Evaluating Profitability and Efficiency of the Banks in Palestine Basel Zimmo Submitted to the Institute of Graduate Studies and Research in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Banking and Finance Eastern Mediterranean University September, 2015 Gazimağusa, North Cyprus Approval of the Institute of Graduate Studies and Research Prof. Dr. Serhan Çiftçioğlu Acting Director I certify that this thesis satisfies the requirements as a thesis for the degree of Master of Science in Banking and Finance. Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nesrin Özataç Chair, Department of Banking and Finance We certify that we have read this thesis and that in our opinion, it is fully adequate in scope and quality as a thesis for the degree of Master of Science in Banking and Finance. Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nesrin Özataç Supervisor Examining Committee 1. Prof. Dr. Eralp Bektaş 2. Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nesrin Özataç 3. Asst. Prof. Dr. Korhan Gökmenoğlu ABSTRACT Nowadays, the role of banks in economics is undeniable. All the financial activities are depending on them because they help to develop the economy quickly, so the profitability measurements of the banking system should be investigated. The goal of this study is to find the profitability measurements for 7 commercial Palestinian banks and the researcher will do that on an analysis of bank for the period 2007-2013. The Palestinian banks profitability will be done by evaluating two main parts of ratios; the first one is the bank specific ratios which are capital adequacy ratio, liquidity ratio, management efficiency ratio, and the last one is the asset quality ratio. In addition, the second part is macroeconomic determinants (inflation and interest rate). In this research, panel data is used to evaluate the relationship between the variables. The study followed the previous studies such as the case of Turkey (Alper and Anbar, 2011) that investigated the profitability to measure the bank-specific performance for 10 commercial banks for the period of 2002-2010 and they came out that there is a positive relationship between the interest rate and profitability and this result agrees with the statistical analysis for of this study’s case. The study concluded that the macroeconomic factors have more impact to the profitability of the banks in Palestine when compared to the bank specific determinants that exist because of the special structure of each bank, so for that the researcher concluded the study by suggesting some solutions to the problems faced in iii this study. Keywords: Palestine, panel data, bank profitability, macroeconomics factor, bank specific determinants. iv ÖZ G n m zde ankalar n ekonomideki rol inkar edilemez.Onlar finansal faaliyetlerin kal idir ve ekonomik kalk nma h z n art rmak için yard mc olurlar. öylece ankac l k sisteminin karl l ğ elirleyicileri değerlendirilmelidir. u tezin amac 7 ticari Filistin ankalar n n karl l k elirleyicilerini ulmak için 2007-2013 dönemi için ir anka analizi yapmakt r. Filistin ankalar karl l k makroekonomik elirleyicileri olarak sermaye oran aktif kalitesi oran yönetim verimliliği oran anka-özel ve enflasyon ve faiz oran gi i likidite oran n uygulayarak taraf ndan incelenir. u araşt rmada panel değerlendirilme tarihi ilişkisi kullan lm şt r.Çal şma sonucu değerlerinin makroekonomik elirleyicileri taraf ndan elirlendigi ve karl l k oran n filistin ankalar nda farkl oldugu anlaş ld ç nk her ankan n özel ir kar oran elirleyicisi vard r ve Filistin ankalar n n makroekonomik etkilerinden farkl oldugu anlaş l yor. iz u çal şmada karş laş lan sorunlara az çöz mler önerdik. Anahtar Kelimeler: Filistin panel tarihi anka karl l ğ makroekonomi faktör banka spesifik belirleyicileri. v Dedicated To My Family vi ACKNOWLEDGMENT First of all, I would like to thank God for his splendid support to accomplish this thesis. I would also like to appreciate the effort of my supervisor Assoc. Prof. Dr. Nesrin Özataç for her outstanding contribution and guidance of this thesis. Without her invaluable supervision, all my efforts could have been shortsighted. Dr. Özataç provided me with all her time whenever I needed not only to finish up the thesis work but also achieve with a strong background in the field chosen, without her I would not have reached that far. Second, I extend my heartfelt to my parents and my lovely brother and sister for believing in me, and supported me financially and morally. I would like to dedicate this study to them as an indication of their significance in this study as well as in my life. Finally, special thanks go to my dear friends, Amjad Taha and Wesam Hamed for their emotional help and support throughout my research preparation. Also I would like to thank my dear friends, Mohamad Nashashibi, Abdulrahman Zaben, and Yana Oreshkevich and their families for their big support during the writing of this thesis. vii TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................. iii ÖZ .................................................................................................................................. v ACKNOWLEDGMENT.............................................................................................. vii LIST OF TABLES ......................................................................................................... x LIST OF FIGURES ...................................................................................................... xi LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ...................................................................................... xii 1 INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Goal of the Study ................................................................................................. 1 1.3 Research Methodology ........................................................................................ 2 1.4 Framework of the Study....................................................................................... 2 2 OVERVIEW OF PALESTINE BANKING SECTOR ............................................... 3 2.1 Banking Sector Size ............................................................................................. 3 2.2 GDP of Palestine .................................................................................................. 6 2.3 The Role of PMA in Palestine Banking Sector ................................................... 7 2.4 The Role of the anking Sector in Palestine’s Economy .................................... 8 3 LITERATURE REVIEW ......................................................................................... 10 4 DATA AND METHODOLOGY .............................................................................. 16 4.1 Data .................................................................................................................... 16 4.2 The Variables ..................................................................................................... 16 4.3 The Methodology ............................................................................................... 20 viii 5 EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISSCUSSIONS .................................................... 21 5.1 Unit Root Test .................................................................................................... 21 5.2 The Model of Simple Regression ...................................................................... 22 5.3 Autocorrelation .................................................................................................. 25 5.4 Heteroskedasticity .............................................................................................. 26 5.5 Correlation Analysis .......................................................................................... 27 6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS ..................................................... 30 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................ 32 APPENDICES ............................................................................................................. 35 Appendix 1: Panel Unit Root Tests for Palestinian Banks ...................................... 36 Appendix 2: Regression Result for ROA................................................................. 37 Appendix 3: Regression Result for ROE ................................................................. 38 Appendix 4: Q-Test.................................................................................................. 39 Appendix 5: Heteroskedasticity Test ....................................................................... 40 ix LIST OF TABLES Ta le 2.1: Num er of anks in Palestine………………….…………………………..4 Table 1.2: Deposits and loans for Palestine anking sector…………..……..….…..…5 Ta le 4.1: Dependent Varia les of the regression model……………….….……..…17 Ta le 4.2: Independent Varia les of the regression model……………..……..…..…18 Ta le 5.1: Panel Unit Root Test for Palestinian anks……………………………....21 Ta le 5.2: Regression Analysis Results for ROA……………………………………22 Ta le 5.3: Regression Analysis Results for ROE…………………………………….23 Table 5.4: AC, PAC and Q-stat for 10 lags…………………………………………..26 Ta le 5.5: P Test……………………………………………………………………26 Table 5.6: Correlation analysis of Varia les…………………………………………27 x
Description: