The views expressed in this Report are those of the authors of the papers and contributors to the discussion individually and not necessarily those of their institutions or companies or of The Watt Committee on Energy Ltd. Published by: The Watt Committee on Energy Ltd 75 Knightsbridge London SW1X 7RB Telephone: 01–245 9238 This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2005. “To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledge’s collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.” © The Watt Committee on Energy Ltd 1982 Dajon Graphics Ltd, Bushey, Herts. 3–82 ISBN 0-203-21027-1 Master e-book ISBN ISBN 0-203-26811-3 (Adobe eReader Format) THE WATT COMMITTEE ON ENERGY REPORT NUMBER 11 THE EUROPEAN ENERGY SCENE Papers presented at the Tenth Consultative Council of the Watt Committee on Energy, London, 21 May 1981 The Watt Committee on Energy Ltd A Company limited by guarantee: Reg. in England No. 1350046 Charity Commissioners Registration No. 279087 APRIL 1982 Contents Foreword v Units used in this Report ix The energy scene in the United Kingdom 1 D.le B.Jones Extracts from discussion 15 The energy situation in the Netherlands 21 G.W.van Stein Callenfels and E.F.Bunge Extracts from discussion 32 Energy and the steel industry in France: present 35 situation and future prospects J.de Pemille Extracts from discussion 49 German experience of the oil price crises 52 G.Meurin Extracts from discussion 62 Danish energy planning after 1973 and its 65 implementation H.Larsen Extracts from discussion 75 General discussion 77 Appendix: Energy intensity in the European scene 82 A.Cluer Member Institutions 92 iv THE WATT COMMITTEE ON ENE RGY 95 List of published Watt Committee on Energy inside back cover Reports Foreword Shortly after the formation of The Watt Committee on Energy, Sir Jack Rampton, then Permanent Under-Secretary at the Department of Energy, suggested that when we had established our general policy we should contact like-minded people on the Continent of Europe. This could be helpful to all concerned because their approach to the problems would be different, if only on account of the differences in their resources compared with those of the United Kingdom. The Watt Committee acted on this suggestion about a year ago by writing to a number of individuals who had demonstrated in other connections their enthusiasm and their willingness to discuss their problems with fellow professionals. Most of those whom I wrote to were known to me as major contributors to the work of the International Flame Research Foundation. Potential speakers were asked if they would be willing to present a simple statement at our Consultative Council in May 1981 answering in summary form two questions: (1)How did your country react to the 1973 oil crisis, and what action occurred from then till 1980 to meet the new position? (2)What do you expect your national energy policy to achieve in the period 1980–2000? Four of the five replied that either they would be glad to accept the challenge or they had found a man who was in a better position to answer our questions. The fifth seemed permanently absent from his native country, and was regretfully dropped from the team. It might be expected that the U.K. speaker would have been drawn from one of the 60-plus professional bodies in membership of The Watt Committee; in fact we decided that D.le B.Jones, who had made a most helpful intervention at an earlier Consultative Council, was the right man, and were delighted that he agreed to present such a paper, not as a representative of the Department of Energy, but in a ‘personal capacity’. It was our initial intention to hold a ‘getting to know you’ type of meeting without necessarily publishing either the papers or the discussion. Following the Council meeting, which took place in London on 21st May 1981, our originator, vi Sir William Hawthorne, wrote to say how much he and others had enjoyed this free exchange of views and added that he hoped we would produce a report containing not only the full texts of the papers—which could not be presented at the Council owing to shortage of time—but also a report of the discussion. The Executive agreed, and the authors were asked to let us have complete manuscripts and edit their replies to the discussion. The delay between the meeting and the publication of this report was considerably longer than usual, owing not to the tardiness of any party, but to the need to watch our cash flow. It is my intention in writing this Foreword not to summarise the contents of the report, but rather to quote its findings in a way that will tempt the reader to study the full text, and thereby broaden his or her outlook, and possibly see ways of tackling the energy problem that, rightly or wrongly, have not been adopted by other countries. Even a quick browse will suffice to show striking differences in the problems faced by these five European countries. Equally striking are the differences in the way the challenges have been met and the proposals for the next two decades. The United Kingdom is fortunate in possessing a large amount of coal— sufficient for 300 years at present rates of consumption (see Watt Committee on Energy Report No. 9, Assessment of Energy Resources). In addition it has large supplies of oil and natural gas, and a useful quantity of nuclear power. Given these facts it is not surprising that D.le B.Jones suggests that ‘the market must play a major part in determining the pattern of fuel production and use’. The alternative procedure—that central government should permit optimum allocation —is modestly declined on the basis that the government and its officials are not all-wise and all-seeing. He adds that ‘prices must give both the consumer and the producer reasonably accurate signals about the cost of energy supplies’. The government must of course have an energy policy that includes an investment programme and corporate plans for the nationalised