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Evidence and Agency: Norms of Belief for Promising and Resolving PDF

252 Pages·2015·1.06 MB·English
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Evidence and Agency Evidence and Agency Norms of Belief for Promising and Resolving š ć Berislav Maru i 1 3 GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,OX26DP, UnitedKingdom OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries ©BerislavMarušić2015 Themoralrightsoftheauthorhavebeenasserted FirstEditionpublishedin2015 Impression:1 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016,UnitedStatesofAmerica BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2015935926 ISBN 978–0–19–871404–0 Printedandboundby CPIGroup(UK)Ltd,Croydon,CR04YY LinkstothirdpartywebsitesareprovidedbyOxfordingoodfaithand forinformationonly.Oxforddisclaimsanyresponsibilityforthematerials containedinanythirdpartywebsitereferencedinthiswork. For Jen Contents Acknowledgments ix Introduction 1 1. PromisingandResolvingagainsttheEvidence 3 1.1 ClarifyingtheProblems 7 1.2 TheAppealtoTrying 16 1.3 AnExplanatoryTask:AsymmetriesbetweenAgents, Lovers,andObservers 20 1.4 Outlook 22 1.5 Conclusion 25 2. SincerityandRationality 27 2.1 Sincerity 27 2.2 Rationality 35 2.3 Propriety 42 2.4 Belief 47 2.5 Conclusion 50 3. TheNon-CognitivistResponse 51 3.1 Intending 53 3.2 Aiming 64 3.3 Accepting 65 3.4 TheCombinedNon-CognitivistResponse 71 3.5 Conclusion 73 4. ThePracticalKnowledgeResponse 75 4.1 PracticalKnowledge 76 4.2 AgainstthePracticalKnowledgeResponse 80 4.3 AgainstthePracticalKnowledgeApproach 85 4.4 Conclusion:PracticalThought 96 5. TheEvidentialistResponse 99 5.1 TheEvidentialist’sBridgePrinciples 100 5.2 ADishearteningView 103 5.3 EpistemicEvasion 106 5.4 Conclusion 120 6. TheSartreanResponse 122 6.1 TheAgent’sPointofView 123 6.2 WhyBelief? 136 viii CONTENTS 6.3 CaseStudies 144 6.4 ObjectionsandReplies 150 6.4.1 BeliefAimsatKnowledge 150 6.4.2 CoordinationwithoutReconciliation 154 6.4.3 ForegoingSelf-Knowledge 155 6.4.4 AComebackforthePracticalKnowledgeResponse? 156 6.4.5 TheIdeaofFreedom 157 6.4.6 PredictivePromises 158 6.4.7 PragmaticEncroachment 159 6.4.8 Betting 160 6.4.9 TheDifferencebetweenPromisingandResolving 161 6.5 Freedom 163 6.6 Anguish 171 6.7 Conclusion 173 7. TrustingagainsttheEvidence 175 7.1 TheEvidentialistResponse 178 7.2 TheCalculatingResponse 183 7.3 TheTestimonialKnowledgeResponse 188 7.4 TheStrawsonianResponse 191 7.5 WhyBelief? 205 7.6 Conclusion 208 Conclusion 210 Postscript 213 Glossary 215 References 217 Index 233 Acknowledgments MyfirstthanksaretoRichardMoran,whoseworkhasdeeplyinfluenced meandwhosewritingsIamindebtedtoinwaysthatgofarbeyondthe references that appear in the text. His Authority and Estrangement inspired the central line of argument I present; indeed, Evidence and Agency can be read as my response to his book. I am grateful to Dick for his enduring support, encouragement, insight, and advice. I have also been greatly influenced by Pamela Hieronymi, Michael Bratman, Richard Holton, and Jonathan Adler, even if, in places, I express my disagreement with them—especially Adler’s evidentialism. Their work has given me the concepts to formulate my thoughts. I am grateful to themforseveralconversationsandforcommentsonearlierdraftsofthis material. Icouldnothavewrittenthisbookifitweren’tformyteachersBarry Stroud,JohnMacFarlane,andJanetBroughton,whotaughtmemuchof whatIknowaboutphilosophy.IamverygratefultoJohnSchwenklerfor helpful comments on a whole draft of the manuscript and for reading several chapters multiple times. I thank Jessica Addison and Aarthy Vaidyanathan, my research assistants, for their suggestions and help with preparing the manuscript for publication. For helpful conversa- tions, suggestions, and comments, I also thank Matthew Boyle, Jason Bridges,AlexByrne,AgnesCallard,FabrizioCariani,EugeneChislenko, David Christensen, David Enoch, Jeremy Fantl, James Genone, Micha Glaeser,DanielGreco,SanfordGoldberg,PeterGrönert,MatthiasHaase, Sally Haslanger, David Hunter, Romy Jaster, Andrea Kern, Christian Kietzmann, Jonathan Knutzen, Jennifer Lackey, Béatrice Longuenesse, John MacFarlane, Duncan MacIntosh, Benjamin McMyler, Miriam McCormick,JohnMaier,KateManne,KateMoran,SarahPaul,Thomas Raleigh, Michael Randall, Andrew Reisner, Sebastian Rödl, Amélie Rorty,SherriRoush,GrantRozeboom, JerrySamet,KarlSchafer,Geoff Sayre-McCord, Ian Schnee, Miriam Schoenfield, Matthew Silverstein, NishiShah,PaulinaSliwa,SusannaSiegel,MarionSmiley,JudithThomson, David Velleman,JonathanVogel,Stephen White,Allen Wood, and Palle Yourgrau. I thank Brian Boeninger, Brad Cokelet, Kevin Falvey, Amir

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Evidence and Agency is concerned with the question of how, as agents, we should take evidence into account when thinking about our future actions. Suppose you are promising or resolving to do something that you have evidence is difficult for you to do. For example, suppose you are promising to be fa
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