly, I would like to thank my parents, Al and Susan Chater, for their endless support. This thesis would not be possible without their support, encouragement and devotion. Each proofread this thesis and provided great insight. I am truly lucky to have such wonderful parents. ------ I am solely responsible for any errors or omissions in this work. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ..................................................................................................................................... i ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................ ii TABLE OF CONTENTS ............................................................................................................... iv LIST OF TABLES ......................................................................................................................... vi LIST OF ACRONYMS ................................................................................................................ vii CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 1 1.1 – What is the Arctic Council? ......................................................................................... 2 1.2 – What is the History of the Arctic Council? ................................................................ 10 1.3 – What is the Arctic Council’s Mandate? ..................................................................... 15 1.4 – How Does the Council Operate?................................................................................ 16 1.5 – How is the Arctic Council Evolving? ........................................................................ 24 1.6 – How Do Others Theorize the Arctic Council? ........................................................... 26 1.7 – How is the Thesis Structured? ................................................................................... 31 1.8 – What Are the Contributions of the Thesis?................................................................ 34 1.9 – What Methodology is Employed? ............................................................................. 38 CHAPTER 2: EXPLAINING THE EXPANDING MANDATE OF THE COUNCIL ............... 43 2.1 – Theorizing the Evolution of the Arctic Council .............................................................. 46 2.2 – Understanding the Evolution of the Council ................................................................... 55 2.2.1 – 1991-1996 ..................................................................................................................... 56 2.2.2 – 1996-2004 ..................................................................................................................... 74 2.2.3 – 2004-2007 ..................................................................................................................... 83 2.2.4 – 2007-2014 ..................................................................................................................... 88 2.3 – Analysis of the Evolution of the Arctic Council’s Mandate ............................................ 94 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 110 CHAPTER 3: EXPLAINING THE POLICY-MAKING ROLE OF THE COUNCIL .............. 112 3.1 – Theorizing the Evolution of the Arctic Council’s Policy-Making Role ........................ 115 3.2 – Understanding the Evolution of the Council’s Policy-Making Role ............................. 124 3.2.1 – 1991-1996 ................................................................................................................... 124 3.2.2 – 1996-2004 ................................................................................................................... 132 3.2.3 – 2004-2007 ................................................................................................................... 140 3.2.4 – 2008-2013 ................................................................................................................... 145 3.2.5 – 2013: The Future of Policy-Making in the Council .................................................... 150 3.3 - Explaining the Evolution of the Arctic Council’s Policy-Making Role ......................... 154 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 169 CHAPTER 4: EXPLAINING THE EVOLVING INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL ................................................................................................................... 171 4.1 – Theorizing the Evolution of the Arctic Council’s Institutional Capacity ...................... 175 4.2 – The Evolution of the Council’s Institutional Capacity .................................................. 182 4.2.1 – 1991-1998 ................................................................................................................... 183 4.2.2 – 1998-2007 ................................................................................................................... 187 4.2.3 – 2007-Present ............................................................................................................... 195 4.3 – Analyzing the Evolution of the Arctic Council’s Institutional Capacity ....................... 203 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 212 v CHAPTER 5: EXPLAINING THE ROLE OF OBSERVERS IN THE ARCTIC COUNCIL .. 213 5.1 – Theory on International Co-operation and Observers ................................................... 216 5.2 – The Evolution of the Council’s Observers..................................................................... 219 5.2.1 – 1991-1996 ................................................................................................................... 219 5.2.2 – 1996-2004 ................................................................................................................... 222 5.2.3 – 2005-Present ............................................................................................................... 224 5.3 – Analysis Using International Relations Theory ............................................................. 234 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 237 CHAPTER 6: THE EVOLUTION OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL PERMANENT PARTICIPANT’S STATUS, RIGHTS AND INFLUENCE...................................................... 238 6.1 – Theoretical Predictions on the Influence of Non-State Actors ...................................... 242 6.2 – The Evolution of the Permanent Participants ................................................................ 246 6.2.1 – 1991 to 1998 ............................................................................................................... 246 6.2.2 – 1998 to 2004 ............................................................................................................... 260 6.2.3 – 2004: The Arctic Climate Impact Assessment ............................................................ 273 6.2.4 – 2005 to 2013 ............................................................................................................... 276 6.2.5 – 2014: The Future Influence of Permanent Participants .............................................. 291 6.3 – Analysis Using Theories of International Relations ...................................................... 