energy industries, e.g. Financial targets for the nationalised industries A pattern of development and rate of depletion for North Sea oil and gas The main nuclear decisions The level of taxation on fuels Energy conservation matters Financial support for research, development and demonstration Special schemes, such as subsidised conversion of equipment from oil to coal firing. The position in The Netherlands, described in the paper by G.W.van Stein Callenfels (presented at the meeting by E.F.Bunge) was radically changed by the vii discovery around 1960 of the Groningen or Slochteren natural gas, which is similar to North Sea apart from its content of about 14% of nitrogen. This was quickly followed by the construction of a network of high-pressure (60 bar) pipelines to feed not only Holland but Germany, Belgium and France, and, more recently, Italy. As a result of this major discovery the remaining coalmines in Holland were closed and reliance was placed on oil for the extra energy needed particularly by transport. Nuclear reactors were suggested, but kept to a minimum by public opposition. In 1973 the drop in oil supplies led to a review of the whole energy position. It was decided that certain export contracts for gas should not be renewed and that more coal should be imported. The heavy dependence of Holland on its production of flowers and vegetables for export meant looking again at the heating of greenhouses. That was easy with cheap natural gas, but more efficient gas burning must now be developed, and such techniques as double glazing and blinds used to reduce heat loss during the night. In addition gas-fired heat pumps were developed and are being widely used in both small industries and housing complexes. What, you may well ask, happened to the windmills— almost a national emblem of the country? The sad answer is that few of them turn, because their use would be uneconomic in comparison with other types of energy. Research is, however, proceeding on wind power, and a first large windmill (or should it be an aero-generator) has been built on the sea-coast north of Amsterdam. This first large unit has a 50-m wing-span and a capacity of 300 kW. The position in France, as described by J.de Pemille, is different again. France has a fair amount of coal and a small amount of natural gas, but is still heavily dependent on the importation of oil. The desire to be relatively independent has led to the vigorous pursuit of nuclear energy which already supplies about a third of the electricity demand. Future installations will include fast-breeder reactors. Alternative sources include geothermal energy: parts of Paris are district-heated by hot water pumped from underground wells. There is also a strong emphasis on conservation. It is stated, for example, that in 1980 GDP was increased by 2. 2% while energy consumption dropped by 1.6%. Incidentally, such achievement is often referred to in terms of ‘energy coefficients’. It is the confusion arising from the use of such terms and the non-validity of some cross-comparisons that led Alf Cluer (one of our Executive members) to produce the Appendix to the present Report, entitled ‘Energy intensity in the European scene’. Of Germany G.Meurin says, ‘Loyal to its principle to pursue objectives in energy policy not by regulations but by strengthening the market forces, the Federal government has chosen the way of off-set payments to compensate the differences between the cost of electricity generation from German hard coal and that from heavy fuel oil’. Furthermore, power plants that would burn fuel oil or natural gas were not allowed to be built without special authorisation. Forecasts for future oil requirements have been reduced but not by as much as was hoped owing to public concern about nuclear energy. viii Conservation is encouraged by grants by the Federal Government of about 20% for all measures installed in existing buildings, improvements to heating systems, and devices installed to promote the use of renewable energy for space and water heating. The 1979–80 further oil price rise led to the Federal Republic’s trade balance being in the red for the first time in 14 years: that caused, among other things, a determination to use more indigenous coal. This brings me to the last of the papers, in which H.Larsen discusses the almost total dependence of Denmark on imports until 1972. The main import was of oil, only 20% of electricity being produced by burning coal; because there is relatively little heavy industry in Denmark the main consumption of energy is for space heating. The coal usage for space heating is related to district heating, based on combined heat and power (CHP). About 80% of Danish electricity is now produced from coal. Fortunately Denmark expects to obtain natural gas from Germany, and also from its own sector of the North Sea. As the programme for local heating plants has not yet been completed, people still do not know whether they will be offered natural gas or district heating associated with CHP. The main changes, it is stated, have ‘been achieved on a voluntary basis, i.e. more or less solely based on economic arguments’. That would seem to be the right note on which to end this Foreword. Incidentally, The Watt Committee on Energy has embryonic contacts with the British Institute of Energy Economics, with which there might be a future joint meeting. J.H.Chesters Chairman, The Watt Committee on Energy Units used in this Report The units used and other matters of style in this Report vary, in some instances, according to the practices common in the authors’ respective countries and languages, although the units of the Système internationale (S.I.) are usually preferred. Conversion factors and approximate equivalents for certain quantities that occur frequently are given below. *Note. These approximate equivalents are not suitable for accurate calculations, for which accurate conversion factors should be used.