294 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 298 CHAPTER 7 – CONCLUSION ................................................................................................. 299 7.1 – The History of the Arctic Council ................................................................................. 299 7.2 – Contributions to Theory ................................................................................................. 309 7.3 – Directions for Future Research ...................................................................................... 311 Conclusion .............................................................................................................................. 314 APPENDIX A ............................................................................................................................. 316 APPENDIX B ............................................................................................................................. 318 BIBLIOGRAPHY ....................................................................................................................... 319 CURRICULUM VITAE ............................................................................................................. 339 vi LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1: Summary of Chapters…………………………………………………………...……32 Table 1.2: Variables……………………………………………………………………………...39 Table 2.1: Dependent and Independent Variables……………………………………………….53 Table 2.2: Analysis……………………………………………………………………………..103 Table 2.3: Theoretical Explanations for the Evolution of the Council’s Mandate……………..104 Table 2.4: Dependent and Independent Variables Analysis……………………………………106 Table 3.1: Dependent and Independent Variables……………………………………………...121 Table 3.2: Analysis……………………………………………………………………………..162 Table 3.3: Theoretical Explanations for the Evolution of the Council’s Policy-Making Role...164 Table 3.4: Dependent and Independent Variables Analysis……………………………………165 Table 4.1: Dependent and Independent Variables……………………………………………...180 Table 4.2: Analysis……………………………………………………………………………..206 Table 4.3: Theoretical Explanations for the Evolution of Council Capacity……….…………..207 Table 4.4: Dependent and Independent Variables Analysis……………………………………208 Table 5.1: Council Observers as of 2015……………………………………………………….231 Table 5.2: Results……………………………………………………………………………….234 Table 6.1: The Importance of Non-State Actors in International Institutions………………….243 Table 6.2: Permanent Participant Participation, 1998-2004……………………………………273 Table 6.3: Permanent Participant Projects……………………………………………………...278 Table 6.4: Permanent Participant Participation………………………………………………...283 Table 6.5: Analysis……………………………………………………………………………..295 vii LIST OF ACRONYMS AIA – Aleut International Association AAC – Arctic Athabaskan Council ABA – Arctic Biodiversity Assessment ACIA – Arctic Climate Impact Assessment ACAP – Arctic Contaminants Action Program ACMM – Arctic Council Ministerial Meeting AEC – Arctic Economic Council AEPS – Arctic Environmental Protection Strategy AMEC – Arctic Military Environmental Co-operation AMAP – Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme CAFF – Conservation of Arctic Flora and Fauna DMM – Deputy Ministers Meeting D.C. – District of Columbia EPPR – Emergency Prevention, Preparedness and Response GIS – Geographic Information Systems GCI – Gwich’in Council International IPS – Indigenous Peoples’ Secretariat ICC – Inuit Circumpolar Council MM – Ministerial Meeting NEFCO – Nordic Environmental Finance Corporation NATO – North Atlantic Treaty Organization POP – Persistent Organic Pollutant PCB – Polychlorinated Biphenyl PSI – Project Support Instrument PAME – Protection of the Arctic Marine Environment RAIPON – Russian Association of Indigenous Peoples of the North SAO – Senior Arctic Official SDWG – Sustainable Development Working Group USSR – Union of Soviet Socialist Republics U.S. – United States U.S.A. – United States of America USD – United States Dollar UV – Ultraviolet 1 CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION In 1996, many Arctic policy-makers1 and activists believed the newly created Arctic Council was a weak, informal research institution offering limited opportunities to address issues that are important to people who live in the Arctic region.2 By 2013, the Council appeared more robust than ever as it created major international agreements that responded to the consequences of climate change in the Arctic. The major research question addressed in this thesis is: how can we explain this evolution of the Arctic Council? The Council is an international institution charged with the promotion of environmental conservation and sustainable development in the Arctic region. It is evolving from a research institution that addresses environmental issues to a forum for policy-making on a wide variety of issues. This institution is worthy of serious scholarly attention because the Council is the premier governance institution for the Arctic region and it addresses profoundly important global issues such as climate change. The evolution of this institution will have consequences for the global community. Thus, the trajectory of its evolution is of interest not only to those who study the region, but also to those concerned with broader global politics. This thesis explains the Council’s evolution by assessing the predictive validity and reliability of three theories of international co-operation: functionalism, neorealism and neoliberal institutionalism. This work argues that the Arctic’s economic potential has created an incentive for states to facilitate governance through the Council, though great powers are the 1 In this thesis, “policy-maker” refers to an official who attended Council meetings representing a state, non- governmental organization, international institution or indigenous peoples’ organization. This group includes government officials, political activists, political actors (such as elected representatives) and scientists. I use the term “policy-maker” as a generic term because 1) all of these actors sought to contribute to the development of policy through the Council and 2) they were entrusted to represent the views of their organization in a diplomatic capacity. 2 Interviews with eleven different Council policy-makers, winter, spring and summer 2013. This group includes a former senior Canadian foreign affairs official, a junior Canadian foreign affairs official, two senior United States Environmental Protection Agency officials, one former senior government of Alaska official, one senior United States State Department official, one former senior United States Department of the Interior official, a senior Norwegian foreign affairs official, two senior Icelandic foreign affairs officials and a Russian scientist who has worked with the Council. The comment arose in response to a discussion that the Council, over time, has become a more professional body.

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Typically, a new observer attends Council meetings for between two and five years 417. Smaller powers in the Arctic Council have fewer alternatives to accomplish and for Arctic residents, this situation could spell trouble.
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